This episode explores the evolving African defense strategies in response to emerging security threats. We discuss the shift toward regional cooperation, modernization of military capabilities, and integration of technology. The conversation highlights the role of governance, economic resilience, and diplomacy in sustaining security. It underscores Africa’s push for self-reliance and strategic autonomy in defense policy.
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November 12, 2026The U.S. midterm elections raise questions about the future direction of American foreign policy and its implications for Africa. This discussion examines how shifting political dynamics in Washington could shape the Trump administration’s foreign policy priorities and engagement with t... -
November 12, 2026In this policy paper – Part 3 of our ongoing analysis – we address the Iran War and its implications for the evolution of the international system in its denouement from the clash between “Restoration”, on the one hand, and “Reformation” or “Revolution”, on the other (see our previous policy paper for a summary and analysis of Andrey Kortunov’s scenarios for the future of the international system). These rival global dynamics are faced off in this moment across the Strait of Hormuz ... -
November 9, 2026“The emerging global disorder could present an opportunity for Africa. With the right long-term perspective, African countries will be well positioned to take advantage of some of the opportunities that arise from the new geoeconomic reality.”Gedion Timothewos (Ethiopia’s Foreign Affairs Minister) ... -
November 06, 2026In this episode, Dr. Andreas Østhagen examines how climate change and geopolitical competition are reshaping the Arctic’s strategic importance. The discussion also explores the opportunit ... -
November 4, 2026Brazil’s presidential election, which concluded on October 25, 2026, was above all a digital battle. This is nothing new; the impact of social media on elections has been widely analyzed since Barack Obama's 2008 win marked a turning point for digital campaigning worldwide. Almost two decades later, social media is an entirely different breed, with a life of its own – and still very little regulation within electoral politics. The danger, however, is that digital players now also in ... -
November 4, 2026Le 30 octobre 2026, le mandat de la Minurso a expiré et n’a pas été renouvelé. La raison : un projet américain, pourtant appuyé par 11 membres du Conseil de sécurité, auquel la Russie a opposé son veto, suivi d’un projet russe qui n’a pu recueillir que trois voix en sa faveur, sur lequel les États-Unis ont émis un vote négatif.Cette impasse révèle deux conceptions opposées du règlement. Washington entend recentrer le processus sur l’initiative marocaine d’autonomie et adapter progre ... -
October 29, 2026Wars are decided by those who hold military power, but their costs are increasingly borne by those who have little or no voice in the decisions that start them. The US–Iran war shows this imbalance very clearly. Its economic consequences have gone far beyond the battlefield and have disrupted energy markets, trade routes, food supplies, public finances and investment in the Gulf, Europe, Africa and Asia. The most striking feature of the conflict, however, is not only the size of the ... -
October 28, 2026Bientôt disponible en vente. Cet ouvrage est issu de la 20e édition des Dialogues Stratégiques, organisée le 6 mai 2026. Il s’articule autour de deux thématiques : « Souverainetés critiques : sécuriser les infrastructures essentielles et les ressources stratégiques » et « La Méditerranée : entre coopération régionale et rivalités globales ». La première partie examine les conditions dans lesquelles les États peuvent protéger leurs infrastructures et maitriser leur accès au ... -
October 22, 2026Strategic hedging is rational when it preserves a worthwhile choice at a tolerable cost while respecting existing commitments. Drawing on the literature on hedging and Latin American autonomy, this Policy Brief examines contrasting illustrations of that proposition. It distinguishes ambiguity about future alignment from uncertainty about existing obligations and explains how clearly bounded commitments can reconcile autonomy with credibility. The cases reveal different vulnerabiliti ... -
October 13, 2026“Every gun that is made, every warship launched, every rocket fired signifies in the final sense, a theft from those who hunger and are not fed, those who are cold and are not clothed.”President Dwight Eisenhower, April 16, 1953 This paper examines the economic and human impacts of the first six months of the Iran war—from February to the end of August 2026—on Iran’s Arab neighbors and compares these impacts with those on the three countries directly involved—Iran, Israel and t ...
