RELATED CONTENT : Security & Defense

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    Chancellor Merz’s First 100 Days: Germany’s Foreign, Security, and Economic Agenda
    Authors
    Bilal Mahli
    September 4, 2025
    This policy brief analyzes the first 100 days in office of Chancellor Friedrich Merz, which have been marked by an assertive foreign policy, ambitious security reforms, and a shift toward economic pragmatism. Merz has sought to reestablish Germany as a ‘leading middle power’, emphasizing closer European coordination, renewed transatlantic engagement, and unwavering support for Ukraine. However, his approach to the Gaza conflict, characterized by alignment with U.S. positions and rel ...
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    L’initiative atlantique et les relations Maroc–Mauritanie
    Authors
    Fadoua Ammari
    Rida Lyammouri
    August 28, 2025
    L’Initiative Atlantique, annoncée par le Roi Mohammed VI en novembre 2023, visant à offrir aux pays sahéliens enclavés un accès à l’océan Atlantique via le territoire marocain, promet de redessiner en profondeur la relation bilatérale entre Rabat et Nouakchott. Cet article examine comment ce projet inédit crée de nouvelles opportunités stratégiques tout en soulevant des défis partagés pour le Maroc et la Mauritanie. Sur le plan diplomatique, le rapprochement autour de l’Initiative A ...
  • Securing Tomorrow: New Directions in African Defense Policy
    August 15, 2025
    This episode explores the evolving African defense strategies in response to emerging security threats. We discuss the shift toward regional cooperation, modernization of military capabilities, and integration of technology. The conversation highlights the role of governance, economic r...
  • The Recent Evolution of UN Work on Peace and Security
    Ahmed Ouhnini & Jérôme Mellon
    August 01, 2025
    In this episode, we explore how the United Nations works beyond traditional peacekeeping contexts to support justice and security sector reform in fragile contexts. Our guest, Jérôme Mell ...
  • Illegal, unreported, unregulated fishing (IUU) in Atlantic Africa
    July 17, 2025
    In this episode, we explore Illegal, Unreported, and Unregulated (IUU) fishing in Atlantic Africa, a crisis that drains marine resources, harms coastal livelihoods, and threatens regional security. Luis Miguel Escudeiro da Costa Cabral from the Atlantic Centre joins us, sharing how his ...
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    Countering JNIM’s Drone Proliferation in the Sahel
    Authors
    Rida Lyammouri
    Niccola Milnes
    July 14, 2025
    Jama’at Nusrat al-Islam wal Muslimin (JNIM), alongside the Front de Libération de l’Azawad (FLA), has pioneered drone warfare in the Sahel–evolving from its first armed strike in September 2023 to over a dozen coordinated operations by June 2025. JNIM’s drone-enabled attacks–spanning kamikaze strikes, ISR- guided assaults, and visual propaganda–now target Mali, Burkina Faso, and Togo. It is the only known armed group in Africa–and one of the few globally–to conduct sustained, opera ...
  • Women and youth contribution to peacebuilding processes
    Oumaïma El Azami El Hassani & Zineb Benalla
    July 11, 2025
    In this episode, we speak to Zineb Benalla, international consultant and CEO of Eirene Associate, as she reveals the vital yet often hidden roles youth and women play in peacebuilding, sh ...
  • Security–Development Nexus in Fragile States
    Sofia Formigli & Stephen Klingebiel
    July 04, 2025
    This episode explores how poverty, inequality, and climate change fuel insecurity and instability, often pushing fragile states toward militarization at the cost of social welfare. It exa ...
  • Could Iran and the Strait of Hormuz Spark a Global Crisis?
    July 4, 2025
    Tensions are rising in the Strait of Hormuz, a crucial oil route, as Iran clashes with its rivals, fueling fears that conflict could spill into vital shipping lanes. Missile attacks and military threats risk disrupting global energy supplies and sending prices soaring, with consequences...
  • Somali Piracy: A Simple Flare-up or a Rising Threat?
    Authors
    Khadija Mamouni
    July 3, 2025
    While global attention has been focused on the Houthi rebel attacks in the Red Sea, Somali pirates have seized the opportunity to escalate their own attacks and violence along these strategic waterways. The threat is increasing dramatically due to an emerging network of allies between Al-Shabaab, the Houthis, and Somali pirates, as well as overlapping national and international factors. The first successful Somali piracy incident since 2017 took place in December 2023, a month ...
  • حديث الثلاثاء : دبلوماسية الرباط ومبادرة الحكم الذاتي: قراءة في مواقف المجتمع الدولي
    July 1, 2025
    في هذه الحلقة من برنامج "حديث الثلاثاء"، نناقش التحولات الدولية المتسارعة تجاه قضية الصحراء المغربية. نركز على اتساع الدعم الدولي لمبادرة الحكم الذاتي وتراجع الاعتراف بـ"الجمهورية الصحراوية المزعومة". كما نستعرض دور الدول الإفريقية والعربية في الدفع نحو حل نهائي وسط انقسامات مجلس الأمن....
  • APSACO 9th Edition - Conversation I
    June 20, 2025
    As the African continent grapples with a new generation of complex and interconnected threats, ranging from violent extremism and transnational crime to governance-related tensions and climate-induced insecurity, Southern Africa is also called upon to reinforce its contribution to conti...
  • APSACO 9th Edition : Africa’s Sub-Regional Landscape in 2024
    June 19, 2025
    In 2024, Africa’s sub-regional landscape reflects deepening tensions between normative commitments to regional integration and the emergence of competing political and security alignments. From institutional paralysis to political withdrawals, the coherence of Africa’s regional blocs is...
  • Rapport annuel sur la géopolitique de l’Afrique 2025
    Authors
    Sous la direction de
    Abdelhak Bassou
    June 18, 2025
    Bientôt disponible en vente sur Livremoi. Les différentes éditions du Rapport annuel de la géopolitique de l’Afrique, que le Policy Center for the New South publie chaque année, se suivent mais ne se ressemblent pas. Elles ne gardent en commun que leur inscription, dans une même ligne éditoriale, celle qui privilégie l’Afrique en particulier et le Sud en Général. Les différentes éditions se ressemblent en ce sens que leur objet, à toutes, est de permettre à des Africains d ...
  • حديث الثلاثاء : المغرب في مواجهة التهديدات السيبرانية
    June 17, 2025
    في هذه الحلقة، نناقش موضوع الأمن السيبراني بالمغرب في ظل تصاعد التهديدات الرقمية وتوسع استخدام التكنولوجيا. نستعرض مفهوم الأمن السيبراني والمجالات التي يشملها، قبل التطرق إلى الإطار القانوني والمؤسساتي المغربي لمواجهة الجريمة السيبرانية. كما نسلّط الضوء على التحديات الراهنة، خاصة ما يتع...
  • Wagner vs. France: The Failure of Democracy in West Africa
    June 17, 2025
    In this episode of the Unpopular Opinion Podcast, Rida Lyammouri unpacks the escalating tensions between Mali and Algeria following the downing of a Malian drone. The conversation traces the historical roots of the crisis, examines the shortcomings of imposed peace agreements, and revie...
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    Political Economy Analysis and Conflict Analysis: Cross-border Conflict Trends and Conflict Resilience of Border Communities in Eastern Benin and Western Nigeria
    Authors
    Rida Lyammouri
    June 10, 2025
    This study draws on academic and gray literature to identify the dynamics that facilitate the emergence and proliferation of armed groups and increase vulnerabilities to violent extremism (VE). Given the growing concerns about the spread of VE to northern Benin and the rising incidents of violence, it is crucial to address these underlying factors in order to bolster community cohesion and resilience to violent conflict-particularly against recruitment and influence by violent extre ...
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    La paix dans l’est de la République démocratique du Congo: Constats, méthodes, défis, actions
    Authors
    Pierre Jacquemot
    May 23, 2025
    L’espoir d’une paix durable dans la région des Grands Lacs de l’Afrique centrale est-il enfin permis ? Depuis le début des années 1990, les conflits armés dans les deux provinces du Kivu et l’Ituri à l’est de la République démocratique du Congo (RDC) se cristallisent dans des formes d’une rare violence. Pour sortir de cette crise récurrente, un accord de non-agression entre la RD Congo et son voisin, le Rwanda, accusé d’interférence, constitue un préalable. Mais il n’est ...
  • Ethiopia-Somaliland MoU and Its Implications
    Helmut Sorge & Khadija Mamouni
    April 18, 2025
    In this episode, we discuss the Memorandum of Understanding between Ethiopia and Somaliland, exploring its key terms and strategic motivations. We assess how the deal reshapes the securit ...
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    Syria’s Post-Conflict Recovery: Challenges and Prospects for Reconstruction and Stability
    Authors
    Bilal Mahli
    April 11, 2025
    Syria’s post-conflict transition, marked by the fall of the Assad regime and the appointment of interim President Ahmed al-Sharaa, will be a critical opportunity for renewal while confronting significant challenges. The country must navigate a complex landscape of political fragmentation, economic hardship, and security risks. This policy brief explores Syria’s prospects for reconstruction and long-term stability by assessing recent political reforms, economic recovery strategies, a ...
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    The New South as Collateral Damage of the Russia–Ukraine Wars
    Authors
    Ferid Belhaj
    April 8, 2025
    The Russia–Ukraine war, while primarily perceived as a European security crisis, has triggered deep structural shocks globally, disproportionately affecting the developing world—the “New South.” This essay explores how historical legacies, global economic dependencies, and shifting geoeconomic paradigms have converged through the war to exacerbate existing vulnerabilities in Africa, Asia, Latin America, and the Middle East. It critically examines the war’s impact through four interc ...
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    Genèse et évolution des groupes extrémistes armés au Sahel dans un contexte de crise multidimensionnelle
    Authors
    Rida Lyammouri
    Fadoua Ammari
    March 13, 2025
    L’extrémisme violent au Sahel trouve ses racines dans une combinaison de facteurs historique, politique et socio-économique, tels que l’instabilité étatique, la marginalisation de certaines communautés et l’influence d’idéologies transnationales. Ce Papier retrace l’émergence et l’expansion de groupes comme Al-Qaïda au Maghreb Islamique (AQMI) et l’État islamique au Grand Sahara (EIGS), ainsi que leur fragmentation, illustrée par la création de nouveaux groupes, comme le ...
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    الحرب الدائرة في السودان وآثارها على الأمن والاستقرار في منطقة القرن الإفريقي وما وراءها
    Authors
    Kidane Kiros
    February 12, 2025
    تتناول هذه الورقة السياسية النزاعات العنيفة المستمرة في السودان، مع التركيز بشكل خاص على الحرب التي اندلعت في الـ15 من أبريل 2023، بين القوات المسلحة السودانية وقوات الدعم السريع. يسلط التحليل الضوء على خلفية هذا النزاع الذي نشب بفعل فشل الانتقال الديمقراطي، بعد الإطاحة بالرئيس عمر البشير سنة 2019. كانت البداية مليئة بالتفاؤل، حيث تم توقيع اتفاق لتقاسم السلطة بين الفصائل العسكرية والمدنية، ولكن هذا الاتفاق انهار سريعاً، وبلغ الانهيار ذروته بحدوث انقلاب عسكري في أكتوبر من سنة 2021. ه ...
  • حديث الثلاثاء : التطرف العنيف في إفريقيا: بين تحديات الأمن ومسارات التنمية
    February 11, 2025
    يخصص مركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد حلقة خاصة من برنامجه الأسبوعي "حديث الثلاثاء" بمناسبة اليوم العالمي للوقاية من التطرف العنيف، لمناقشة موضوع " التطرف العنيف في إفريقيا: بين تحديات الأمن ومسارات التنمية" في ديسمبر 2022، اعتمدت الأمم المتحدة "اليوم العالمي للوقاية من التطرف العنيف...
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    Le G5 Sahel est mort, vive le G7 sahélo-atlantique : sécuriser le développement pour développer la sécurité
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    February 6, 2025
    Il était une fois le G5 Sahel… En 2014, cinq pays du Sahel que sont la Mauritanie, le Mali, le Burkina Faso, le Niger et le Tchad décidèrent avec l’appui d’une puissance européenne de se constituer en un groupe d’États appelé G5 Sahel. Les cinq pays se partageaient plusieurs caractéristiques dont principalement l’aspect désertique du territoire avec une vulnérabilité conséquente aux changements climatiques, l’immensité des superficies territoriales (à l’exception du Burkina Faso), ...
  • إعادة الإعمار بين القرارات الأممية والتحديات السياسية - سوريا وغزة كنموذجين
    December 26, 2024
    في ظل استمرار الحرب على غزة والقرارات الأممية غير الملزمة بوقف إطلاق النار، نتساءل عن مدى فعالية هذه القرارات على أرض الواقع. نناقش في هذه الحلقة إعادة الإعمار كعملية تتجاوز البناء المادي لتشمل إعادة بناء الثقة والمؤسسات، مع تسليط الضوء على التحديات في سوريا بعد سقوط نظام بشار الأسد وتأ...
  • Crisis in Sudan: A Complex Power Play With Regional Implications and Global Stakes
    Authors
    Imane Lahrich
    November 19, 2024
    Sudan, a nation long defined by civil strife, military coups, and an uneven trajectory towards democratic norms, now faces a devastating internal war. The eruption of conflict on April 15, 2023, between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF), has escalated into a multidimensional crisis. This conflict, fueled by longstanding political rivalries and resource-based tensions, poses grave risks to the stability of Sudan and the broader Horn of Africa. Beyond ...
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    L'INTELLIGENCE STRATÉGIQUE - REVISITER NOS FUTURS SUD; UN REGARD PROSPECTIF SUR LE TEMPS 
    Authors
    El Mostafa Rezrazi
    October 15, 2024
    Dans le vaste domaine des études prospectives, la notion du temps se révèle être un pilier fondamental, orchestre d'une symphonie complexe et variée. Cette notion n'est pas seulement un cadre dans lequel s'inscrivent nos actions et nos pensées; elle est une boussole qui guide notre capacité à anticiper et à modeler le futur. Les études prospectives, en quête de comprendre et de préparer les futurs possibles, se basent sur cette conception du temps pour éclairer et influencer la pris ...
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    Yemen's Path to Stability: Evaluating the Presidential Leadership Council's Role and Impact
    Authors
    Bilal Mahli
    October 15, 2024
    This paper provides a comprehensive analysis of the role and impact of Yemen's Presidential Leadership Council (PLC), formed in April 2022, in navigating the complexities of Yemen's ongoing civil conflict. The PLC was created to unite various anti-Houthi factions under a single governance framework, with the support of Saudi Arabia and the UAE, and to steer Yemen toward peace and stability. However, the PLC has faced numerous obstacles, including internal divisions, resistance from ...
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    The Ongoing War in Sudan and Its Implications for The Security and Stability of The Horn of Africa and Beyond
    Authors
    Kidane Kiros
    October 12, 2024
    This policy paper examines the ongoing violent conflicts in Sudan, focusing particularly on the war that erupted on April 15, 2023, between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF). The analysis highlights the backdrop of this conflict, which stems from a failed transition to democracy following the ousting of President Omar al-Bashir in 2019. Initially marked by optimism, the power-sharing agreement between military and civilian factions quickly unraveled, ...
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    African Peace and Security Annual Conference (APSACO) - 8th edition: SUMMARY REPORT
    Authors
    Policy Center for the New South
    September 30, 2024
    The African Peace and Security Annual Conference (APSACO) just concluded its 8th edition, serving as a crucial platform for discussing conflict prevention and management in Africa. APSACO has fostered a vibrant community that facilitates dialogue on Africa’s unique challenges and allows for the exchange of innovative ideas on conflict resolution. The Policy Center for the New South (PCNS) is proud to be an active participant in this ecosystem, contributing to key initiatives such as ...
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    Zeitenwende: Germany’s Strategic Shift in Foreign and Security Policy
    Authors
    Bilal Mahli
    September 13, 2024
    German Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s ‘Zeitenwende’ in February 2022 marked a significant shift in German foreign and security policy in response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. This paper analyzes Germany’s new strategic direction, including increased defense spending, reduced energy dependence on Russia, and strengthened NATO and EU alliances. It examines the domestic political debates surrounding these changes and their implications for European security dynamics. The study also expl ...
  • UN’s Future Summit: Ambition or Another Missed Chance?
    Authors
    Ferid Belhaj
    Helmut Sorge
    September 4, 2024
    History is unfolding before our eyes. These are days that could define the future of our world. The United Nations is calling for a “Summit for the Future,” promising “Multilateral Solutions for a Better Tomorrow.” This vision will take shape on September 23-24, 2024, in New York City. António Guterres, the Secretary-General of the UN since January 2017, has championed this summit as “a once-in-a-generation opportunity to reinvigorate global action, recommit to fundamental principle ...
  • Sudan Peace Talks in Geneva: Navigating the Challenges of a 16-Month Conflict
    Authors
    Imane Lahrich
    August 16, 2024
    Negotiations aimed at securing a ceasefire in Sudan began in Geneva this week, marking a critical step toward ending the 16-month-long conflict that has ravaged the nation. Co-organized by the United States and Switzerland, the talks focus on addressing the severe humanitarian crisis and establishing a cessation of hostilities. However, significant challenges persist, particularly concerning the uncertain participation of the key warring parties. Understanding the Conflict Sudan h ...
  • Japan's NSS in the Age of Cyber Warfare: a historical transformation
    Authors
    Redouan Najah
    July 12, 2024
    This opinion was originally published in japanupclose.web-japan.org   On December 16, 2022, the Japanese government approved three important defense documents. The first is the National Security Strategy, which defines the general lines of the country's defense policy for the next decade. The second is the National Defense Strategy, which sets defense objectives and defines the means to achieve them. The third is the Defense C ...
  • Facilitation et négociation en temps de guerre
    Majda Belkheiri & Saïd Abass Ahamed
    July 12, 2024
    La facilitation et la négociation en temps de guerre sont des outils cruciaux pour instaurer la paix et la stabilité dans les régions en conflit. Ces processus permettent aux parties bell ...
  • Lake Chad Basin Conflicts: Insights by Dr. Norman Sempijja
    June 24, 2024
    Dr. Norman Sempijja, an Associate Professor at Mohammed VI Polytechnic University, explores the conflicts in the Lake Chad Basin region, which includes Nigeria, Cameroon, Niger, and Chad. These countries experience some of Africa's most severe conflicts, significantly impacting the regi...
  • Africafé: Mediation dynamics in internal conflicts in Africa
    June 13, 2024
    In the complex landscape of African conflicts, the role of mediators remains pivotal, holding the promise of peace amidst turbulent times. Mediators, whether they come from regional organizations, international bodies, or local communities, act as crucial agents of change. They navigate...
  • Guerre à Gaza : Les gagnants d’un cessez-le-feu sans paix
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    June 3, 2024
    La dynamique qui anime aujourd’hui le conflit israélo-palestinien, notamment la guerre que mènent à Gaza les troupes du Tsahal et les combattants du Hamas, appuyés par le Jihad islamique et les autres factions armées palestiniennes, laisse espérer un accord entre les parties prenantes pour mettre fin à une guerre qui a généré des dizaines de milliers de morts et de blessés. Espoirs nourris par le dernier discours (31 mai) du président américain qui détaille, on ne peut plus clair, l ...
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    South Africa’s May 2024 Elections: Will the African National Congress continue to govern alone?
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    May 3, 2024
    The African National Congress (ANC), which has dominated the political scene in South Africa since 1994, began a downward trend in terms of votes won during the 2009 elections. However, this decline has never cast doubt on the ANC’s dominant position in the South African political landscape. Even at the lowest point in its popularity, during the “State Capture” scandal of 2019, a corruption scandal involving former President Jacob Zuma, the ANC won 57.5% of the vote, which largely a ...
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    Élections sud-africaines de mai 2024 : l’ANC continuera-t-il à gouverner seul ?
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    April 26, 2024
    L’African National Congres (ANC), qui domine la vie politique en Afrique du Sud depuis 1994, a entamé, lors des élections de 2009, une pente descendante, en termes de voix remportées lors des élections générales. Cependant, ce recul n’a jamais mis en doute la prédominance de l’ANC dans le panorama politique sud-africain. Au plus bas de sa popularité en 2019, en raison de l’affaire de « Capture de l’État », un scandale de corruption dans lequel a été impliqué l’ancien pre ...
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    From the Alliance of Sahel States to the Confederation of Sahel States: The Road is Clear, But Full of Traps
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    April 24, 2024
    The Alliance of Sahel States (AES), created on September 16, 2023, brings together Mali, Niger, and Burkina Faso under a mutual defense agreement. The signing of the charter relating to this alliance, which bears the name Liptako-Gourma, was followed by meetings and plans for initiatives that will push the new structure further towards statutes for the alliance, transforming it into a confederation. As an intermediate measure, the three states have already envisaged the creation of ...
  • Red Sea Risks: Security Challenges and the Global Trade Equation
    Authors
    Sara Hasnaa Mokaddem
    Helmut Sorge
    March 29, 2024
    Interview with Sara Mokaddem, Manager of the Monitoring and Strategic Analysis Unit at the Policy Center for the New South, conducted by our columnist Helmut Sorge.   Oil tankers, mega cruise ships, and giant container vessels that once moved through secure waterways—the lifelines of global trade—are now menaced by missile and drone attacks, carried out by Houthi forces in Yemen. Meanwhile, pirates are active off the shores of Somalia, and Singapore or Hong Kong flagged vesse ...
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    De l’Alliance des États du Sahel à la Confédération des États du Sahel : le chemin est carrossable, mais semé d’embûches
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    March 22, 2024
    L’Alliance des États du Sahel (AES), créée le 16 septembre 2023, rassemble dans un accord de défense mutuelle le Mali, le Niger et le Burkina Faso. La signature de la charte afférente à cette alliance qui porte le nom du Liptako-Gourma a été suivie de rencontre et de projets d’initiatives qui poussent plus loin la nouvelle structure vers des statuts de l’alliance pour la transformer en confédération. Comme mesure intermédiaire, les trois États ont d’ores et déjà envisa ...
  • Value Chains Under stress
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    March 15, 2024
    A Series of Disruptions The freighter, on its way from the United Arab Emirates to Bulgaria, loaded with 21000 metric tons of fertilizer, was hit by two Houthi missiles on February 18, 2024, at a point 93 miles east of Aden. The Houthi—not an army but rebels—are firing on ships in solidarity with the tortured people in Gaza, and their leaders, Hamas. Like Hamas, the Houthi are armed by Tehran. The European Union has started a mission to send frigates into the Red Sea, providing pr ...
  • Reimagining International Security: Multilateralism vs Multi-Stakeholderism
    Authors
    Nusrat Farooq
    March 6, 2024
    Nusrat Farooq is an international security and policy expert whose research is at the intersection of emerging technology, international relations, and trust and safety. She is a 2022 alumna of the Atlantic Dialogues Emerging Leaders program. Learn more about her here.   With the advent of social media more than a decade ago, and now with the emergence of generative artificial intelligence, international security has become increasingly complex in terms of ...
  • Terrorist Recruitment Dynamics : Strategies for Counteraction
    February 19, 2024
    In this interview with Dr. Aynabat Atayeva, Chief, International Hub on Behavioral Insights to Counter Terrorism, UNOCT, Qatar. We explore the dynamics of terrorist recruitment as we examine how terrorist organizations exploit a sense of belonging to lure vulnerable individuals. Moreove...
  • AI in Counterterrorism: Roles & Risks
    February 19, 2024
    In this interview with Dr. Josh Martin, UNOCT Expert in Violent Extremism, USA,we examine the factors leading individuals to adopt violent beliefs and terrorist affiliations, we also explore current initiatives for monitoring susceptible individuals as we analyze the role of AI in ...
  • The Conflict is Bleeding Across Borders
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    February 16, 2024
    The destruction of a vibrant and historic nation, sprinkled with color and culture, turned into a footnote of geopolitics. The more than 377,000 war victims disappeared from global headlines. The official fighting ended in Yemen on March 29, 2022. A ceasefire was declared by the Saudi Arabia-led coalition and the rebellious Houthis. China’s foreign minister, Wang Yi, praised “the wave of reconciliation” that swept across the region. The main foreign supporter of Yemen’s Houthi—Iran— ...
  • Deciphering Terrorist Recruitment: Strategies and Countermeasures
    February 14, 2024
    In this interview with Dr. Jeffrey Kaplan, Senior Researcher, Danube Institute, Hungary, we explore the understanding of counterterrorism, focusing on terrorist recruitment processes and effective countermeasures. We examine the mechanisms of recruitment, strategies in counterterrorism ...
  • حديث الثلاثاء: الوضع الحالي ومستقبل جهود منع التطرف العنيف
    February 13, 2024
    يفتقر التطرف العنيف إلى تعريف محدد، ولا يقتصر على منطقة أو جنسية أو نظام عقائدي معين، ولو أن بعض الجماعات الإرهابية قد شكلت، في السنوات الأخيرة، ملامح تصورنا للتطرف العنيف. فكيف تعرف الأدبيات الأكاديمية مفهوم "الإرهاب"؟ ما هي العناصر الأساسية التي...
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    الجبهة الداخلية الإسرائيلية في زمن الحرب: وحدةٌٌ معلنة وتصدُُّعاتٌٌ مكشوفةٌٌ
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    January 30, 2024
    الحرب بطبيعتها ليست عملية حسابية. فمن حيث الاستراتيجية العسكرية، لا تعتبر عملية الجمع دائما إضافة، ولا عملية الطرح تنقيصا. فعملية الضرب لا ُتضخِّم كما أن القسمة لا ُتقلل. وإذا كانت الوسائل هي بالتأكيد ميزة في الحرب، فإن نتيجة الصراعات (النصر أو الهزيمة) لا تعتمد فقط على هذه الوسائل، ذلك ان الحرب تكشف عن صمود المجتمع وليس عن قوة الجيش فقط. فالحرب ُتظهر ارتباط القوة العسكرية بصلابة الجبهة الداخلية المرتبطة بدورها إلى حد كبير بالتماسك الاجتماعي. و ليس لهذا الأخير وحدة قياس، ف ...
  • Enough is Enough
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    January 23, 2024
    On November 13, 1974 (YouTube, Nov 14), Yassir Arafat appeared in front of the United Nations General Assembly. He reminded his audience and the world that, “today I have come bearing an olive branch and a freedom fighter’s gun. Do not let the olive branch fall from my hand.” Almost half a century has passed since then, and Arafat as well, and there is still no olive branch for the Palestinians, only the gun. Before the current Israel-Gaza war, noted the respected Foreign Affairs ...
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    Le front intérieur d’Israël en temps de guerre : l’unité affichée et les fractures dévoilées
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    January 5, 2024
    La guerre n’est, par sa nature, pas arithmétique. En matière de stratégie militaire, ni l’addition est toujours un ajout ni la soustraction une diminution. La multiplication n’amplifie pas comme la division ne réduit pas. Les moyens sont certes un avantage dans la guerre, mais l’issue des conflits (victoire ou défaite) n’en dépendent pas exclusivement. La guerre révèle la résilience d’une société et pas seulement la puissance d’une armée. Mieux, elle montre la dépendance de la puiss ...
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    Le conflit israélo-palestinien : l’histoire d’une injustice
    Authors
    Fathallah Oualalou
    December 21, 2023
    Le « Déluge d’Al-Aqsa » -nom de code de l’attaque surprise menée en Israël par le Hamas et les Brigades Izz Al-Din Al-Qassam, le 7 octobre 2023 -, et la riposte israélienne dévastatrice pour les populations civiles et les infrastructures de l’enclave de Gaza qui en a été la conséquence, ont ramené au premier plan la cause du peuple palestinien. Cause qui continue d’habiter les esprits, les coeurs et les consciences. Plus que jamais, un « nouveau Moyen- Orient » ne pourra émerger et ...
  • Evolving Threats in Intelligence and Security
    December 20, 2023
    John Sawers, former Chief of the Secret Intelligence Service (MI6), shares his insights on how security threats have evolved with the rise of digital technologies and social media. In this interview, he offers a compelling exploration of the shift from traditional methods to contemporar...
  • Establishing a Palestinian State
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    December 13, 2023
    The title of the Policy Brief seems alarming. ‘Israel-Palestine The Last Chance for a Just Solution’, an assessment by Abdelhak Bassou, Senior Fellow of the Policy Center for the New South, affiliated professor at Mohammed VI University in Rabat, and one of the leading security experts of Morocco. His paper, published in November 2023, could not have more timely, dramatic, urgent, and constructive. Scenes of the apocalypse for an estimated twelve million people in a region, consider ...
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    The Rise of Global South: New Consensus Wanted
    Authors
    Edited by
    Karim El Aynaoui
    Paolo Magri
    Samir Saran
    December 13, 2023
    In a world confronted with unprecedented challenges and growing geopolitical rifts, is it time for a reformed and more balanced international order? What are the new propositions by the "Global South"? Are they necessarily at odds with the ones of the 'West"? Guided by these questions, 2023 marked a milestone for the “Global South” as the BRICS group invited 6 other countries to join the club, and India presided over of the G20 just after Indonesia and before Brazil. ...
  • Climate Change and Security in the Sahel
    Javier Cantero, Fatima Aliyu Magaji, Maiga Attaher
    December 05, 2023
    Delving into the nuances of this paradigm shift, the speakers shed light on how climate change is now perceived not only as an environmental challenge but also as a critical factor influe ...
  • Automatic Rifles Versus Ballot Boxes
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    November 28, 2023
    In the space of one day in late July 2023, the fate of Mohamed Bazoum, 63, changed completely; the comfort of his palace was replaced by a small dark room. The occupant was reduced from president of the 27 million-strong nation of Niger to criminal, facing charges of high treason and undermining the security of the nation (Reuters, August 14, 2023). His accusers were a military junta, led by the commander of the Presidential Guard, General Abdourahamane Tchiani, now self-imposed Pre ...
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    إسرائيل - فلسطين: الفرصة الأخيرة لحل عادل
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    November 24, 2023
    في 6 أكتوبر 1973 تلقت السلطات الإسرائيلية تحذيرات عن احتمال اندلاع حرب على حدودها مع الدول العربية. هذا التحذير أكد المعلومات التي تم استلامها قبل بضعة أيام، ولكن أصحاب القرار السياسي والاستخبارات في اسرائيل لم يأخذوا الأمر على محمل الجد. حيث تعرضت إسرائيل لهجوم مفاجئ وعرف جيشها حالة من الهلع. وكانت الكارثة. خمسون عاما بعد ذلك، تقريبًا في نفس اليوم، فوجئت إسرائيل بهجوم جديد. في صباح 7 أكتوبر 2023، عبر مئات الرجال مسلحين الحاجز بين إسرائيل وقطاع غزة، انتشروا في أكثر من 20 مكانًا، قت ...
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    Israel-Palestine: The Last Chance for a Just Solution
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    November 17, 2023
    On October 6, 1973, the Israeli authorities were warned of the imminent outbreak of war on their borders with the Arab states. This warning confirmed information received a few days previously, which Israeli political decision-makers and iintelligence services had not taken seriously. Israel was taken by surprise and its army panicked. It was a debacle. Fifty years later, almost to the day, Israel was once again taken by surprise. On the morning of October 7, 2023, hundreds of armed ...
  • حديث الثلاثاء : تطورات الصراع الفلسطيني الإسرائيلي: هل من فرصة لحل عادل؟
    November 14, 2023
    شنت حركة حماس في قطاع غزة، هجوما غير مسبوق على إسرائيل في 7 أكتوبر الماضي، حيث نفذ الجيش الإسرائيلي غارات جوية ومدفعية بعد الهجوم المفاجئ الذي أدى الى مقتل الاَف من المدنيين داخل القطاع   الصراع الفلسطيني الإسرائيلي مستمر منذ عقود، لكن ما هي القضايا التي تديم جذوته مشتعلة حتى...
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    Le conflit Israélo-palestinien : la dernière chance pour une solution juste
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    November 9, 2023
    Le 6 octobre 1973, les autorités israéliennes ont été averties de l’éclatement imminent d’une guerre à leurs frontières avec les États arabes. Cet avertissement confirmait les informations reçues quelques jours auparavant, mais que les décideurs politiques et le Renseignement israéliens n’avaient pas pris au sérieux. Israël est pris par surprise et son armée est en panique. C’est la débâcle. Cinquante ans plus tard, quasiment jour pour jour, l’État hébreux est enco ...
  • Africafé - Une conversation avec Son Excellence Catherine Samba-Panza
    November 2, 2023
    Réflexions sur le leadership, la paix et la sécurité en Afrique Dans cette interview exclusive, nous avons eu l'honneur de discuter avec Son Excellence Madame Catherine Samba-Panza, l'ancienne présidente de la République centrafricaine et une figure emblématique de la politique africai...
  • Dialogues Stratégiques Volume XIV: Le retour des conflits de haute intensité - La nouvelle donne sécuritaire au Sahel
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    Pascal Chaigneau
    Nihal Aïcha El Mquirmi
    Jacques Gravereau
    Sonia Le Gouriellec
    Mohammed Loulichki
    Jamal Machrouh
    Philippe Migaux
    Agnès Mikita
    Sara Hasnaa Mokaddem
    Alain Oudot de Dainville
    Olivier Tramond
    Sâ Benjamin Traoré
    October 26, 2023
    Les Dialogues Stratégiques, une collaboration entre HEC Center for Geopolitics et Policy Center fort he New South, représentent une plateforme d'analyse et d'échange biannuelle réunissant des experts, des praticiens, des décideurs politiques, ainsi que el monde universitaire et les médias au service d'une réflexion critique et approfondie sur les tendances politiques mondiales et sur une problématique d'intérêt régional, d'importance commune à al fois pour l'Europe et l'Afrique. Ce ...
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    En Afrique, des coups d’État, signes de l’épuisement prématuré de la démocratie importée
    Authors
    Pierre Jacquemot
    October 13, 2023
    La dernière série de coups d’État en Afrique subsaharienne cache-t-elle un spectaculaire retournement contre les processus politiques fondés sur le principe électoral qui avaient été engagés dans les années 1990 ? Pour sept pays concernés (Burkina Faso, Gabon, Guinée, Mali, Niger, Soudan, Tchad), la prise du pouvoir par les militaires signe la fin d’un cycle, celui de la tentative de démocratisation par l’élection, et l’entrée dans un nouveau cycle, à l’issue inconnue ...
  • Technologies and Borders
    Authors
    Alberto Tagliapietra
    October 5, 2023
    This brief was originally published in gmfus.org   The EU is increasing, at home and abroad, its use of state-of-the-art technologies in its border management. But guarantees of their consistently appropriate use are lacking. Migration increasingly involves digital tools. Internet, smartphones, and social media are of paramount importance for people on the move. Border management is also becoming more digitalized, with technological tools being used to accelerate legal ...
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    African Peace and Security Annual Conference (APSACO) - 7th edition: SUMMARY REPORT
    Authors
    General Rapporteur
    Rachid El Houdaigui
    October 2, 2023
    The Policy Center for the New South organized the 7th African Peace and Security Annual Conference (APSACO) on July 10-11, 2023, under the theme ‘Post-Conflict Reconstruction in Africa’. This annual conference provides a platform for the analysis of Africa’s peace and security structures and institutions, focusing on the continent’s assets, history, and its ability to overcome current and emerging challenges and gain global competitive advantage. The debate on post-conflict reconst ...
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    Conférence annuelle sur la paix et la sécurité en Afrique (APSACO) - 7ème édition : RAPPORT DE SYNTHÈSE
    Authors
    General Rapporteur
    Rachid El Houdaigui
    October 2, 2023
    La septième édition de la Conférence africaine sur la paix et la sécurité (APSACO) s’est déroulée sur deux journées enrichissantes, les 10 et 11 juillet 2023. La conférence, organisée par le Policy Center for the New South, a rassemblé une pléiade d’experts du monde entier, représentant divers secteurs d’activité, sur le thème “Reconstruction post-conflit en Afrique”. Elle s’articulait autour de 6 panels ainsi que d’une discussion autour du Rapport annuel sur la géop ...
  • Esquisses des nouvelles dimensions de défense au Maroc
    Authors
    Rachid El Houdaigui
    September 28, 2023
    Bientôt disponible en vente sur Livremoi.   En présentant ces textes, publiés dans les plateformes du Policy Center for the New South, pour partie, et dans divers supports, pour l’autre, on découvre à leur lecture des sujets absents des sciences sociales nationales. Le premier défi que doit surmonter le chercheur marocain qui s’intéresse aux affaires militaires et de sécurité (AMS) est la sous-conceptualisation du domaine en raison du désintérêt des universités et ...
  • AFRICAFE: Niger's Coup Unveiled: Security, Powers, and Perspectives
    September 21, 2023
    In this episode, we will unravel the complex factors behind the coup in Niger with Rida Lyammouri, Senior Fellow at the Policy Center for the New South, in which he dissects the political, social, and economic aspects that led to this crisis to provide a thorough understanding of the si...
  • Chapitre 4: La crise de Cabo Delgado au Mozambique : quelles solutions africaines ?
    Authors
    Nezha Alaoui M’hammdi
    September 8, 2023
    Le Mozambique fait face depuis 2017 à une insurrection menée dans la province de Cabo Delgado, au nord-est du pays, par un groupe militant islamiste dénommé Ahlu Sunna Wal Jamaa (ASWJ) – qui aurait fait allégeance à l’État islamique (EI) et qui est aussi connu sous le nom de Al Shabab, sans lien avec le groupe éponyme en Somalie. Les problèmes sociaux et économiques de cette région – qui concentre la plus grande partie des 18 % de musulmans que compte le pays, à majorité chrétienne ...
  • Rapport annuel sur la géopolitique de l’Afrique 2023
    Authors
    Sous la direction de
    Abdelhak Bassou
    Abdessalam Saad Jaldi
    Abu Bakarr Bah
    Alioune Ndiaye
    Amal El Ouassif
    Akram Zaoui
    Babacar Ndiaye
    Benjamin Traoré
    Bodo Andrianarisoa
    Dorcy Rugamba
    Gilles Yabi
    Hamza Mjahed
    Hamza Mjahed
    Hind Zaamoun
    Jamal Machrouh
    Mathieu Bere
    Mahamadou Simpara
    Mehdi Benomar
    Mohammed Loulichki
    Mohamed Ahmed Gain
    Nezha Alaoui M’hammdi
    Nihal El Mquirmi
    Norman Sempijja
    Oumnia Boutaleb
    Oussama Tayebi
    Patrice Kouraogo
    Rachid El Houdaigui
    Rania Barrak
    Redouan Najah
    Rida Lyammouri
    Sara Hasnaa Mokaddem
    Silindile Mlilo
    Hala Boumaiz
    Soazic Elise Wang Sonne
    Tarek Cherkaoui
    Youssef Tobi
    Youssef Errami
    Yousra Hamdaoui
    September 8, 2023
    Cette 6ème édition du rapport géopolitique de l’Afrique s’inscrit dans la même ligne éditoriale que ses précédentes. Elle se veut une plateforme où des auteurs et analystes africains racontent l’Afrique géopolitique de 2022 en débordant parfois sur les événements saillants du début de 2023. Ce moment, d’environ une année et demie, ne peut échapper à la guerre en Ukraine comme toile de fond du monde. Même lorsque les auteurs ne s’y réfèrent pas explicitement, cett ...
  • حديث الثلاثاء : الانقلاب في النيجر: أبرز التطورات، آفاق الحل والسيناريوهات المحتملة
    September 5, 2023
    يخصص مركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد حلقة برنامجه الأسبوعي "حديث الثلاثاء" لمناقشة موضوع الانقلاب في النيجر: أبرز التطورات، آفاق الحل والسيناريوهات المحتملة مع الأستاذ عبد الحق باسوا، باحث بارز بمركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد. في صبيحة يوم 26 يوليوز أعلنت رئاسة النيجر بداية الانق...
  • Unveiling Power Dynamics: The West and the Global South
    by Hala Boumaiz & Len Ishmael
    September 01, 2023
    In this podcast, we are joined by Dr. Len Ishmael, editor and co-author of the book “Aftermath of War in Europe: The West VS. the Global South?”. Dr. Ishmael delves into the groundbreakin ...
  • Crossing the Nuclear Rubicon
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    August 31, 2023
    Kim Ju-ae, supposed daughter of North Korean dictator Kim Jong-un, was introduced by her father for the first time to the world and 26.1 million citizens of the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK) on November 19, 2022. Her first public appearance was unusual: at the launch of an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) costing up to $10 million (Los Angeles Times, November 4, 2022). Unlike a DPRK spy satellite launched on May 30, 2023, which broke up in midair before reach ...
  • Coup d’État au Gabon : Le septième de ‘’la nouvelle vague’’
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    August 31, 2023
    Un peu plus d’un mois après le coup d’État qui a renversé le président nigérien, Ali Bongo Odimba (ABO) est, dans la matinée du 30 août, renversé par un groupe de militaires avant même qu’il n’ait eu le temps de fêter sa troisième élection à la tête de l’État gabonais.   1-Encore un coup d’État  Les premières annonces du coup d’État au Gabon rappellent la tentative avortée, en janvier 2019, lorsque l’adjoint du patron de la Garde républicaine, Ondo Obiang Kelly, prend l ...
  • Twenty-Four Hours of Turmoil: The Wagner Uprising and Its Far-Reaching Impact on Russia and Beyond
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    August 4, 2023
    Twenty-Four Hours June 23-24, 2023. Over those days, Russia, the sanctioned world power, was not destabilized by the nuclear enemy in Washington, but by one man, who made his wealth serving food to school children and soldiers. A caterer who attempted a revolution. A bald man, who apparently wore wigs during his days off, as the Russian secret police claimed to have discovered when they searched his home in St Petersburg. The photos of the wig-wearing Yevgeny Prigozhin were shown o ...
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    Le post-conflit vu par l’African Peace and Security Annual Conference (APSACO)
    Authors
    Rachid El Houdaigui
    July 30, 2023
    La réflexion sur le post-conflit a été stimulée ces dernières années par les efforts africains visant à offrir au continent un cadre politique propre à la période post-conflit ou post-crise (transition politique) dans la continuité de l'Architecture de paix et de sécurité de l'Union africaine (APSA) et dans le sillage de l'Architecture de gouvernance africaine (AGA). Ce souci pour une paix durable sur le continent est à l’origine de l’adoption à Banjul (Gambie) en 2006 ...
  • Security in Libya : Is there Peace on the Horizon ?
    Helmut Sorge & Badreddine El Harti
    July 28, 2023
    Libya, a nation abundant in valuable resources such as human capital, minerals, and oil, has also been characterized by cultural homogeneity and harmonious coexistence. Throughout its his ...
  • Charting Peace and Security in the Sahel
    Hamza M’jahed & Maggie Janes-Lucas
    July 21, 2023
    This podcast aims to assess the recent security developments in the Sahel and adopt a proactive approach towards the practical measures required to revitalize peace efforts in the region. ...
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    Artificial Intelligence Revolution in Africa: Economic Opportunities and Legal Challenges
    Authors
    Abdessalam Saad Jaldi
    July 20, 2023
    Artificial intelligence (AI) is playing an increasingly important role in our daily lives. Having experienced considerable growth in recent years, artificial intelligence corresponds to technologies capable of processing hybrid sources, particularly unstructured data. Complex tasks are thus delegated to increasingly autonomous technological processes, capable of driving economic and social development. In current African society, AI is becoming more popular and seeking to cover all ...
  • حديث الثلاثاء : حلقة خاصة - كيف يمكن تحقيق استدامة تقوية الدول في سياقات ما بعد النزاع؟
    July 18, 2023
    في ضوء المؤتمر السنوي للسلم والأمن بإفريقيا حول إعادة الإعمار بعد الصراع في أفريقيا عرفت السنوات الأخيرة اضطرابات جيوسياسية واقتصادية على المستوى العالمي. ومع تزايد زخم الأحداث، دخل العالم فترة تحول جيوسياسي واقتصادي تعلن نهاية دورة تاريخية وتُنبِّؤ بآفاق غير مؤكدة لدورة جديدة. وعليه، ...
  • حديث الثلاثاء : ما مستقبل نفوذ "فاغنر" في أفريقيا؟
    July 4, 2023
      تعد مجموعة فاغنر شركة عسكرية روسية خاصة تنشط في عدد من الدول الأفريقية منذ عام 2017، بما في ذلك جمهورية إفريقيا الوسطى وليبيا ومالي، والسودان، وموزمبيق، ومدغشقر. وقد وُجِّهَت اتهامات للمجموعة بارتكاب العديد من انتهاكات حقوق الإنسان في جمهورية إفريقيا الوسطى، مثل القتل والتعذيب و...
  • The Weaponization of Food: Ukraine's Struggle for Survival and its Global Consequences
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    June 15, 2023
    If you search on “Google” for a pizzeria in Kyiv, you have many choices, such as “Mimosa Brooklyn Pizza”, “Mamamia”, or “Vesuveo”.  If bombs or supersonic missiles do not scare you, more formal dining pleasures exist. “Feel like a star”, reads one of the ads for the “Matisse”, located on the 15th floor of the “Cityhotel” in the historic part of town - an eatery 52 meters up could be a tempting target for Russian missile attacks. Wladimir Klitschko, a former world heavyweight bo ...
  • Digest: Navigating the Changing Security Landscape in the Sahel
    Authors
    Imane Lahrich
    June 12, 2023
    The security landscape in the Sahel region has undergone significant changes in recent years. From the emergence of Russia as an actor in the region to the persistent issue of trafficking, and the challenges of political transitions in countries including Chad and Sudan, the Sahel faces complex and interconnected security challenges. This insight summarizes our biannual Strategic Dialogues, focusing on the new security landscape in the Sahel, its regional developments, and its impli ...
  • War in Ukraine: Unleashing Innovation and Unseen Frontiers
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    June 8, 2023
    A tragedy of historic proportions The war is gruesome and may not end for months or years. Not ending with the white flag of surrender, but total depletion and exhaustion, men and missiles, tanks, and terror. The battlefield is hell, as it is in all wars. A nightmare and human folly. “We are learning in Ukraine how to fight”, admitted the former President of Lithuania, Dalia Grybauskalte, “and we are learning how to use our NATO equipment. It is a teaching battle”. Yes, this politi ...
  • تجربة إعادة الإعمار بعد الصراع في رواندا: بين الدروس المستخلصة وسبل الوقاية
    Authors
    Imane Lahrich
    April 18, 2023
    مرت تسعة وعشرون عاما منذ أن انطلقت رواندا في مسار تحقيق المصالحة الوطنية بعد أحداث الإبادة الجماعية التي ارتكبتها حكومة الهوتو الخاضعة لسيطرة المتطرفين، والتي استهدفت أقلية التوتسي خلال مئة يوم إلى حين دخول الجبهة الوطنية الرواندية البلاد. حيث اعتمدت على الآليات المحلية التي جمعت بين المقاربات الشمولية والمحلية القائمة على الثقافة، كما شملت استجابات قضائية وغير قضائية تفاعلية ووقائية، علاوة على إطلاق مجموعة من الإصلاحات الدستورية، المؤسساتية والقطاعية. غير أن هذا المسار، لم يخل من ...
  • Les dessous de la présence militaire russe en Afrique
    Abdelhak Bassou & Imane Lahrich
    March 24, 2023
    Dans ce nouvel épisode, Imane Lahrich accueille Abdelhak Bassou pour discuter des dessous de la présence militaire russe en Afrique. D’un côté, la Russie ambitionne de contrer les ambitio ...
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    Les relations militaires entre la Russie et l’Afrique, avant et après la guerre en Ukraine
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    March 6, 2023
    En partenariat avec le Policy Center for the New South (PCNS), Africa Center est fier de présenter un rapport conjoint sur l’influence de la Russie en Afrique, une perspective sécuritaire, à l’occasion du premier anniversaire de la guerre en Ukraine. L’Afrique est apparue comme un acteur majeur de ce conflit lorsque le 3 mars 2022 , dix-sept Etats africains se sont abstenus lors du vote de la résolution de l’Assemblée générale des Nations Unies condamnant l’invasion russe en Ukrain ...
  • The position of Spain and Europe Towards the War in Ukraine
    March 4, 2023
    In this video recorded during the Atlantic Dialogues, our Columnist Mr. Helmut Sorge interviews Ms. Ana Palacio, Spain's Former Minister of Foreign Affairs on the position of Spain and Europe towardsthe War in Ukraine, the interview also tackles different questi...
  • The reaction of the NATO amidst the War in Europe
    March 1, 2023
    In this video recorded during the Atlantic Dialogues, our Columnist Mr. Helmut Sorge interviews Mr. Alessandro Minuto-Rizzo, President of the NATO Defense College Foundation in Rome on the NATO’s reactions amidst the War in Ukraine, Mr Minuto answers questions on how countries of the Na...
  • Le Monde en période de crises multiples
    February 25, 2023
    Dans cette interview tournée au cours des Atlantic Dialogues, Monsieur Helmut Sorge interroge le Ministre Hubert Védrine sur ses impressions sur un monde aussi troublé qu’aujourd’hui suite à la guerre Russo-Ukrainienne. Monsieur Védrine nous fait part de son analyse ainsi que son étude ...
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    Military Relations Between Russia and Africa, Before and After The War in Ukraine
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    February 24, 2023
    In a recent telephone conversation, Russian President Vladimir Putin officially invited Assimi Goïta, the military chief of the transition in Mali, to take part in the second Russia-Africa summit to be held in Saint Petersburg. This summit is scheduled for July 2023, according to Mikhail Bogdanov, the special representative of the president of Russia to the Middle East and Africa and deputy foreign minister. Russia is openly optimistic that several African leaders will attend the pl ...
  • Fighting violent extremism and terrorism on digital platforms
    February 23, 2023
    In this video recorded during the Atlantic Dialogues, our Columnist Mr. Helmut Sorge interviews Ms. Nusrat Farooq, Technology and Programs Associate, Global Internet Forum to Counterterrorism, Ms. Farooq tells us about how The Global Internet Forum is fighting violent extremism and terr...
  • حديث الثلاثاء: التطرف العنيف: المقاربات والاسباب وآليات المكافحة
    Akram Zaoui & El Mostafa Rezrazi
    February 21, 2023
    طبقا لقرار من المجلس العام لمنظمة الأمم المتحدة يخصص يوم 12 فبراير للاحتفال بمكافحة التطرف العنيف. وبعد ان تصدر الموضوع قائمة جدول أعمال القوى العظمى بعد اعلان تنظيم الدولة بقيام خلافة اس ...
  • Our client in Vienna
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    February 20, 2023
    As FBI agent  Charles McGonigal, 54, was used in handcuffs, these metal symbols of repression and the end of freedom. When the former  Special agent in charge( SAC) of the Counter-intelligence Division of the FBIs field office in New York returned from a trip to the Middle East, he suddenly felt the cold iron around his wrists; some of the FBI agents arresting him he certainly knew well-from 1996 until his retirement in 2018 McGonigal specialized in Counterintelligence, or ...
  • حديث الثلاثاء: التطرف العنيف: المقاربات والاسباب وآليات المكافحة
    February 15, 2023
    طبقا لقرار من المجلس العام لمنظمة الأمم المتحدة يخصص يوم 12 فبراير للاحتفال بمكافحة التطرف العنيف. وبعد ان تصدر الموضوع قائمة جدول أعمال القوى العظمى بعد اعلان تنظيم الدولة بقيام خلافة اسلامية سنة 2014 وحتى انهياره وانهزامه في الاراضي التي كان قد سيطر عليها على خلفية الهجوم الذي شنه على...
  • حديث الثلاثاء : قراءة في تحولات موازين القوى في منطقة الساحل
    Akram Zaoui & Imane Lahrich
    February 13, 2023
    ترتبط التحديات الأمنية بالمنطقة المغاربية ارتباطا قويا بحالة عدم الاستقرار السائدة في منطقة الساحل، حيث تواجه هاتين المنطقتين أزمات أمنية كبرى تُؤثر فيموازين القوة بشكل أصبح يؤثر مباشرة ع ...
  • The future of European Security
    Hamza M’jahed & Jonathan Eyal
    February 10, 2023
    The war in Ukraine has been a major destabilizing factor for European security, and its future is now uncertain and complex. Initially, experts thought that the war would provide a geopol ...
  • حديث الثلاثاء: قراءة في تحولات موازين القوى في منطقة الساحل
    February 7, 2023
    ترتبط التحديات الأمنية بالمنطقة المغاربية ارتباطا قويا بحالة عدم الاستقرار السائدة في منطقة الساحل، حيث تواجه هاتين المنطقتين أزمات أمنية كبرى تُؤثر فيموازين القوة بشكل أصبح يؤثر مباشرة على الأجندة السياسية في منطقة الساحل التي تشهد ديناميات جديدة، تتعدي إلى دول شمال إفريقيا و...
  • Les relations UE-Afrique à l’aune de la guerre d’Ukraine
    Abdessalam Saad Jaldi & Thomas Gomart
    February 03, 2023
    Les dirigeants de l’Union européenne et de l’Union africaine ont posé lors du 6ème sommet UE-Afrique qui avait eu lieu à Bruxelles en février 2022 les jalons d’une relation renouvelée, ba ...
  • A Group of Patriots Was Born
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    January 30, 2023
    In early January 2023, a man was detained near the Russian-Norwegian border at 1.58 a.m. local time. The night was frost-bite cold and the man, a Russian citizen, had run across the frozen Pasvik River, at a place where it was a few hundred meters wide. He’d jumped some barbed-wired fences, which demarcated the border. The Russian avoided official checkpoints because he was a fugitive, and dogs were following him through the polar night, barking, menacing. Their masters aimed at the ...
  • Aftermath of War in Europe: The West VS. the Global South?
    Authors
    Abdelaaziz Ait Ali
    Christian Bachheimer
    Rim Berahab
    Otaviano Canuto
    Serhat S. Çubukçuoğlu
    Marcus Vinicius de Freitas
    Amine Ghoulidi
    Len Ishmael
    Rida Lyammouri
    Badr Mandri
    Rahul Sharma
    Isabelle Tsakok
    Kevin Verbelen
    January 17, 2023
    This publication provides an insight into the lens through which countries of the Global South view the current period of successive crises, brought about by an ongoing global pandemic and a war in Europe. It highlights how the combined weight of history, culture, and geography has shaped the Global South’s interests and is influencing its foreign policy stance during one of the most dangerous periods of Great-Power competition in recent times—one that could see the fracturing of th ...
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    Les ambitions iraniennes en Afrique: Une présence idéologique, sécuritaire et économique
    Authors
    Clément Therme
    December 23, 2022
    La présence iranienne en Afrique est une question à la fois idéologique, économique et sécuritaire. La politique africaine de l’Iran a connu un nouvel élan avec la Révolution de 1979. Dans le cas de la politique africaine, on peut qualifier ce tiers-mondisme militant d’arrogant. Eneffet, dans l’imaginaire des élites politiques révolutionnaires khomeynistes, les relations avec les pays du Sud global sont à comprendre non seulement dans le cadre d’un anti-impérialisme de fa ...
  • The reaction of the NATO amidst the War in Europe.
    December 16, 2022
    In this video recorded during the Atlantic Dialogues, our Columnist Mr. Helmut Sorge interviews Mr. Alessandro Minuto-Rizzo, President of the NATO Defense College Foundation in Rome on the NATO’s reactions amidst the War in Ukraine, Mr Minuto answers questions on how countries of the Na...
  • Fighting Violent Extremism and Terrorism on Digital Platforms
    December 16, 2022
    In this video recorded during the Atlantic Dialogues, our Columnist Mr. Helmut Sorge interviews Ms. Nusrat Farooq, Technology and Programs Associate, Global Internet Forum to Counterterrorism, Ms. Farooq tells us about how The Global Internet Forum is fighting violent extremism and terr...
  • The position of Spain and Europe towards the War in Ukraine
    December 16, 2022
    In this video recorded during the Atlantic Dialogues, our Columnist Mr. Helmut Sorge interviews Ms. Ana Palacio, Spain's Former Minister of Foreign Affairs on the position of Spain and Europe towards the War in Ukraine, the interview also tackles different questions regarding Energy, se...
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    Political Deadlock in Sudan and Tunisia
    Authors
    Hisham Aidi
    December 9, 2022
    The global wave of democratic retrenchment has not spared North Africa as seen in the cases of Tunisia and Sudan, where democratic transitions have stalled or regressed into autocracy. How do to explain Tunisia and Sudan’s troubled transitions from authoritarian rule? Both states are attempting to transition from single-party authoritarianism. In both cases, economic crises exacerbated by COVID, the Russian-Ukraine war, and involvement by external actors stymied the fragile transiti ...
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    African Democracy in Crisis
    Authors
    Hisham Aidi
    November 17, 2022
    Africa is acutely affected by the ongoing global democratic recession. In 2020, a military coup took place in Mali. In 2021, four African countries – Chad, Mali, Guinea, and Sudan - experienced military takeovers. Thus far, in 2022, two coups have occurred in Burkina Faso and an attempted one in Guinea Bissau. Yet polling data and activism on the ground shows African youth believe in and are prepared to fight for democracy. ...
  • Input–output analysis of the Ukraine war: A tool for assessing the internal territorial impacts of the conflict
    Authors
    Eduardo Amaral Haddad
    Inácio F. Araújo
    Ademir Rocha
    Karina Simone Sass
    November 16, 2022
    This publication was originally published in rsaiconnect.onlinelibrary.wiley.com   The Russian invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022, scaled up the ongoing conflict in Donbas beyond its regional borders, hindering and halting different aspects of economic life. Considering the internal geography of Ukraine's economic structure, the damage to physical infrastructure and supply chain disruption are likely to propagate to other parts of the country through an intricate p ...
  • Rapport annuel sur la géopolitique de l’Afrique 2022
    Authors
    Sous la direction de
    Abdelhak Bassou
    Ahmed Rhazaoui
    Alioune Ndiaye
    Amal El Ouassif
    Benjamin Traoré
    Chidiogo Akunyili
    Eric Ntumba
    Hamza Mjahed
    Jamal Machrouh
    Khalid Chegraoui
    Larabi Jaïdi
    Lassina Diarra
    Mehdi Benomar
    Mohammed Loulichki
    Nchimunya Hamukoma
    Nihal El Mquirmi
    Noamane Cherkaoui
    Nouzha Chekrouni
    Oumnia Boutaleb
    Oussama Tayebi
    Patrice Kouraogo
    Rachid El Houdaigui
    Redouan Najah
    Rida Lyammouri
    Salma Daoudi
    Sara Hasnaa Mokaddem
    Souha Majidi
    Youssef Tobi
    Abdessalam Saad Jaldi
    November 1, 2022
    Dans cette nouvelle édition du Rapport annuel sur la géopolitique de l’Afrique, et à l’instar des éditions précédentes, le maître-mot est la richesse dans la diversité. Une diversité dans les visions et les opinions que des auteurs africains, habitués de cette tribune où qui la découvrent, alimentent en exprimant leurs réflexions sur des questions clés qui intéressent leur continent : l’Afrique. Du cadre social, à celui militaire en passant par les contextes historiques, anthropolo ...
  • Femmes, paix et sécurité: la résolution 1325
    Nihal El Mquirmi et Farida Jaidi
    October 28, 2022
    Adoptée en 2000 par le Conseil de sécurité des Nations Unies, la Résolution 1325 reconnaissait pour la première fois l’impact différencié des conflits sur les femmes et les fill ...
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    African Security in Times of Uncertainties 6th Edition - SUMMARY REPORT
    Authors
    Rachid El Houdaigui
    October 21, 2022
    The sixth African Peace and Security Annual Conference (APSACO) was held on July 20-21, 2022, under the theme 'African Security in Times of Uncertainties'. The two-day event was composed of five panels and one report discussion.  • Panel 1: The Impact of the Russia-Ukraine War on Africa • Panel 2: Conflict Resolution and w in Africa • Panel 3: The Worsening of the Food-Security Challenge in Africa • Panel 4: Security Implications of Climate Change in Afr ...
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    L’intelligence artificielle au Maroc : entre encadrement réglementaire et stratégie économique
    Authors
    Abdessalam Saad Jaldi
    October 19, 2022
    La place de l'intelligence artificielle (IA) dans notre vie quotidienne est de plus en plus importante. Ayant connu un essor considérable durant les dernières années, l’intelligence artificielle correspond aux technologies capables de traiter des sources hybrides et notamment des données non structurées. Ainsi, des tâches complexes sont déléguées à des procédés technologiques de plus en plus autonomes, en mesure d’impulser le développement économique et social du Maroc ...
  • The entire international rules-based order is under attack
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    October 12, 2022
    A merchant ship passed Turkey’s Bosphorus  Strait on its way from Syria to Russia late last month, observed “Bloomberg”( August 9, 2022), transporting military equipment, including trucks, documented by satellite imagery. The “Sparta II”, a cargo ship leased by Oboronlogistika to the Russian military, was on its way from Tartus to the Black Sea harbor Novorosslysk. No tanks were sighted, or Russian fighter jets, just these trucks, but   the moderate value of the car ...
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    The New Security Dynamics of the Atlantic Basin and the Way Forward for a Pan-Atlantic Approach
    Authors
    Youssef Tobi
    October 6, 2022
    “Within the realm of military conflicts, the Atlantic Basin can be considered a relatively peaceful area, especially in the northern part. However, the region has faced unprecedented challenges in terms of policy planning and strategizing with the emergence of the global pandemic, the stagnating economic growth, and the population’s growing discontent toward public institutions. The conjunction of sanitary, economic, and political crisis has questioned the historical stability of we ...
  • حديث الثلاثاء: مخطط العمل الوطني حول النساء والسلم والأمن : تحديات التفعيل، التعبئة والاستدامة
    October 4, 2022
    سبق وأطلق المغرب مخطط العمل الوطني حول النساء والسلم والأمن بهدف النهوض بالمساواة بين الجنسين، وإشراك المرأة في صنع القرار تطبيقا لقرار مجلس الأمن التابع للأمم المتحدة رقم 1325 الذي جرى اعتماده بالإجماع من قبل مجلس الأمن الدولي في 31 أكتوبر 2000، والذي يحث الأمم المتحدة وجميع الدول الأع...
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    La quête de puissance tous azimuts de la Russie : "Étranger proche", Moyen-Orient et Afrique
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    September 30, 2022
    Lorsque l’URSS (Union des Républiques socialistes soviétiques) est démantelée ; il s’installe en Occident un sentiment de victoire définitive qui porte au trône du monde la puissance occidentale, démocratique et libérale. La mondialisation, qui avait timidement pointé du nez durant les années 80, commence à s’ériger en occidentalisation du monde. L’Occident n’avait pourtant pas su gérer sa victoire. Au lieu d’intégrer le continuateur de l’URSS, il le marginalise et l’ ...
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    The Territorialization of Cyberspace and GAFAM Geopolitics: Driving Forces and New Risks in the Wake of the Ukrainian Crisis
    Authors
    Mohamed Benabid
    September 26, 2022
    Information is among our planet's most coveted resources, calling upon us to examine how it is incorporated as an object of power and domination into national and international political processes. Tensions around this resource arise not only in territories directly controlled by States, but also in contested territories, including the intangible acceptance of these, as occurs in cyberspace. The Russia-Ukraine war epitomizes this. Having "disconnected" Russia and conversely maintain ...
  • حديث الثلاثاء: تقديم التقرير السنوي للجيوسياسة الإفريقية
    September 20, 2022
      أصدر مركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد النسخة الخامسة للتقرير السنوي للجيوسياسة الإفريقية بنقاط قوتها ومعيقاتها، بمميزاتها وعيوبها، ما يجب تصحيحه وإعادة تنظيمه، وما يجب صيانته وتقويته وتوطيده. تدور الأسئلة التي تم تناولها من خلال التقرير حول جهات القارة الافريقية بين الأمن و ال...
  • Africafé: Violence à consonance religieuse en Afrique de l'ouest
    September 1, 2022
    Dans cet épisode Lassina Diarra et Abdelhak Bassou échangent sur le caractère religieux des violences en Afrique de l'ouest. Ils y discutent des implications politiques et des fondements de ces violences ainsi que des causes de leurs résurgence. ...
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    Territorialisation du cyberespace et géopolitique des GAFAM : facteurs d'influence et nouveaux risques à la faveur de la crise ukrainienne
    Authors
    Mohamed Benabid
    August 22, 2022
    L’information constitue l’une des ressources les plus convoitées sur la planète, et invite à examiner la manière dont elle s’intègre en tant qu’objet de pouvoir et de domination dans les processus politiques, nationaux et internationaux. Les tensions autour de cette ressource s’expriment non seulement à travers les territoires directement contrôlés par les États mais aussi ceux disputés ou de compétition, y compris dans leur acceptation intangible comme pour le cyberespace. La guerr ...
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    Input-Output Analysis of the Ukraine War: A Tool for Assessing the Internal Territorial Impacts of the Conflict
    Authors
    Eduardo Amaral Haddad
    Inácio F. Araújo
    Ademir Rocha
    Karina Sass
    August 12, 2022
    The Russian invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022, scaled up the ongoing conflict in Donbas beyond its regional borders, hindering and halting different aspects of economic life. Considering the internal geography of Ukraine’s economic structure, the damages to physical infrastructure and supply chain disruptions are likely to propagate to other parts of the country through an intricate plot of production and income linkages. From a disaggregated analysis of multiregional and mul ...
  • Center of giant geopolitical rivalry
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    August 11, 2022
    On these islands, writers and poets, and painters discovered unspoiled paradise, including promiscuous adolescent girls, which Paul Gauguin captured on canvass, his work admired by global art collectors until the French icon was accused of pedophilia- a century late, the beauties on the tableau seem to the self-appointed, global morality brigades to be children, or, who knows, young ladies suffering anorexia. The islands of the South Pacific, or Pacific in general, seemingly lost in ...
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    Le rôle de la Cedeao dans la gestion des crises politiques et sécuritaires internes de ses États membres
    Authors
    Oumnia Boutaleb
    August 11, 2022
    Le rôle de la Cedeao (Communauté économique des États de l’Afrique de l’Ouest) dans la gestion des conflits ayant eu lieu à la fin du 20ème siècle et au début du 21ème siècle revêt une importance capitale. Dès sa création, l’organisation régionale représentait le symbole de l’avancement démocratique dans ses pays membres mais elle doit aujourd’hui faire face à un recul en termes de gouvernance démocratique et d’influence. Elle s’est imposée comme étant la plus av ...
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    Militarized Border Security Will Not Stop the Spread of Extremism
    Authors
    Laura Sanders
    Rida Lyammouri
    Jordan Moss
    August 9, 2022
    Communities in northern Côte d’Ivoire report an ongoing pattern of questioning, ethnically- motivated arrests, and abuse, in contrast to the good relationships with local forces and police they had until two years ago*. In one case, the national army arrested a number of men, beat them, and held them for up to two months**. In response to extremist attacks, Côte d’Ivoire has increased the military presence in the north, creating a special forces’ base and sending more military per ...
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    La guerre en Ukraine : premiers enseignements à tirer pour la sécurité alimentaire de l'Afrique
    Authors
    Henri-Louis Vedie
    August 5, 2022
    Le conflit russo-ukrainien fragilise la sécurité alimentaire d'un grand nombre de pays africains, la Russie et l'Ukraine étant deux acteurs majeurs du marché agricole mondial, particulièrement celui du blé. C'est pourquoi, l'approvisionnement en blé du continent est au premier rang concerné par ce conflit qui perdure, dont le premier enseignement concerne le risque de non approvisionnement, en blé russe et ukrainien, des pays qui en sont le plus dépendants. Cette étude montre qu'il ...
  • Irreversible geopolitical consequences
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    August 3, 2022
    The timing was perfect for analyzing the “African Security in times of uncertainties”. The Rabat-based “Policy Center For The New South” programmed its  6th “African Peace d Security Annual Conference” (APSACO) on July 20/21 to focus on the historic challenge of our time-the world,  Africa in particular, struggling to find stability while war s waged in Central Europe, and 25 million tons of wheat and fertilizers needed to feed the starving population, millions on the Afri ...
  • L'Afrique face aux incertitudes
    Helmut Sorge, Rama Yade
    July 22, 2022
    L'ancienne secrétaire d'État chargée des Affaires étrangères et des Droits de l'homme, Rama Yade, met le point sur la position de l’Europe face aux difficultés de l’Afrique en temps d’inc ...
  • The greatest geopolitical catastrophe of the 20th century
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    July 22, 2022
    “February 24, 2022,” noted Robert Pszczel in « Nato Review”(July 7, 2022),”is likely to engrave itself on the history template of the contemporary world.”Pszczel, a Senior fellow  at the Polanski Foundation, Warsaw, and former Polish diplomat serving as director  of the NATO information office  in Moscow for half a decade, judged Russia’s unprovoked, unjustified invasion of Ukraine is  not only a “manifestation of a huge  security danger that has shatte ...
  • APSACO 6th edition : African Security in times of uncertainties - DAY2
    July 21, 2022
    2021 was a year of global geopolitical disruption and geo-economic upheaval. As events gather momentum, the world enters a period of geopolitical and geo-economic transition; the end of one historical cycle foreshadowing the uncertain prospects of a new one. We are henceforth, in presen...
  • المؤتمر السنوي للسلم والأمن بإفريقيا : الامن الافريقي في زمن الارتيابات ـ اليوم الثاني - APSACO
    July 21, 2022
    كانت سنة 2021 سنة اضطراب جيو-سياسي وانقلاب جيو-اقتصادي عالميين. ومع تزايد زخم الأحداث، دخل العالم فترة تحول جيو-سياسي وجيو-اقتصادي تعلن نهاية دورة تاريخية وتُنبِّؤ بآفاق غير مؤكدة لدورة جديدة. وعليه، فإننا من الآن فصاعداً أمام تغير عالمي حقيقي ينطوي على نقاط ضغط متعددة وقوىً دافعة جيو-س...
  • APSACO 6th edition : African Security in times of uncertainties - DAY1
    July 20, 2022
    2021 was a year of global geopolitical disruption and geo-economic upheaval. As events gather momentum, the world enters a period of geopolitical and geo-economic transition; the end of one historical cycle foreshadowing the uncertain prospects of a new one. We are henceforth, in presen...
  • المؤتمر السنوي للسلم والأمن بإفريقيا : الامن الافريقي في زمن الارتيابات ـ اليوم الأول - APSACO
    July 20, 2022
    كانت سنة 2021 سنة اضطراب جيو-سياسي وانقلاب جيو-اقتصادي عالميين. ومع تزايد زخم الأحداث، دخل العالم فترة تحول جيو-سياسي وجيو-اقتصادي تعلن نهاية دورة تاريخية وتُنبِّؤ بآفاق غير مؤكدة لدورة جديدة. وعليه، فإننا من الآن فصاعداً أمام تغير عالمي حقيقي ينطوي على نقاط ضغط متعددة وقوىً دافعة جيو-س...
  • APSACO حديث الثلاثاء : السلام و الأمن في إفريقيا ـ
    July 19, 2022
    يخصص مركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد حلقة برنامجه الأسبوعي "حديث الثلاثاء" لمناقشة أهم التحديات التي تواجهها القارة الإفريقية مع عبد الحق باسو ، باحث بارز بمركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد. خلال هذه الحلقة ، يستعرض عبد الحق باسو التحديات الأمنية الرئيسية التي تواجه البلدا...
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    Les missions militaires de l’Union européenne en Afrique : entre pragmatisme et réinvention
    Authors
    Abdessalam Saad Jaldi
    Hamza Mjahed
    July 19, 2022
    Les missions militaires de l’Union européenne (UE) en Afrique revêtent aujourd’hui, à l’heure de la réinvention du partenariat euro-africain, une importance considérable. Alors que Bruxelles entend plus que jamais s’imposer comme l’un des garants de la sécurité au niveau mondial, tout en se mesurant aux nouveaux rapports de force mondiaux, elle tient parallèlement à devenir un acteur incontournable en matière de paix, de surcroît motivé par la prolifération des risques ...
  • The Threat of a Nuclear War
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    July 12, 2022
    October 22, 1962. One of those days in history to be forever part of destiny- warships of the Soviet Union confronting the US Navy off Cuba, an ally of Moscow, which convinced Fidel Castro to participate in a secret conspiracy: the stationing of strategic nuclear missiles on the island, located just 90 miles off the continental United States. Once discovered, US President John F. Kennedy ordered a naval quarantine on Moscow's ships. History would be repeated another time on a differ ...
  • Africafé : The situation in the Sahel and the ongoing conflicts
    June 30, 2022
    In this episode of Africafé, Rida Lyammouri will talk about the ongoing conflicts in the Sahel, evoking the instability in Mali and Burkina Faso and suggests ways forward for greater engagement from the international community in helping fragile states in the region. ...
  • Morocco: A Regional Player
    Authors
    Jamal Machrouh
    June 27, 2022
    Three questions to Jamal Machrouh   This article was initially published on https://www.institutmontaigne.org/   Morocco was among the countries not taking part in the March 2 UN General Assembly vote following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. This position raised questions in Europe as Morocco is Europe's largest partner in the Maghreb. Jamal Machrouh, Senior Fellow at the Policy Center for the New South, sheds light on Morocco's perceived neutrality in the Ukrainia ...
  • Ukrainian Art: Another Damage of the War, Part II
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    June 27, 2022
    Hardly any declaration of war against Russian culture Dostojevsky, Tolstoy, Pasternak, Pushkin, Nabokov, Turgenev, icons of Russian literature, breathing the soul of mother Russia, the depth of heavy historical burdens and despair, touched by nostalgia for Holy, Imperial Russia and cruelty of dictators like Stalin, the national conscience and pride wounded by invasions of Nazi Germany and Napoleon. Rachmaninov, Prokofiev, Shostakovich, Tchaikovsky, Mussorgsky, Rachmaninoff, revelat ...
  • Dialogues Stratégiques Volume XI: L’impuissance de la puissance - L’Indo-Pacifique : contours et enjeux
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    Pascal Chaigneau
    Khalid Chegraoui
    Alain Oudot de Dainville
    Larabi Jaïdi
    Mohammed Loulichki
    Rodolphe Monnet
    Florent Parmentier
    Olivier Tramond
    June 16, 2022
    Les Dialogues stratégiques, une collaboration entre le HEC Center for Geopolitics et le Policy Center for the New South représentent une plateforme d’analyse et d’échange biannuelle réunissant des experts, des praticiens, des décideurs politiques ainsi que le monde universitaire et les médias au service d’une réflexion critique et approfondie sur les tendances politiques mondiales et les grandes questions d’importance commune pour l’Europe et l’Afrique. Cette publication est ...
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    Mozambique: A New Civil War?
    Authors
    Hisham Aidi
    May 27, 2022
    How did an insurrection in Northern Mozambique escalate into a crisis that is drawing myriad external actors, and risks destabilizing the region? What are the colonial and Cold War origins of this conflict in Cabo Delgado? Why is Rwanda such a prominent intervener? How are tensions between Kigali, Maputo and Pretoria playing out in the peacekeeping operation now underway? ...
  • Impact of the Ukraine crisis on Food Security
    Nihal El Mquirmi, Isabelle Tsakok, & Rabi Mohtar
    May 20, 2022
    Traders have worried that the war involving Russia and Ukraine could stoke inflation, further disrupt supply chains and derail the global economic recovery. Scarcity of food has led ...
  • Ukrainian Art: Another Damage of the War, Part 1
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    May 19, 2022
    Any enforcement of peace through violence is absurd Fear is not an adequate description of the feeling when bombs explode in your vicinity and you feel an invisible, destructive wave envelop your body, soul, and mind.  Tears may flow, screams are to be absorbed by those whose legs or arms are ripped out of their bodies by the blast-they may be blind forever, never hear a sound again, but in your subconscious, the blasts will never desert you ever., Thunderstorms remind-soaked ...
  • Le nouveau profil stratégique de la mer Rouge
    Authors
    Sabine Cessou
    May 17, 2022
    Ce thème, abordé au Centre HEC de Géopolitique à Jouy-en-Josas, lors de la 12e édition des Dialogues stratégiques avec le Policy Center for the New South, une rencontre semestrielle, a permis de revenir dans le détail sur cette zone qui relie la Méditerranée à l’océan Indien, à la jointure de trois continents : l’Asie, l’Afrique et l’Europe. Cette route maritime qui s’étend sur plus de 2 200 km, pour une largeur qui varie de 300 km à moins de 30 km entre Djibouti et le Yémen, r ...
  • 12ème édition des Dialogues Stratégiques
    May 13, 2022
    Depuis 2016, le Policy Center for the New South et le Centre HEC de Géopolitique organisent chaque année deux éditions des « Dialogues Stratégiques ». Cette plateforme d’analyse et d’échange réunit des experts, des chercheurs provenant de différents think-tanks et du monde académique, d...
  • To Protect Coastal West Africa, Protect the Peuhl
    Authors
    Laura Sanders
    Rida Lyammouri
    May 12, 2022
    An HRW report details the massacre of at least 300 civilians in the central Malian town of Moura — the deadliest single atrocity in the country’s decade-long armed conflict. Most of the victims were from the Peuhl ethnic group. The widespread political and social exclusion of the Peuhl puts them at further risk of this type of violence and drives a cycle of grievances and fear that empowers violent extremist organizations (VEOs) and impedes peacebuilding. National governments and in ...
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    Les conséquences géopolitiques et géoéconomiques de la guerre en Ukraine sur l’Afrique
    Authors
    Jamal Machrouh
    May 10, 2022
    Les crises internationales de type de la guerre en Ukraine constituent des ruptures historiques qui induisent des changements profonds de paradigmes, mais aussi de systèmes d’alliances et de marges d’influence. Elles produisent, à terme, une nouvelle configuration des rapports de force, ce qui exige des acteurs des capacités d’anticipation et d’adaptation. Le continent Africain se trouve géopolitiquement, et en quelque sorte géographiquement, à la première loge de la guerre d ...
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    Morality and Politics post Ukraine
    Authors
    Dominique Bocquet
    May 6, 2022
    The war in Ukraine ignited fierce opposition on grounds of principles of sovereignty and territorial integrity. Populations weighed in the balance of power. Yet, for principles invoked against Russia to find universal resonance, the West should ensure it acts in accordance with these principles. Global solidarity implies treating all peoples equally. ...
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    Morale et politique après l’Ukraine
    Authors
    Dominique Bocquet
    May 6, 2022
    La guerre d’Ukraine a suscité une vive réprobation au nom des principes de souveraineté et d’intégrité territoriale. Les populations ont pesé dans le rapport de force. Néanmoins, pour que les principes invoqués contre la Russie puissent nourrir un consensus universel, l’Occident devra lui-même agir en conformité avec eux. Une solidarité planétaire suppose de traiter tous les peuples de la même manière. ...
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    The Russia-Ukraine War and Food Security in Morocco
    Authors
    Abdelaaziz Ait Ali
    Uri Dadush
    Fatima Ezzahra Mengoub
    Isabelle Tsakok
    April 29, 2022
    Following on the heels of the COVID-19 pandemic and severe drought in North Africa, the Russian invasion of Ukraine – large exporters of food and, in the case of Russia, energy— may inflict increased hunger on the food insecure in Morocco – despite mitigating measures by the government. Morocco is so far successfully shielding its large poor and vulnerable population by subsidizing essential commodities. With memories of the violent protests during the 2007/08 food and fuel crisis ...
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    L’Occident peut-il faire fléchir le gouvernement taliban ou l’inverse?
    Authors
    Mohammed Loulichki
    April 27, 2022
    Le retrait des troupes américaines d’Afghanistan et la reconquête, rapide et sans résistance notable, du pouvoir par les Talibans, a ouvert un nouveau chapitre dans l’histoire particulièrement tumultueuse de ce pays. La mise en oeuvre de la décision américaine a suscité des remous sur le plan interne et des critiques sur le plan extérieur, particulièrement de la part des alliés et des partenaires de Washington. Les engagements pris par les Talibans en vertu de l’Accord signé le 29 f ...
  • حديث الثلاثاء : التحديات الأمنية بمنطقة وسط إفريقيا
    April 26, 2022
    يخصص مركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد حلقة برنامجه الأسبوعي "حديث الثلاثاء" لمناقشة التحديات الأمنية بمنطقة وسط إفريقيا مع عبد الحق باسو، باحث بارز بمركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد. تواجه منطقة وسط إفريقيا العديد من التحديات ذات الطابع الأمني. في مقابل ذلك، تكتسي المنطقة باعتبار ...
  • Russian-Ukrainian war: Regional & Global consequences
    April 21, 2022
    On February 24, 2022, Russia launched a military action in Ukraine. This operation and subsequent events is having a global impact, with far-reaching political and economic implications. In the short term, the conflict will affect the global economy through three main channels: financia...
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    Navigating in a Grey Zone: Regulating PMSCs
    Authors
    Nihal El Mquirmi
    April 15, 2022
    Although there have been efforts to regulate the privatization of security, the problem is not the lack of international regulation, but the lack of convergence between international and national law on one hand, and government regulation and industry self-regulation, on the other. The growing number of actors in the contemporary security environment has added a layer of complexity, as it made accountability more diffuse and difficult to track, since the responsibility lies with mul ...
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    Stratégies de communication et effets de médiatisation dans le conflit russo-ukrainien
    Authors
    Mohamed Benabid
    April 13, 2022
    La guerre russo-ukrainienne est engagée sur de nombreux théâtres, y compris celui de l'information et de la communication. A travers des dynamiques hybrides, anciens et nouveaux médias, sont mobilisés à la fois à des fins d'information, de persuasion et de propagande, avec en toile de fond une crise sous-jacente, celle des fake news. Chaque camp est soucieux de contrôler ses messages et de relayer son propre cadrage. D'un côté, la communication russe cherche à légitimer ...
  • حديث الثلاثاء : آثار الحرب في اوكرانيا على الاقتصاد العالمي
    April 13, 2022
    يخصص مركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد حلقة برنامجه الأسبوعي "حديث الثلاثاء" لمناقشة آثار الحرب في اوكرانيا على الاقتصاد العالمي مع فتح الله ولعلو، باحث بارز بمركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد بعد اندلاع الحرب الأوكرانية الروسية في أواخر شهر فبراير من هذا العام، كان ال...
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    Communication Strategies and Media Influence in the Russia-Ukraine Conflict
    Authors
    Mohamed Benabid
    April 13, 2022
    The war between Russia and Ukraine unfolds on many theaters, including information and communication. Hybrid strategies and media old and new are utilized for information, persuasion and propaganda, with one underlying predicament, fake news, constantly lurking. Each side is keen on controlling its messages and relaying its narrative. On one hand, Russian communication seeks to legitimize its action and turn the opponent's camp from oppressed to provocateur. On the other, Ukrainian ...
  • Dollar dominance will remain
    Authors
    Otaviano Canuto
    March 29, 2022
    The heavy financial sanctions on Russia after the invasion of Ukraine sparked speculations that the weaponization of access to reserves in dollars, euros, pounds, and yen would spark a division in the international monetary order. China would tend to strengthen its own international payments system and accelerate the establishment of its currency – the Renminbi – as a rival reserve currency to reduce its vulnerability to moves of a similar nature against it. Countries facing geopoli ...
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    Implications of Russia's invasion of Ukraine on wheat supplies to Africa
    Authors
    Henri-Louis Vedie
    March 29, 2022
    Russia's invasion of Ukraine, the Black Sea granary, severely impacts global wheat markets, and especially hits the two warring parties' primary importing countries/clients. This study examines impacts of this war on Africa, where bread is a basic staple. This brings us to start with a review of broad market data, with Russia and Ukraine respectively ranking first and fifth among global wheat exporters, and the European Union (EU) gaining an edge as an alternative to the U.S./Canada ...
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    Les conséquences de l’invasion de l’Ukraine, par la Russie, pour l’approvisionnement de l’Afrique en blé
    Authors
    Henri-Louis Vedie
    March 29, 2022
    L'invasion, par la Russie, de l'Ukraine, grenier à blé de la mer Noire, impacte lourdement le marché mondial de cette denrée, en premier lieu les principaux pays/clients importateurs des deux belligérants. L'objet de cette étude est d'analyser les conséquences de cette guerre pour l’Afrique, continent où le pain est un aliment de base. Ce qui nous conduit, tout d'abord, à rappeler les données générales de ce marché, avec une Russie et une Ukraine respectivement au premier et cinquiè ...
  • Private Military and Security Companies
    Nihal El Mquirmi & Helmut Sorge
    March 25, 2022
    The debate around the use of private military and security companies is deeply polarized, with some authors portraying such military contractors as ‘messiahs’, praising their efficiency i ...
  • AFRICAFE : La CENSAD comme cadre de coopération au Sahel
    March 25, 2022
    Africafé est une émission du Policy Center for the New South qui décrypte l’actualité des organisations africaines et de l’Afrique. A travers de courtes interviews, l’émission tente de proposer d’aborder de manière pédagogique les enjeux des organisations africaines et l’actualité du co...
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    The Russia-Ukraine War: Implications for Africa
    Authors
    Hisham Aidi
    March 22, 2022
    African states are in a vulnerable position. The invasion of Ukraine could affect food security and trigger a spike in oil prices, inflicting economic duress on African households. The Black Sea region is home to vast fertile farmlands, and war in the “breadbasket of the world” could threaten wheat and fertilizer supplies. Increased economic hardship and social discontent do not bode well for democratic governance in Africa, especially in light of the recent spate of military coups. ...
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    Africa and the “Ankara Consensus”
    Authors
    Hisham Aidi
    March 17, 2022
    “Turkey’s turn to Africa is the result of several factors: the economic liberalization process undertaken in the 1990s, Ankara’s aim for greater voice in international institutions, and Turkey's rivalry with Egypt and the Gulf states. Scholars have observed that Turkey's public diplomacy, which some have dubbed the “Ankara consensus” is consciously designed as an alternative to the Washington consensus of neoliberal economic growth and the Beijing consensus of state-led growth, that ...
  • Customary Characters in Uncustomary Circumstances: The Case of Niger’s Tillabéri Region
    Authors
    Rida Lyammouri
    March 16, 2022
    Of all the regions included in this report series, Tillabéri is the region that scores best when it comes to both general community resilience, as well as traditional and religious authorities’ functioning. The region is not as exposed to shocks as Est (Burkina Faso) and Ménaka (Mali), and its ability to recover from shocks is high compared to the other regions. Trust in traditional and religious authorities is comparatively high as is their equal treatment of different subgroups in ...

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    5:30 pm March 2022

    حديث الثلاثاء : الأزمة الروسية الأوكرانية : من وإلى أين؟

    تشكّل الأزمة الروسية الاوكرانية تحديا جيوسياياً غير مسبوق في القارّة الأوروبيّة منذ الحرب العالمية الثانية. فقد تسبّبت في أكبر نزوح في أوروبا منذ 1945، حيث بلغ عدد النازحين الأوكرانيين الذين هربوا من بلادهم مليوني ونصف نسمة. موازاتاً مع ذلك، عادت الى الواجهة مواضيع كثيرة، نذكر منها امكانية الاصطدام المسلّح بين روسيا وحلف شمال الاطلسي، والحرب النووية. الّا أن انعكاسات الحرب لا تقتصر على اوروبا والغرب، بل تأثّر سلباً على الاقتصاد الدولي ودول الجنوب، وتهدّد الامن الغذائي في دول كثيرة، خاصة في المنطقة العربية وفي افريقيا ولفهم هذه الازمة بمختلف أبعادها ووضعها في سياقاتها النظرية والتاريخية والأمنية ومناقشة تأثيراتها الحاليّة أو المتوقَّعة في المدى القريب، ينظّم مركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد حلقة خاصّة من برنامج حديث الثلاثاء ستركّز على الأحداث الجارية في اوكرانيا وستطرح ...
  • حديث الثلاثاء : الأزمة الروسية الأوكرانية : من وإلى أين؟
    March 15, 2022
    تشكّل الأزمة الروسية الاوكرانية تحديا جيوسياياً غير مسبوق في القارّة الأوروبيّة منذ الحرب العالمية الثانية. فقد تسبّبت في أكبر نزوح في أوروبا منذ 1945، حيث بلغ عدد النازحين الأوكرانيين الذين هربوا من بلادهم مليوني ونصف نسمة. موازاتاً مع ذلك، عادت الى الواجهة مواضيع كثيرة، نذكر منها امكا...
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    War in Ukraine and Risks of Stagflation
    Authors
    Otaviano Canuto
    March 15, 2022
    The war in Ukraine is bringing substantial financial, commodity price, and supply chain shocks to the global economy. Sanctions on Russia are already having a significant impact on its financial system and its economy. Price shocks will have a global impact. Energy and commodity prices—including wheat and other grains—have risen, intensifying inflationary pressures from supply chain disruptions and the recovery from the pandemic. The push toward relative deglobalization received fro ...
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    La guerre entre la Russie et l’Ukraine : un tournant et un coup fatal pour le multilatéralisme
    Authors
    Mohammed Loulichki
    March 11, 2022
    L'opération militaire lancée le 24 février 2022 par les forces armées russes à l'intérieur du territoire de l’Ukraine a pour objectif déclaré d'empêcher l’Organisation du Traité de l’Atlantique Nord (OTAN) de se rapprocher de l”étranger proche” russe et de changer le régime à Kiev. Cette guerre, déclenchée par un membre permanent du Conseil de sécurité, a été menée en violation des principes cardinaux de la Charte des Nations unies. Elle a mis le monde au bord d’ ...
  • The War in Ukraine: A Migration Crisis Like No Other
    Authors
    Iván Martín
    March 11, 2022
    As of March 3, 2022, one week into the Russian invasion, over 1 million refugees (2.3% of the Ukrainian population) have fled Ukraine to neighboring European countries, notably Poland, as well as Hungary, Moldova, and Slovakia[1].  While the sheer flow of refugees is poised to generate the largest migration crisis in Europe since World War II, the response of European countries is substantially different from the one caused by the Syrian refugee crisis of 2015 - 1 million refug ...
  • Presentation: The Global Terrorism Index (GTI)
    March 9, 2022
    The Global Terrorism Index (GTI) is an annual report produced by the Institute for Economics & Peace (IEP). Now on its 9th edition, the GTI provides a comprehensive summary of the key global trends and patterns in terrorism. It analyses a number of vital aspects of terrorism such as...
  • Violence Spillover into the Coastal States
    Authors
    Rida Lyammouri
    March 7, 2022
    More than two years ago I wrote in a report: “The current downward security trends in Mali, Niger, and Burkina Faso should serve as a wake-up call for the states in the Gulf of Guinea, mainly Ivory Coast, Ghana, Togo, and Benin.” Recent attacks in the northern Ivory Coast and Benin show that signs of earlier years now have taken on unique characteristics. Signs of the expansion of violent extremist organizations (VEOs) to coastal states have been there since at least since 2015. The ...
  • Sanctions against Russia resemble boxing matches
    Authors
    Otaviano Canuto
    March 4, 2022
    The economic sanctions against Russia announced last week by the United States and Europe following the military invasion of Ukraine are having a profound impact on the Russian economy while also having repercussions at home. As in a boxing match, the expectation is that blows to the opponent can knock them out, despite the exposure on the punching side. The United States has applied some sectoral and limited economic sanctions against Russia since the annexation of Crimea in 2014 ...
  • Guerre en Ukraine : une crise migratoire pas comme les autres
    Authors
    Iván Martín
    March 3, 2022
    A l’issue de la première semaine de l’invasion russe, soit au 03 mars 2022, plus de 1 million de réfugiés (2,3% de la population ukrainienne) ont quitté l’Ukraine à destination de pays européens limitrophes, notamment la Pologne, mais aussi des autres pays comme la Hongrie, la Moldavie ou la Slovaquie[1]. Alors que le flux des réfugiés est sur le point de devenir la plus grande crise migratoire en Europe depuis la Seconde Guerre mondiale, la réaction des pays européens est très diff ...
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    Les pays côtiers d’Afrique de l’Ouest : Nouvelle terre d’expansion des groupes djihadistes sahéliens ?
    Authors
    Mathieu Pellerin
    March 2, 2022
    La situation sécuritaire dans le Sahel central est à ce point dégradée que la menace djihadiste déborde désormais sur la partie nord des pays côtiers d’Afrique de l’Ouest. Les régions de l’Est et des Cascades au Burkina Faso ou celles de Sikasso et de Kayes au Mali constituent des bases arrière permettant aux groupes djihadistes – et principalement à la Jama’at Nasr al-Islam wal Muslimin (JNIM) pour l’instant – de s’étendre au Bénin, en Côte d’Ivoire, et dans une moindre mesure au T ...
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    Presence of Foreign Fighters: Concessions for Security?
    Authors
    Nihal El Mquirmi
    March 2, 2022
    The purpose of this second paper is to highlight the involvement of mercenaries in decolonization processes in Africa on one hand, and the emergence of Private Military and Security Companies since the 1990s on another hand. The main argument is that despite the change in the structure of private contractors operating in Africa, their essence remains the same: security in exchange of mining concessions. Hence, the paper analyses to what extent mining companies have contributed to th ...
  • Russie/Ukraine entre Dialogue mélien et impuissance onusienne
    Authors
    Jamal Machrouh
    March 1, 2022
    Dag Hammarskjöld, ancien secrétaire général de l’Organisation des Nations unies (ONU) avait, mieux que quiconque, résumé le rôle et les limites de l’organisation onusienne en proclamant que « L'ONU n'a pas été créée pour emmener l'humanité au paradis, mais pour la sauver de l'enfer ». Cette vision minimaliste et, au demeurant, réaliste, de la capacité de l’ONU à réguler les rapports internationaux, cadre parfaitement avec la maturation inachevée du processus d’évolution du droi ...
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    Conflits intercommunautaires, groupes armés et un processus multi-acteurs de consolidation de la paix : cas du Cercle de Niono au Mali
    Authors
    Rida Lyammouri
    March 1, 2022
    Dans un contexte de gouvernance complexe, où autorités traditionnelles et modernes se côtoient même si leur pouvoir décroît, le Mali connait depuis de nombreuses années une situation sécuritaire alarmante, notamment dans le centre du pays. La montée des tensions entre communautés agricoles et pastorales est aggravée par la présence de groupes extrémistes. La population du Cercle de Niono, dans la région de Ségou, a été victime de violences inouïes pendant plusieurs mois avant que de ...
  • Community-Based Armed Groups: A Problem or Solution?
    Authors
    Rida Lyammouri
    Jakana Thomas
    Lauren Van Metre
    February 28, 2022
    This article was initially published on usip.org   The presence of CBAGs raises issues that force a rethink of local implementation of peacebuilding processes. The RESOLVE Network’s multiyear research on Community-Based Armed Groups (CBAGs) has established critical findings for the international community on how to engage, manage and transform violent actors in conflict-affected states. While mitigation efforts tend to target anti-state extremist org ...
  • Lebanon Crisis: Fragility, Conflict and Violence
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    February 22, 2022
    “Once upon a time a classic first line in fairy tales, used by Charles Dickens, for example in his “A Christmas card” in 1843, or Charles Perrault, the French poet, writer of “Cinderella” and “Sleeping Beauty”, both published in 1697 in “histoires ou contes du temp passé” Once upon a time suggests a nostalgic touch, the good old, romantic days glamourized because negative memories are annihilated and deposed in the dustbin of the human mind. Once upon a time, Beirut, the capital ci ...
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    Le Sommet UE-UA 2022 : pour une interdépendance équilibrée
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    Rim Berahab
    Nouzha Chekrouni
    Hinh T. Dinh
    Karim El Aynaoui
    Aomar Ibourk
    Len Ishmael
    Larabi Jaïdi
    Mohammed Loulichki
    Rida Lyammouri
    Henri-Louis Vedie
    Afaf Zarkik
    February 22, 2022
    Le sommet afro-européen des 17 et 18 février 2022 à Bruxelles marque la sixième édition de la rencontre de haut niveau entre les deux continents. Ce sommet, organisé traditionnellement en alternance entre l’Afrique et l’Europe, intervient dans un contexte régional et international marqué par la perspective de sortie de la pandémie de la Covid-19, l’épreuve de force entre l’Occident et la Russie et les turbulences que connaissent certaines régions africaines. Face à une E ...
  • France in command of a Europe in Crisis
    Helmut Sorge & Hamza Mjahed
    February 18, 2022
    Presiding over the Council of the European Union, France has big ambitions but enormous challenges ahead. Migration remains a deeply divisive topic, and European sovereignty in the techno ...
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    Private Military and Security Companies: A New Form of Mercenarism?
    Authors
    Nihal El Mquirmi
    February 14, 2022
    “Hiring outsiders to fight your battles is as old as war itself”. Peter W. Singer (2011) Mercenaries, private contractors, soldiers of fortune, dogs of war, guns for hire, war lords ... These are some of the names given to individuals working for private companies that provide military and security services. The debate around the use of these companies is deeply polarized, with some authors portraying such military contractors as ‘messiahs’, praising their efficiency in modern conf ...
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    SAHEL: Moving Beyond Military Containment Policy Report
    Authors
    Pierre Englebert
    Rida Lyammouri
    February 11, 2022
    Almost ten years after the beginning of the security crisis in the Sahel, Burkina Faso, Mali, and Niger face a graver predicament than ever before. In the throes of multiple insurgencies, they and their foreign patrons, including France, have shown the limits of military containment. While these three countries are the victims of terrorist aggression, their crises also have deep domestic roots, including long-standing patterns of state abuses of their populations, even in the more d ...
  • A plethora of strategies and plans
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    January 31, 2022
    It has been more than 100 years since Germany manifested colonial power, a dark period of history indeed. Political and military leaders, supported by its ruler, Wilhelm II, Emperor of Germany and King of Prussia, committed crimes against humanity on African land.  The first genocide of the 20th Century, mass killings of 65 000 Herero in Africa, today known as Namibia. Between 1904 and 1908, Germany suffocated humanity in concentration camps like Shark Island, forcing them ...
  • Best of Podcasts 2021
    Rim Riouch and Nihal El Mquirmi
    December 31, 2021
    In 2021 we’ve had the opportunity to host more than 50 experts in 60 episodes. We discussed economic, international relations, commodities, energy, gender, and security issues affecting t ...
  • A Relapse into conflict?
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    December 15, 2021
    How do you treat a brutal dictator who had lost power after 42 years, hiding in a drainpipe, after his convoy was attacked by fighter jets from the air? It was a bloody mess and not a pretty scene. The dictator had a few seconds to beg for his life, “what did I do to you», he gasped reported the London Guardian on October 22, 2011, and then his turbulent life came to an end, shot with a pistol. Triumphantly his assassin raised Gaddafi’s golden revolver -- a few minutes of global fam ...
  • ADEL Portrait : Jessica Berlin, a free agent filling the gaps
    Authors
    Sabine Cessou
    December 13, 2021
    This political analyst, expert in security issues and international development, describes her personality as « down to earth, curious », and not taking herself « very seriously ». Born in Seattle, half German and half Korean-American, she was raised « between three cultures ». After a decade living and working abroad in Rwanda, China, Afghanistan, the UK, and Myanmar, she is now based in Berlin. She’s fond of cooking and is a « beer nerd » – ...
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    Le régime juridique de l’industrie de défense au Maroc
    Authors
    Rachid El Houdaigui
    Abdelhamid Bakkali
    December 13, 2021
    La loi n° 10-20, relative à l'industrie de la défense, et son décret d’application, marquent un tournant dans le processus de modernisation de la politique de défense nationale. À considérer dans le prolongement de ses efforts d’émergence industrielle, le nouveau dispositif juridique vise la mise en place des fondements solides pour une industrie de défense marocaine pérenne. En plus de sa cohérence et exhaustivité normatives, le nouveau dispositif juridique est conforme aux exigenc ...
  • Cabo Delgado insurgency and spillover effects on Tanzania
    Amal El Ouassif, Seleman Kitenge and Oussama Tayebi
    December 10, 2021
    The Cabo insurgency constitutes one of the most significant threats to peace and security in Southern Africa subregion. This podcast explores the various challenges the insurgency in this ...
  • Sahel development summit
    December 9, 2021
    A summit on the African vision of Sahel’s future with a focus on development around the 5 Sahelian Ministers of Economy and the report “Sahel: Moving Beyond Military Containment” ...
  • No Intention of Backing Down
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    December 8, 2021
    The Polish memory of oppression, occupation, the holocaust, Nazi occupation, and communist dictators is burned into the national soul and conscience. A Polish born Pope, Jean Paul II, supported the long national struggle for freedom, giving faith to Poland’s 38 million citizens, mainly Catholic. Freedom turned into a national treasure. Membership of the European Union, achieved in May 2004, promised a path towards social justice, wealth, and global acceptance of their abused homela ...
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    USA/Europe: Seven Digital Challenges
    Authors
    Laurence Nardon
    Siméon Rust
    December 6, 2021
    Thanks to the positive momentum in transatlantic relations brought about by the arrival of the Biden administration, significant progress is expected on a range of key digital issues. New rules are emerging that are designed to level the playing field for economic actors and ensure the respect of civil liberties, while significant new investments in technological innovation are taking place amid considerable industrial reorganizations. This paper proposes to shed light on seven part ...
  • Between a tolerable status quo and a disastrous conflict
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    December 3, 2021
    Not all is quiet on the Chinese/Chinese front. Warships are sailing through the Taiwan Strait. One day, an American missile guided US destroyer, the next a Canadian Frigate, some Chinese submarines, or one of Beijing’s new aircraft carriers. Shadows of a new cold war, possibly turning into an unpredictable escalation. America’s National Public Radio (NPR) reporter Scott Neuman stated (October 6, 2021), “Taiwan says tensions with China are at their worst in 4 decades.” With the situ ...
  • ADEL Portrait : Joana Ama Osei-Tutu, Gender Without Borders
    Authors
    Sabine Cessou
    December 1, 2021
    This young and outspoken Ghanaian citizen, a peace and security expert with a focus on gender, describes herself as “engaging, accomodating and seeking”. Born and raised in Ghana, Joana has a deep knowledge of her country, as her father was transferred a lot throughout his career. Her family has also spent some time in Louisville, Kentucky. As a teenager, her dreams were definitely altruist, as she wanted to become a photojournalist or a human rights lawyer. Since 2017, she is the ...
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    Terrorist Insurgency in Northern Mozambique: Context, Analysis, and Spillover Effects on Tanzania
    Authors
    Amal El Ouassif
    Seleman Yusuph Kitenge
    December 1, 2021
    Tanzania has been closely following the evolution of the security situation in the region of Cabo Delgado in Mozambique. Worsening living conditions and safety in this bordering region suggest the eruption of a multifaceted security and human threat of transnational magnitude. This paper looks at the different cultural, linguistic, and socio-economic ties that link Tanzania and Mozambique, while exploring how the security situation in Cabo Delgado might impact national security in T ...
  • Central Mali: Armed Community Mobilization in Crisis
    Authors
    Rida Lyammouri
    November 29, 2021
    The proliferation of community-based armed groups (CBAGs) in Mali’s Mopti and Ségou Regions has contributed to transforming Central Mali into a regional epicenter of conflict since 2016. Due to the lack of adequate presence of the state, certain vulnerable, conflict-affected communities resorted to embracing non-state armed groups as security umbrellas in the context of inter-communal violence. These local conflicts are the result of long-standing issues over increasing pressure on ...
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    Enjeux et perspectives géo-maritimes du Maroc
    Authors
    Jamal Machrouh
    November 25, 2021
    Le présent Policy Brief suggère l’émergence d’une conscience géo-maritime au Maroc. Surtout, il expose un certain nombre de leviers qui pourraient être mobilisés par le pays (II) pour faire face aux enjeux que recèlent ses espaces maritimes et conforter son positionnement géopolitique global (I). ...
  • Le Soudan à la croisée des chemins
    Authors
    Nihal El Mquirmi
    November 12, 2021
    Près de trois ans après l’éviction d’el-Béchir du pouvoir et la formation d’un gouvernement de transition, composé de civils et de militaires, la situation politique et économique du Soudan est loin d’être stable. Bien que des progrès aient été enregistrés depuis décembre 2018, la transition démocratique a été interrompue brutalement suite à la prise du pouvoir par le général al-Burhan et sa décision de dissoudre le gouvernement civil. Malgré le climat d’instabilité et d’incertitude ...
  • For Mali and the Sahel, New Tensions and an Old — and Worsening — Security Problem
    Authors
    Rida Lyammouri
    November 9, 2021
    Events in the Sahel, and Mali especially, are taking an uncertain and worrying turn. Mali witnessed two coups d’état in less than a year, while the West African Sahel went through its most violent year yet and there are no signs that the violence is slowing down. In the midst of this unprecedented instability, recent developments involving Mali’s transitional government and the international community, France in particular, provide no assurances that things are likely to improve any ...
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    Literature Paper: Jihadist Armed Governance in Mali
    Authors
    Rida Lyammouri
    November 2, 2021
    In the Sahel, and Central Mali in particular, the proliferation of armed groups over the past decade has resulted in formal and informal non-state governance structures. This paper assesses the various definitions and typologies associated with rebel and jihadist governance in order to better understand the mechanisms of governance provision used by key non-state governance providers in Central Mali.   ...
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    Dialogues Stratégiques Volume X: Les rivalités de puissance en Afrique - L’Afrique face au terrorisme
    Authors
    Pascal Chaigneau
    Khalid Chegraoui
    Eugène Berg
    Rodolphe Monnet
    Mohammed Loulichki
    Jacques Gravereau
    Larabi Jaïdi
    Jérémy Ghez
    Olivier Tramond
    Abdelhak Bassou
    Niagalé Bagayoko
    Alain Oudot de Dainville
    Jérôme Evrard
    Coordination de l’ouvrage: Imane Lahrich
    Fatine Cherkaoui
    October 28, 2021
    Depuis l’accession au trône du Roi Mohammed VI, l’Afrique s’est transformée en priorité de la diplomatie marocaine. Sur le plan économique, l’Afrique est devenue le prolongement naturel du Maroc en termes d’investissements et d’implantations. Pascal Chaigneau s’attarde sur les relations affaiblies Europe-Afrique, l’ambitieuse relation Chine-Afrique ainsi que les relations entre la Russie, les Etats-Unis, la Turquie ou encore les pays du Golf et l’Afrique. Ce chapitre traite égalemen ...
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    Le Tchad face au FACT : une offensive de rebelles et une résistance d’Etat
    Authors
    Redouan Najah
    Rida Lyammouri
    October 21, 2021
    Le décès du président tchadien Idriss Deby, lors d’affrontements entre l’armée et les rebelles du FACT, a donné lieu à une prise de pouvoir par la junte militaire dirigée par Mahamat Deby, fils de l’ancien président. Le FACT, créé en 2016 dans le but de renverser le régime de Deby-père, à la tête du pays pendant près de trente ans, se trouve confronté au fils du président défunt. Ce Papier revient sur les origines du groupe rebelle, les affrontements fatals pour Idriss Deby, et sur ...
  • A Tragedy Unfolds in Front of our Eyes
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    October 18, 2021
    If any proof was needed that change was in the air and repression on the horizon, it was in the center of Kabul: a simple sign was changed, the Ministry of Women’s Affairs was turned into the Ministry for the Promotion of Virtues and Prevention of Vice. This was nothing less than the return of the Taliban’s moral police, well remembered by the older population, ready to enforce a harsh interpretation of the religious law, the Sharia, including stoning, amputation, lashing, and publi ...
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    Expanding NATO’s Partnerships in the Southern Region. Why and How?
    Authors
    Kidane Kiros
    Rachid El Houdaigui
    October 18, 2021
    In the last few months, the global order has been going through some fundamental changes which are affecting the competition between the great powers and have a direct impact on their relations with regional partners. Emerging challenges such as the climate change, cyberwarfare and artificial intelligence, hybrid warfare and non-state actors are shaping a new world that is profoundly different compared to the post-9/11 era, where the war on terrorism opened the gates to what have be ...
  • Le terrorisme au Sahel et ses possibles extensions
    Nihal El Mquirmi & Alain Antil (IFRI)
    October 15, 2021
    La bande sahélo-saharienne connaît, depuis quelques années, une instabilité liée à plusieurs facteurs: le terrorisme, les effets du changement climatique, les tensions ethniques et commun ...
  • Éthiopie : l’inquiétant impact économique et social du conflit au Tigré
    Authors
    Sara Hasnaa Mokaddem
    October 5, 2021
    Seconde nation la plus peuplée d’Afrique après le Nigeria, l’Éthiopie se distingue par un essor économique continu depuis trente ans. Des progrès notables sévèrement remis en question par le conflit avec la province du Tigré, qui dure depuis près d’un an. Pays phare de la Corne de l’Afrique, l’Éthiopie s’est distinguée par une croissance moyenne à deux chiffres (10 %) sur la période 2010-2019. Tombée à 6 % en 2020, celle-ci ne devrait pas dépasser 2 % en 2021 selon l ...
  • Servitude and Protest Movements in the Sahel
    Authors
    Hisham Aidi
    Hisham Aidi
    September 24, 2021
    In July 2021, the United Nations issued a condemnation against the “dramatic rise” in attacks against “descent-based slaves” in Mali, calling the violence “unacceptable”[i]. The statement was in response to a tragic episode in the eastern region of Kayes, where landowners using machetes and rifles assaulted a group of indentured laborers to prevent them working on the landowners’ fields. Tomoya Okobata, the UN's Special Rapporteur on Contemporary Forms ...
  • Thriving on uncertainty: COVID-19 related opportunities for terrorist groups
    September 23, 2021
    The Policy Center for the New South (PCNS) is organizing a public debate titled "Thriving on uncertainty: COVID-19 related opportunities for terrorist groups” on Thursday, September 23rd, 2021 at 3pm GMT+1. This webinar is the result of a Joint Policy Study, coordinated by our Senior Fe...
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    Thriving on Uncertainty: COVID-19-Related Opportunities for Terrorist Groups
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    Youssef Tobi
    Johannes Claes
    Kars de Bruijne
    Sophie Mertens
    Eman Ragab
    Clara-Auguste Süß
    September 20, 2021
    The COVID-19 pandemic has had a cataclysmic impact on all aspects of the functioning of our world. The relevance of the possibility of the spread of a global virus with the spread of terrorism is not immediately obvious as it is difficult for a direct causal link to be scientifically established. However, taking into consideration how state responses and pre-existing socioeconomic grievances can be impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic can lead to innovative findings on how terrorist gr ...
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    African Peace and Security Annual Conference – APSACO : Women, Peace and Security in Africa
    Authors
    Rachid El Houdaigui
    September 13, 2021
    The fifth African Peace and Security Annual Conference (APSACO) was held from June 21-23, 2021, under the theme ‘Women, Peace, and Security in Africa’. The three- day event, hosted and organized by the Policy Center for the New South (PCNS), was composed of four panels and three workshops: • Panel 1: Bolstering Women’s Role in Conflict Prevention and Resolution • Panel 2: Integrating & Reinforcing The Gender Dimension in Security and Defense • Panel 3: Understanding to Act Bett ...
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    The Fall of Kabul and the Taliban 2.0
    Authors
    El Mostafa Rezrazi
    August 24, 2021
    The Taliban movement took control of Afghanistan’s capital, Kabul, without confrontation or resistance, as soon as the president, Ashraf Ghani, fled the country. Afghan forces were not able to face the Taliban, despite of the fact that Taliban was technically outnumbered and outgunned by Afghan government forces. The New American administration first priority is to make US military mission in Afghanistan conclude by August 31st. Biden believes that the mission US army in Afghanistan ...
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    The Tigray War and the African Union
    Authors
    Hisham Aidi
    August 11, 2021
    The ongoing war in the Tigray region of Ethiopia has resulted in the world’s worst humanitarian crisis in a decade. The escalating conflict has led to the death and displacement of thousands of civilians, raised ethnic tensions in Ethiopia, and caused a food crisis that could lead to widespread famine. Much can be said about this conflict—how it revolves around models of governance and conflicting visions of self-determination, and how its impact will be felt across the region. Here ...
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    L’insurrection de Cabo Delgado au Mozambique: un conflit interne à dimension transfrontalière
    Authors
    Nezha Alaoui M’hammdi
    July 26, 2021
    La région nord-est du Mozambique, Cabo Delgado, est, depuis 2017, le théâtre d’une insurrection meurtrière, menée par un groupe, connu sous le nom de Ahlu Sunna Wal Jamaa et que la population locale dénomme « Al Shabab ». Considérée comme la plus pauvre du pays, cette région abrite une population à majorité musulmane et qui reste marginalisée dans les politiques publiques de développement du Gouvernement, malgré l’exploitation intensive des importantes ressources naturelles de son s ...
  • Global governance challenges of the 21st century
    Salma Daoudi & Marcus de Freitas
    July 02, 2021
    With the intensification of globalization dynamics, risks to the stability of the international system have grown to the extent that formerly localized threats are no longer locally conta ...
  • A Gruesome Picture
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    Helmut Sorge
    June 25, 2021
    The German town of Dinslaken, roughly 70,000 residents, has not really made a mark on history, but the former coal mining community still managed to get onto the front pages of national newspapers. Dinslaken became a hotspot for German jihadis, ready to join the radical Islamic State. Between 2011 and 2013 an Islamic group, 25 members, rented space just next to the office of the local commissioner of integration. About half of the group followed the call to arms, to fight the infide ...
  • APSACO 2021 - Atelier : Présentation du rapport : Dossiers sur l'EI
    June 23, 2021
    Les événements survenus ces sept dernières années en Irak et en Syrie constituent l'une des pages les plus sombres de l'histoire récente. Ce que l'on appelle l'État islamique (ÉI) a réussi à contrôler une zone de la taille de la Grande-Bretagne et à soumettre ses habitants d'une main de...
  • APSACO 2021 - WORKSHOP : Report Presentation: ISIS Files
    June 23, 2021
    The events in Iraq and Syria over the last seven years constitute one of the darkest pages in recent history. The so-called Islamic State (IS) managed to control an area the size of Britain and dominated its residents with an iron fist. It subjugated, terrorized and confiscated property...
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    Rapport annuel sur la géopolitique de l’Afrique 2021
    Authors
    Sous la direction de
    Abdelhak Bassou
    Nezha Alaoui M’hammdi
    Joseph Alain Sissao
    Yazid Benhadda
    Hanae Bezad
    Afua Boatemaa Yakohene
    Nouzha Chekrouni
    Khalid Chegraoui
    Salma Daoudi
    Hajar El Alaoui
    Rachid El Houdaigui
    Amal El Ouassif
    Abdessalam Saad Jaldi
    Mohammed Loulichki
    Jamal Machrouh
    Souha Majidi
    Hamza Mjahed
    Sara Hasnaa Mokaddem
    Alioune Ndiaye
    El Mostafa Rezrazi
    Jo Ann Takyiwah Sackey
    Oussama Tayebi
    Akram Zaoui
    June 23, 2021
    Cette édition du Rapport géopolitique de l’Afrique, la quatrième, s’inscrit dans la droite ligne de la philosophie et de l’esprit du Policy Center for the New South, qui milite pour une Afrique partie intégrante du Sud global et acteur, en devenir, dans les affaires mondiales. L’Afrique comme continent et comme espace est le théâtre où se déploient les actions des Africains pour réagir et interagir avec les conjonctures internationales, et l’Afrique comme populations et institutions ...
  • APSACO 2021 - WORKSHOP : Index Presentation: Global Peace Index
    June 22, 2021
    The Global Peace Index is the flagship publication of the Institute for Economics & Peace (IEP) and is now on its fourteenth edition. The Global Peace Index (GPI) presents one of the most comprehensive data-driven analysis on trends in peace worldwide, the economic value of peace an...
  • APSACO 2021 - OPENING REMARKS / INTRODUCTORY CONVERSATION
    June 21, 2021
    OPENING REMARKS - Karim El Aynaoui, Executive President, Policy Center for the New South - Rachid El Houdaigui, Senior Fellow, Policy Center for the New South INTRODUCTORY CONVERSATION Chair: Mabingue Ngom, Regional Director, West & Central Africa, UNFPA Speakers: - Bineta Diop, Spe...
  • APSACO 2021 - ALLOCUTIONS D'OUVERTURE / DISCUSSION INTRODUCTIVE
    June 21, 2021
    ALLOCUTIONS D'OUVERTURE - Karim El Aynaoui, président exécutif, Policy Center for the New South - Rachid El Houdaigui, Senior Fellow, Policy Center for the New South DISCUSSION INTRODUCTIVE Président : Mabingue Ngom, directeur régional du Fonds des Nations unies pour la population pour ...
  • AFRICAFÉ : Abdelhak Bassou décrypte l'actualité du G5 Sahel
    June 4, 2021
    Pour ce troisième épisode, Abdelhak Bassou évoque la menace terroriste au Sahel et les moyens de la combattre dans la région. En présentant le G5 Sahel et son rôle, notre spécialiste nous apporte une vision panoramique des enjeux sécuritaire dans la région. ...
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    African Peace and Security Annual Conference – APSACO : COVID-19 AND SECURITY IN AFRICA
    Authors
    Rachid El Houdaigui
    May 20, 2021
    The fourth edition of the African Peace & Security Annual Conference (APSACO) was held on September 23-25, 2020 under the theme ‘COVID-19 & Security in Africa.’ The three-day event, organized by the Policy Center for the New South (PCNS), was composed of two panels and two workshops: - Panel 1: The Security Sector in Africa During and After the COVID-19 Health Crisis - Panel 2: The Privatization of Violence in Africa: Non-State Armed Groups and Private Security - Workshop ...
  • The Digital Transformations of Al-Qaeda and Islamic State in the Battle Against Online Propaganda
    Authors
    Héni Nsaibia
    Rida Lyammouri
    May 20, 2021
    In the face of repeated Europol-led crackdowns, and frequent flagging of content by the EU Internet Referral Unit (EU IRU), government agencies, anonymous users, and outfits specialising in countering terrorist propaganda—on the Telegram messaging application, as well as the frequent use of artificial intelligence to detect and remove terrorist propaganda on mainstream social media sites—terrorist organisations have adapted their propaganda output. Crackdowns and susp ...
  • The Engagement of the United States in the Sahel
    Authors
    Rida Lyammouri
    Rida Lyammouri
    May 4, 2021
    The Sahelian states of Niger, Mali, and Burkina Faso continue to face unprecedented violence arising from multidimensional conflicts. According to the Africa Center for Strategic Studies (2019), “the Sahel has experienced the most rapid increase in activity by militant groups of any region in Africa in recent years. Violent events involving extremist groups in the region have doubled every year since 2015”. In addition to the presence of multiple violent extremist organizations (VEO ...
  • Le Tchad: une transition militaire tolérée, mais confrontée à des embûches internes
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    Abdelhak Bassou
    April 29, 2021
    Le Général Azem Bermandoa, porte-parole de l’armée tchadienne, a annoncé, le 20 avril 2021, à 11h00, sur les ondes de la télévision, le décès du président Idriss Déby. Le défunt, touché lors de combats dans le nord du pays, entre l’armée tchadienne et la rébellion du Front pour l’alternance et la concorde au Tchad (FACT), est décédé des suites de ses blessures. Selon certains observateurs, une réunion de négociations avec des membres du FACT se serait terminée par une fusillade qui ...
  • Les Mardis du PCNS 20/04/2021: تمدد التنظيمات الإرهابية بإفريقيا وتداعياتها على الأمن القاري
    April 20, 2021
    سيخصص برنامج حديث الثلاثاء حلقته لهذا الأسبوع إلى تحليل ومناقشة تمدد التنظيمات الإرهابية بإفريقيا وتداعياتها على الأمن القاري باستضافة عبد الحق باسو، باحث بارز بمركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد. إن توالي الأزمات تؤثر على الأمن بالقارة الإفريقية بالإضافة إلى تنامي نشاط الجماعات الإرهاب...
  • The EU's challenges post-COVID-19
    Len Ishmael & Abdessalam Jaldi
    April 02, 2021
    In a world where conventional threats to public safety and international security are increasingly a back seat, the Covid-19 pandemic has opened a new chapter in the discussion on how to ...
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    Tillabéri Region, Niger: Concerning Cycle of Atrocities
    Authors
    Rida Lyammouri
    March 24, 2021
    Tillabéri region of Niger is witnessing unprecedented level of ethnic-based violence. The January 2 massacre caught the national and international actors’ attention, however; the event was preventable. Accessing communities through ethnically charged and other exploitative language has proved to be a game changer for the expansion of violent extremist organizations (VEOs) expansion since 2012. The failure of national and international actors to recognize the seriousness of the situa ...
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    Les armes non-létales : vers la guerre propre ?
    Authors
    Rachid El Houdaigui
    Abdelhamid El Ouazzan
    March 18, 2021
    Depuis les années 1960s, la doctrine stratégique assiste à la montée en puissance progressive des armes dites « non-létales », d’abord comme concept, puis comme l’un des domaines des plus prometteurs de la prospective des technologies avancées. Dans cet article, les auteurs font une synthèse des armes « non- létales », accompagnée d’une réflexion pertinente sur l’hypothèse de la guerre propre. L’article apporte des éléments d’éclairage sur les caractéristiques techniques et juridiqu ...
  • Les Mardis du PCNS 16/03/2021: تسوية الأزمة الليبية بين الفرص والتحديات
    March 16, 2021
    يخصص مركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد حلقته الاسبوعية لحديث الثلاثاء لمناقشة الأزمة الليبية بين الفرص والتحديات، رفقة أكرم زاوي، باحث في العلاقات الدولية بمركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد. تشكل الأزمة الليبية أحد أبرز الأزمات التي تشهدها منطقة شمال إفريقيا، ونظراً لتداعياتها المختلف...
  • تحدي إندماج المقاتلين الأجانب العائدين إلى بلدانهم
    Nihal El Mquirmi & El Mostafa Rezrazi
    March 05, 2021
    يلاحظ اليوم أن عودة المقاتلين الأجانب إلى بلدانهم الأصلية يطرح العديد من التحديات والإشكالات أمام الحكومات. فعلى هذه الأخيرة تطوير مقاربات جديدة و متعددة الأوجه لمواجهة هذه الإشكالات التي ...
  • OMEV JOINT INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE - Session 5
    February 18, 2021
    Session 5: Women and Violent Extremism The Executive Board Committee of the Moroccan Observatory on Extremism & Violence (OMEV), in partnership with the Policy Center for the New South (PCNS), the “Délégation générale à l'Administration Pénitentiaire et à la reinsertion (DGAPR), and...
  • OMEV JOINT INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE - Session 3
    February 17, 2021
    Session 3: Intellectual and Tactical Shifts in The Narratives of Extremism and hate speech The Executive Board Committee of the Moroccan Observatory on Extremism & Violence (OMEV), in partnership with the Policy Center for the New South (PCNS), the “Délégation générale à l'Administr...
  • OMEV JOINT INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE - Opening session
    February 16, 2021
    Countering Violent Extremism: New Responses to New Challenges The Executive Board Committee of the Moroccan Observatory on Extremism & Violence (OMEV), in partnership with the Policy Center for the New South (PCNS), the “Délégation générale à l'Administration Pénitentiaire et à la r...
  • La nouvelle situation en Libye au révélateur VICA De l’espoir mais beaucoup de vulnérabilités
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    Abdelhak Bassou
    February 16, 2021
    Faut-il se réjouir et/ou se féliciter de l’émergence, enfin, d’un accord annoncé autour du conflit libyen, dans un monde dont on nous dit que tout y est volatile, incertain, complexe et ambigu ? Ou, faut-il raison garder et attendre pour juger de la résilience des institutions nées des accords et du vote de Genève, face aux assauts de la Volatilité, de l’Incertitude, de la Complexité et de l’Ambiguïté ? Si on adopte la dernière attitude, il serait plus réaliste de saluer l’effo ...
  • OMEV JOINT INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE - Session 1: Security Challenges
    February 16, 2021
    Countering Violent Extremism: New Responses to New Challenges The Executive Board Committee of the Moroccan Observatory on Extremism & Violence (OMEV), in partnership with the Policy Center for the New South (PCNS), the “Délégation générale à l'Administration Pénitentiaire et à la r...
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    « Risques globalisés » et sécurité hydrique au Moyen-Orient Cas de la vallée du Jourdain
    Authors
    Noureddine Jallal
    Khalid Chegraoui
    January 22, 2021
    Les ressources hydriques constituent un facteur stratégique qui engage la sécurité humaine des États. Cette situation est plus problématique pour les régions qui connaissent un stress hydrique. Aussi, les prévisions mondiales d’ici 2050 sonnent l’alarme des dangers de la raréfaction de l’eau dans toutes les régions du globe, même pour celles qui connaissent aujourd’hui une sorte d’abondance hydrique. Il est question, ici, d’aborder la problématique de l’eau et de son partage dans u ...
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    Construction de la paix par le bas - Cas de la société civile syrienne en exil
    Authors
    Hind Zaamoun
    January 15, 2021
    Ce Papier se focalise sur les formes locales de règlement des différends et de réconciliation, sous-étudiées dans les contextes conflictuels et post-conflictuels. L’accent y sera mis sur l’approche par le bas qui propose un nouveau récit de ces conflits et éclaire, à travers la dimension locale, de nouvelles pistes de reconstruction de la paix. Nous nous intéresserons au cas de la société civile syrienne, qui a connu un renouveau dans les pays voisins avec le soulèvement populaire e ...
  • Global Terrorism: A Focus on the Sahel Region
    January 8, 2021
    The webinar will be part of a series to discuss the findings of the Global Terrorism Index 2020 and take a look at recent trends in the Sahel region. The Global Terrorism Index (GTI) is an annual report produced by the Institute for Economics & Peace (IEP). Now on its 8th edition, t...
  • Les trois scénarios possibles au Sahel à l’horizon 2040
    Authors
    Sabine Cessou
    January 4, 2021
    Mali, Niger, Burkina Faso… L’insécurité fait tache d’huile au Sahel, menaçant de s’étendre aux pays du Golfe de Guinée. Le terrorisme a entraîné la formation de milices d’auto-défense communautaires, et ainsi créé des « friches » sécuritaires dans tout le Sahel, du Bassin du lac Tchad à la région du Liptako-Gourma. Les budgets consacrés à la défense augmentent, contrairement à ceux qui soutiennent le capital humain, santé et éducation. Dans un contexte de croissance démogr ...
  • They Did Not Want Compromise and Consensus. They Wanted War
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    December 22, 2020
    “When I got home late that night, the house was dark and Michelle was already asleep. After taking a shower and going through a stack of mail, I slipped under the covers and began drifting off. In that luminal space between wakefulness and sleep, I imagined myself stepping toward a portal of some sort, a bright and cold and airless place, uninhabited and severed from the world. And behind me, out of the darkness, I heard a voice, sharp and clear, as if someone were right next to me, ...
  • Fighting for Africa: External Power competition in the Sahel
    December 16, 2020
    President Trump may not enact his threatened US drawdown of troops from the Sahel, but President Biden will still face pressure to end America’s “forever wars” and reduce the number of American lives and treasure lost to fighting terrorism in Africa. If the United States pulls back from...
  • Fighting for Africa: External Power competition in the Red Sea
    December 14, 2020
    Foreign powers are grappling for influence across the African continent, but competition has been particularly fierce in the Red Sea. With Ethiopia, long viewed as a bulwark against instability in the Horn of Africa, emerging from conflict, there is a new opportunity to cement the peace...
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    Security Implications of Axes Rivalry in the Middle East
    Authors
    Dania Koleilat Khatib
    December 11, 2020
    The Arab Spring led to the collapse of dictatorships that ruled the region for decades, creating a void that triggered increased rivalry between three axes seeking to expand influence and control in the region. Using the theoretical framework of ‘offensive realism’ developed by Mearsheimer, this paper analyzes the build-up and circumstances surrounding the intensification of the rivalry between Qatar/Turkey, Saudi Arabia/the UAE and Iran and how this rivalry has become a major drive ...
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    Atlantic vision 2025: building an Atlantic community - 2nd edition
    Authors
    Hanae Bezad
    Maximo Plo Seco
    Roger Hilton
    December 10, 2020
    The Atlantic basin faces considerable challenges on multiple fronts. Financial and economic struggles, coupled with political shifts and social turmoil, are reshaping the region’s geopolitical landscape. Unemployment, poverty, violence, migration, extremism, climate change and other problems are on the rise and the need to tackle them effectively is pressing. To find adequate solutions to these challenges, it is crucial to create inclusive discussions between the North and the Sout ...
  • AD Talks 2020: The Age of (Dis)Information
    December 10, 2020
    The purposeful dissemination of misleading or outright false information by news media and foreign state actors constitutes an increasingly important factor in both the growing erosion of trust in national institutions and political polarization in many countries around the world. The d...
  • AD Talks 2020: What the US Election Means for the Wider Atlantic?
    December 9, 2020
    The 2020 US elections have taken place amidst a highly polarized context, compounded by a devastating global health crisis, a far-reaching economic recession, and the mounting threat of populism worldwide, calling into question the limits of multilateral cooperation. The Presidential El...
  • The End of the Human Race?
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    December 9, 2020
    Poker is a game for real men, cowboys, for example, ocean divers, stunt men, gambling away their meager pay. Poker is America, as oversized as its trucks, egos and steaks. Poker made its way from quaint southern New Orleans to the rough west, where gold diggers gambled away fortunes, and settlers risked their wagons and horses for a game of cards. Decades ago I met Johnny Moss, a descendent of this wild bunch in Las Vegas. He is the greatest poker player of our time, as his biograph ...
  • Fortes impressions d’Egypte dans les mémoires de Barack Obama
    Authors
    Sabine Cessou
    November 27, 2020
    « Une terre promise » (Fayard), livre événement de Barack Obama, couvre sa campagne et les trois premières années de sa présidence. L’Egypte est le pays d’Afrique dont il parle le plus – et pas seulement à cause du Printemps arabe. L’Afrique occupe à peine 40 pages sur les 840 que comptent les mémoires de Barack Obama. La crise financière internationale, la loi Obama Care et le retrait des troupes d’Irak et Afghanistan ont retenu l’attention du président fraîchement élu. ...
  • AD Talks 2020: Health Capacities as a New Power Instrument
    November 19, 2020
    The COVID-19 pandemic has exacerbated global vulnerabilities to diseases, thereby calling into question the extent to which health constitutes a pillar of homeland security. The increasing relevance of global health issues and their emergence as globalized security threats, have elevate...
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    Biden et la politique étrangère américaine de sécurité : redonner confiance aux alliés
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    November 19, 2020
    Le mandat du président Trump qui, sauf miracle, s’achève en janvier 2021, avait soumis à rude épreuve les alliances des Etats-Unis d’Amérique avec plusieurs pays et entités européens et asiatiques. Plusieurs de ces alliés stratégiques des Etats-Unis avaient, alors, perdu confiance en l’esprit de solidarité qui a toujours empreint l’action étasunienne à leur égard, et amorcé des réflexions sur la construction de leurs propres systèmes de défense. L’arrivée à la Maison Blanche d’un no ...
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    Burkina Faso elections, another box to check
    Authors
    Rida Lyammouri
    November 19, 2020
    In October 2014, Burkina Faso entered a new era when a social uprising resulted in the overthrow after 27 years of President Blaise Compaoré. The uprising was triggered by Compaoré’s attempt to amend the constitution so he could run for another term. In late 2015, Roch Marc Christian Kaboré was elected and sworn as a new president with high hopes for a new Burkina Faso. Corruption, democratic reforms, poverty, and economic development dominated President Kaboré’s inauguration speech ...
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    Emerging powers in Africa: key drivers, differing interests, and future perspectives
    Authors
    Khalid Chegraoui
    Rida Lyammouri
    Maha Skah
    November 10, 2020
    The COVID-19 pandemic has been characterized by a shifting balance of power, with some analysts even predicting a new international order in the making. Emerging powers are contributing to the changing power dynamics by competing to increase the influence they have in political, economic, and security spheres. Africa is one of the key spaces where such strategic efforts have been taking place. In such a context, this paper assesses key drivers of emerging powers’ growing engagement ...
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    Dialogues Stratégiques VIII : Les défis de la navalisation et de la maritimisation du monde ; L’insularité au sein de l’Union Africaine
    Authors
    Eugène Berg
    Pascal Chaigneau
    Khalid Chegraoui
    Jérôme Évrard
    Alain Oudot de Dainville
    Larabi Jaïdi
    Sonia Le Gouriellec
    Jamal Machrouh
    Rodolphe Monnet
    Florent Parmentier
    Nicolas Vaujour
    October 16, 2020
    Dans ce huitième ouvrage, le Centre HEC de Géopolitique et le Policy Center for the New South présentent 13 papiers conjoints inspirés de la 8ème édition de la conférence annuelle des Dialogues Stratégiques, et enrichis par les auteurs. Lors de cette rencontre, qui a eu lieu le 17 octobre 2019, deux thèmes majeurs ont été discutés : Les défis de la navalisation et de la maritimisation du monde et l’insularité au sein de l’Union Africaine. Dans la première partie de l’ouvrage, les a ...
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    Kidnapping Remains a Big Deal in the Sahel
    Authors
    Rida Lyammouri
    October 13, 2020
    Following months of negotaitions, extremist group JNIM released three foreign and one Malian political leader hostages. Malian government led these talks while France and Italy played minor role, if any at all. JNIM received at least €10 million in addition to 204 of its members released from prison. One of the prisoners released is charged in the U.S. with the murder of a U.S. during Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso attack in 2016. Other members released would provide a major boost to JNI ...
  • QAnon and Creeping Conspiracy Theories
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    October 8, 2020
    The so-called QAnon conspiracy theory has inspired groups with millions of members on Facebook and is considered by some observers to be “a new American religion”. For the U.S. Federal Bureau of Investigation, however, the conspiracy theorists could pose a domestic terrorist threat. Q followers believe the baseless messages of their faceless leader(s) that a cabal of Satan-worshipping pedophiles is running a global child-trafficking ring and plotting against Donald Trump, who i ...
  • Vers un régionalisme avancé de la gestion des défis
    Authors
    Hajar El Alaoui
    October 5, 2020
    La pandémie de la Covid-19 a mis en exergue les limites de la « coopération internationale » et du multilatéralisme, cédant la place à une possible émergence de la coopération bilatérale, voire régionale, et à la mise en œuvre de Complexes régionaux de sécurité. La configuration actuelle du monde en fait un village global, où les Etats sont à l’image de leurs nations, plus connectés et interdépendants. Il est, certes, vrai que la mondialisatio ...
  • APSACO Talks 2020 - Workshop 1: Human security index in Africa
    September 25, 2020
    This workshop falls within UNECA’s contribution to “Silencing the Guns: Creating Conducive Conditions for Africa’s Development”. The overall objective of the workshop is to provide an overview of the principles that embody the human security approach and elaborate on the usage of human ...
  • APSACO Talks 2020 - WORKSHOP 2: Global Peace Index
    September 25, 2020
    Le Global Peace Index (GPI) est la publication phare de l'Institute for Economics & Peace (Institut pour l'économie et la paix - IEP) et en est actuellement à sa quatorzième édition. Il présente l'une des analyses de données les plus complètes sur les tendances de la paix dans le mo...
  • APSACO Talks 2020 - Atelier 1 : Indice de sécurité humaine en Afrique
    September 25, 2020
    Cet atelier s'inscrit dans le cadre de la contribution de l'UNECA au thème « Faire taire les armes : créer des conditions propices au développement de l'Afrique ». L'objectif général de l'atelier est de donner un aperçu des principes qui incarnent l'approche de la sécurité humaine et de...
  • APSACO Talks 2020 - ATELIER 2 : « Indice mondial de la paix »
    September 25, 2020
    Le Global Peace Index (GPI) est la publication phare de l'Institute for Economics & Peace (Institut pour l'économie et la paix - IEP) et en est actuellement à sa quatorzième édition. Il présente l'une des analyses de données les plus complètes sur les tendances de la paix dans le mo...
  • APSACO Talks 2020 - Panel 2: The privatization of violence in Africa...
    September 24, 2020
    With regards to human security in Africa, this panel will highlight the evolution of organized crimes in Africa while exploring the privatization of security under international Law: • Exploitation of the COVID-19 health crisis by extremist groups • Evolution of organized crime in Afric...
  • APSACO Talks 2020 - Panel 2 : la privatisation de la violence en afrique ...
    September 24, 2020
    S'agissant de la sécurité humaine en Afrique, ce panel s'intéressera à l'évolution de la criminalité organisée en Afrique tout en se penchant sur la privatisation de la sécurité au regard du droit international : • Exploitation de la crise sanitaire due à la COVID-19 par des groupes ext...
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    Droit international de l’eau et conflits interétatiques
    Authors
    Khalid Chegraoui
    Noureddine Jallal
    September 16, 2020
    Il semble pertinent, avant d’exposer un sujet aussi important qu’actuel, d’apporter deux remarques nécessaires. Elles auront la finalité, à la fois, de préciser les contours du sujet et de prendre en considération la réalité du droit international. La première remarque consiste à faire la distinction entre le droit international de l’eau et le droit international à l’eau. Ce dernier constitue un avatar du corpus du premier et une étape nouvelle dans sa « juridicisation » et son évol ...
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    The Nuclearization of the Middle East
    Authors
    Hamza Mjahed
    September 8, 2020
    The Middle East is currently witnessing a proliferation of nuclear programs that is the harbinger of headaches. A nuclear domino effect has occurred, and its implications are unpredictable but dangerous. Regional disarmament and non-proliferation initiatives are not in the cards and are becoming outdated concepts, especially since most Middle Eastern powers are systematically constructing nuclear facilities that could be used for military purposes. With shifting power dynamics shack ...
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    Défis sécuritaires dans la zone Sahelosahélienne : le challenge de la mise en adéquation et de la coordination entre réponses internationales et nationales
    Authors
    Youssef Tobi
    September 8, 2020
    Les pays du Sahel font face à des changements politiques qui affectent négativement le continent africain dans son ensemble. Ce papier, tout en traitant la question des armées et de leurs implications dans des zones de conflits, notamment au Mali, pierre d’achoppement de la région, tente d’établir le lien essentiel entre sécurité et développement. La nécessaire importance à accorder au renforcement des institutions nationales est aussi en filigrane des arguments développés. This ch ...
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    Rapport annuel sur la Géopolitique de l’Afrique 2020
    Authors
    Sous la direction de
    Abdelhak Bassou
    September 3, 2020
    Au moment où elle fêtait le passage à 2020, l’Afrique était loin de soupçonner que l’année à laquelle elle faisait ses adieux, aurait le funeste “privilège” de porter dans ses registres d’Etat-civil, la naissance d’un virus qui allait paralyser le monde, dans la première moitié de l’année suivante. C’est sur cette Afrique de l’année pré-Covid-19 que portent les différents papiers du présent Rapport. Les uns, reflétant les espoirs, les ambitions et les projets africains et, les autre ...
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    Mozambique Les défis sécuritaires, politiques et géopolitiques du boom gazier
    Authors
    Benjamin Augé
    August 31, 2020
    Les découvertes géantes de gaz au Mozambique, soit 160 trillions de pieds cubes (4 530 milliards de mètres cubes), vont permettre à ce pays très pauvre (6 e produit national brut [PNB] par habitant – le plus faible du continent africain) de devenir un des futurs grands producteurs de gaz naturel liquéfié (GNL) au monde d’ici deux décennies. La plupart des majors occidentales et asiatiques sont théoriquement prêtes à investir plus d’une centaine de milliards de dollars (Mds de $) dan ...
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    Impact of Covid-19 in Central Sahel: Niger, Mali, and Burkina Faso
    Authors
    Rida Lyammouri
    Nihal El Mquirmi
    August 18, 2020
    Fragile, poor, and conflict-affected Sahelian countries of Mali, Niger, and Burkina Faso were expected to witness catastrophic health and security situations following the emergence of COVID-19. However, the number of cases and deaths remained relatively low in all three countries compared to other parts of the world. Violent extremist organizations (VEOs) attempted to exploit the pandemic in their narratives, while continuing to conduct attacks in the region. Violence and attacks b ...
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    Les Complexes régionaux de Sécurité comme cadre de lutte contre les pandémies
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    Hajar El Alaoui
    August 13, 2020
    Une pandémie est, par définition, un défi transnational impactant l’ensemble des organes acteurs des relations internationales. Néanmoins, c’est d’une meilleure gestion des interactions - de nature coopérative ou conflictuelle-, des entités régionales du système international, dont dépendra l’efficacité des Complexes régionaux de Sécurité (CRS). Ambitionnant la création de relations privilégiées entre plusieurs Etats géographiquement rapprochés, les CRS se positionnent comme un cadr ...
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    Surveillance Technologies in the Covid-19 Era
    Authors
    Redouan Najah
    August 10, 2020
    While many states are adopting strict measures including containment and even border closures, some countries have used surveillance technologies to control the spread of the virus, and others are considering similar solutions. The most widespread device is the geolocation of smartphone data, digital tracing, cybersurveillance and facial recognition, the aim of which is to detect the movements of potentially contaminated people, warn populations likely to have been exposed to the vi ...
  • Qui a tué le Liban ?
    Authors
    Akram Zaoui
    August 6, 2020
    Il y a, d’abord, les premières images. Celles d’une gigantesque déflagration. Même les dizaines de déflagrations, dont nous parviennent régulièrement les clichés ou les films, et qui ont embrasé, ces dernières années, le Moyen-Orient, ne nous ont pas habitués à des images de cette violence. Puis, dans tous les esprits, en écho, viennent les théories sur l’origine de l’incident. Nous sommes au Liban. Les hypothèses d’attentat, de nouveau règlement de comptes sanglant entre puis ...
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    La résolution de conflits à l’épreuve Enjeux et défis du cas syrien
    Authors
    Hind Zaamoun
    July 29, 2020
    Ce Papier a pour objet de considérer le blocage que connait le processus de résolution des conflits, en prenant la Syrie comme cas d’étude. Il s’agira de mettre l’accent sur les changements instaurés par le nouvel ordre global dans les zones de conflit, avant d’approfondir la réflexion sur les retombées et les limites sur le plan pratique. Pour se faire, l’analyse se focalisera sur l’étude de la transformation des conflits et des nouveaux défis et dysfonctionnements initiés par le n ...
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    1999 – 2020 LE MAROC EN AFRIQUE : Diplomatie, Sécurité & Développement
    Authors
    Amine Harastani Madani
    July 29, 2020
    Parler de de l’Union africaine sans évoquer la place qu’y occupe le Maroc serait incomplet, car le Royaume a contribué activement à la construction africaine, s’en est séparé, en signe de protestation contre le non-respect de la légalité internationale par les organes de la défunte Organisation de l’Unité africaine pour, ensuite, y retourner, dans le cadre de l’Union africaine. Doit-on parler de retour ou d’admission ? Indépendamment de la réponse apportée à cette question, il convi ...
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    Russian Interference in Africa: Disinformation and Mercenaries
    Authors
    Rida Lyammouri
    Youssef Eddazi
    June 30, 2020
    Russia is trying to gain a foothold in Africa via subversion and disinformation tactics. Under the leadership of President Vladimir Putin, Russia increased its interference in Africa by sending mercenaries to show force as opposed to making direct security interventions. At the same time, Russia struck arms deals and plans to expand its military presence. Russia also used social and broadcast media to support national leaders and other actors involved in conflicts. Although Russia’s ...
  • Abandoning Afghanistan to the Taliban Wolves
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    June 26, 2020
    Peace was near, most of the 5000 Taliban fighters were released—one condition for serious peace negotiations—and a city was selected for the negotiations between the Taliban and the Afghan government: Doha, Qatar. But an invisible enemy committed sabotage. COVID-19 brought down members of both sides. Worse: the Taliban’s supreme leader, Mullah Hibatullah Akhundzada was rumored to be on the threshold of death. NATO’s new senior civilian representative in Afghanistan, Stefano Pontecor ...
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    Les technologies de surveillance à l’ère de la Covid-19
    Authors
    Redouan Najah
    June 19, 2020
    Alors que de nombreux Etats adoptent des mesures strictes appelant au confinement et allant jusqu’à la fermeture des frontières, certains pays ont eu recours aux technologies de surveillance afin de contrôler la propagation du virus, alors que d’autres se penchent sur des solutions similaires. Le dispositif le plus répandu est la géolocalisation des données smartphones, le traçage numérique, la cyber-surveillance et la reconnaissance faciale, dont l’objectif consiste à détecter les ...
  • L’Afrique de l’Ouest face au terrorisme sahélien, le combattre maintenant ou le subir à jamais
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    June 15, 2020
    La Covid-19, menace conjoncturelle en dépit des impacts néfastes attendus, ne doit pas nous détourner complètement de menaces en phase de devenir structurelles et menacer toute une région dans son existence. Le terrorisme au Sahel et dans la région du Lac Tchad s’est avéré résilient face aux efforts jusqu’à présent déployés. Non seulement il n’a pas été vaincu au Sahel mais il avance vers son objectif final : atteindre l’Atlantique à travers les pays côtiers de l’Afrique de l’O ...
  • A Terrifying Reality
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    June 3, 2020
    China, which in 1984 signed a treaty to take over Hong Kong from Britain, agreeing to rule it until 2047 as an autonomous Hong Kong Special Administrative region, has suddenly turned impatient. It has announced to the world that the idea that the former colony could be managed, as the formal agreement stipulates, as “one nation, two systems” for another 27 years, was an illusion, and the city is endangered by chaotic demonstrations by a violent democracy movement, support ...
  • Le Conseil de Sécurité de l’ONU et la Covid-19 : “Après l’heure, c’est plus l’heure”
    Authors
    Mohammed Loulichki
    June 3, 2020
    Plus de cinq mois se sont écoulés depuis l’apparition du premier cas du Virus Covid-19 dont le bilan mondial provisoire est estimé, aujourd’hui, à plus de six millions de personnes affectées et 400.000 victimes. Durant toute cette période, le Conseil de Sécurité des Nations unies n’a pas été en mesure d’adopter une position sous quelle forme que ce soit concernant la nouvelle pandémie. La raison majeure de cette défaillance est la lutte de puissance entre les Etats-Unis et la Chine, ...
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    Contribution des Armées à la lutte contre le Covid-19
    Authors
    Taoufik Marrakchi
    June 2, 2020
    Héros méconnus de la lutte contre le Covid-19, les professionnels du secteur de la santé publique ont assuré leurs charges avec des ressources qui se sont avérées insuffisantes : le déficit de personnels spécialisés, amplifié par des problèmes de logistique, ont fortement porté préjudice à l’efficacité de leurs actions. Face à cette situation contraignante, nombreux sont les Etats qui ont appelé leurs armées en renfort, eu égard à leur expertise en matière de gestion des risques, me ...
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    Peacekeeping Missions in the Time of Coronavirus: New Configurations and New Challenges
    Authors
    El Mostafa Rezrazi
    May 27, 2020
    In discussing the potential role of peacekeeping missions in the context of the threat of the Coronavirus pandemic, two main issues arise. The first is of a legal nature, and the second is linked to the management of expenditures and budgets. Legally, the duties of peacekeeping missions are defined by the United Nations Security Council resolutions that mandate the creation of a mission. Financially, UN member states have become less willing to finance peacekeeping operations (PKO ...
  • Assessing Africa’s responses to COVID-19: challenges and prospects
    May 21, 2020
    The COVID-19 pandemic, while primarily a public health matter, has brought about a number of concerns related to its economic, social and political impact. The deadly virus is increasingly imposing itself as a threat to international peace and security, and the stability of countries, e...
  • Les Mardis du PCNS - 12/05/2020 : نقاش عبر الويب: التحديات الأمنية في إفريقيا في ظل جائحة كورونا
    May 19, 2020
    المسير: عبد الحق باسو، باحث بارز، مركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد المتدخلون: خالد الشڭراوي، باحث بارز، مركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد أمال الوصيف، باحثة في العلاقات الدولية متخصصة في الهجرة، مركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد أكرم زاوي، باحث في العلاقات الدولية متخصصة في شمال إفر...
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    Atlantic Dialogues Emerging Leaders 2019 : Program Report
    Authors
    Atlantic Dialogues Emerging Leaders
    May 6, 2020
    The Policy Center for the New South (PCNS) believes in filling in the generational and perception gaps, and this can only be achieved when the younger generations of leaders and professionals are given a seat at the table, to challenge the established perspectives and forward the conversations. The PCNS supports youth as the leaders of today and has faith in their capacity to inflict change in the present. It also believes in: intergenerational dialogue and co-leadership; youth as a ...
  • La stratégie française au Sahel
    Elie Tenenbaum
    May 04, 2020
    Elie Tenenbaum passe ici en revue les principaux développements ayant trait à l’intervention française dans la région du Sahel. Après quelques rappels liminaires sur la géographie régiona ...
  • I Like Him and He Likes Me
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    April 29, 2020
    Kim Jong-un, the dictator of North Korea, disappeared from public view after an appearance at a Workers' Party politburo meeting on April 11. The unpredictable leader did not appear to celebrate the anniversary of his grandfather’s birthday four days later, an important holiday for the nation. Then Mr Kim missed Military Foundation Day, on which he usually honors the military, the foundation of his absolute power. Rumors began to spread. The dictator was gravely ill, possibly dying. ...
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    Crisis Control: the Use of Simulations for Policy Decisionmaking
    Authors
    Eduardo Amaral Haddad
    Karina Bugarin
    April 24, 2020
    In face of the worldwide COVID-19 pandemic, use of evidence may be key to timely and precise decision-making. This policy brief explores the use of simulations in policy decisionmaking in the Brazilian State of São Paulo in fighting the COVID-19 pandemic. We draw briefly on the literature on evidence-based public policy to highlight the exacerbated need for timely decision-making and the role evidence plays in guiding high-level decisionmakers amidst a crisis. We present examples of ...
  • Covid-19 : Nécessité d’un Etat fort et souci des libertés individuelles ?
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    April 23, 2020
    Que ne doit-on concéder de nos libertés pour être protégés du Coronavirus ? partout dans notre monde en détresse -même chez les plus libéraux- l’Etat est appelé à la rescousse, il est sollicité et, même, avec insistance. Il est le seul à pouvoir déployer les moyens nécessaires à nous sauver, et personne d’autre que lui n’est assez fort pour imposer la discipline salvatrice. Exit tous les autres acteurs, place à l’Etat. Silence et respect, le Régalien est de retour. Hobbes retro ...
  • COVID-19 and Military Preparedness
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    April 22, 2020
    Imagine you are one of the crew members of the nuclear-powered fast-attack submarine USS Connecticut, 1000 meters under the floating ice of the Arctic Ocean. Your three-month secret mission is only in its third week. Suddenly, the sailor above your bunk starts coughing, the neighbor signals he has a fever, and the onboard medical officer alerts his commanding officer that 55 of the 116 crew are showing advanced symptoms of COVID-19. There is no nearby human settlement to go to, just ...
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    L’agenda du conseil de sécurité de l’ONU au premier trimestre 2020 : Les foyers classiques de tension l’emportent sur le Covid-19
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    April 14, 2020
    Parallèlement à l’apparition du Covid-19 au début de l’année en cours, les différents foyers de tensions et de guerres ont vu se développer, entre les belligérants, des escalades dangereuses qui menacent la paix et la sécurité dans le monde. Du Yémen au Sahel, en passant par la Syrie et la Libye, le monde voyait les chances de retrouver la sérénité et la quiétude s’évaporer avec les tirs de mortiers, les raids aériens, les attaques de drones et le renforcement des lignes de fronts e ...
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    Investir dans la Sécurité Sanitaire, Maintenant plus que jamais
    Authors
    Abdelali Belghiti Alaoui
    April 13, 2020
    La pandémie du Covid-19 est un nouveau signal d’alarme incitant les pays à accorder la priorité à la santé dans le développement et dans la sécurité internationale. Depuis la pandémie du VIH/Sida et la flambée épidémique d’Ébola, les crises sanitaires sont entrées dans la sphère des compétences du Conseil de Sécurité des Nations unies, en devenant des menaces non traditionnelles à la paix et la sécurité internationales. Ce rapprochement entre la santé et la sécurité était à la base ...
  • The Making of a SuperPower: How China Uses Crises to Deepen and Extend Power and Influence, in Europe & the World
    Authors
    Len Ishmael
    April 9, 2020
    Our Senior Fellow, Len Ishmael has contributed to the Quarterly Journal by Beyond the Horizon ISSG (Volume 3 Issue 1), under the theme « Influencing and Promoting Global Peace and Security Horizon Insights », with a Policy Paper where she addresses China’s use of crises to « deepen and extend power and influence in Europe and the world ». Standing in solidarity with countries in Europe and elsewhere in the fight against COVID-19, China scores a diplomatic coup and extends its claim ...
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    Religious Statecraft in the Sahel
    Authors
    Hisham Aidi
    April 8, 2020
    In January 2020, French president Emmanuel Macron hosted an emergency summit for the heads of state of Mauritania, Mali, Burkina Faso, Niger, and Chad (the G5 Sahel group). The participants agreed to set up the Coalition for the Sahel to tackle the region’s ongoing security crisis. The conflicts in the border regions of Mali, Niger, and Burkina Faso have left more than 10,000 people dead, and displaced over a million. The French president committed an additional 600 troops to join t ...
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    The War on Covid-19: the 9/11 of Health Security?
    Authors
    Salma Daoudi
    April 8, 2020
    The coronavirus pandemic represents a turning point in security studies, shedding light on the importance of the health of populations for sustaining the political, economic, and social health of the nation-state. Playing a role akin to the 9/11 events in propelling terrorism at the forefront of the global security agenda, COVID-19 reshuffles national security priorities. As such, the securitization of health has allowed the implementation of drastic exceptional measures aimed at co ...
  • Artificial Intelligence and the Rule of War
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    April 3, 2020
    His delicate, almost floating touches created a hitherto unseen aesthetic perfection: the enigmatic face the Mona Lisa. The mysterious woman, captured on a panel of poplar wood, is the work of a genius, possibly one of the greatest minds in human history: Leonardo da Vinci. But Da Vinci also had another obsession: the art of war. In a letter to the court of Ludovico Sforza, then ruler of Milan, the celebrated maestro wrote, “I will make covered vehicles, safe and unassailable ...
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    Le Covid-19, une menace à la paix et la sécurité internationales ?
    Authors
    Mohammed Loulichki
    March 27, 2020
    Le virus Corona a laissé l'humanité désarmée et impuissante à y faire face. Les Etats y ont réagi en rangs dispersés, sans aucune coordination, et les Organisations internationales se sont limitées à alerter les Etats et à les inciter à prendre les mesures nécessaires pour faire face à la pandémie. Si le Secrétaire général de l’ONU a été parmi les premiers à “déclarer la guerre” a ce virus, le Conseil de Sécurité a brillé par son absence, alors qu’auparavant, il avait adopté des rés ...
  • Three Reasons the United Kingdom is increasing its presence in West Africa
    Authors
    Hamza M'Jahed
    March 11, 2020
    West Africa has always played an essential role in African geopolitics. Although less thought of than north, south and east Africa, because of their envied strategic openings into both the Mediterranean Sea and Indian Ocean, West African countries are transforming themselves into a major African hub. For Britain, the completion of Brexit heralds a new era in its contemporary history. In this framework, West Africa is a crucial region for the United Kingdom’s long-term strategic goal ...
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    How post-structural feminism and its focus on the concept of gender provide an innovative challenge to the status quo within Security Studies
    Authors
    Nihal El Mquirmi
    March 5, 2020
    This essay aims first to place post-structural feminism –as an intellectual current- within the theoretical debates of security studies, challenging mainstream approaches by including gender as a challenging concept. Analysis done by post-structuralism scholars has shown that language is ontologically significant, that the intelligible world is a social construct, and that there is no objective or true meaning of something. Post-structural feminism introduces the concept of gender t ...
  • Libyan Crisis. Interview with Helmut Sorge
    February 20, 2020
    Questions: 1/ Is the civil war in Libya threatening the neighbouring nations ? 2/ In the recent Berlin conference on Libya the participants agreed to attempt a ceasefire and stop arms deliveries to various milicias and fighting groups. Are these credible proposals ? 3/ How do you explai...
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    Stakes and symbolism of the "Round Table" in the settlement of international conflicts: the cases of Vietnam and the Sahara
    Authors
    Mohammed Loulichki
    February 20, 2020
    The initiation and conduct of any negotiation are not solely dependent on the positions of parties, their willingness to make concessions and, possibly, the mediator's talent. Similarly, they do not merely hinge on the settlement of procedural issues and the adoption of technical arrangements designed to circumvent the parties' prior objections, to accommodate their sensitivities and to secure their acceptance of a code of conduct suited to each phase of the negotiations. Such techn ...
  • Global Problem – Local Approaches to Prevent Extremism
    Authors
    Seleman Yusuph Kitenge
    February 3, 2020
    In November 2019, as a veteran peace advocate, I had a rare opportunity to be invited to attend the 2nd Paris Peace Forum in France through the nomination of the Policy Center for the New South. This gathering was of high paramount for me considering my role as a peace advocate but also as a former member of the National Working Group in Prevention of Violent Extremism in Tanzania. As an invited guest I did not want to be part of every agenda of the forum so instead, I targeted spec ...
  • Le leadership des femmes garant de la paix
    Authors
    Patricia Ahanda
    January 24, 2020
    C’est l’image d’une femme qui s’élève au milieu de la foule et s’exprime pour demander la paix, pour appeler à la fin des violences et des conflits. C’est une image qui a fait le tour du monde, une image devenue virale, prise ici ou ailleurs, du Soudan au Liban. C’est la photographie de la nouvelle géopolitique mondiale où les femmes refusent d’être uniquement représentées en victimes mais, au contraire, s’affirment en leaders, dirigeantes, diplomates, assises à la table des né ...
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    Iran/Etats-Unis : L’assassinat de Soulaimani, pas de quoi générer une guerre
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    January 17, 2020
    Ce papier tente, aux vues de l’état actuel des relations entre les Etats-Unis et l’Iran et des conjonctures qui traversent la région et le monde d’aujourd’hui, de prospecter les pistes d’évolution de la tension ambiante. S’achemine-t-on vers une guerre ? Quels en seront les acteurs ? Quelle en seraient la nature et les limites et, surtout, quels en seraient les impacts, sur la région et sur le monde ? Les réactions sont jusqu’à présent mitigées et se limitent aux formules diplomati ...
  • Sommet de Pau ou Sommet de Pô : Quelles options pour la résolution du conflit au Mali ?
    Authors
    Youssef Tobi
    January 15, 2020
    La récente déclaration du Secrétaire général de l’Organisation des Nations unies 1 et les relais dans les différents médias qui avancent que la situation au Mali qui se détériore de plus en plus serait presque un euphémisme, tant l’Etat malien souffre depuis 2013 d’un manque de stabilité patent. La perspective d’organisation d’élections législatives en 2020 demeure très incertaine au vu des attaques répétées des groupes terroristes qui, en plus de menacer la vie des Maliens, remette ...
  • Death was Late
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    January 15, 2020
    “The Nightmare we feared has arrived” Death was late because the departure time of the plane was delayed. But death arrived- six minutes after takeoff from Tehran’s “Imam Khomeini International Airport. It was still dark, 6.12 hours’ local time, when flight 752 of “Ukraine International Airlines” took course toward Kyiv, the Ukraine capital three hours and fourty two minutes away. The Boeing 737 800 NG had reached 2400 meters, when the American military’s “Space Based Infrared ...
  • Crise libyenne : La Turquie, le Maghreb, l’Egypte, les pays du Golfe et les autres…
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    January 3, 2020
    La Libye entame l’année 2020 dans une atmosphère d’escalade. Le conflit s’internationalise et menace la stabilité d’au moins trois régions imbriquées par le fait géographique, les intérêts géopolitiques et par la continuité historique: - Toute la région méditerranéenne est concernée par la conjoncture libyenne. Qu’il s’agisse de sa partie orientale (Egypte, Turquie, Liban, Syrie, Israël, Chypre et Grèce) ou de son flanc occidental (Maroc, Algérie, Tunisie, France, Italie et Espagne ...
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    Separatism in Africa - A Fundamental Problem -
    Authors
    Matsumoto Shoji
    December 25, 2019
    It is reported in 2017 that the world’s most active armed conflict zones involved disputes related to selfdetermination, with an estimated civilian death-toll of over 20 million, and there were over 60 ongoing selfdetermination conflicts in the world. While Brexit, Barcelona and Crimea’s separation from Ukraine have received worldwide attention today in respect to separatism, “Africa is home to a number of separatist movements”. In fact, separatism in Africa has been discussed compr ...
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    ATLANTIC CURRENTS 6th Edition: The South in the Time of Turmoil
    Authors
    December 11, 2019
    The Atlantic Current’s 6th edition provides overview, fresh insights, latest data, and broader analysis on the Atlantic space’s current challenges, as well as their implications for the South. Different chapters explore emerging trends and critical issues, such as the World Trade Organization reform, Brexit and the future of EU, the expansion of militancy in the Sahel and Coastal Africa, the role of cultural diplomacy and the deepening of Sino-African relations within a shifting an ...
  • Présence militaire française au Sahel : Le temps des décisions
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    December 7, 2019
    La présence de la France au Sahel n’est pas un sujet facile à discuter, à commenter ou à traiter. D’une part, l’intervention française, en 2013, (Opération Serval), avait permis de prolonger l’existence de l’Etat malien qui, sans l’opération française, n’aurait pas pu résister aux menées terroristes qui visaient Bamako. D’autre part, la présence française semble ne rien pouvoir changer à l’avancée du terrorisme dans la région, le phénomène semble même gagner du terrain devant l’imp ...
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    L’Afrique face aux defis proteiformes du cyberespace
    Authors
    Mourad El Manir
    December 3, 2019
    Le prix du meilleur roman africain de science-fiction au titre de l’année 2017 avait été remporté par Tade Thompson pour son livre intitulé «Rosewater» qui aborde l’histoire d’un agent des services de sécurité luttant contre les cyber-fraudes au Nigéria en 2066. Cette référence à un roman de science-fiction pour introduire les enjeux cybernétiques en Afrique n’est pas fortuite dans la mesure où le mot «cyberespace», inspiré du mot «cybernétique», fut utilisé, pour la première fois, ...
  • La dégradation de la sécurité au Sahel
    Alain Antil 
    December 02, 2019
    Alain Antil, Chercheur et Directeur du Centre Afrique Subsaharienne de l’IFRI, analyse la dégradation de la sécurité au Sahel à travers une cartographie des zones touchées par le terroris ...
  • Colombia: Heading Back Towards Jungles and Mountains
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    November 26, 2019
    Beyond the verbal anarchy celebrated by President Donald Trump, or the annihilation of abandoned Kurdish allies of the United States, the never ending destruction of Yemen, the threatening warfare against Iran, a massacre by Iraqi forces to intimidate protesters against a failing government, more gas and ammunition fired in Hong Kong to oppress untamable activist fearing their loss of freedom, Britain crashing out of the European Union, abandoning common sense and democratic dignity ...
  • Where Books are Burned, at the End People Will Burn
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    November 20, 2019
    His name was Heller. Gerhard Heller. For his friends in Paris he was just « Gérard » and not an insulting Fritz, a fridolin, a boche, or a chleuh. Heller was a symbol of power. He was a « Sonderfuehrer » in the « Propagandastaffel », practically a low level lieutenant, but for his French contacts he was the ruler of them all. Heller was the censor for French literature, a kind of Napoleon in Nazi uniform. He decided whether Sartre’s books would be publi ...
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    Evolving Human Security Challenges in the Atlantic Space
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    Amal El Ouassif
    November 19, 2019
    In the context of the Policy Center for the New South Partnership with Jean Monnet Network on Atlantic Studies, a project coordinated by the Fundação Getúlio Vargasand funded by the European Commission, under the Horizon 2020 research program, our Senior Fellow Abdelhak Bassou and researcher in International Relations Amal El Ouassif drafted the second chapter entitled : Understanding Terrorism and Organized Crime in Light of Fragile States: Case Study on Niger, Mali and ...
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    State Failure and Rebel Governance in Africa
    Authors
    Hisham Aidi
    November 5, 2019
    Since 2013, armed conflict has raged in the Central African Republic, between the largely Muslim Seleka rebels and the predominantly Christian militias (known as the anti-Balaka). Rebel groups are controlling broad swathes of the country, exploiting mineral wealth, and levying taxes on cattle migration. Non-state actors such as the Popular Front for the Governance of the Central African Republic (FPRC), which claims to “govern” the country’s northeast, have severely tested the autho ...
  • Al Baghdadi éliminé : Lecture politique dans une opération militaire
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    November 1, 2019
    Dans la nuit du samedi 26, Donald Trump, comme à son habitude, lance un tweet quelque peu énigmatique :  ‘’Quelque chose d’énorme vient de se passer’’. Le porte-parole de la Maison Blanche renforce la devinette, en déclarant que le président ‘’fera, le dimanche 27 octobre à 9h, une annonce très importante’’, sans donner d’indices. Le suspens ne dura cependant que quelques minutes. Bien avant le rendez-vous fixé par Washington, des médias et des journalistes avancent l’éven ...
  • Interview avec Abdelhak Bassou sur le Sommet Russie-Afrique de Sotchi
    October 29, 2019
    Questions : 1/ Qualifierez-vous le Sommet Russie/Afrique de Sotchi de retrouvailles ou de consolidation des relations russo-africaines ? 2/ Vladimir Poutine parviendra-t-il à remettre la Russie au centre de l’Afrique ? 3/ Moscou ne risque-t-elle pas de gêner les présences européenne, am...
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    Le développement des hydrocarbures en Afrique de l’Est, Défis politiques et sécuritaires
    Authors
    Benjamin Augé
    October 29, 2019
    L’ Afrique de l’Est a le potentiel de connaître un boom gazier et d’ exportation de gaz naturel liquéfié (GNL) ces prochaines années grâce à plusieurs projets qui viennent d’être débloqués. Le Mozambique a ainsi sanctionné deux projets totalisant plus de 15 millions de tonnes par an (Mt/an) de gaz liquéfié et un troisième devrait être lancé d’ici la fin 2019. Un premier Floating Liquefied Natual Gas plant (FLNG) d’ ENI arrivera sur le marché en 2021-2022 et quatre autres trains de l ...
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    Humanitarian Assistance as Peace-Keeping - Beyond Charity -
    Authors
    Matsumoto Shoji
    October 24, 2019
    Due to the prevailing nationalism, the prospect of increase in voluntary donation for humanitarian assistance by States and citizens in charity is depressing, though humanitarian crises are increasing and becoming complicated. Thus, MINUSMA, MINUSCA and G5 Sahel Joint Force lack funds. For starting discussions on the donation by citizens not in charity, Japan’s experience of Furusato Nozei, or ‘Hometown Donation Program’, will be briefly referred. ...
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    Synthesis Report: 3rd Edition of the African Peace and Security Annual Conference (APSACO)
    Authors
    October 18, 2019
    The third edition of the African Peace and Security Annual Conference (APSACO) was held on June 18-19th 2019 under the theme “Africa's Place and Influence in a Changing World”. The two-day event, organized by Policy Center for the New South (PCNS), was launched with the publication of the Annual Report on Africa’s Geopolitics, Followed by five panels : - Panel 1: Africa and the world or How to balance Mutual perceptions; - Panel 2: Africa and the production of strategic and normati ...
  • Une place dans le ‘’Marché mondial des idées’’
    Authors
    Mokhtar Ghailani
    October 18, 2019
    D’édition en édition, African Peace and Security annual Conference (APSACO), l’un des rendez-vous annuels phares du Policy Center for the New South (PCNS), confirme son envergure de plate-forme d’échange et de partage en vue de permettre à l’Afrique de s’adjuger une place dans le marché mondial des idées.  Dans son intervention lors de la 3ème édition, organisée les 18 et 19 juin 2019, avec pour thème ‘’ Africa's Place and Influence in a Changing World’ ...
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    Tribal Dynamics in the Sahel
    Authors
    Rida Lyammouri
    October 9, 2019
    This paper suggests that tribal dynamics of power structure are key in reestablishing peace and development in the region. The Sahel region’s security challenges are directly influenced by tribalism and ethnic dynamics. In recent decades mistreatment, favoritism, and corruption allowed criminality and multidimensional conflicts to flourish. This is evident in Mali, Niger, Burkina Faso, Libya, and Chad. Lightly governed and poorly secured regions in these countries became more strate ...
  • Satellites: The New Frontier of Power
    Authors
    Amine Bennis
    October 7, 2019
    A few months ago, Indian Prime Minister Modi announced that his country had improved its space capabilities by shooting down from Earth a low orbit satellite that was 300 km away in space. Most commentators assume that the destroyed target was an Indian satellite, presumably outdated or no longer fully functioning. Modi further reassured the international community by stating that the technology will only be used for security, peace, and development purposes, and that the act did no ...
  • India and Morocco’s New Cooperation Areas: Focusing on Security and Preventing Violent Extremism
    Authors
    Ihssane Guennoun
    October 2, 2019
    With India looking more towards Africa as a home for sustainable partners, it is also looking at diversifying the areas of collaboration with several African countries, especially with Morocco. As early as 1967, India’s then Vice-President Zakir Hussain visited Morocco and set the tone for engagement between both countries. The latter has established diplomatic relations based on mutual understanding, tolerance and respect. Since then, the two countries have enjoyed fruitful re ...
  • The Trouble With Gulf Patrols
    Authors
    Joseph Hammond
    September 17, 2019
    The author is an alumnus of theAtlantic Dialogues Emeging Leaders Program 2018. In the strategic waters near the straights of Hormuz in many ways such it’s the 1980s all over again. Recent mine attacks on maritime traffic and the capture of multiple vessels by Iran harks back to the so-called “Tanker War.” A nested conflict within the larger Iran-Iraq War the “Tanker War” involved American warships escorting oil tanker traffic through the Straights of Hormuz despite Iranian interd ...
  • 18 ans après les attaques terroristes du 11 Septembre 2001 (1/2)
    September 12, 2019
    A l'occasion de la commémoration des attentats du 11 septembre, le Policy Center for the New South a demandé à Abdelhak Bassou, expert en sécurité et Senior Fellow : 1/ Dans quelle mesure les attaques du 11 Septembre 2001 étaient venues mettre fin au ‘’monde ancien’’ ? 2/ Quel état des ...
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    Moroccan Armed Forces in the Face of Geopolitical Mutations
    Authors
    Rachid El Houdaigui
    September 9, 2019
    One of the first sovereign decisions of independent Morocco was to create the Royal Armed Forces (FAR) on 14 May 1956. Since then, the mission of the Moroccan army is consistent with the country's historical continuity shaped by strategic constants, it has however been subject to both conceptual and operational pressures since the late 1990s, as the lines between defense and security have blurred. This paper explores the central issue of adjusting the Royal Armed Forces (FAR) to a r ...
  • Space war: From the moon towards infinity
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    August 5, 2019
    The moon and space exploration are tempting more nations than ever. Global powers are preparing for possible space war. The visions of science fiction writers are approaching reality… “THAT BRIGHT LOVELINESS IN THE ETERNAL COLD” The moon was mysterious, the man on the moon an extravagant imagination, unreachable except in our fanciful mental images, or the make believe of science fiction authors. One day in December anno 1968, three men orbited the moon, really did, 240 000 miles ...
  • The Misunderstood World of Cybersecurity in Africa
    Authors
    Amanda Mathe
    July 10, 2019
    A new age world of understanding that requires skills and fair access to information. Where open data is met with harsh punishment and laws set without clarity. Here is a look at African’s take on cybersecurity. This article is published on the eve of the Ifri-PCNS Roundtable taking place in Paris under the theme "Global Cybersecurity Challenges: Disentangling Risks and Opportunities in International Politics."   The digital era has brought about new forms of commun ...
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    2019 Secretary-General Report on Sahara: What’s New - ‘Neighbouring States as Parties’ in Roundtable -
    Authors
    Matsumoto Shoji
    July 1, 2019
    Few weeks ago, I gained the chance of reading the UN Security Council resolution 2468 of 30 April on MINURSO , and was surprised by the frequently repeated expression of “Morocco, the Frente Polisario, Algeria, and Mauritania”, instead of the previous “all parties and neighbours”. Besides, it was reported that the US representative twice referred to “Morocco, the Frente Polisario, Algeria, and Mauritania” in his short remark in the Security Council meeting1. Shortly after that, I co ...
  • Two State Solution
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    July 1, 2019
    One week ago, Bahrain has hosted the "Peace to Prosperity" workshop to discuss what the United States has described as the economic part of President Donald Trump's "deal of the century", his proposal for solving the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. The Palestinian leadership boycotted the meeting on June 25 and 26 in Manama, leading critics to question the credibility of the event. Below is an international press review of events preceding the workshop by Helmut Sorge,&nbsp ...
  • Partager Sanctions: America's Chokehold
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    June 21, 2019
    The New York Times reported this morning that after the shot down of an U.S. drone by Iranian forces, President Trump ordered military retaliation, but called it off in the early phase. Below is a facts' review through the international press perspectives. “You are pushing everyone towards a confrontation” Unusually, the satellite images were not presented to the media. Possibly, the photos were taken from a submarine, or there was fear that the enemy could figure o ...
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    Stability and Security in Africa: The Role of Hard and Soft Power
    Authors
    Scientific Committee :
    Abdelhak Bassou
    Rachid El Houdaigui
    Jack Kalpakian
    Nizar Messari
    Sara Hasnaa Mokaddem
    Ahmed Rhazaoui
    June 14, 2019
    Enhancing the strategic thinking on issues related to stability and security at the African level requires challenging the predominant classical conception of security towards a more comprehensive, supportive and inclusive approach. While traditional strategies are often based on military responses and hard power, it is necessary to emphasize soft power in all its dimensions, placing the individual at the heart of all conflict prevention and management methods. Some authors argue f ...
  • The caliphate Declared Bankcruptcy, Islamic State is going Global
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    June 12, 2019
    The illusion ended in an agricultural hamlet, a forgotten place in Eastern Syria named Baghuz Al-Fawqan. A fantasy, the resurrection of Islamic greatness and rules of a caliphate, known thirteen hundred years ago, reduced to a junkyard, a sober, disturbing, memorial of betrayal and misapprehension.  Publicly the self-appointed caliph of the Islamic State, Abu Bakr al Baghadi, did not order his fighters to resist to the end, accept the fate of martyrs, promised to ascent to &nbs ...
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    The UK’s policy towards Africa post-Brexit
    Authors
    Juliana Suess
    May 24, 2019
    On the eve of Britain’s exit from the European Union, the country is redefining its international approach. The United Kingdom has already taken action by becoming involved in new economic commitments, new trade agreements in Commonwealth countries but also from a diplomatic point of view in West Africa. While development aid remains a focal point of its intervention in Africa, it risks being undermined by the Brexit and its economic consequences. However, the United Kingdom is now ...
  • Terrorisme au Sahel : le verrou Burkinabé ne doit pas sauter
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    May 23, 2019
    Un enlèvement au Bénin Le 1er de ce mois de mai, alors qu’éclatent au Bénin des violences au sujet des résultats des élections, deux touristes français sont enlevés au parc de Pendjari, au Nord-ouest du pays, à proximité des frontières avec le Burkina Faso. Trois jours, plus tard, les autorités béninoises confirment l’enlèvement et soulignent la découverte, dans le cadre de l’enquête, du corps d’un homme qui s’avérera, par la suite, être celui du guide béninois des touri ...
  • Abiynomics: The Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed and the Ethiopia-Eritrea conflict
    Authors
    Joseph Hammond
    May 16, 2019
    The author is an alumnus of the 2018 Atlantic Dialogues Emerging Leaders program Last year Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed took a big step toward stabilizing the Horn of Africa when he agreed to sign a long-disputed peace agreement with Eritrea - one that previous Ethiopian governments had refused to sign beca of the border demarcation within the agreement would seem to leave Ethiopia to blame for sparking the conflict in 1998 that eventually caused as many ...
  • North Korea: An Urgent Message that Worse can Follow
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    May 9, 2019
    « Anything in this very interesting world is possible, but I believe that Kim Jong –un fully realizes the great economic potential of North Korea &will do nothing to interfere or end it .He also knows that I am with him &does not want to break his promise to me. A deal will happen. » (Donald Trump, twitter, 3.42 pm, may 4, 2019) The hat was black and already fashionable during murderous days of Adolf Hitler, Nazi-Germany’s dictator. The bizarre leader of Nort ...
  • L’Allemagne au Sahel : Un espoir pour plus de développement et de coordination
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    May 3, 2019
    La chancelière allemande, Angela Merkel, effectue une visite officielle au Burkina Faso en ces débuts du mois de mai, accompagnée d’une délégation d’hommes d’affaires et de responsables de l’économie. La visite est assortie d’une participation à un Sommet du G5 Sahel, dont le Burkina assure présentement la présidence. Si la question de la sécurité et de la lutte contre le terrorisme reste toujours de mise, l’intérêt allemand pour la région, et surtout la nature de la délé ...
  • Libya and France: A Revival of ‘Napoleonism’?
    Authors
    Youssef Tobi
    May 3, 2019
    France appears to be relying on force to patch up problems in Africa, and particularly in Libya. None of this is compatible with President Macron’s lofty foreign policy declarations. French President Emmanuel Macron has classified colonisation as a crime against humanity. He is also keen to redefine the relationship with former French colonies. But in practice, there has never been a more ‘let’s go to war’ or ‘va t-en guerre’ attitude, in terms of its hopes for invol ...
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    The Outbreak of Peace and Symbolism of the Ethiopian-Eritrean Border
    Authors
    Rida Lyammouri
    March 26, 2019
    The opening of the border between Ethiopia and Eritrea symbolized an important phase in the newfound relations between the two. Since their rapprochement in June 2018, events have occurred at a frenzied pace, yet much was still in the political arena and removed from demonstrating tangible benefits to average citizens. By opening the border, the leaders of Ethiopia and Eritrea changed that. Yet the border opening also reveals an insight into a previously isolated and largely closed ...
  • Lecture dans "Le jihadisme, éléments de compréhension" de Rachid Benlabbah
    Authors
    Jean Zaganiaris
    February 27, 2019
    Comment peut-on définir la présence d’’’Al Quaïda’’, de l’organisation ‘’Etat islamique’’ ou de ‘’Boko Haram’’ sur la scène internationale ? Quelles sont leurs idées, leurs actions, leurs stratégies, leurs modes de communication nationaux et transnationaux ? Ces organisations prolongent-elles un projet politico-religieux dont il faudrait chercher les racines au début des années vingt, avec la fondation des Frères musulmans en Egypte ou, bien, s’agit-il de phénomènes politiques nouve ...
  • “It Is Unlikely That North Korea Will Give Up Its Nuclear Weapons”
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    February 21, 2019
    They just seemed like dragonflies, oversized species, menacing and reassuring at the same time. The rotor blades of the helicopters were reflecting the rays of the sun, unusually hot at these early morning hours. Graham Martin, the grey-haired US ambassador, was hurrying by foot to his residence a couple hundred yards away. He needed to get his black poodle, Nitnoy, and his suitcase. Washington had ordered the total evacuation of Saigon; the “Operation Frequent Wind” would try to sa ...
  • Cyberwarfare (Part 2)
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    January 4, 2019
    If you haven't read Part 1 of Cyberwarfare, click here.   “THIS WEAPON WILL NOT BE PUT BACK IN THE BOX” In March 2018, the US Department of Homeland Security warned critical infrastructure operators of Russian cyberspace attacks targeting industrial control systems. Particularly endangered would be nuclear facilities, energy and water. Just recently, the Marriott /Starwood hotel chain revealed that hackers plundered 327 million guest files, including passport number ...
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    The Niger-Libya Border: Securing It without Stabilising It?
    Authors
    Mathieu Pellerin
    December 21, 2018
    Often described as an “ungoverned area”, the Niger-Libya border is nevertheless at the centre of major economic, political and security challenges. Both the Libyan authorities and the Nigerien state are struggling to establish tight control over this, particularly isolated area. However, local actors who live there are making their own modes of governance, based on individual and so far, barely institutionalised relationships. These local forms of regulation provide states in the su ...
  • Poutine et la campagne d’Afrique
    Authors
    Mehdi Benomar
    November 25, 2018
    Lors du Forum Russie-Afrique, tenu récemment à Moscou, le ministre russe des Affaires étrangères, Sergey Lavrov, a souligné que les relations entre son pays et ses partenaires africains ne seront pas “impactées par des facteurs extérieurs”. Venant du chef de la diplomatie russe depuis  2004, la formule peut paraître courte mais, à demi-mot, elle est porteuse de la détermination de Moscou de renforcer sa présence en Afrique, surtout que le forum de Moscou s’est tenu en préparat ...
  • Trois Questions à Riccardo Maia, Chef de Bureau de la Minusma à Tombouctou “Parler d’échec est injuste’’
    Authors
    Lemine Ould M. Salem
    November 12, 2018
    C’est l’opération de maintien de la paix la plus meurtrière de l’histoire. Installée en juin 2013, la Mission multidimensionnelle intégrée des Nations unies pour la stabilisation au Mali (Minusma) a déjà perdu près de 200 personnes. L’application des dispositions de l’accord de paix signé en 2015 entre le gouvernement malien et les groupes rebelles du Nord marque un grand retard. Pendant ce temps, l’insécurité, longtemps contenue à la seule partie septentrionale du pays, se répand a ...
  • Gulf Actors and the Role of Peace in the Horn of Africa
    Authors
    Rida Lyammouri
    October 31, 2018
    There has been a flurry of activity in the Horn of Africa recently, where decades-old political disputes have suddenly been put to rest. The resulting changes have shattered the status quo in the region, putting the Horn on a new path where state-to-state relations are no longer marked by regional competition and frozen borders. While this has undoubtedly been a positive development for the region, one big piece of the puzzle has been the role of external actors in the process, and ...
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    Présidentielle 2019 au Nigéria: Un paysage pré-électoral dominé par les violences et les rivalités politiques
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    October 28, 2018
    Depuis l’annonce, par le Président Muhammad Buhari, de sa candidature à l’élection présidentielle de février 2019, le Nigéria vit une fièvre de campagne électorale prématurée. Du côté de la majorité, le temps est à assurer un deuxième mandat au Président en exercice et, dans les rangs de l’opposition, l’effort est consacré à la quête de la personne qui portera son fanion et au choix de la manière de contrer le All Progressive Congress (APC), aux affaires. Si la bataille pour l’acqui ...
  • Waltzing Through Arab Nations
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    October 15, 2018
    Usually the gray colored drones take off from Dirkou in Northeastern Niger between ten at night and four in the morning. There are no signs of blinking lights, neither on the runway nor on the flying machines, signaling their presence. Niger’s interior minister Mohamed Bazoum pretends not to know about secret operations on a small commercial airport in his country’s desert region -“all I know is that they are American” (Penney et al, 2018). To be precise, we're talking about dr ...
  • Space and Debris
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    October 3, 2018
    TEARS OF JOY CHANGED INTO THOSE OF PAIN January 28, 1986. It was just another day in the whirlpool of news and speculations of a new Foreign Correspondent to be assigned to the White House. Shivering on his way to the most important political center of the Western World, resisting arctic cold and snow on the way to work, hardly ever seeing the President himself. Instead, he found himself on this fateful day in a rendez-vous with Tom Foley, majority leader in the House of ...
  • Trump and the Future
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    September 28, 2018
    “ARE THEY PLAYING US? I DO NOT KNOW” There they were, the North Koreans, covered by red flags, and more red flags — a Hollywood production indeed. Were the soldiers singing? There was nothing to sing about since they're marching for endless hours, being scrutinized by cameras and bothered by aching pains of hunger, unable to speak and stimulate their voice. The colonel in charge of the marchers may discover some rusty spot on a belt buckle or a truck on parade may run out of fuel - ...
  • S’adapter à une menace changeante, l’Europe face à sa sécurité
    Authors
    Sabine Cessou
    September 24, 2018
    La conférence « A Brave New World, Adapting to a changing security landscape », organisée par Friends of Europe, le 20 septembre 2018 à Bruxelles, a consisté en des tables rondes auxquelles ont participé Bouchra Rahmouni Benhida, Senior Research Fellow d'OCP Policy Center et Amal El Ouassif, Research Assistant, notamment sur les plus grands défis de la politique extérieure européenne. « C’était très gratifiant de voir distribuées, aujourd’hui, les conclusions sur ...
  • “L’Etat c’est moi”
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    September 14, 2018
    A VACUUM ON THE SHORES OF THE MEDITERRANEAN SEA “L’Etat c’est moi, ” proclaimed Louis XIV on April 13, 1655. He was the state for 72 years and 110 days, the absolute monarch of France, who was "l’état lui meme" since he was four years old when his reign began. Louis made his nation the leading power in Europe, defining its foreign policy mainly through warfare. The monarch turned into a myth, surrounded by extravagance and luxurious exaggerations, the roi soleil&nbsp ...
  • Libye : les raisons pour lesquelles les élections n’auront pas lieu
    Authors
    Youssef Tobi
    September 14, 2018
    Après dix-huit mois d’observation, les milices armées de Tripoli ont repris leurs luttes de pouvoir faisant, une quarantaine de morts, selon un bilan datant du 3 septembre 2018, et provoquant l’évasion de quelque quatre cent détenus de la prison d’Ain Zara. Après la rencontre de Paris, et la conquête du croissant pétrolifère libyen par le Maréchal Haftar, les milices armées semblent dos au mur se résolvant dans un ultime effort à faire partie, tambour battant, de la nouvelle phase d ...
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    Artificial Intelligence and Political Science
    Authors
    Alfredo Da Gama e Abreu Valladão
    September 13, 2018
    In order to analyze – and act upon – this great civilizational revolution, we need new conceptual tools. The present political and social sciences are wanting. They were developed in close symbiosis with industrial era mechanical “hard” sciences. This paper tries to contribute to the effort of building new foundations for the “digital” 21st century political and social sciences by tapping into cognitive sciences and Artificial Intelligence insights – particularly “neural networks” r ...
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    Securing the 21st Century : Mapping India-Africa Engagement
    Authors
    Ihssane Guennoun
    Ritika Passi
    Rim Berahab
    September 7, 2018
    This year marks 10 years since the first India-Africa Forum Summit took place, and represents an important moment to take an in-depth look at the India-Africa relationship. Going forward from the Delhi Declaration and the India-Africa Framework for Strategic Cooperation, Observer Research Foundation, New Delhi, and OCP Policy Center, Rabat, are bringing out a joint publication on bolstering India-Africa engagement to secure a common future in the 21st century. This publication ...
  • Ethiopie-Erythrée : La hache de guerre serait-elle enfin enterrée entre les frères ennemis ?
    Authors
    Sara Hasnaa Mokaddem
    September 7, 2018
    Alors que le dialogue était totalement rompu entre l’Ethiopie et l’Erythrée, le nouveau premier ministre Ethiopien a pris le pays et la région complètement au dépourvu en annonçant, dès sa prise de fonction en avril 2018, son intention de tourner la page aux « années d'incompréhension » et de renouer le dialogue en mettant en œuvre les termes de l’Accord d’Alger signé en 2000, suite à une guerre fratricide (1998-2000) qui avait fait plus de 80000 morts.  Le réchauffement entre ...
  • Le partenariat Europe-Afrique-Méditerranée
    Authors
    Sabine Cessou
    September 6, 2018
    Le partenariat Europe-Afrique-Méditerrannée Comment renforcer la relation historique entre l’Europe et l’Afrique, et faire en sorte que le développement des deux continents se fasse en osmose ? C’est la question qu’a posée Gilles Pargneaux, euro-député français issu du mouvement « En marche », dans sa présentation d’une conférence organisée en partenariat avec OCP Policy Center, au Parlement européen, à Bruxelles, le 4 septembre 2018.  Président-fondateur de la Fondation Euro ...
  • The Threat of Iran
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    September 3, 2018
    Bedrohung durch Iran “NEVER EVER THREATEN THE UNITED STATES AGAIN” The President should have known better and reflected longer before firing verbal ballistic missiles towards the White House. No, Iranian President Hassan Rouhani got lost in some delusions other authoritarian leaders suffer from as well. “Iran’s power is deterrence,” the President of Iran insisted. “We have no fight or war with anyone but the enemies must understand well that war with Iran is the mother of all wars ...
  • La "Trump/Buhari story" contrariée par l’affaire des Chrétiens nigérians
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    August 31, 2018
    En avril 2018, le président Donald Trump recevait, à la Maison-Blanche, le président nigérian, Muhammadu Buhari, qui venait d’annoncer sa candidature pour briguer un second mandat à la tête du Nigéria. La visite avait une valeur de première car, en effet, c’était la première visite officielle d'un dirigeant africain depuis l'investiture de Donald Trump. Les deux hommes tenaient à la réussite d’une telle visite : --Trump voulait, d’une part, consolider les relations avec un pay ...
  • Russia in Africa
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    August 28, 2018
    A NATION CRAVING TO RETURN TO GREATNESS It was yet another turbulent episode reflecting the dark sides of politics and secret service conspiracies. Murder is the message. “Do not mess with us.” The killers wore turbans and spoke Arabic. What else is new? It was dark, not a good time to drive on a hellhole of a road in the Central African Republic, one of the poorest nations of the world. So poor that death has no price. Not many streets are paved and streetlights are as freque ...
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    Rapport de synthèse : 2ème édition de la Conférence annuelle sur la paix et la sécurité en Afrique (APSACO)
    Authors
    August 26, 2018
    Au cours des deux premières décennies du troisième millénaire, l’Organisation des Nations-Unies (ONU) a lancé un processus de réforme du maintien de la paix par le biais, notamment, de rapports, de doctrines, d’initiatives et de réformes institutionnelles. Dans la foulée, le Secrétaire général, M. António Guterres, s’est engagé devant le Conseil de sécurité, le 7 avril 2017, à améliorer les opérations de paix des Nations-Unies (OMPs), en confirmant que l’action onusienne dans ce dom ...
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    Synthesis Report: 2nd Edition of the African Peace and Security Annual Conference (APSACO)
    Authors
    August 26, 2018
    After a successful first edition, the second edition of the African Peace and Security Annual Conference (APSACO) took place in Rabat on June 18-19, 2018.  This year’s edition focused on the prospects and opportunities of the peace and security spectrum, ranging from prevention to stabilization, while exploring ways to effectively protect the most vulnerable.  Researchers, diplomats, military personnel, and representatives of think tanks, civil society and the private sec ...
  • Trials against ISIS
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    August 15, 2018
    “I DO NOT BELIEVE IN ISIS. I JUST WANT TO GO HOME” It was a cage. A size large enough to transport six sheep to the market. The cage was made out of wood, possibly the local carpenter was praised for his work by the President of the court.  Wood is difficult to find these days, wood to resist the fury of a human being, forced to stand in the cage and listen to the verdict for his or her crime -- death by hanging, or life in prison. The woman standing in the cage on one of thes ...
  • The Little Summit that Could : Looking back on the 31st African Union Summit in Nouakchott
    Authors
    Malik Abaddi
    August 8, 2018
    The African Union goes to Mauritania Under the theme “Winning the Fight Against Corruption”, the 31st Summit of the African Union was held in early July in the desert capital Nouakchott. In a bitter prelude in late June, the AU’s commitment to this central theme was dealt a blow with the sudden – and public – resignation of Ghana’s Daniel Batidam from the AU Advisory Board on Corruption. Off to a rocky start, the summit had an even rougher road ahead of it.  A month ...
  • Les quatre premiers mois d'Abiy Ahmed Ali : bilan intérieur et extérieur
    Authors
    Tristan Coloma
    Benjamin Augé
    July 27, 2018
    Arrivé au pouvoir le 2 avril 2018, le premier ministre Ethiopien Abiy Ahmed Ali, issu de la majorité oromo, a été imposé à une minorité tigréenne ayant cadenassé les postes à la tête de l'Etat, depuis la domination politique de la coalition de l'Ethiopian Peoples' Revolutionary Democratic Front (EPRDF) en 1991. Chef de l'Oromia Urban Development and Housing Bureau en charge des programmes de construction dans sa région, ainsi que vice-président de cette régi ...
  • Le jihad au Sahel, recul ou extension ? (Partie II)
    Authors
    Sabine Cessou
    July 20, 2018
    Lors d’un séminaire, organisé par l’OCP Policy Center, le 20 juin 2018, à Rabat, des experts du jihad dans le Sahel se sont posé la question de l’extension ou du recul de ces groupes armés. La première partie du compte-rendu des discussions a été publiée ici. Selon Lemine Ould Salem, journaliste mauritanien et auteur de plusieurs livres sur le terrorisme dans le Sahel, « il n’existe pas historiquement de jihad sahélien, même si des épisodes historiques du jihad se sont dé ...
  • Your targets can only be realized on the basis of dreams
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    July 19, 2018
    Recep Tayyip Erdogan was humming and he had reason to feel joyful. His people had entrusted him with reforming their constitution, which would give him more power, incredible power. Possibly, he could realize his dream after all, the revival of the Ottoman Empire. Such Turkish power last seen in the era of Osman I at the end of the 13th century in northern Anatolia. A neo-Ottoman, is it a vision of a megalomaniac? Would Saudi Arabia ever be willing to be ruled by a Turk? A Turk who ...
  • Où va le Mali?
    Authors
    Lemine Ould M. Salem
    July 5, 2018
    Cinq ans et demi après l’intervention militaire internationale conduite par la France pour chasser les jihadistes du nord du Mali, l’ancien Soudan français s’apprête à organiser une élection présidentielle censée accélérer le processus de paix issu des accords inter-maliens négociés à Alger et signés à Bamako en juin 2015. « Un scrutin décisif”, soutient en marge de l’African Peace and Security Annual Conference (APSACO), organisé les 18 et 19 juin 2018 à Rabat au Maroc par l’OCP P ...
  • The Lethal Legacy of Nuclear might
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    June 29, 2018
    Not far from highway 95, near a town named Lathrop Wells, only one establishment, besides the petrol station, was known to the rough cowboys and joyless soldiers of the nearby nuclear testing site, and that was “Mabel’s whore house”, advertised as such without shame and ready to accept credit cards. Luigi Raugi, a legal immigrant (from Sicily), as it is wise to insist these repressing days of  American immigrant bashing, was running the local drugstore and really excited, as w ...
  • Jihad au Sahel : recul ou extension ?
    Authors
    Sabine Cessou
    June 28, 2018
    Qui sont les groupes jihadistes actifs dans le Sahel, vaste région de 3 millions de kilomètres carrés ? Quels sont leurs objectifs, leurs moyens d'action et comment évoluent-ils ? Quelles sont les solutions en cours pour faire face à ces groupes ?  Les experts réunis lors du séminaire sur le Jihad au Sahel, organisé le 20 juin à Rabat par l’OCP Policy Center, ont tenté de répondre à ces questions.  Recul ou extension ?  La thèse du recul a été posée par une source f ...
  • Opérations de Maintien de la Paix en Afrique : Identifier les insuffisances pour "mieux faire"
    Authors
    Mokhtar Ghailani
    June 21, 2018
    Les panels programmés durant la deuxième journée de la conférence APSACO (le 19 juin) ont été consacrés aux principales priorités à traiter pour assurer la réussite des Opérations de Maintien de la Paix (OMP), notamment la protection des populations civiles et le renforcement des capacités des soldats de la paix.  La protection des civils : approche modulaire pour une meilleure adaptation aux menaces Les intervenants ont été unanimes sur ce sujet : il doit être prioritaire da ...
  • Peacekeeping operations in Africa: political reforms at stake
    Authors
    Sabine Cessou
    June 19, 2018
    The second edition of the African Peace and Security Annual Conference (APSACO), organized in Rabat by OCP Policy Center, has started on June 18th with a broad debate on the political and strategic aspects of peacekeeping operations in Africa. Their financial cost was discussed right from the start of the Conference, as well as the ongoing reform processes engaged by the United Nations in addition to the African Union. “This cost is somewhat exaggerated,” said Rachid El Houdai ...
  • CLOSING REMARKS
    June 19, 2018
    Karim El Aynaoui, Managing Director, OCP Policy Center ...
  • POLICY PANEL 2: NORTH-SOUTH CROSS VIEWS OF PEACEKEEPING OPERATIONS
    June 19, 2018
    Speakers: - General Birame Diop, Chief of Staff, Senegal Air Force - Colonel Raul Rivas, Chief of Plans and Strategy Division, US Africa Command - General Dominique Trinquand, Former Head, French Military Mission to the UN and NATO Chair: Kristin De Peyron, Head of Division, Pan-African...
  • Libya: After hell, heaven ?
    Authors
    Lemine Ould M. Salem
    June 13, 2018
    On 29 May 2018, at the Summit organized by French President Emmanuel Macron at the Palais de l'Elysée in Paris, the four main players in the Libyan crisis approved a "Political Declaration on Libya" calling for the organization of both legislative and presidential elections on 10 December next. This "historic" text, as described by the French Head of State, is nevertheless in jeopardy given the complexity of the current situation in Libya. There have been countless initiatives to b ...
  • ليبيا: من الجحيم إلى النعيم؟
    Authors
    الأمين ولد سالم
    June 13, 2018
    خلال القمة التي عقدها الرئيس الفرنسي إيمانويل ماكرون في قصر الإليزيه بباريس في 29 مايو 2018، صادق الفاعلون الرئيسيون الأربعة في الأزمة الليبية على "الإعلان السياسي بشأن ليبيا" الذي ينص على إجراء انتخابات برلمانية ورئاسية في 10 ديسمبر القادم. هذه الوثيقة "التاريخية"، كما جاء على لسان الرئيس الفرنسي، تظل مهددة بالتعقيدات التي تطبع الأوضاع على أرض الواقع في ليبيا. كثيرة هي المبادرات التي هدفت إلى إخراج ليبيا من الفوضى التي تتخبط فيها منذ انهيار نظام العقيد معمر القذافي في 2011. لكن حت ...