RELATED CONTENT : Security & Defense

  • The Mecca Agreement: A First Step Towards a New Regional Security Architecture?
    Authors
    Bilal Mahli
    August 11, 2026
    The Mecca Agreement: A First Step Towards a New Regional Security Architecture? On 7 August, Saudi Arabia, Türkiye and Pakistan signed the Mecca Agreement, a trilateral defense pact aimed at strengthening collective security and defense cooperation between the three countries. At its core lies a collective defense commitment under which an attack on one member is considered an attack on all three. While many details concerning its practical implementation remain unclear, the agreeme ...
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    A Distant Battlefield, Tangible Costs. The War on Iran's Toll on the Global South
    Authors
    Len Ishmael
    August 7, 2026
    THE END OF AN ERAThe US-Israeli war on Iran, a 'little excursion' envisaged to be over within a matter of weeks, has entered its fourth month. Shock waves ripple across the globe. This war is just one in a series of recent crises which have fractured the international community, making the decades of the 2020's among the most disruptive in recent history. Each crisis compounds the deleterious effects of those which came before. The war in Iran is no exception. It abruptly stalled ec ...
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    The United States at 250: A Mediterranean Perspective
    Authors
    Ian O. Lesser
    August 6, 2026
    With America's 250th anniversary, there will be many analyses of the country's history from domestic and international perspectives. But the meaning of the American story should also be assessed in key regional settings, from Asia to Latin America, and in transatlantic terms. In this vein, it is worth exploring the U.S. engagement in and with the Mediterranean world, one of the first places of U.S. international activism, and a setting where diverse aspects of U.S. foreign policy ha ...
  • Vers une conception pragmatique de la souveraineté en Europe mais aussi en Afrique …
    Authors
    Dominique Bocquet
    August 4, 2026
     Cet article a initialement été publié sur la plateforme confrontations.org Février 2022 : face à un nouveau contexte international, les Européens se rallient aux idées de souveraineté européenne et d’autonomie stratégique, brisant ainsi un tabou. Octobre 2025 : après cinquante ans de contentieux, le Conseil de sécurité ouvre la porte à une reconnaissance officielle de la souveraineté marocaine au Sahara occidental.Apparemment sans rapport, ces deux évènements sont reliés ...
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    L’ONCE D’OR AU PLUS HAUT, LES INVESTISSEURS EN QUÊTE D’UNE VALEUR REFUGE
    Authors
    Henri-Louis Védie
    July 29, 2026
    En un siècle, le cours de l’once d’or est passé de 20 dollars à 5 300 dollars au premier trimestre 2026. Cette étude, consacrée à l’analyse de cette envolée, comporte deux parties.La première privilégie une approche historique. Elle retrace tout d’abord le changement de statut du précieux métal jaune, monétisable jusqu’en 1971 puis démonétisé par la suite. Elle rappelle ensuite que cette évolution, loin d’être linéaire, est ponctuée de phases de forte hausse, de stagnation et d ...
  • The Fear of War in Europe - Part 2
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    July 27, 2026
    Is Europe Prepared for War?European public opinion is moving from treating a major conflict as unthinkable to regarding it as a possibility for which governments must prepare. Attention is increasingly focused on Russian hybrid operations, vulnerabilities in critical infrastructure and the risk of fragmentation within NATO. European defence policy is consequently undergoing a rapid transition from post-Cold War complacency towards preparations for high-intensity warfare. Recent ...
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    La conflictualité maroco-algérienne à l’épreuve du paradigme de la réconciliation - Apports analytiques, conditions politiques et limites
    Authors
    Fadoua Ammari
    Rida Lyammouri
    July 27, 2026
    Cet article évalue la pertinence du paradigme de la réconciliation pour analyser la rivalité maroco-algérienne. À partir d’une démarche qualitative, historico-interprétative et interdisciplinaire fondée sur un corpus raisonné de travaux académiques et de sources institutionnelles, il montre que cette conflictualité ne se réduit ni au différend du Sahara ni à un simple antagonisme bilatéral. Elle se construit à l’intersection de mémoires concurrentes, de mécanismes de sécuritisation, ...
  • Africafé : Le rôle de la CEDEAO dans la stabilité régionale
    July 24, 2026
    Dans cet épisode d’Africafé, les échanges portent sur la situation sécuritaire au Sahel et le rôle de la CEDEAO face aux défis régionaux. À travers le cas du Mali, la discussion revient sur les recompositions en cours, le retrait des partenaires internationaux, la montée en puissance de...
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    Ai-enabled purple teaming for counter-drone security in Sahel
    Authors
    Rida Lyammouri
    Niccola Milnes
    July 21, 2026
    Armed-group drone use in the Sahel and Lake Chad Basin has scaled from rudimentary commercial-quadcopter Improvised Explosive Device (IED) drops in 2023 to a capability set that now includes First-Person View (FPV) strikes with shapedcharge anti-armor warheads, fiber-optic FPVs that defeat radio-frequency jamming, coordinated drone-and-ground assaults on hardened airfields, and a 25-drone non-state swarm. Four groups—Jama'at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM), the Azawad Liberation ...
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    Iran War and Energy: Ten Dangerous Linkages
    Authors
    Francis Perrin
    July 17, 2026
    The close relationship between energy and geopolitics is well established. The same holds true for several armed conflicts. In recent years, however, the conflict most closely intertwined with energy has been the 2026 Iran War, which began on February 28. A ceasefire has been in effect since April 8, and a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) was signed by Iran and the United States on June 17. Nevertheless, as demonstrated by Iran's attacks on commercial vessels and recent U.S. strike ...
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    GUERRE D’IRAN ET ÉNERGIE : Dix liaisons dangereuses
    Authors
    Francis Perrin
    July 17, 2026
    Les relations, très étroites, entre l’énergie et la géopolitique sont bien connues. Cela vaut aussi pour plusieurs conflits armés. Mais, dans la période récente, le conflit le plus lié à l’énergie est la guerre d’Iran de 2026, qui a débuté le 28 février. Un cessez-le-feu est en vigueur depuis le 8 avril et un protocole d’accord a été signé le 17 juin par l’Iran et les États-Unis. Mais, comme le montrent les attaques de l’Iran contre des navires et les frappes américaines de ces dern ...
  • The Fear of War in Europe - Part 1
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    July 15, 2026
    We Are Watching You In April 2026, the UK Ministry of Defence revealed that it had tracked a covert Russian submarine operation apparently intended to map critical undersea cables and pipelines in the North Atlantic and the North Sea. A Russian attack submarine and two specialised intelligence vessels operated by the Main Directorate of Deep-Sea Research, commonly known as GUGI, were reportedly monitored for four weeks by the Royal Navy, including HMS St Albans and P-8 Poseidon ...
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    LES DÉTROITS DU DÉSORDRE : D'ORMUZ À MALACCA - Droit de la mer, puissance et fragmentation de l’ordre mondial
    Authors
    Ferid Belhaj
    July 9, 2026
    Cet essai analyse la guerre Iran–États-Unis–Israël de 2026 comme un révélateur de la transformation profonde de l’ordre international. À travers le prisme du droit de la mer, du détroit d’Ormuz, des alliances fragmentées, des câbles sous-marins et des flux énergétiques, il montre que le pouvoir mondial se déplace progressivement du contrôle des territoires vers la maîtrise des infrastructures de circulation. Loin de disparaître, la mondialisation entre dans une phase de connectivité ...
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    Évian 2026: The G7’s Flexible Reset – AI, Middle Powers, and Diplomacy Beyond the Summit Table
    Authors
    Bilal Mahli
    July 6, 2026
    We take the 2026 G7 Summit in Évian-les-Bains as a case study for understanding how a leading existing multilateral organisation adapts to a more fragmented, technologically inflected, and multipolar world. We argue that the significance of Évian lies less in the summit agreements themselves than in what the summit reveals: a qualitative shift in governance away from exclusive summit diplomacy and towards more selective coalition-building, broader engagement with non-state actors, a ...
  • Africafé : Russia's Information Warfare in Africa
    July 3, 2026
    This episode explores Russia’s growing influence in Africa through media, information warfare, and anti-Western narratives. It examines how Moscow uses historical ties, social media, local influencers, and security partnerships to shape perceptions, while questioning the real scope and ...
  • The US and Europe are running out of ammunition because of Iran and Ukraine - PART 2
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    June 30, 2026
    The inventory is worrisomely low The US military has fired off more than 1000 Tomahawk cruise missiles, roughly ten times the number it currently buys each year. The Pentagon used more than 1200 Patriot interceptor missiles, "more than three million dollars a pop", and more than 1000 precision strike, ground based missiles, "leaving the inventories worrisomely low." US commanders were forced to ration interceptors by letting unguided or less destructive missiles hit empty or no ...
  • FROM COMMITMENT TO IMPACT: Morocco's National Action Plan 1325 put to the test of implementation
    Authors
    Nouzha Chekrouni
    June 26, 2026
    Three years after the adoption of the first National Action Plan (NAP) on the Women, Peace and Security (WPS) Agenda, Morocco has made real institutional progress, but implementation is still inadequate. The extension of the NAP opens a window of opportunity to prepare a second, more ambitious and operational cycle.This Policy Brief identifies four persistent obstacles: a virtually stagnant female employment rate of 19.1%, less than 3% female representation in peacekeeping contingen ...
  • L'Afrique atlantique, ambition d'intégration et processus d'opérationnalisation
    Authors
    Sous la direction de
    Jamal Machrouh
    June 23, 2026
    L’Afrique atlantique émerge aujourd’hui comme un espace de réflexion stratégique majeur. Longtemps envisagée sous l’angle de sa fragmentation ou de sa marginalité relative dans les grands récits géopolitiques, cette façade maritime tend désormais à être appréhendée comme un ensemble en devenir, structuré par des dynamiques géopolitiques, économiques et sécuritaires de plus en plus intenses. C’est dans cette perspective qu’a été initié le Africa Maritime Symposium (AMS), dont la ...
  • Cybersécurité, protection des données et souveraineté numérique au Maroc
    June 22, 2026
    Dans cet épisode, Imane Dahou revient sur la cybersécurité et la protection des données comme enjeux centraux de souveraineté numérique. L’entretien aborde les avancées, les défis et les priorités pour sécuriser les infrastructures, renforcer la confiance des citoyens et accompagner la ...
  • China's Success Dilemma
    Authors
    Marcus Vinicius de Freitas
    June 22, 2026
    History devotes considerable attention to the rise and fall of great powers. Scholars have spent centuries analyzing why empires collapse, why nations decline, and why dominant states eventually lose their position. By comparison, relatively little attention has been devoted to a different question: what happens when a country succeeds beyond its own expectations? ...
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    La permanence stratégique du terrain, de Sun Tzu à l’ère satellitaire: l’exemple par le château de « Beaufort » au Liban
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    June 19, 2026
    Fin mai 2026, des frappes israéliennes ont visé les abords du château de Beaufort (Qalaat al-Chaqif), près de Nabatiyeh, avant que l'armée israélienne n'en annonce la prise. Ce fait soulève une question centrale : pourquoi une hauteur fortifiée au Moyen Âge conserve-t-elle une valeur militaire à l'ère des satellites, des drones et des missiles de croisière ?Le présent Policy Brief tente de démontrer que la valeur de Beaufort est géographique avant d'être idéologique ou technologique ...
  • The US and Europe are running out of ammunition because of Iran and Ukraine - PART 1
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    June 19, 2026
    The early March 2026 Pentagon briefings were tuned towards triumph and surrender - unconditional. The white flag of defeat was visible on the Iran horizon, and America's commander in chief needed only a few more weeks to declare "their military is gone. Wiped out". His secretary of war, Pete Hegseth, added to Trump's assessment his own, the Iranian navy was "decimated, destroyed and defeated", the naval fleet of the enemy rested on the bottom of the Persian Gulf. Iran's defense indu ...
  • THE STRATEGIC ENDURANCE OF TERRAIN: FROM SUN TZU TO THE SATELLITE AGE – THE CASE OF BEAUFORT CASTLE IN LEBANON
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    June 19, 2026
    At the end of May 2026, Israeli airstrikes targeted the surroundings of Beaufort Castle (Qalaat al-Chaqif), near Nabatiyeh, before the Israeli army announced that it had captured the site. This development raises a fundamental question: why does a medieval fortified hilltop retain military value in the age of satellites, drones, and cruise missiles?This Policy Brief argues that Beaufort's significance is geographical before it is ideological or technological. Overlooking the Litani ...
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    Le Sahara à travers des documents déclassifiés par l’Administration américaine: Le Maroc défend sa Cause avec « patience », « persévérance » et « habilité »
    Authors
    Abdallah Saaf
    June 18, 2026
    La Marche Verte ne peut être perçue seulement comme un événement daté, historiquement situé, une action accomplie et achevée. L’événement n’a pas fini d’apparaitre comme un processus aux prolongements très variés, aux conséquences multiples, étalés sur le temps et déployant leurs effets jusqu'à aujourd’hui. ...
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    The Global Costs of Disruption in the Strait of Hormuz
    Authors
    Mehran Haghirian
    June 15, 2026
    This article draws in part on perspectives shared by members of the Rihla Initiative for Green Economic Growth, whose regional insights helped inform the sections on how the costs of the war are being felt across the Global South. The war on Iran and in the Gulf has made it impossible to treat the Strait of Hormuz as a regional issue. The disruption around the Strait has moved through the world economy in concrete ways, from higher fuel bills and pressure on food and fertilizer ...
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    The Gulf’s Strategic Paradox: Lost Confidence in the US Security Umbrella, Enduring Trust in the Dollar
    Authors
    Ferid Belhaj
    June 12, 2026
    This essay argues that the current debate about the future of the international monetary system is not really about Gulf currencies, oil pricing, or de-dollarization in the narrow technical sense. It is about something deeper and more important: whether institutional trust can survive when geopolitical certainty is eroding.The Gulf monarchies—Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Qatar, Kuwait, Bahrain, and Oman—increasingly exist in a world where the United States no longer looks ...
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    Stress Test: The Hormuz Crisis and the Fracturing of the Global Energy Order
    Authors
    Rim Berahab
    Sabrine Emran
    June 11, 2026
    The global energy system has entered a period of acute structural stress following the strikes by the United States and Israel on Iran in late February 2026, and the subsequent disruption of flows through the Strait of Hormuz. According to the International Energy Agency, the resulting shock marks the most severe disruption to global energy markets since the 1970s oil crises, with systemic characteristics comparable to the combined effects of those crises and the 2022 Russia-Ukraine ...
  • Présentation du Rapport Annuel sur la Géopolitique de l’Afrique 2026
    June 10, 2026
    L’édition 2026 du Rapport annuel sur la Géopolitique de l’Afrique (RAGA) du Policy Center for the New South analyse un continent africain saisi par une double transformation : celle du système international, plus fragmenté, plus conflictuel et plus transactionnel ; et celle des environn...
  • Rapport annuel sur la géopolitique de l’Afrique 2026
    Authors
    Sous la direction de
    Abdelhak Bassou
    June 10, 2026
    Le rapport annuel sur la géopolitique de l’Afrique est cette année à sa dixième édition, cela fait donc dix ans que le Policy Center for the New South consacre à l’Afrique une tribune par laquelle les africains tentent de récupérer le narratif sur leur continent. Ce chiffre 10 n'est pas anodin : il marque la maturité d'un projet éditorial fondé sur une conviction simple mais exigeante : l'Afrique doit se penser elle-même, depuis elle-même, avec les instruments analytiques ...
  • Africa Needs More Petroleum Refineries
    Authors
    Hafez Ghanem
    June 8, 2026
    The energy shock caused by the war between the United States and Israel and Iran has highlighted the need for Africa to refine more of its own crude oil. Africa is a net hydrocarbon exporter, but remains stuck in the old colonial economic model: it mostly exports raw materials and imports refined products. Africa exports about 2.6 billion barrels of crude oil every year, and imports about 1.4 billion barrels of refined products. This is a problem for two reasons. First, Africa ...
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    Hormuz and the Invisible Fractures: the Price of a Distant War - Views from the New South
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    Ferid Belhaj
    Ian O. Lesser
    Marcus Vinicius de Freitas
    Rida Lyammouri
    Otaviano Canuto
    Hafez Ghanem
    Hinh T. Dinh
    Hugo A. Mansilla
    June 5, 2026
    Driven by its mission to reflect on and analyze the major geopolitical, economic, and societal transformations shaping the contemporary world, and with a view to contributing to knowledge-sharing and disseminating the main outcomes of its research program, the Policy Center for the New South regularly publishes collective volumes addressing issues of particular importance to Morocco, Africa, and the broader Global/New South. In this spirit, the Center has recently released two volum ...
  • Financing Sustainable Reconstruction of Gaza
    Authors
    Hafez Ghanem
    Liel Maghen
    May 11, 2026
    This Paper was originally published on mitvim.org.il This paper argues that the reconstruction of Gaza will depend not only on the amount of funding mobilized, but on how financing is structured, governed, and anchored within a broader politi`cal context. In a setting shaped by movement restrictions and weak institutions, financial design is not neutral but shapes priorities, distributes power, and determines what can be implemented on the ground. The paper examines the key cha ...
  • Dialogues Stratégiques Volume XIX: Recompositions et dynamiques croisées en Asie du Sud- Ouest : Focus sur l’Iran, Afghanistan, Pakistan et Inde - Nouvelles perceptions de l’Afrique dans les stratégies internationales
    Authors
    Niagalé Bagayoko
    Abdelhak Bassou
    Mounia Boucetta
    Christophe Chabert
    Khalid Chegraoui
    Abdessalam Saad Jaldi
    Mohammed Loulichki
    Sara Hasnaa Mokaddem
    Fathallah Oualalou
    Alain Oudot de Dainville
    Anne-Sophie Raujol
    Hassane Saoud
    Olivier Tramond
    Emmanuel Véron
    May 6, 2026
    Cette publication est le résultat de la 19° édition des Dialogues Stratégiques, organisée le 24 octobre 2025, où ont été présentés et débattus 15 chapitres autour de deux thématiques majeures: « Recompositions et dynamiques croisées en Asie du Sud-Ouest : Focus sur PIran, l'Afghanistan, le Pakistan et l'Inde » et « Nouvelles perceptions de l'Afrique dans les stratégies internationales».Au croisement de ces discussions, émerge une interrogation centrale: comment les États et les régi ...
  • This Is Not a War
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    May 6, 2026
    Trump’s Strategy of Overriding Constitutional SafeguardsPerhaps bearing in mind that only a minority of voters in the United States support U.S. military action against Iran, President Donald Trump has called the war a “short term excursion” and a “little journey” that may be over “pretty quickly”. The war is thus not a war, although Trump has said the U.S. will take Iran “back to the stone ages, where they belong”, and the U.S. military has admitted to attacks on 14,000 Irania ...
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    De l'engagement à l'impact : le Plan d'Action National 1325 du Maroc à l'épreuve de la mise en œuvre
    Authors
    Nouzha Chekrouni
    April 9, 2026
    Trois ans après l'adoption du premier Plan d'Action National (PAN) sur l'Agenda Femmes, Paix et Sécurité (FPS), le Maroc affiche des avancées institutionnelles réelles mais une mise en œuvre encore insuffisante. L'extension du PAN ouvre une fenêtre d'opportunité pour préparer un second cycle plus ambitieux et opérationnel.Ce Policy Brief identifie quatre obstacles persistants : un taux d'activité féminine de 19,1% en quasi-stagnation, une représentation des femmes inférieure à 3% da ...
  • Transmission Channels of the War on Iran to the Brazilian Economy
    Authors
    Otaviano Canuto
    April 1, 2026
    We are now in the fifth week since the U.S. airstrike that killed top leaders of the Iranian regime, initiating a war involving the United States and Israel against the country. More than a month of mutual bombardments between Iran and Israel has ensued, extending to other Persian Gulf nations, U.S. military installations—and even Cyprus. From a global perspective, the impact has stemmed primarily from disruptions to regional production of goods and the blockade of the Strait of Hor ...
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    Legalized Power? The Board of Peace and the Governance of Conflict
    Authors
    Ferid Belhaj
    March 30, 2026
    This essay examines the establishment of the Board of Peace as a test case in contemporary peace governance and hegemonic experimentation. While the Board, politically activated in early 2026 and formally anchored in a resolution of the United Nations Security Council, benefits from derivative legality under the UN Charter, its legal foundation remains constitutionally fragile, its mandate ambiguously constrained, and its accountability architecture underdeveloped, notwithstand ...
  • Global Implications of the Tariff War: A Focus on the New South
    March 27, 2026
    This interview analyzes how tariff wars are transforming global power dynamics, disrupting trade systems, and redefining trade policy as a geopolitical tool, while examining the risks and opportunities for emerging economies and the Global South, the repositioning of regions like Latin ...
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    La conflictualité comme approche du pouvoir sous Trump II
    Authors
    Driss Alaoui Belghiti
    March 27, 2026
    Sous Trump II, la conflictualité s’affirme moins comme un simple effet de la polarisation partisane que comme un principe d’organisation de l’exercice du pouvoir. À partir des prises de parole présidentielles, ce Papier montre comment des enjeux distincts, tels que l’immigration, la fraude, la sécurité, les controverses culturelles ou les rivalités internationales, sont intégrés dans une même architecture discursive orientée vers la restauration de l’ordre. La conflictualité y appar ...
  • La guerre, ses récurrences et ses coûts
    Authors
    Larabi Jaïdi
    March 25, 2026
    Les conflits armés ont toujours des coûts économiques exorbitants, sans parler des pertes humaines. Le coût de la guerre est difficilement chiffrable.  Il dépend de la durée de l'enlisement et des « à-côtés ».  En fait, les conséquences économiques, tout comme les causes des conflits armés sont toujours complexes à appréhender. Les risques liés aux conflits génèrent de nombreuses incertitudes économiques, directement perceptibles dans les contraintes budgétaires, ...
  • Technology, Military Power, and the New Geopolitics of Security
    February 27, 2026
    Technological and industrial capabilities have become core instruments of state power, reshaping military strategies, economic competition, and global influence. The rapid rise of AI, cyber warfare, autonomous systems, and advanced manufacturing is redefining how states project power an...
  • Reploiement militaire français en Afrique
    Helmut Sorge & Olivier Tramond
    February 13, 2026
    Le général Olivier Tramond analyse la réduction de la présence militaire française en Afrique comme un changement stratégique profond plutôt qu’un renoncement. Au-delà des coups d’État et ...
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    Internationally Fragmented Data Could Lead to Geopolitically Antagonistic AI
    Authors
    Hung Q. Tran
    February 12, 2026
    Divergent regulatory regimes for data, driven by different motivations, ranging from privacy protection in the European Union to information control in China, could eventually produce distinctively different, and possibly contradictory, bodies of data. Artificial-intelligence models trained on those datasets could produce differing and possibly even conflicting outputs. To the extent that AI outputs start to shape human perception and to influence decisions, in governments and ...
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    L’intervention américaine au Venezuela: le pétrole et le retour des sphères d’influence
    Authors
    Yves Jégourel
    February 9, 2026
    L’arrestation du président vénézuélien Nicolàs Maduro a suscité la sidération internationale en interrogeant sur le respect du droit international ; puis, fort logiquement, cette opération a conduit à maintes analyses tant sur les arguments politiques, sécuritaires et géostratégiques avancés par Washington que sur les ambitions sous-jacentes ayant présidé à cette décision sans réel précédent dans l’histoire récente. Outre la lutte contre le narcotrafic, c’est bien évidemment la ...
  • U.S. Intervention in Venezuela: Oil and the Resurgence of Spheres of Influence
    Authors
    Yves Jégourel
    February 9, 2026
    The arrest of Venezuelan President Nicolàs Maduro caused international astonishment, raising questions about respect for international law. And, quite logically, the operation led to numerous analyses, both of the political, security and geostrategic arguments put forward by Washington, and of the underlying ambitions behind this decision, which has no real precedent in recent history. In addition to the fight against narco-trafficking, it was of course the oil issue that came first ...
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    The Renaissance of Economic Warfare
    Authors
    Ian O. Lesser
    February 3, 2026
    From the use of tariffs as a foreign policy instrument, to the weaponization of critical resources, and from targeted sanctions to attacks on critical infrastructure, economic security is at the forefront of international debates. The aggressive use of economic instruments for strategic purposes has become an explicit feature of international affairs, in a way not seen since the interwar period[1]. Beyond the weaponization of resources of all kinds, an increasing ‘monetization’ is u ...
  • Trump, le Groenland et le devenir des relations transatlantiques
    January 30, 2026
    En 2019, Donald Trump a proposé d’acheter le Groenland, déclenchant un refus catégorique du Danemark et une tension diplomatique transatlantique. Cette initiative reflétait l’intérêt stratégique et économique des États-Unis pour l’Arctique et ses ressources. L’épisode a mis en lumière l...
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    La souveraineté des pays de l’Alliance du Sahel : Ambitions et contraintes
    Authors
    Nezha Alaoui M’hammdi
    Larabi Jaïdi
    January 29, 2026
    Le Mali, le Burkina Faso et le Niger, réunis au sein de l’Alliance des États du Sahel (AES), affirment l’ambition de bâtir une souveraineté nationale qui leur permettrait de s’émanciper de la domination et des influences extérieures et de se doter d’une liberté d’action dans les choix de développement politique et économique. Cependant, cette ambition se heurte à de nombreuses contraintes économiques et sécuritaires.La souveraineté ne peut se construire sans une base économique soli ...
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    L’AES face aux défis de la fragmentation territoriale et de l’instabilité politique
    Authors
    Nezha Alaoui M’hammdi
    Larabi Jaïdi
    January 6, 2026
    La création de l’Alliance des États du Sahel (AES) symbolise une rupture politique et géostratégique majeure, appuyée sur un discours souverainiste et anti-occidental. Deux ans après, Mali, Burkina Faso et Niger peinent à assurer leur intégrité territoriale, à stabiliser leur sécurité intérieure et à bâtir une gouvernance solide. L’intégrité territoriale est un problème commun aux trois États, car dans ces pays, la cohésion de l’État et le contrôle du territoire sont directement men ...
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    AI-Enabled Purple Teaming for Sahel Convoy Security: Case of Fuel Blockade by JNIM
    Authors
    Rida Lyammouri
    Niccola Milnes
    December 30, 2025
    Fuel access has become a strategic pressure point across Mali and its neighbors. In 2025, Jama’t Nusrat al Islam wal- Muslimeen (JNIM) shifted from sporadic interdictions to a deliberate fuel-blockade strategy intended to pressure Bamako without holding territory. By selectively constraining movement along the Sikasso–Kayes–Bamako corridor, the group turned fuel scarcity into a tool of coercion, governance, and narrative control—shaping behavior in the capital while remaining largel ...
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    Corridors des pays de l’Alliance des États du Sahel : vulnérabilités logistiques, contraintes sécuritaires et dynamiques d’adaptation
    Authors
    Chaïma Jabbar
    December 23, 2025
    Les pays membres de l’Alliance des États du Sahel (le Mali, le Burkina Faso et le Niger) demeurent dépendants d’un nombre restreint de corridors d’accès à la mer, une configuration qui limite leur capacité d’ajustement en cas de perturbation et accroît la sensibilité de leurs chaînes d’approvisionnement. Le blocus du tronçon Kayes-Nioro a illustré la forte criticité du corridor Dakar-Bamako : l’interruption d’un segment unique a entraîné une contraction rapide des flux, révélant la ...
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    Corridors of the Alliance of Sahel States: Logistical Vulnerabilities, Security Constraints, and Adaptation Dynamics
    Authors
    Chaïma Jabbar
    December 23, 2025
    The member countries of the Alliance of Sahel States, Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger, remain dependent on a limited number of maritime access corridors, a configuration that constrains their adjustment capacity in the event of disruption and heightens the vulnerability of their supply chains. The Jama’at Nusrat al-Islam wa al-Muslimin (JNIM) blockade of the Kayes-Nioro area revealed how critical the Dakar-Bamako corridor is for the political and economic stability of Mali. Its interr ...
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    The United States and Venezuela: Beyond the Bilateral Dimension
    Authors
    Nizar Messari
    December 19, 2025
    The U.S. military buildup in the Caribbean—the most significant since the Cuban Missile Crisis—comes at a moment when a new world order is taking shape, its contours still unclear, and in which the U.S. seeks to be more assertive in the Western Hemisphere. This disposition toward South America and the Caribbean was underscored by the recent publication of the new U.S. National Security Strategy, in which the Monroe Doctrine is explicitly invoked. This Policy Brief situates the devel ...
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    Far From Disengagement: The U.S. and the Mediterranean Today
    Authors
    Ian O. Lesser
    December 18, 2025
    The return of President Donald Trump to the White House at the start of 2025 was expected to signal an American retreat from international engagement, especially in regions of traditional security interest, such as southern Europe, North Africa, and the Middle East. To the surprise of many observers around the Mediterranean, and perhaps to the dismay of some in the Trump administration’s ideological orbit, this has not happened. If anything, the second half of 2025 has seen a high d ...
  • Is the Two State Solution Really Dead?
    Authors
    Hafez Ghanem
    December 17, 2025
    I recently participated in a discussion between Israelis and Arabs, some living in the Middle East, some living abroad[1]. The discussion topic was ‘The Two State Solution’. This article presents my personal takeaways from the discussion. It does not try to describe the details, and other participants may have different takeaways.I joined the discussion thinking that the two-state solution was dead. Most of the other participants felt the same way—all very pessimistic. But I left fe ...
  • When War Becomes a Marketplace
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    December 16, 2025
    An unusual gesture indeed—the dictator, more often than not a recluse, withdrawn behind his fortress and protected by 1.2 million armed soldiers, finally admitted what had long been seen on the battlefield in Ukraine and by spy satellites far above. North Korean soldiers—possibly 12,000 of them—are fighting on front lines alongside Russian troops, and they are falling or being wounded; some 4,000 men so far, by current estimates.  ...
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    Beyond Global Polarization: New Cooperation Wanted
    Authors
    Edited by
    Karim El Aynaoui
    Paolo Magri
    Samir Saran
    December 14, 2025
    In 2025, the global landscape became increasingly fragmented and uncertain. Great power competition intensified, regional conflicts became protracted and exacerbated, while economic nationalism reshaped the rules of trade and development. The mechanisms for conflict resolution and cooperation that have long provided a foundation for international cooperation are now under strain due to polarization and mistrust. Even longstanding alliances, bilateral and collective security architec ...
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    Peuhl women’s lives under JNIM in the Central Sahel
    Authors
    Corinne Dufka
    Niccola Milnes
    Rida Lyammouri
    December 8, 2025
    Although the crises affecting the Sahel have been widely analysed through the lenses of armed groups, state fragility and geopolitics, much less is known about how women experience insurgent governance in their everyday lives. This is particularly pertinent to members of the pastoralist Peuhl ethnic group, which has been strategically targeted for recruitment by the Central Sahel’s dominant Islamist armed group, Jama’at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM), as a means of facilitating ...
  • Understanding and Addressing Linkages Between Maritime Security and Land-based Human Insecurities
    Authors
    Jamal Machrouh
    December 1, 2025
    This Paper was originally published on transatlantic.org The contemporary maritime domain is increasingly recognized as a geopolitical and economic space, but also as an environment intertwined with human, social, ecological, and governance systems ashore. The United Nations Institute for Disarmament Research (UNIDIR 2024) report argues that maritime security has evolved from a narrow naval and state-centered concern into a multidimensional issue embedded in global human s ...
  • TRUMP'S PLAN FOR PEACE IN THE MIDDLE EAST : from a transactional vision to a complex and uncertain regional architecture
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    November 28, 2025
    On November 17, 2025, the United Nations (UN) Security Council adopted Resolution 2803, endorsing President Donald Trump's Comprehensive Plan to end the conflict in Gaza. Contrary to popular belief, the American initiative does not date from the Trump Administration's 2nd term. It was born during his first term.The plan endorsed by the UN Security Council resolution, dubbed the ''Deal of the Century'', is in fact the heir to the initial plan, which bore the name ''Peace to Prosperit ...
  • Implementing a Gaza Reconstruction and Development Program
    Authors
    Hafez Ghanem
    November 28, 2025
    The adoption of United Nations Security Council Resolution 2803 on November 17, 2025, endorsing the “Comprehensive Plan to End the Gaza Conflict,” is a step in the right direction, but it must be accompanied by the implementation of a Gaza development and post-conflict reconstruction program. Paragraph 6 of Resolution 2803 “calls upon the World Bank and other financial institutions to facilitate and provide financial resources to support the reconstruction and development of Ga ...
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    Le Plan Trump pour la paix au Moyen-Orient : d’une vision transactionnelle à une architecture régionale complexe et incertaine
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    November 28, 2025
    Le 17 novembre 2025, le Conseil de sécurité de l’Organisation des Nations Unies (ONU) a adopté la résolution 2803 par laquelle il fait sien le Plan d’ensemble du Président Donald Trump ayant pour objectif de mettre fin au conflit à Gaza. Contrairement à ce qu’on pourrait croire, l’initiative américaine ne date pas du 2ème mandat de l’Administration Trump. Elle a vu le jour durant son premier mandat.  Le Plan entériné par la résolution du Conseil de sécurité de l’ONU, surnommé ‘ ...
  • Risk, Trust, and the Transformation of Commerce in the Digital Economy
    November 27, 2025
    Digital payments are transforming global commerce and unlocking new opportunities for Morocco’s digital economy. But as innovation accelerates, so do security challenges and sophisticated fraud risks. In this episode, we explore how trust and protection must evolve to keep pace with a f...
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    The Fourth Industrial Revolution: The Haves, the Have-Nots, and the New Frontiers of Technological Colonialism
    Authors
    Marcus Vinicius de Freitas
    November 25, 2025
    This Policy Paper analyses the Fourth Industrial Revolution (4IR) through the critical lens of technological colonialism. It argues that the fusion of physical, digital, and biological technologies is not merely a technical phenomenon but a civilizational shift reshaping the foundations of global power. The article traces a historical continuum from previous industrial revolutions, demonstrating how patterns of inequality and extraction persist, now transposed into the digital realm ...
  • This Is Not a Safe Place to Send People. It Is a Death Sentence.
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    November 10, 2025
    An estimated 600,000 Haitians live legally on US soil, most of them in New York City and Florida. Another 500,000 are waiting—certainly in vain—for entry papers. In September, the Trump government ended a special “Temporary Protected Status” for an estimated 300,000 Haitian migrants, and possibly another 500,000 migrants temporarily settled in the U.S., including Afghans, Cubans, Nicaraguans, and Venezuelans. The Trump regime is claiming that the violence-plagued Caribbean nation of ...
  • Tous géopoliticiens? La politique internationale au prisme de l’opinion
    Authors
    Dominique Bocquet
    November 4, 2025
    Cette tribune a été initialement publiée sur telos-eu.comSi un domaine est supposé devoir échapper à la « démocratie d’opinion », c’est bien la politique étrangère, surtout dans la France de la Ve République. Elle se doit d’être articulée autour d’intérêts à long terme et de calculs savants, sans reculer devant la raison d’Etat. L’opinion des Français à son propos est rarement scrutée.Elle se révèle plus construite qu’on ne croit. Telle est la leçon du sondage Toluna-Louis ...
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    La longue marche vers l’établissement d’un État palestinien
    Authors
    Mohammed Loulichki
    October 27, 2025
    L’« Accord sur Gaza » d’octobre 2025, imposé aux parties au conflit -Israël et le Hamas-  par le président américain Donald Trump, et le « Sommet de la paix de Sharm el-Sheikh », ont permis d’ouvrir une perspective pour un arrêt des hostilités et l’acheminement de l’aide humanitaire vers la bande de Gaza, en attendant la négociation de la seconde phase devant consolider le cessez-le-feu et préparer la paix dans la Région. Si l’implication du Hamas dans les négociations rel ...
  • The Long Journey Toward the Establishment of a Palestinian State
    Authors
    Mohammed Loulichki
    October 27, 2025
    The "Gaza Agreement" of October 2025, imposed on the parties to the conflict -Israel and Hamas- by US President Donald Trump, and the "Sharm el-Sheikh Peace Summit", have opened up the prospect of a halt to hostilities and the delivery of humanitarian aid to the Gaza Strip, pending the negotiation of the second phase to consolidate the ceasefire and pave the way for peace in the Region.While Hamas' involvement in the negotiations to free the hostages and end the war gave it visibili ...
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    Perspectives africaines dans le panorama géopolitique mondial
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    October 24, 2025
    Le panorama géopolitique mondial expose, certes, cruellement les vulnérabilités structurelles de l'Afrique (dépendance alimentaire, financière, exposition aux chocs), mais il ouvre aussi une fenêtre d'opportunités sans précédent depuis les indépendances. Le continent n'est plus seulement un objet de la géopolitique mondiale ; il tend de plus en plus à jouer un rôle d’acteur qui dispose d'une marge de manœuvre accrue. Le défi pour le continent et ses Éta ...
  • Dialogues Stratégiques Volume XVIII: l’Iran et la reconfiguration du Moyen-Orient - Le Soudan comme exemple de guerre protéiforme en Afrique
    Authors
    Niagalé Bagayoko
    Abdelhak Bassou
    Eugène Berg
    Christophe Chabert
    Khalid Chegraoui
    Thierry Garcin
    Mohammed Loulichki
    Larabi Jaïdi
    Fathallah Oualalou
    Alain Oudot de Dainville
    Florent Parmentier
    Anne Sophie Raujol
    Hassan Saoudi
    October 23, 2025
    Les Dialogues Stratégiques, fruit d'une collaboration entre le HEC Center for Geopolitics et le Policy Center for the New South, constituent une plateforme d'échanges biannuelle dédiée à l'analyse des grandes tendances mondiales et des problématiques régionalesqui lient l'Europe et l'Afrique. Réunissant praticiens, décideurs, universitaires et représentants desmédias, cet espace de réflexion permet de décoder les transformations en cours et de proposer des réponses aux défis contemp ...
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    مسارات انتاج العنف السياسي في الساحل: من الهشاشة البنيوية إلى مركزية الإرهاب العالمي
    Authors
    El Mostafa Rezrazi
    October 21, 2025
    تعيش منطقة الساحل مرحلة غير مسبوقة من تصاعد العنف السياسي والإرهاب، إذ أصبحت منذ 2025 مسؤولة عن أكثر من نصف الوفيات المرتبطة بالإرهاب عالميًا. هذا التحول يعكس فشل الدول في استعادة ثقة المواطنين، وانهيار المؤسسات الأمنية، وتراجع الوجود الدولي، ما أفسح المجال لتوسع الجماعات المسلحة مثل “نصرة الإسلام والمسلمين” و”تنظيم الدولة في الصحراء الكبرى”. جاءت الانقلابات المتتالية في مالي وبوركينا فاسو والنيجر كنتيجة لأزمات داخلية بنيوية عمّقت هشاشة الحكمتشهد المنطقة تفاوتًا في أنماط العنف؛ فبور ...
  • China’s Global Naval Ambitions
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    October 14, 2025
    Cementing the Position of a Global PowerNo doubt the news was unwelcome for Pentagon planners in Washington, who had long pressured the Venezuelan government. In August, the United States placed a $50 million bounty on the Venezuelan leader’s arrest. By late September 2025, multiple Chinese vessels, including a naval hospital ship, were detected in the Caribbean. These ships appear to be part of a broader Chinese diplomatic and military strategy in Latin America, heightening tension ...
  • Le patrimoine du Soudan : le pillage au service de la guerre
    Authors
    Meryam Amarir
    October 6, 2025
    Le Soudan, en plus de la crise politique et humanitaire qui le secoue depuis des années, doit faire face à une dégradation inquiétante de son patrimoine culturel, matériel et immatériel. Particulièrement dans les zones où les combats sont les plus intenses. Le patrimoine culturel soudanais est l’autre victime de cette guerre : la destruction des sites archéologiques et le pillage des musées alimentent le trafic illicite des biens culturels et contribuent aux dynamiques d’instabilité ...
  • التراث الثقافي في السودان: النهب في خدمة الحرب
    Authors
    Meryam Amarir
    October 6, 2025
    إلى جانب الأزمة السياسية والإنسانية التي تعصف بالسودان منذ سنوات، أضحى التراث الثقافي السوداني ضحية لهذه الحرب حيث شهد تدهوراً مقلقا، لا سيما في المناطق التي تشهد أعنف المعارك ً. فقد أدت عمليات تدمير المواقع الأثرية ونهب المتاحف إلى تغذية شبكات الاتجار غير المشروع بالممتلكات الثقافية، الأمر الذي يزيد من تفاقم ديناميات عدم الاستقرار في المنطقةوتدور رحى الحرب بين الجيش النظامي، أو القوات المسلحة السودانية (SAF) بقيادة عبد الفتاح البرهان، وبين قوات الدعم السريع، (RS ...
  • Sudan’s Heritage: Looting as a Weapon of War
    Authors
    Meryam Amarir
    October 6, 2025
    Sudan’s Heritage: Looting as a Weapon of WarSudan, in addition to the political and humanitarian crisis that has shaken the country for years, is now facing a worrying degradation of its cultural heritage, both tangible and intangible, particularly in areas where the fighting is most intense. Cultural heritage has become another victim of this war: the destruction of archaeological sites and the looting of museums fuel the illicit trafficking of cultural property and contribute to r ...
  • Lutter contre la désinformation : savoirs, enjeux et pratiques
    Authors
    Mohamed Benabid
    September 29, 2025
    Ce livre n’est pas un énième essai sur les Fake news. Il refuse les raccourcis moralisants, les solutions toutes faites ou les anathèmes technophobes. Ce que propose ici l’auteur, c’est une cartographie rigoureuse et plurielle d’un désordre informationnel devenu structurel — non pas un simple accident de parcours numérique, mais un révélateur des tensions démocratiques, des fractures institutionnelles et sociétales ainsi que des reconfigurations épistémiques de notre épo ...
  • Countering JNIM’s Drone Proliferation in the Sahel
    Helmut Sorge & Rida Lyammouri
    September 26, 2025
    Rida Lyammouri, Senior Fellow at the Policy Center for the New South, examines the rise of drone use by non-state armed groups in the Sahel. The discussion highlights how civilian drones ...
  • The African Peace & Security Architecture in the Face of Emerging Threats
    September 25, 2025
    This episode examines the African Peace and Security Architecture  amid evolving threats, questioning its effectiveness against modern crises such as terrorism, environmental stress, disinformation, and cyber risks. It highlights institutional and political gaps, exploring the chal...
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    Drone Warfare and Cartel Convergence in West Africa: Risks to American Safety, Security, and Prosperity
    Authors
    Rida Lyammouri
    Niccola Milnes
    September 19, 2025
    The convergence of armed group drone warfare and cartel expansion in the Sahel is a global problem with direct consequences for the United States. Far from being a peripheral conflict, instability in the Sahel directly affects American safety, security, and prosperity. For U.S. safety, Jama’at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM)’s rapid shift from crude drone experiments to battlefield strikes—combined with cartel drone attacks and Ukraine-trained operatives—means tactics tested abr ...
  • Intégration ou désintégration ? L’avenir des blocs régionaux africains
    September 17, 2025
    Cet épisode s’interroge sur l’avenir des blocs régionaux africains, pris entre l’idéal d’intégration et une réalité marquée par la fragmentation. De la fragilisation de la CEDEAO à l’émergence de l’Alliance des États du Sahel, en passant par l’influence croissante d’acteurs extérieurs, ...
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    The Architecture of Consensus: Tanzania’s Political Culture and the 2025 Elections
    Authors
    Amal El Ouassif
    September 15, 2025
    The October 2025 general elections in Tanzania unfold within a political culture grounded in consensus and institutional continuity. President Samia Suluhu Hassan’s leadership has reopened political space by restoring elite dialogue, easing restrictions on rallies, and facilitating the return of exiled figures. Yet the exclusion of CHADEMA—the principal opposition party—highlights the enduring limits of pluralism. This paper analyzes the Tanzanian electoral process less as a convent ...
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    The Atlantic Initiative and Morocco–Mauritania Relations
    Authors
    Fadoua Ammari
    Rida Lyammouri
    September 12, 2025
    The Atlantic Initiative, announced by King Mohammed VI in November 2023 to provide landlocked Sahelian countries with access to the Atlantic Ocean via Moroccan territory, promises to profoundly reshape the bilateral relationship between Rabat and Nouakchott. This research paper examines how this unprecedented project creates new strategic opportunities while raising shared challenges for Morocco and Mauritania. Diplomatically, the rapprochement around the Atlantic Initiative unfolds ...
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    Chancellor Merz’s First 100 Days: Germany’s Foreign, Security, and Economic Agenda
    Authors
    Bilal Mahli
    September 4, 2025
    This policy brief analyzes the first 100 days in office of Chancellor Friedrich Merz, which have been marked by an assertive foreign policy, ambitious security reforms, and a shift toward economic pragmatism. Merz has sought to reestablish Germany as a ‘leading middle power’, emphasizing closer European coordination, renewed transatlantic engagement, and unwavering support for Ukraine. However, his approach to the Gaza conflict, characterized by alignment with U.S. positions and rel ...
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    L’initiative atlantique et les relations Maroc–Mauritanie
    Authors
    Fadoua Ammari
    Rida Lyammouri
    August 28, 2025
    L’Initiative Atlantique, annoncée par le Roi Mohammed VI en novembre 2023, visant à offrir aux pays sahéliens enclavés un accès à l’océan Atlantique via le territoire marocain, promet de redessiner en profondeur la relation bilatérale entre Rabat et Nouakchott. Cet article examine comment ce projet inédit crée de nouvelles opportunités stratégiques tout en soulevant des défis partagés pour le Maroc et la Mauritanie. Sur le plan diplomatique, le rapprochement autour de l’Initiative A ...
  • Securing Tomorrow: New Directions in African Defense Policy
    August 15, 2025
    This episode explores the evolving African defense strategies in response to emerging security threats. We discuss the shift toward regional cooperation, modernization of military capabilities, and integration of technology. The conversation highlights the role of governance, economic r...
  • The Recent Evolution of UN Work on Peace and Security
    Ahmed Ouhnini & Jérôme Mellon
    August 01, 2025
    In this episode, we explore how the United Nations works beyond traditional peacekeeping contexts to support justice and security sector reform in fragile contexts. Our guest, Jérôme Mell ...
  • Illegal, unreported, unregulated fishing (IUU) in Atlantic Africa
    July 17, 2025
    In this episode, we explore Illegal, Unreported, and Unregulated (IUU) fishing in Atlantic Africa, a crisis that drains marine resources, harms coastal livelihoods, and threatens regional security. Luis Miguel Escudeiro da Costa Cabral from the Atlantic Centre joins us, sharing how his ...
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    Countering JNIM’s Drone Proliferation in the Sahel
    Authors
    Rida Lyammouri
    Niccola Milnes
    July 14, 2025
    Jama’at Nusrat al-Islam wal Muslimin (JNIM), alongside the Front de Libération de l’Azawad (FLA), has pioneered drone warfare in the Sahel–evolving from its first armed strike in September 2023 to over a dozen coordinated operations by June 2025. JNIM’s drone-enabled attacks–spanning kamikaze strikes, ISR- guided assaults, and visual propaganda–now target Mali, Burkina Faso, and Togo. It is the only known armed group in Africa–and one of the few globally–to conduct sustained, opera ...
  • Women and youth contribution to peacebuilding processes
    Oumaïma El Azami El Hassani & Zineb Benalla
    July 11, 2025
    In this episode, we speak to Zineb Benalla, international consultant and CEO of Eirene Associate, as she reveals the vital yet often hidden roles youth and women play in peacebuilding, sh ...
  • Could Iran and the Strait of Hormuz Spark a Global Crisis?
    July 4, 2025
    Tensions are rising in the Strait of Hormuz, a crucial oil route, as Iran clashes with its rivals, fueling fears that conflict could spill into vital shipping lanes. Missile attacks and military threats risk disrupting global energy supplies and sending prices soaring, with consequences...
  • Security–Development Nexus in Fragile States
    Sofia Formigli & Stephen Klingebiel
    July 04, 2025
    This episode explores how poverty, inequality, and climate change fuel insecurity and instability, often pushing fragile states toward militarization at the cost of social welfare. It exa ...
  • Somali Piracy: A Simple Flare-up or a Rising Threat?
    Authors
    Khadija Mamouni
    July 3, 2025
    While global attention has been focused on the Houthi rebel attacks in the Red Sea, Somali pirates have seized the opportunity to escalate their own attacks and violence along these strategic waterways. The threat is increasing dramatically due to an emerging network of allies between Al-Shabaab, the Houthis, and Somali pirates, as well as overlapping national and international factors. The first successful Somali piracy incident since 2017 took place in December 2023, a month ...
  • حديث الثلاثاء : دبلوماسية الرباط ومبادرة الحكم الذاتي: قراءة في مواقف المجتمع الدولي
    July 1, 2025
    في هذه الحلقة من برنامج "حديث الثلاثاء"، نناقش التحولات الدولية المتسارعة تجاه قضية الصحراء المغربية. نركز على اتساع الدعم الدولي لمبادرة الحكم الذاتي وتراجع الاعتراف بـ"الجمهورية الصحراوية المزعومة". كما نستعرض دور الدول الإفريقية والعربية في الدفع نحو حل نهائي وسط انقسامات مجلس الأمن....
  • APSACO 9th Edition - Conversation I
    June 20, 2025
    As the African continent grapples with a new generation of complex and interconnected threats, ranging from violent extremism and transnational crime to governance-related tensions and climate-induced insecurity, Southern Africa is also called upon to reinforce its contribution to conti...
  • APSACO 9th Edition : Africa’s Sub-Regional Landscape in 2024
    June 19, 2025
    In 2024, Africa’s sub-regional landscape reflects deepening tensions between normative commitments to regional integration and the emergence of competing political and security alignments. From institutional paralysis to political withdrawals, the coherence of Africa’s regional blocs is...
  • Rapport annuel sur la géopolitique de l’Afrique 2025
    Authors
    Sous la direction de
    Abdelhak Bassou
    June 18, 2025
    Les différentes éditions du Rapport annuel de la géopolitique de l’Afrique, que le Policy Center for the New South publie chaque année, se suivent mais ne se ressemblent pas. Elles ne gardent en commun que leur inscription, dans une même ligne éditoriale, celle qui privilégie l’Afrique en particulier et le Sud en Général. Les différentes éditions se ressemblent en ce sens que leur objet, à toutes, est de permettre à des Africains de décrire et d’analyser les relations entre l’A ...
  • حديث الثلاثاء : المغرب في مواجهة التهديدات السيبرانية
    June 17, 2025
    في هذه الحلقة، نناقش موضوع الأمن السيبراني بالمغرب في ظل تصاعد التهديدات الرقمية وتوسع استخدام التكنولوجيا. نستعرض مفهوم الأمن السيبراني والمجالات التي يشملها، قبل التطرق إلى الإطار القانوني والمؤسساتي المغربي لمواجهة الجريمة السيبرانية. كما نسلّط الضوء على التحديات الراهنة، خاصة ما يتع...
  • Wagner vs. France: The Failure of Democracy in West Africa
    June 17, 2025
    In this episode of the Unpopular Opinion Podcast, Rida Lyammouri unpacks the escalating tensions between Mali and Algeria following the downing of a Malian drone. The conversation traces the historical roots of the crisis, examines the shortcomings of imposed peace agreements, and revie...
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    Political Economy Analysis and Conflict Analysis: Cross-border Conflict Trends and Conflict Resilience of Border Communities in Eastern Benin and Western Nigeria
    Authors
    Rida Lyammouri
    June 10, 2025
    This study draws on academic and gray literature to identify the dynamics that facilitate the emergence and proliferation of armed groups and increase vulnerabilities to violent extremism (VE). Given the growing concerns about the spread of VE to northern Benin and the rising incidents of violence, it is crucial to address these underlying factors in order to bolster community cohesion and resilience to violent conflict-particularly against recruitment and influence by violent extre ...
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    La paix dans l’est de la République démocratique du Congo: Constats, méthodes, défis, actions
    Authors
    Pierre Jacquemot
    May 23, 2025
    L’espoir d’une paix durable dans la région des Grands Lacs de l’Afrique centrale est-il enfin permis ? Depuis le début des années 1990, les conflits armés dans les deux provinces du Kivu et l’Ituri à l’est de la République démocratique du Congo (RDC) se cristallisent dans des formes d’une rare violence. Pour sortir de cette crise récurrente, un accord de non-agression entre la RD Congo et son voisin, le Rwanda, accusé d’interférence, constitue un préalable. Mais il n’est ...
  • Ethiopia-Somaliland MoU and Its Implications
    Helmut Sorge & Khadija Mamouni
    April 18, 2025
    In this episode, we discuss the Memorandum of Understanding between Ethiopia and Somaliland, exploring its key terms and strategic motivations. We assess how the deal reshapes the securit ...
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    Syria’s Post-Conflict Recovery: Challenges and Prospects for Reconstruction and Stability
    Authors
    Bilal Mahli
    April 11, 2025
    Syria’s post-conflict transition, marked by the fall of the Assad regime and the appointment of interim President Ahmed al-Sharaa, will be a critical opportunity for renewal while confronting significant challenges. The country must navigate a complex landscape of political fragmentation, economic hardship, and security risks. This policy brief explores Syria’s prospects for reconstruction and long-term stability by assessing recent political reforms, economic recovery strategies, a ...
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    The New South as Collateral Damage of the Russia–Ukraine War
    Authors
    Ferid Belhaj
    April 8, 2025
    The Russia–Ukraine war, while primarily perceived as a European security crisis, has triggered deep structural shocks globally, disproportionately affecting the developing world—the “New South.” This essay explores how historical legacies, global economic dependencies, and shifting geoeconomic paradigms have converged through the war to exacerbate existing vulnerabilities in Africa, Asia, Latin America, and the Middle East. It critically examines the war’s impact through four interc ...
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    Genèse et évolution des groupes extrémistes armés au Sahel dans un contexte de crise multidimensionnelle
    Authors
    Rida Lyammouri
    Fadoua Ammari
    March 13, 2025
    L’extrémisme violent au Sahel trouve ses racines dans une combinaison de facteurs historique, politique et socio-économique, tels que l’instabilité étatique, la marginalisation de certaines communautés et l’influence d’idéologies transnationales. Ce Papier retrace l’émergence et l’expansion de groupes comme Al-Qaïda au Maghreb Islamique (AQMI) et l’État islamique au Grand Sahara (EIGS), ainsi que leur fragmentation, illustrée par la création de nouveaux groupes, comme le ...
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    الحرب الدائرة في السودان وآثارها على الأمن والاستقرار في منطقة القرن الإفريقي وما وراءها
    Authors
    Kidane Kiros
    February 12, 2025
    تتناول هذه الورقة السياسية النزاعات العنيفة المستمرة في السودان، مع التركيز بشكل خاص على الحرب التي اندلعت في الـ15 من أبريل 2023، بين القوات المسلحة السودانية وقوات الدعم السريع. يسلط التحليل الضوء على خلفية هذا النزاع الذي نشب بفعل فشل الانتقال الديمقراطي، بعد الإطاحة بالرئيس عمر البشير سنة 2019. كانت البداية مليئة بالتفاؤل، حيث تم توقيع اتفاق لتقاسم السلطة بين الفصائل العسكرية والمدنية، ولكن هذا الاتفاق انهار سريعاً، وبلغ الانهيار ذروته بحدوث انقلاب عسكري في أكتوبر من سنة 2021. ه ...
  • حديث الثلاثاء : التطرف العنيف في إفريقيا: بين تحديات الأمن ومسارات التنمية
    February 11, 2025
    يخصص مركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد حلقة خاصة من برنامجه الأسبوعي "حديث الثلاثاء" بمناسبة اليوم العالمي للوقاية من التطرف العنيف، لمناقشة موضوع " التطرف العنيف في إفريقيا: بين تحديات الأمن ومسارات التنمية" في ديسمبر 2022، اعتمدت الأمم المتحدة "اليوم العالمي للوقاية من التطرف العنيف...
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    Le G5 Sahel est mort, vive le G7 sahélo-atlantique : sécuriser le développement pour développer la sécurité
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    February 6, 2025
    Il était une fois le G5 Sahel… En 2014, cinq pays du Sahel que sont la Mauritanie, le Mali, le Burkina Faso, le Niger et le Tchad décidèrent avec l’appui d’une puissance européenne de se constituer en un groupe d’États appelé G5 Sahel. Les cinq pays se partageaient plusieurs caractéristiques dont principalement l’aspect désertique du territoire avec une vulnérabilité conséquente aux changements climatiques, l’immensité des superficies territoriales (à l’exception du Burkina Faso), ...
  • إعادة الإعمار بين القرارات الأممية والتحديات السياسية - سوريا وغزة كنموذجين
    December 26, 2024
    في ظل استمرار الحرب على غزة والقرارات الأممية غير الملزمة بوقف إطلاق النار، نتساءل عن مدى فعالية هذه القرارات على أرض الواقع. نناقش في هذه الحلقة إعادة الإعمار كعملية تتجاوز البناء المادي لتشمل إعادة بناء الثقة والمؤسسات، مع تسليط الضوء على التحديات في سوريا بعد سقوط نظام بشار الأسد وتأ...
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    Global Dynamics in a Year of Domestic Contestations and Political Shifts
    Authors
    Foreword by
    Karim El Aynaoui
    Paolo Magri
    Samir Saran
    December 14, 2024
    2024 marked the largest election year in history, with millions of people across the world going to the polls to elect their representatives and leaders. However, in the Global North, Donald Trump’s decisive election victory in the United States threatens to undermine multilateral governance structures that are already under strain. In the Global South, emerging economies from the expanded BRICS group and beyond strive to speak with a single voice, and their ...
  • Crisis in Sudan: A Complex Power Play With Regional Implications and Global Stakes
    Authors
    Imane Lahrich
    November 19, 2024
    Sudan, a nation long defined by civil strife, military coups, and an uneven trajectory towards democratic norms, now faces a devastating internal war. The eruption of conflict on April 15, 2023, between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF), has escalated into a multidimensional crisis. This conflict, fueled by longstanding political rivalries and resource-based tensions, poses grave risks to the stability of Sudan and the broader Horn of Africa. Beyond ...
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    L'INTELLIGENCE STRATÉGIQUE - REVISITER NOS FUTURS SUD; UN REGARD PROSPECTIF SUR LE TEMPS 
    Authors
    El Mostafa Rezrazi
    October 15, 2024
    Dans le vaste domaine des études prospectives, la notion du temps se révèle être un pilier fondamental, orchestre d'une symphonie complexe et variée. Cette notion n'est pas seulement un cadre dans lequel s'inscrivent nos actions et nos pensées; elle est une boussole qui guide notre capacité à anticiper et à modeler le futur. Les études prospectives, en quête de comprendre et de préparer les futurs possibles, se basent sur cette conception du temps pour éclairer et influencer la pris ...
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    Yemen's Path to Stability: Evaluating the Presidential Leadership Council's Role and Impact
    Authors
    Bilal Mahli
    October 15, 2024
    This paper provides a comprehensive analysis of the role and impact of Yemen's Presidential Leadership Council (PLC), formed in April 2022, in navigating the complexities of Yemen's ongoing civil conflict. The PLC was created to unite various anti-Houthi factions under a single governance framework, with the support of Saudi Arabia and the UAE, and to steer Yemen toward peace and stability. However, the PLC has faced numerous obstacles, including internal divisions, resistance from ...
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    The Ongoing War in Sudan and Its Implications for The Security and Stability of The Horn of Africa and Beyond
    Authors
    Kidane Kiros
    October 12, 2024
    This policy paper examines the ongoing violent conflicts in Sudan, focusing particularly on the war that erupted on April 15, 2023, between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF). The analysis highlights the backdrop of this conflict, which stems from a failed transition to democracy following the ousting of President Omar al-Bashir in 2019. Initially marked by optimism, the power-sharing agreement between military and civilian factions quickly unraveled, ...
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    African Peace and Security Annual Conference (APSACO) - 8th edition: SUMMARY REPORT
    Authors
    Policy Center for the New South
    September 30, 2024
    The African Peace and Security Annual Conference (APSACO) just concluded its 8th edition, serving as a crucial platform for discussing conflict prevention and management in Africa. APSACO has fostered a vibrant community that facilitates dialogue on Africa’s unique challenges and allows for the exchange of innovative ideas on conflict resolution. The Policy Center for the New South (PCNS) is proud to be an active participant in this ecosystem, contributing to key initiatives such as ...
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    Zeitenwende: Germany’s Strategic Shift in Foreign and Security Policy
    Authors
    Bilal Mahli
    September 13, 2024
    German Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s ‘Zeitenwende’ in February 2022 marked a significant shift in German foreign and security policy in response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. This paper analyzes Germany’s new strategic direction, including increased defense spending, reduced energy dependence on Russia, and strengthened NATO and EU alliances. It examines the domestic political debates surrounding these changes and their implications for European security dynamics. The study also expl ...
  • UN’s Future Summit: Ambition or Another Missed Chance?
    Authors
    Ferid Belhaj
    Helmut Sorge
    September 4, 2024
    History is unfolding before our eyes. These are days that could define the future of our world. The United Nations is calling for a “Summit for the Future,” promising “Multilateral Solutions for a Better Tomorrow.” This vision will take shape on September 23-24, 2024, in New York City. António Guterres, the Secretary-General of the UN since January 2017, has championed this summit as “a once-in-a-generation opportunity to reinvigorate global action, recommit to fundamental principle ...
  • Sudan Peace Talks in Geneva: Navigating the Challenges of a 16-Month Conflict
    Authors
    Imane Lahrich
    August 16, 2024
    Negotiations aimed at securing a ceasefire in Sudan began in Geneva this week, marking a critical step toward ending the 16-month-long conflict that has ravaged the nation. Co-organized by the United States and Switzerland, the talks focus on addressing the severe humanitarian crisis and establishing a cessation of hostilities. However, significant challenges persist, particularly concerning the uncertain participation of the key warring parties. Understanding the Conflict Sudan h ...
  • Japan's NSS in the Age of Cyber Warfare: a historical transformation
    Authors
    Redouan Najah
    July 12, 2024
    This opinion was originally published in japanupclose.web-japan.org   On December 16, 2022, the Japanese government approved three important defense documents. The first is the National Security Strategy, which defines the general lines of the country's defense policy for the next decade. The second is the National Defense Strategy, which sets defense objectives and defines the means to achieve them. The third is the Defense C ...
  • Facilitation et négociation en temps de guerre
    Majda Belkheiri & Saïd Abass Ahamed
    July 12, 2024
    La facilitation et la négociation en temps de guerre sont des outils cruciaux pour instaurer la paix et la stabilité dans les régions en conflit. Ces processus permettent aux parties bell ...
  • Lake Chad Basin Conflicts: Insights by Dr. Norman Sempijja
    June 24, 2024
    Dr. Norman Sempijja, an Associate Professor at Mohammed VI Polytechnic University, explores the conflicts in the Lake Chad Basin region, which includes Nigeria, Cameroon, Niger, and Chad. These countries experience some of Africa's most severe conflicts, significantly impacting the regi...
  • Africafé: Mediation dynamics in internal conflicts in Africa
    June 13, 2024
    In the complex landscape of African conflicts, the role of mediators remains pivotal, holding the promise of peace amidst turbulent times. Mediators, whether they come from regional organizations, international bodies, or local communities, act as crucial agents of change. They navigate...
  • Guerre à Gaza : Les gagnants d’un cessez-le-feu sans paix
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    June 3, 2024
    La dynamique qui anime aujourd’hui le conflit israélo-palestinien, notamment la guerre que mènent à Gaza les troupes du Tsahal et les combattants du Hamas, appuyés par le Jihad islamique et les autres factions armées palestiniennes, laisse espérer un accord entre les parties prenantes pour mettre fin à une guerre qui a généré des dizaines de milliers de morts et de blessés. Espoirs nourris par le dernier discours (31 mai) du président américain qui détaille, on ne peut plus clair, l ...
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    South Africa’s May 2024 Elections: Will the African National Congress continue to govern alone?
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    May 3, 2024
    The African National Congress (ANC), which has dominated the political scene in South Africa since 1994, began a downward trend in terms of votes won during the 2009 elections. However, this decline has never cast doubt on the ANC’s dominant position in the South African political landscape. Even at the lowest point in its popularity, during the “State Capture” scandal of 2019, a corruption scandal involving former President Jacob Zuma, the ANC won 57.5% of the vote, which largely a ...
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    Élections sud-africaines de mai 2024 : l’ANC continuera-t-il à gouverner seul ?
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    April 26, 2024
    L’African National Congres (ANC), qui domine la vie politique en Afrique du Sud depuis 1994, a entamé, lors des élections de 2009, une pente descendante, en termes de voix remportées lors des élections générales. Cependant, ce recul n’a jamais mis en doute la prédominance de l’ANC dans le panorama politique sud-africain. Au plus bas de sa popularité en 2019, en raison de l’affaire de « Capture de l’État », un scandale de corruption dans lequel a été impliqué l’ancien pre ...
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    From the Alliance of Sahel States to the Confederation of Sahel States: The Road is Clear, But Full of Traps
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    April 24, 2024
    The Alliance of Sahel States (AES), created on September 16, 2023, brings together Mali, Niger, and Burkina Faso under a mutual defense agreement. The signing of the charter relating to this alliance, which bears the name Liptako-Gourma, was followed by meetings and plans for initiatives that will push the new structure further towards statutes for the alliance, transforming it into a confederation. As an intermediate measure, the three states have already envisaged the creation of ...
  • Red Sea Risks: Security Challenges and the Global Trade Equation
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    March 29, 2024
    Interview with Sara Mokaddem, Manager of the Monitoring and Strategic Analysis Unit at the Policy Center for the New South, conducted by our columnist Helmut Sorge.   Oil tankers, mega cruise ships, and giant container vessels that once moved through secure waterways—the lifelines of global trade—are now menaced by missile and drone attacks, carried out by Houthi forces in Yemen. Meanwhile, pirates are active off the shores of Somalia, and Singapore or Hong Kong flagged vesse ...
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    De l’Alliance des États du Sahel à la Confédération des États du Sahel : le chemin est carrossable, mais semé d’embûches
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    March 22, 2024
    L’Alliance des États du Sahel (AES), créée le 16 septembre 2023, rassemble dans un accord de défense mutuelle le Mali, le Niger et le Burkina Faso. La signature de la charte afférente à cette alliance qui porte le nom du Liptako-Gourma a été suivie de rencontre et de projets d’initiatives qui poussent plus loin la nouvelle structure vers des statuts de l’alliance pour la transformer en confédération. Comme mesure intermédiaire, les trois États ont d’ores et déjà envisa ...
  • Value Chains Under stress
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    March 15, 2024
    A Series of Disruptions The freighter, on its way from the United Arab Emirates to Bulgaria, loaded with 21000 metric tons of fertilizer, was hit by two Houthi missiles on February 18, 2024, at a point 93 miles east of Aden. The Houthi—not an army but rebels—are firing on ships in solidarity with the tortured people in Gaza, and their leaders, Hamas. Like Hamas, the Houthi are armed by Tehran. The European Union has started a mission to send frigates into the Red Sea, providing pr ...
  • Reimagining International Security: Multilateralism vs Multi-Stakeholderism
    Authors
    Nusrat Farooq
    March 6, 2024
    Nusrat Farooq is an international security and policy expert whose research is at the intersection of emerging technology, international relations, and trust and safety. She is a 2022 alumna of the Atlantic Dialogues Emerging Leaders program. Learn more about her here.   With the advent of social media more than a decade ago, and now with the emergence of generative artificial intelligence, international security has become increasingly complex in terms of ...
  • Terrorist Recruitment Dynamics : Strategies for Counteraction
    February 19, 2024
    In this interview with Dr. Aynabat Atayeva, Chief, International Hub on Behavioral Insights to Counter Terrorism, UNOCT, Qatar. We explore the dynamics of terrorist recruitment as we examine how terrorist organizations exploit a sense of belonging to lure vulnerable individuals. Moreove...
  • AI in Counterterrorism: Roles & Risks
    February 19, 2024
    In this interview with Dr. Josh Martin, UNOCT Expert in Violent Extremism, USA,we examine the factors leading individuals to adopt violent beliefs and terrorist affiliations, we also explore current initiatives for monitoring susceptible individuals as we analyze the role of AI in ...
  • The Conflict is Bleeding Across Borders
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    February 16, 2024
    The destruction of a vibrant and historic nation, sprinkled with color and culture, turned into a footnote of geopolitics. The more than 377,000 war victims disappeared from global headlines. The official fighting ended in Yemen on March 29, 2022. A ceasefire was declared by the Saudi Arabia-led coalition and the rebellious Houthis. China’s foreign minister, Wang Yi, praised “the wave of reconciliation” that swept across the region. The main foreign supporter of Yemen’s Houthi—Iran— ...
  • Deciphering Terrorist Recruitment: Strategies and Countermeasures
    February 14, 2024
    In this interview with Dr. Jeffrey Kaplan, Senior Researcher, Danube Institute, Hungary, we explore the understanding of counterterrorism, focusing on terrorist recruitment processes and effective countermeasures. We examine the mechanisms of recruitment, strategies in counterterrorism ...
  • حديث الثلاثاء: الوضع الحالي ومستقبل جهود منع التطرف العنيف
    February 13, 2024
    يفتقر التطرف العنيف إلى تعريف محدد، ولا يقتصر على منطقة أو جنسية أو نظام عقائدي معين، ولو أن بعض الجماعات الإرهابية قد شكلت، في السنوات الأخيرة، ملامح تصورنا للتطرف العنيف. فكيف تعرف الأدبيات الأكاديمية مفهوم "الإرهاب"؟ ما هي العناصر الأساسية التي...
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    الجبهة الداخلية الإسرائيلية في زمن الحرب: وحدةٌٌ معلنة وتصدُُّعاتٌٌ مكشوفةٌٌ
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    January 30, 2024
    الحرب بطبيعتها ليست عملية حسابية. فمن حيث الاستراتيجية العسكرية، لا تعتبر عملية الجمع دائما إضافة، ولا عملية الطرح تنقيصا. فعملية الضرب لا ُتضخِّم كما أن القسمة لا ُتقلل. وإذا كانت الوسائل هي بالتأكيد ميزة في الحرب، فإن نتيجة الصراعات (النصر أو الهزيمة) لا تعتمد فقط على هذه الوسائل، ذلك ان الحرب تكشف عن صمود المجتمع وليس عن قوة الجيش فقط. فالحرب ُتظهر ارتباط القوة العسكرية بصلابة الجبهة الداخلية المرتبطة بدورها إلى حد كبير بالتماسك الاجتماعي. و ليس لهذا الأخير وحدة قياس، ف ...
  • Enough is Enough
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    January 23, 2024
    On November 13, 1974 (YouTube, Nov 14), Yassir Arafat appeared in front of the United Nations General Assembly. He reminded his audience and the world that, “today I have come bearing an olive branch and a freedom fighter’s gun. Do not let the olive branch fall from my hand.” Almost half a century has passed since then, and Arafat as well, and there is still no olive branch for the Palestinians, only the gun. Before the current Israel-Gaza war, noted the respected Foreign Affairs ...
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    Le front intérieur d’Israël en temps de guerre : l’unité affichée et les fractures dévoilées
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    January 5, 2024
    La guerre n’est, par sa nature, pas arithmétique. En matière de stratégie militaire, ni l’addition est toujours un ajout ni la soustraction une diminution. La multiplication n’amplifie pas comme la division ne réduit pas. Les moyens sont certes un avantage dans la guerre, mais l’issue des conflits (victoire ou défaite) n’en dépendent pas exclusivement. La guerre révèle la résilience d’une société et pas seulement la puissance d’une armée. Mieux, elle montre la dépendance de la puiss ...
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    Le conflit israélo-palestinien : l’histoire d’une injustice
    Authors
    Fathallah Oualalou
    December 21, 2023
    Le « Déluge d’Al-Aqsa » -nom de code de l’attaque surprise menée en Israël par le Hamas et les Brigades Izz Al-Din Al-Qassam, le 7 octobre 2023 -, et la riposte israélienne dévastatrice pour les populations civiles et les infrastructures de l’enclave de Gaza qui en a été la conséquence, ont ramené au premier plan la cause du peuple palestinien. Cause qui continue d’habiter les esprits, les coeurs et les consciences. Plus que jamais, un « nouveau Moyen- Orient » ne pourra émerger et ...
  • Evolving Threats in Intelligence and Security
    December 20, 2023
    John Sawers, former Chief of the Secret Intelligence Service (MI6), shares his insights on how security threats have evolved with the rise of digital technologies and social media. In this interview, he offers a compelling exploration of the shift from traditional methods to contemporar...
  • Establishing a Palestinian State
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    December 13, 2023
    The title of the Policy Brief seems alarming. ‘Israel-Palestine The Last Chance for a Just Solution’, an assessment by Abdelhak Bassou, Senior Fellow of the Policy Center for the New South, affiliated professor at Mohammed VI University in Rabat, and one of the leading security experts of Morocco. His paper, published in November 2023, could not have more timely, dramatic, urgent, and constructive. Scenes of the apocalypse for an estimated twelve million people in a region, consider ...
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    The Rise of Global South: New Consensus Wanted
    Authors
    Edited by
    Karim El Aynaoui
    Paolo Magri
    Samir Saran
    December 13, 2023
    In a world confronted with unprecedented challenges and growing geopolitical rifts, is it time for a reformed and more balanced international order? What are the new propositions by the "Global South"? Are they necessarily at odds with the ones of the 'West"? Guided by these questions, 2023 marked a milestone for the “Global South” as the BRICS group invited 6 other countries to join the club, and India presided over of the G20 just after Indonesia and before Brazil. ...
  • Climate Change and Security in the Sahel
    Javier Cantero, Fatima Aliyu Magaji, Maiga Attaher
    December 05, 2023
    Delving into the nuances of this paradigm shift, the speakers shed light on how climate change is now perceived not only as an environmental challenge but also as a critical factor influe ...
  • Automatic Rifles Versus Ballot Boxes
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    November 28, 2023
    In the space of one day in late July 2023, the fate of Mohamed Bazoum, 63, changed completely; the comfort of his palace was replaced by a small dark room. The occupant was reduced from president of the 27 million-strong nation of Niger to criminal, facing charges of high treason and undermining the security of the nation (Reuters, August 14, 2023). His accusers were a military junta, led by the commander of the Presidential Guard, General Abdourahamane Tchiani, now self-imposed Pre ...
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    إسرائيل - فلسطين: الفرصة الأخيرة لحل عادل
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    November 24, 2023
    في 6 أكتوبر 1973 تلقت السلطات الإسرائيلية تحذيرات عن احتمال اندلاع حرب على حدودها مع الدول العربية. هذا التحذير أكد المعلومات التي تم استلامها قبل بضعة أيام، ولكن أصحاب القرار السياسي والاستخبارات في اسرائيل لم يأخذوا الأمر على محمل الجد. حيث تعرضت إسرائيل لهجوم مفاجئ وعرف جيشها حالة من الهلع. وكانت الكارثة. خمسون عاما بعد ذلك، تقريبًا في نفس اليوم، فوجئت إسرائيل بهجوم جديد. في صباح 7 أكتوبر 2023، عبر مئات الرجال مسلحين الحاجز بين إسرائيل وقطاع غزة، انتشروا في أكثر من 20 مكانًا، قت ...
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    Israel-Palestine: The Last Chance for a Just Solution
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    November 17, 2023
    On October 6, 1973, the Israeli authorities were warned of the imminent outbreak of war on their borders with the Arab states. This warning confirmed information received a few days previously, which Israeli political decision-makers and iintelligence services had not taken seriously. Israel was taken by surprise and its army panicked. It was a debacle. Fifty years later, almost to the day, Israel was once again taken by surprise. On the morning of October 7, 2023, hundreds of armed ...
  • حديث الثلاثاء : تطورات الصراع الفلسطيني الإسرائيلي: هل من فرصة لحل عادل؟
    November 14, 2023
    شنت حركة حماس في قطاع غزة، هجوما غير مسبوق على إسرائيل في 7 أكتوبر الماضي، حيث نفذ الجيش الإسرائيلي غارات جوية ومدفعية بعد الهجوم المفاجئ الذي أدى الى مقتل الاَف من المدنيين داخل القطاع   الصراع الفلسطيني الإسرائيلي مستمر منذ عقود، لكن ما هي القضايا التي تديم جذوته مشتعلة حتى...
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    Le conflit Israélo-palestinien : la dernière chance pour une solution juste
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    November 9, 2023
    Le 6 octobre 1973, les autorités israéliennes ont été averties de l’éclatement imminent d’une guerre à leurs frontières avec les États arabes. Cet avertissement confirmait les informations reçues quelques jours auparavant, mais que les décideurs politiques et le Renseignement israéliens n’avaient pas pris au sérieux. Israël est pris par surprise et son armée est en panique. C’est la débâcle. Cinquante ans plus tard, quasiment jour pour jour, l’État hébreux est enco ...
  • Africafé - Une conversation avec Son Excellence Catherine Samba-Panza
    November 2, 2023
    Réflexions sur le leadership, la paix et la sécurité en Afrique Dans cette interview exclusive, nous avons eu l'honneur de discuter avec Son Excellence Madame Catherine Samba-Panza, l'ancienne présidente de la République centrafricaine et une figure emblématique de la politique africai...
  • Dialogues Stratégiques Volume XIV: Le retour des conflits de haute intensité - La nouvelle donne sécuritaire au Sahel
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    Pascal Chaigneau
    Nihal Aïcha El Mquirmi
    Jacques Gravereau
    Sonia Le Gouriellec
    Mohammed Loulichki
    Jamal Machrouh
    Philippe Migaux
    Agnès Mikita
    Sara Hasnaa Mokaddem
    Alain Oudot de Dainville
    Olivier Tramond
    Sâ Benjamin Traoré
    October 26, 2023
    Les Dialogues Stratégiques, une collaboration entre HEC Center for Geopolitics et Policy Center fort he New South, représentent une plateforme d'analyse et d'échange biannuelle réunissant des experts, des praticiens, des décideurs politiques, ainsi que el monde universitaire et les médias au service d'une réflexion critique et approfondie sur les tendances politiques mondiales et sur une problématique d'intérêt régional, d'importance commune à al fois pour l'Europe et l'Afrique. Ce ...
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    En Afrique, des coups d’État, signes de l’épuisement prématuré de la démocratie importée
    Authors
    Pierre Jacquemot
    October 13, 2023
    La dernière série de coups d’État en Afrique subsaharienne cache-t-elle un spectaculaire retournement contre les processus politiques fondés sur le principe électoral qui avaient été engagés dans les années 1990 ? Pour sept pays concernés (Burkina Faso, Gabon, Guinée, Mali, Niger, Soudan, Tchad), la prise du pouvoir par les militaires signe la fin d’un cycle, celui de la tentative de démocratisation par l’élection, et l’entrée dans un nouveau cycle, à l’issue inconnue ...
  • Technologies and Borders
    Authors
    Alberto Tagliapietra
    October 5, 2023
    This brief was originally published in gmfus.org   The EU is increasing, at home and abroad, its use of state-of-the-art technologies in its border management. But guarantees of their consistently appropriate use are lacking. Migration increasingly involves digital tools. Internet, smartphones, and social media are of paramount importance for people on the move. Border management is also becoming more digitalized, with technological tools being used to accelerate legal ...
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    African Peace and Security Annual Conference (APSACO) - 7th edition: SUMMARY REPORT
    Authors
    General Rapporteur
    Rachid El Houdaigui
    October 2, 2023
    The Policy Center for the New South organized the 7th African Peace and Security Annual Conference (APSACO) on July 10-11, 2023, under the theme ‘Post-Conflict Reconstruction in Africa’. This annual conference provides a platform for the analysis of Africa’s peace and security structures and institutions, focusing on the continent’s assets, history, and its ability to overcome current and emerging challenges and gain global competitive advantage. The debate on post-conflict reconst ...
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    Conférence annuelle sur la paix et la sécurité en Afrique (APSACO) - 7ème édition : RAPPORT DE SYNTHÈSE
    Authors
    General Rapporteur
    Rachid El Houdaigui
    October 2, 2023
    La septième édition de la Conférence africaine sur la paix et la sécurité (APSACO) s’est déroulée sur deux journées enrichissantes, les 10 et 11 juillet 2023. La conférence, organisée par le Policy Center for the New South, a rassemblé une pléiade d’experts du monde entier, représentant divers secteurs d’activité, sur le thème “Reconstruction post-conflit en Afrique”. Elle s’articulait autour de 6 panels ainsi que d’une discussion autour du Rapport annuel sur la géop ...
  • Esquisses des nouvelles dimensions de défense au Maroc
    Authors
    Rachid El Houdaigui
    September 28, 2023
    Bientôt disponible en vente sur Livremoi.   En présentant ces textes, publiés dans les plateformes du Policy Center for the New South, pour partie, et dans divers supports, pour l’autre, on découvre à leur lecture des sujets absents des sciences sociales nationales. Le premier défi que doit surmonter le chercheur marocain qui s’intéresse aux affaires militaires et de sécurité (AMS) est la sous-conceptualisation du domaine en raison du désintérêt des universités et ...
  • AFRICAFE: Niger's Coup Unveiled: Security, Powers, and Perspectives
    September 21, 2023
    In this episode, we will unravel the complex factors behind the coup in Niger with Rida Lyammouri, Senior Fellow at the Policy Center for the New South, in which he dissects the political, social, and economic aspects that led to this crisis to provide a thorough understanding of the si...
  • Chapitre 4: La crise de Cabo Delgado au Mozambique : quelles solutions africaines ?
    Authors
    Nezha Alaoui M’hammdi
    September 8, 2023
    Le Mozambique fait face depuis 2017 à une insurrection menée dans la province de Cabo Delgado, au nord-est du pays, par un groupe militant islamiste dénommé Ahlu Sunna Wal Jamaa (ASWJ) – qui aurait fait allégeance à l’État islamique (EI) et qui est aussi connu sous le nom de Al Shabab, sans lien avec le groupe éponyme en Somalie. Les problèmes sociaux et économiques de cette région – qui concentre la plus grande partie des 18 % de musulmans que compte le pays, à majorité chrétienne ...
  • Rapport annuel sur la géopolitique de l’Afrique 2023
    Authors
    Sous la direction de
    Abdelhak Bassou
    September 8, 2023
    Cette 6ème édition du rapport géopolitique de l’Afrique s’inscrit dans la même ligne éditoriale que ses précédentes. Elle se veut une plateforme où des auteurs et analystes africains racontent l’Afrique géopolitique de 2022 en débordant parfois sur les événements saillants du début de 2023. Ce moment, d’environ une année et demie, ne peut échapper à la guerre en Ukraine comme toile de fond du monde. Même lorsque les auteurs ne s’y réfèrent pas explicitement, cett ...
  • حديث الثلاثاء : الانقلاب في النيجر: أبرز التطورات، آفاق الحل والسيناريوهات المحتملة
    September 5, 2023
    يخصص مركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد حلقة برنامجه الأسبوعي "حديث الثلاثاء" لمناقشة موضوع الانقلاب في النيجر: أبرز التطورات، آفاق الحل والسيناريوهات المحتملة مع الأستاذ عبد الحق باسوا، باحث بارز بمركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد. في صبيحة يوم 26 يوليوز أعلنت رئاسة النيجر بداية الانق...
  • Unveiling Power Dynamics: The West and the Global South
    by Hala Boumaiz & Len Ishmael
    September 01, 2023
    In this podcast, we are joined by Dr. Len Ishmael, editor and co-author of the book “Aftermath of War in Europe: The West VS. the Global South?”. Dr. Ishmael delves into the groundbreakin ...
  • Crossing the Nuclear Rubicon
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    August 31, 2023
    Kim Ju-ae, supposed daughter of North Korean dictator Kim Jong-un, was introduced by her father for the first time to the world and 26.1 million citizens of the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK) on November 19, 2022. Her first public appearance was unusual: at the launch of an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) costing up to $10 million (Los Angeles Times, November 4, 2022). Unlike a DPRK spy satellite launched on May 30, 2023, which broke up in midair before reach ...
  • Coup d’État au Gabon : Le septième de ‘’la nouvelle vague’’
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    August 31, 2023
    Un peu plus d’un mois après le coup d’État qui a renversé le président nigérien, Ali Bongo Odimba (ABO) est, dans la matinée du 30 août, renversé par un groupe de militaires avant même qu’il n’ait eu le temps de fêter sa troisième élection à la tête de l’État gabonais.   1-Encore un coup d’État  Les premières annonces du coup d’État au Gabon rappellent la tentative avortée, en janvier 2019, lorsque l’adjoint du patron de la Garde républicaine, Ondo Obiang Kelly, prend l ...
  • Twenty-Four Hours of Turmoil: The Wagner Uprising and Its Far-Reaching Impact on Russia and Beyond
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    August 4, 2023
    Twenty-Four Hours June 23-24, 2023. Over those days, Russia, the sanctioned world power, was not destabilized by the nuclear enemy in Washington, but by one man, who made his wealth serving food to school children and soldiers. A caterer who attempted a revolution. A bald man, who apparently wore wigs during his days off, as the Russian secret police claimed to have discovered when they searched his home in St Petersburg. The photos of the wig-wearing Yevgeny Prigozhin were shown o ...
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    Le post-conflit vu par l’African Peace and Security Annual Conference (APSACO)
    Authors
    Rachid El Houdaigui
    July 30, 2023
    La réflexion sur le post-conflit a été stimulée ces dernières années par les efforts africains visant à offrir au continent un cadre politique propre à la période post-conflit ou post-crise (transition politique) dans la continuité de l'Architecture de paix et de sécurité de l'Union africaine (APSA) et dans le sillage de l'Architecture de gouvernance africaine (AGA). Ce souci pour une paix durable sur le continent est à l’origine de l’adoption à Banjul (Gambie) en 2006 ...
  • Security in Libya : Is there Peace on the Horizon ?
    Helmut Sorge & Badreddine El Harti
    July 28, 2023
    Libya, a nation abundant in valuable resources such as human capital, minerals, and oil, has also been characterized by cultural homogeneity and harmonious coexistence. Throughout its his ...
  • Charting Peace and Security in the Sahel
    Hamza M’jahed & Maggie Janes-Lucas
    July 21, 2023
    This podcast aims to assess the recent security developments in the Sahel and adopt a proactive approach towards the practical measures required to revitalize peace efforts in the region. ...
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    Artificial Intelligence Revolution in Africa: Economic Opportunities and Legal Challenges
    Authors
    Abdessalam Saad Jaldi
    July 20, 2023
    Artificial intelligence (AI) is playing an increasingly important role in our daily lives. Having experienced considerable growth in recent years, artificial intelligence corresponds to technologies capable of processing hybrid sources, particularly unstructured data. Complex tasks are thus delegated to increasingly autonomous technological processes, capable of driving economic and social development. In current African society, AI is becoming more popular and seeking to cover all ...
  • حديث الثلاثاء : حلقة خاصة - كيف يمكن تحقيق استدامة تقوية الدول في سياقات ما بعد النزاع؟
    July 18, 2023
    في ضوء المؤتمر السنوي للسلم والأمن بإفريقيا حول إعادة الإعمار بعد الصراع في أفريقيا عرفت السنوات الأخيرة اضطرابات جيوسياسية واقتصادية على المستوى العالمي. ومع تزايد زخم الأحداث، دخل العالم فترة تحول جيوسياسي واقتصادي تعلن نهاية دورة تاريخية وتُنبِّؤ بآفاق غير مؤكدة لدورة جديدة. وعليه، ...
  • حديث الثلاثاء : ما مستقبل نفوذ "فاغنر" في أفريقيا؟
    July 4, 2023
      تعد مجموعة فاغنر شركة عسكرية روسية خاصة تنشط في عدد من الدول الأفريقية منذ عام 2017، بما في ذلك جمهورية إفريقيا الوسطى وليبيا ومالي، والسودان، وموزمبيق، ومدغشقر. وقد وُجِّهَت اتهامات للمجموعة بارتكاب العديد من انتهاكات حقوق الإنسان في جمهورية إفريقيا الوسطى، مثل القتل والتعذيب و...
  • The Weaponization of Food: Ukraine's Struggle for Survival and its Global Consequences
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    June 15, 2023
    If you search on “Google” for a pizzeria in Kyiv, you have many choices, such as “Mimosa Brooklyn Pizza”, “Mamamia”, or “Vesuveo”.  If bombs or supersonic missiles do not scare you, more formal dining pleasures exist. “Feel like a star”, reads one of the ads for the “Matisse”, located on the 15th floor of the “Cityhotel” in the historic part of town - an eatery 52 meters up could be a tempting target for Russian missile attacks. Wladimir Klitschko, a former world heavyweight bo ...
  • Digest: Navigating the Changing Security Landscape in the Sahel
    Authors
    Imane Lahrich
    June 12, 2023
    The security landscape in the Sahel region has undergone significant changes in recent years. From the emergence of Russia as an actor in the region to the persistent issue of trafficking, and the challenges of political transitions in countries including Chad and Sudan, the Sahel faces complex and interconnected security challenges. This insight summarizes our biannual Strategic Dialogues, focusing on the new security landscape in the Sahel, its regional developments, and its impli ...
  • War in Ukraine: Unleashing Innovation and Unseen Frontiers
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    June 8, 2023
    A tragedy of historic proportions The war is gruesome and may not end for months or years. Not ending with the white flag of surrender, but total depletion and exhaustion, men and missiles, tanks, and terror. The battlefield is hell, as it is in all wars. A nightmare and human folly. “We are learning in Ukraine how to fight”, admitted the former President of Lithuania, Dalia Grybauskalte, “and we are learning how to use our NATO equipment. It is a teaching battle”. Yes, this politi ...
  • تجربة إعادة الإعمار بعد الصراع في رواندا: بين الدروس المستخلصة وسبل الوقاية
    Authors
    Imane Lahrich
    April 18, 2023
    مرت تسعة وعشرون عاما منذ أن انطلقت رواندا في مسار تحقيق المصالحة الوطنية بعد أحداث الإبادة الجماعية التي ارتكبتها حكومة الهوتو الخاضعة لسيطرة المتطرفين، والتي استهدفت أقلية التوتسي خلال مئة يوم إلى حين دخول الجبهة الوطنية الرواندية البلاد. حيث اعتمدت على الآليات المحلية التي جمعت بين المقاربات الشمولية والمحلية القائمة على الثقافة، كما شملت استجابات قضائية وغير قضائية تفاعلية ووقائية، علاوة على إطلاق مجموعة من الإصلاحات الدستورية، المؤسساتية والقطاعية. غير أن هذا المسار، لم يخل من ...
  • Les dessous de la présence militaire russe en Afrique
    Abdelhak Bassou & Imane Lahrich
    March 24, 2023
    Dans ce nouvel épisode, Imane Lahrich accueille Abdelhak Bassou pour discuter des dessous de la présence militaire russe en Afrique. D’un côté, la Russie ambitionne de contrer les ambitio ...
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    Les relations militaires entre la Russie et l’Afrique, avant et après la guerre en Ukraine
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    March 6, 2023
    En partenariat avec le Policy Center for the New South (PCNS), Africa Center est fier de présenter un rapport conjoint sur l’influence de la Russie en Afrique, une perspective sécuritaire, à l’occasion du premier anniversaire de la guerre en Ukraine. L’Afrique est apparue comme un acteur majeur de ce conflit lorsque le 3 mars 2022 , dix-sept Etats africains se sont abstenus lors du vote de la résolution de l’Assemblée générale des Nations Unies condamnant l’invasion russe en Ukrain ...
  • The position of Spain and Europe Towards the War in Ukraine
    March 4, 2023
    In this video recorded during the Atlantic Dialogues, our Columnist Mr. Helmut Sorge interviews Ms. Ana Palacio, Spain's Former Minister of Foreign Affairs on the position of Spain and Europe towardsthe War in Ukraine, the interview also tackles different questi...
  • The reaction of the NATO amidst the War in Europe
    March 1, 2023
    In this video recorded during the Atlantic Dialogues, our Columnist Mr. Helmut Sorge interviews Mr. Alessandro Minuto-Rizzo, President of the NATO Defense College Foundation in Rome on the NATO’s reactions amidst the War in Ukraine, Mr Minuto answers questions on how countries of the Na...
  • Le Monde en période de crises multiples
    February 25, 2023
    Dans cette interview tournée au cours des Atlantic Dialogues, Monsieur Helmut Sorge interroge le Ministre Hubert Védrine sur ses impressions sur un monde aussi troublé qu’aujourd’hui suite à la guerre Russo-Ukrainienne. Monsieur Védrine nous fait part de son analyse ainsi que son étude ...
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    Military Relations Between Russia and Africa, Before and After The War in Ukraine
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    February 24, 2023
    In a recent telephone conversation, Russian President Vladimir Putin officially invited Assimi Goïta, the military chief of the transition in Mali, to take part in the second Russia-Africa summit to be held in Saint Petersburg. This summit is scheduled for July 2023, according to Mikhail Bogdanov, the special representative of the president of Russia to the Middle East and Africa and deputy foreign minister. Russia is openly optimistic that several African leaders will attend the pl ...
  • Fighting violent extremism and terrorism on digital platforms
    February 23, 2023
    In this video recorded during the Atlantic Dialogues, our Columnist Mr. Helmut Sorge interviews Ms. Nusrat Farooq, Technology and Programs Associate, Global Internet Forum to Counterterrorism, Ms. Farooq tells us about how The Global Internet Forum is fighting violent extremism and terr...
  • حديث الثلاثاء: التطرف العنيف: المقاربات والاسباب وآليات المكافحة
    Akram Zaoui & El Mostafa Rezrazi
    February 21, 2023
    طبقا لقرار من المجلس العام لمنظمة الأمم المتحدة يخصص يوم 12 فبراير للاحتفال بمكافحة التطرف العنيف. وبعد ان تصدر الموضوع قائمة جدول أعمال القوى العظمى بعد اعلان تنظيم الدولة بقيام خلافة اس ...
  • Our client in Vienna
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    February 20, 2023
    As FBI agent  Charles McGonigal, 54, was used in handcuffs, these metal symbols of repression and the end of freedom. When the former  Special agent in charge( SAC) of the Counter-intelligence Division of the FBIs field office in New York returned from a trip to the Middle East, he suddenly felt the cold iron around his wrists; some of the FBI agents arresting him he certainly knew well-from 1996 until his retirement in 2018 McGonigal specialized in Counterintelligence, or ...
  • حديث الثلاثاء: التطرف العنيف: المقاربات والاسباب وآليات المكافحة
    February 15, 2023
    طبقا لقرار من المجلس العام لمنظمة الأمم المتحدة يخصص يوم 12 فبراير للاحتفال بمكافحة التطرف العنيف. وبعد ان تصدر الموضوع قائمة جدول أعمال القوى العظمى بعد اعلان تنظيم الدولة بقيام خلافة اسلامية سنة 2014 وحتى انهياره وانهزامه في الاراضي التي كان قد سيطر عليها على خلفية الهجوم الذي شنه على...
  • حديث الثلاثاء : قراءة في تحولات موازين القوى في منطقة الساحل
    Akram Zaoui & Imane Lahrich
    February 13, 2023
    ترتبط التحديات الأمنية بالمنطقة المغاربية ارتباطا قويا بحالة عدم الاستقرار السائدة في منطقة الساحل، حيث تواجه هاتين المنطقتين أزمات أمنية كبرى تُؤثر فيموازين القوة بشكل أصبح يؤثر مباشرة ع ...
  • The future of European Security
    Hamza M’jahed & Jonathan Eyal
    February 10, 2023
    The war in Ukraine has been a major destabilizing factor for European security, and its future is now uncertain and complex. Initially, experts thought that the war would provide a geopol ...
  • حديث الثلاثاء: قراءة في تحولات موازين القوى في منطقة الساحل
    February 7, 2023
    ترتبط التحديات الأمنية بالمنطقة المغاربية ارتباطا قويا بحالة عدم الاستقرار السائدة في منطقة الساحل، حيث تواجه هاتين المنطقتين أزمات أمنية كبرى تُؤثر فيموازين القوة بشكل أصبح يؤثر مباشرة على الأجندة السياسية في منطقة الساحل التي تشهد ديناميات جديدة، تتعدي إلى دول شمال إفريقيا و...
  • Les relations UE-Afrique à l’aune de la guerre d’Ukraine
    Abdessalam Saad Jaldi & Thomas Gomart
    February 03, 2023
    Les dirigeants de l’Union européenne et de l’Union africaine ont posé lors du 6ème sommet UE-Afrique qui avait eu lieu à Bruxelles en février 2022 les jalons d’une relation renouvelée, ba ...
  • A Group of Patriots Was Born
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    January 30, 2023
    In early January 2023, a man was detained near the Russian-Norwegian border at 1.58 a.m. local time. The night was frost-bite cold and the man, a Russian citizen, had run across the frozen Pasvik River, at a place where it was a few hundred meters wide. He’d jumped some barbed-wired fences, which demarcated the border. The Russian avoided official checkpoints because he was a fugitive, and dogs were following him through the polar night, barking, menacing. Their masters aimed at the ...
  • Aftermath of War in Europe: The West VS. the Global South?
    Authors
    Abdelaaziz Ait Ali
    Christian Bachheimer
    Rim Berahab
    Otaviano Canuto
    Serhat S. Çubukçuoğlu
    Marcus Vinicius de Freitas
    Amine Ghoulidi
    Len Ishmael
    Rida Lyammouri
    Badr Mandri
    Rahul Sharma
    Isabelle Tsakok
    Kevin Verbelen
    January 17, 2023
    This publication provides an insight into the lens through which countries of the Global South view the current period of successive crises, brought about by an ongoing global pandemic and a war in Europe. It highlights how the combined weight of history, culture, and geography has shaped the Global South’s interests and is influencing its foreign policy stance during one of the most dangerous periods of Great-Power competition in recent times—one that could see the fracturing of th ...
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    Les ambitions iraniennes en Afrique: Une présence idéologique, sécuritaire et économique
    Authors
    Clément Therme
    December 23, 2022
    La présence iranienne en Afrique est une question à la fois idéologique, économique et sécuritaire. La politique africaine de l’Iran a connu un nouvel élan avec la Révolution de 1979. Dans le cas de la politique africaine, on peut qualifier ce tiers-mondisme militant d’arrogant. Eneffet, dans l’imaginaire des élites politiques révolutionnaires khomeynistes, les relations avec les pays du Sud global sont à comprendre non seulement dans le cadre d’un anti-impérialisme de fa ...
  • The reaction of the NATO amidst the War in Europe.
    December 16, 2022
    In this video recorded during the Atlantic Dialogues, our Columnist Mr. Helmut Sorge interviews Mr. Alessandro Minuto-Rizzo, President of the NATO Defense College Foundation in Rome on the NATO’s reactions amidst the War in Ukraine, Mr Minuto answers questions on how countries of the Na...
  • Fighting Violent Extremism and Terrorism on Digital Platforms
    December 16, 2022
    In this video recorded during the Atlantic Dialogues, our Columnist Mr. Helmut Sorge interviews Ms. Nusrat Farooq, Technology and Programs Associate, Global Internet Forum to Counterterrorism, Ms. Farooq tells us about how The Global Internet Forum is fighting violent extremism and terr...
  • The position of Spain and Europe towards the War in Ukraine
    December 16, 2022
    In this video recorded during the Atlantic Dialogues, our Columnist Mr. Helmut Sorge interviews Ms. Ana Palacio, Spain's Former Minister of Foreign Affairs on the position of Spain and Europe towards the War in Ukraine, the interview also tackles different questions regarding Energy, se...
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    Political Deadlock in Sudan and Tunisia
    Authors
    Hisham Aidi
    December 9, 2022
    The global wave of democratic retrenchment has not spared North Africa as seen in the cases of Tunisia and Sudan, where democratic transitions have stalled or regressed into autocracy. How do to explain Tunisia and Sudan’s troubled transitions from authoritarian rule? Both states are attempting to transition from single-party authoritarianism. In both cases, economic crises exacerbated by COVID, the Russian-Ukraine war, and involvement by external actors stymied the fragile transiti ...
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    African Democracy in Crisis
    Authors
    Hisham Aidi
    November 17, 2022
    Africa is acutely affected by the ongoing global democratic recession. In 2020, a military coup took place in Mali. In 2021, four African countries – Chad, Mali, Guinea, and Sudan - experienced military takeovers. Thus far, in 2022, two coups have occurred in Burkina Faso and an attempted one in Guinea Bissau. Yet polling data and activism on the ground shows African youth believe in and are prepared to fight for democracy. ...
  • Input–output analysis of the Ukraine war: A tool for assessing the internal territorial impacts of the conflict
    Authors
    Eduardo Amaral Haddad
    Inácio F. Araújo
    Ademir Rocha
    Karina Simone Sass
    November 16, 2022
    This publication was originally published in rsaiconnect.onlinelibrary.wiley.com   The Russian invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022, scaled up the ongoing conflict in Donbas beyond its regional borders, hindering and halting different aspects of economic life. Considering the internal geography of Ukraine's economic structure, the damage to physical infrastructure and supply chain disruption are likely to propagate to other parts of the country through an intricate p ...
  • Rapport annuel sur la géopolitique de l’Afrique 2022
    Authors
    Sous la direction de
    Abdelhak Bassou
    November 1, 2022
    Dans cette nouvelle édition du Rapport annuel sur la géopolitique de l’Afrique, et à l’instar des éditions précédentes, le maître-mot est la richesse dans la diversité. Une diversité dans les visions et les opinions que des auteurs africains, habitués de cette tribune où qui la découvrent, alimentent en exprimant leurs réflexions sur des questions clés qui intéressent leur continent : l’Afrique. Du cadre social, à celui militaire en passant par les contextes historiques, anthropolo ...
  • Femmes, paix et sécurité: la résolution 1325
    Nihal El Mquirmi et Farida Jaidi
    October 28, 2022
    Adoptée en 2000 par le Conseil de sécurité des Nations Unies, la Résolution 1325 reconnaissait pour la première fois l’impact différencié des conflits sur les femmes et les fill ...
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    African Security in Times of Uncertainties 6th Edition - SUMMARY REPORT
    Authors
    Rachid El Houdaigui
    October 21, 2022
    The sixth African Peace and Security Annual Conference (APSACO) was held on July 20-21, 2022, under the theme 'African Security in Times of Uncertainties'. The two-day event was composed of five panels and one report discussion.  • Panel 1: The Impact of the Russia-Ukraine War on Africa • Panel 2: Conflict Resolution and w in Africa • Panel 3: The Worsening of the Food-Security Challenge in Africa • Panel 4: Security Implications of Climate Change in Afr ...
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    L’intelligence artificielle au Maroc : entre encadrement réglementaire et stratégie économique
    Authors
    Abdessalam Saad Jaldi
    October 19, 2022
    La place de l'intelligence artificielle (IA) dans notre vie quotidienne est de plus en plus importante. Ayant connu un essor considérable durant les dernières années, l’intelligence artificielle correspond aux technologies capables de traiter des sources hybrides et notamment des données non structurées. Ainsi, des tâches complexes sont déléguées à des procédés technologiques de plus en plus autonomes, en mesure d’impulser le développement économique et social du Maroc ...
  • The entire international rules-based order is under attack
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    October 12, 2022
    A merchant ship passed Turkey’s Bosphorus  Strait on its way from Syria to Russia late last month, observed “Bloomberg”( August 9, 2022), transporting military equipment, including trucks, documented by satellite imagery. The “Sparta II”, a cargo ship leased by Oboronlogistika to the Russian military, was on its way from Tartus to the Black Sea harbor Novorosslysk. No tanks were sighted, or Russian fighter jets, just these trucks, but   the moderate value of the car ...
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    The New Security Dynamics of the Atlantic Basin and the Way Forward for a Pan-Atlantic Approach
    Authors
    Youssef Tobi
    October 6, 2022
    “Within the realm of military conflicts, the Atlantic Basin can be considered a relatively peaceful area, especially in the northern part. However, the region has faced unprecedented challenges in terms of policy planning and strategizing with the emergence of the global pandemic, the stagnating economic growth, and the population’s growing discontent toward public institutions. The conjunction of sanitary, economic, and political crisis has questioned the historical stability of we ...
  • حديث الثلاثاء: مخطط العمل الوطني حول النساء والسلم والأمن : تحديات التفعيل، التعبئة والاستدامة
    October 4, 2022
    سبق وأطلق المغرب مخطط العمل الوطني حول النساء والسلم والأمن بهدف النهوض بالمساواة بين الجنسين، وإشراك المرأة في صنع القرار تطبيقا لقرار مجلس الأمن التابع للأمم المتحدة رقم 1325 الذي جرى اعتماده بالإجماع من قبل مجلس الأمن الدولي في 31 أكتوبر 2000، والذي يحث الأمم المتحدة وجميع الدول الأع...
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    La quête de puissance tous azimuts de la Russie : "Étranger proche", Moyen-Orient et Afrique
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    September 30, 2022
    Lorsque l’URSS (Union des Républiques socialistes soviétiques) est démantelée ; il s’installe en Occident un sentiment de victoire définitive qui porte au trône du monde la puissance occidentale, démocratique et libérale. La mondialisation, qui avait timidement pointé du nez durant les années 80, commence à s’ériger en occidentalisation du monde. L’Occident n’avait pourtant pas su gérer sa victoire. Au lieu d’intégrer le continuateur de l’URSS, il le marginalise et l’ ...
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    The Territorialization of Cyberspace and GAFAM Geopolitics: Driving Forces and New Risks in the Wake of the Ukrainian Crisis
    Authors
    Mohamed Benabid
    September 26, 2022
    Information is among our planet's most coveted resources, calling upon us to examine how it is incorporated as an object of power and domination into national and international political processes. Tensions around this resource arise not only in territories directly controlled by States, but also in contested territories, including the intangible acceptance of these, as occurs in cyberspace. The Russia-Ukraine war epitomizes this. Having "disconnected" Russia and conversely maintain ...
  • حديث الثلاثاء: تقديم التقرير السنوي للجيوسياسة الإفريقية
    September 20, 2022
      أصدر مركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد النسخة الخامسة للتقرير السنوي للجيوسياسة الإفريقية بنقاط قوتها ومعيقاتها، بمميزاتها وعيوبها، ما يجب تصحيحه وإعادة تنظيمه، وما يجب صيانته وتقويته وتوطيده. تدور الأسئلة التي تم تناولها من خلال التقرير حول جهات القارة الافريقية بين الأمن و ال...
  • Africafé: Violence à consonance religieuse en Afrique de l'ouest
    September 1, 2022
    Dans cet épisode Lassina Diarra et Abdelhak Bassou échangent sur le caractère religieux des violences en Afrique de l'ouest. Ils y discutent des implications politiques et des fondements de ces violences ainsi que des causes de leurs résurgence. ...
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    Territorialisation du cyberespace et géopolitique des GAFAM : facteurs d'influence et nouveaux risques à la faveur de la crise ukrainienne
    Authors
    Mohamed Benabid
    August 22, 2022
    L’information constitue l’une des ressources les plus convoitées sur la planète, et invite à examiner la manière dont elle s’intègre en tant qu’objet de pouvoir et de domination dans les processus politiques, nationaux et internationaux. Les tensions autour de cette ressource s’expriment non seulement à travers les territoires directement contrôlés par les États mais aussi ceux disputés ou de compétition, y compris dans leur acceptation intangible comme pour le cyberespace. La guerr ...
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    Input-Output Analysis of the Ukraine War: A Tool for Assessing the Internal Territorial Impacts of the Conflict
    Authors
    Eduardo Amaral Haddad
    Inácio F. Araújo
    Ademir Rocha
    Karina Sass
    August 12, 2022
    The Russian invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022, scaled up the ongoing conflict in Donbas beyond its regional borders, hindering and halting different aspects of economic life. Considering the internal geography of Ukraine’s economic structure, the damages to physical infrastructure and supply chain disruptions are likely to propagate to other parts of the country through an intricate plot of production and income linkages. From a disaggregated analysis of multiregional and mul ...
  • Center of giant geopolitical rivalry
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    August 11, 2022
    On these islands, writers and poets, and painters discovered unspoiled paradise, including promiscuous adolescent girls, which Paul Gauguin captured on canvass, his work admired by global art collectors until the French icon was accused of pedophilia- a century late, the beauties on the tableau seem to the self-appointed, global morality brigades to be children, or, who knows, young ladies suffering anorexia. The islands of the South Pacific, or Pacific in general, seemingly lost in ...
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    Le rôle de la Cedeao dans la gestion des crises politiques et sécuritaires internes de ses États membres
    Authors
    Oumnia Boutaleb
    August 11, 2022
    Le rôle de la Cedeao (Communauté économique des États de l’Afrique de l’Ouest) dans la gestion des conflits ayant eu lieu à la fin du 20ème siècle et au début du 21ème siècle revêt une importance capitale. Dès sa création, l’organisation régionale représentait le symbole de l’avancement démocratique dans ses pays membres mais elle doit aujourd’hui faire face à un recul en termes de gouvernance démocratique et d’influence. Elle s’est imposée comme étant la plus av ...
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    Militarized Border Security Will Not Stop the Spread of Extremism
    Authors
    Laura Sanders
    Rida Lyammouri
    Jordan Moss
    August 9, 2022
    Communities in northern Côte d’Ivoire report an ongoing pattern of questioning, ethnically- motivated arrests, and abuse, in contrast to the good relationships with local forces and police they had until two years ago*. In one case, the national army arrested a number of men, beat them, and held them for up to two months**. In response to extremist attacks, Côte d’Ivoire has increased the military presence in the north, creating a special forces’ base and sending more military per ...
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    La guerre en Ukraine : premiers enseignements à tirer pour la sécurité alimentaire de l'Afrique
    Authors
    Henri-Louis Védie
    August 5, 2022
    Le conflit russo-ukrainien fragilise la sécurité alimentaire d'un grand nombre de pays africains, la Russie et l'Ukraine étant deux acteurs majeurs du marché agricole mondial, particulièrement celui du blé. C'est pourquoi, l'approvisionnement en blé du continent est au premier rang concerné par ce conflit qui perdure, dont le premier enseignement concerne le risque de non approvisionnement, en blé russe et ukrainien, des pays qui en sont le plus dépendants. Cette étude montre qu'il ...
  • Irreversible geopolitical consequences
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    August 3, 2022
    The timing was perfect for analyzing the “African Security in times of uncertainties”. The Rabat-based “Policy Center For The New South” programmed its  6th “African Peace d Security Annual Conference” (APSACO) on July 20/21 to focus on the historic challenge of our time-the world,  Africa in particular, struggling to find stability while war s waged in Central Europe, and 25 million tons of wheat and fertilizers needed to feed the starving population, millions on the Afri ...
  • L'Afrique face aux incertitudes
    Helmut Sorge, Rama Yade
    July 22, 2022
    L'ancienne secrétaire d'État chargée des Affaires étrangères et des Droits de l'homme, Rama Yade, met le point sur la position de l’Europe face aux difficultés de l’Afrique en temps d’inc ...
  • The greatest geopolitical catastrophe of the 20th century
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    July 22, 2022
    “February 24, 2022,” noted Robert Pszczel in « Nato Review”(July 7, 2022),”is likely to engrave itself on the history template of the contemporary world.”Pszczel, a Senior fellow  at the Polanski Foundation, Warsaw, and former Polish diplomat serving as director  of the NATO information office  in Moscow for half a decade, judged Russia’s unprovoked, unjustified invasion of Ukraine is  not only a “manifestation of a huge  security danger that has shatte ...
  • APSACO 6th edition : African Security in times of uncertainties - DAY2
    July 21, 2022
    2021 was a year of global geopolitical disruption and geo-economic upheaval. As events gather momentum, the world enters a period of geopolitical and geo-economic transition; the end of one historical cycle foreshadowing the uncertain prospects of a new one. We are henceforth, in presen...
  • المؤتمر السنوي للسلم والأمن بإفريقيا : الامن الافريقي في زمن الارتيابات ـ اليوم الثاني - APSACO
    July 21, 2022
    كانت سنة 2021 سنة اضطراب جيو-سياسي وانقلاب جيو-اقتصادي عالميين. ومع تزايد زخم الأحداث، دخل العالم فترة تحول جيو-سياسي وجيو-اقتصادي تعلن نهاية دورة تاريخية وتُنبِّؤ بآفاق غير مؤكدة لدورة جديدة. وعليه، فإننا من الآن فصاعداً أمام تغير عالمي حقيقي ينطوي على نقاط ضغط متعددة وقوىً دافعة جيو-س...
  • APSACO 6th edition : African Security in times of uncertainties - DAY1
    July 20, 2022
    2021 was a year of global geopolitical disruption and geo-economic upheaval. As events gather momentum, the world enters a period of geopolitical and geo-economic transition; the end of one historical cycle foreshadowing the uncertain prospects of a new one. We are henceforth, in presen...
  • المؤتمر السنوي للسلم والأمن بإفريقيا : الامن الافريقي في زمن الارتيابات ـ اليوم الأول - APSACO
    July 20, 2022
    كانت سنة 2021 سنة اضطراب جيو-سياسي وانقلاب جيو-اقتصادي عالميين. ومع تزايد زخم الأحداث، دخل العالم فترة تحول جيو-سياسي وجيو-اقتصادي تعلن نهاية دورة تاريخية وتُنبِّؤ بآفاق غير مؤكدة لدورة جديدة. وعليه، فإننا من الآن فصاعداً أمام تغير عالمي حقيقي ينطوي على نقاط ضغط متعددة وقوىً دافعة جيو-س...
  • APSACO حديث الثلاثاء : السلام و الأمن في إفريقيا ـ
    July 19, 2022
    يخصص مركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد حلقة برنامجه الأسبوعي "حديث الثلاثاء" لمناقشة أهم التحديات التي تواجهها القارة الإفريقية مع عبد الحق باسو ، باحث بارز بمركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد. خلال هذه الحلقة ، يستعرض عبد الحق باسو التحديات الأمنية الرئيسية التي تواجه البلدا...
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    Les missions militaires de l’Union européenne en Afrique : entre pragmatisme et réinvention
    Authors
    Abdessalam Saad Jaldi
    Hamza Mjahed
    July 19, 2022
    Les missions militaires de l’Union européenne (UE) en Afrique revêtent aujourd’hui, à l’heure de la réinvention du partenariat euro-africain, une importance considérable. Alors que Bruxelles entend plus que jamais s’imposer comme l’un des garants de la sécurité au niveau mondial, tout en se mesurant aux nouveaux rapports de force mondiaux, elle tient parallèlement à devenir un acteur incontournable en matière de paix, de surcroît motivé par la prolifération des risques ...
  • The Threat of a Nuclear War
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    July 12, 2022
    October 22, 1962. One of those days in history to be forever part of destiny- warships of the Soviet Union confronting the US Navy off Cuba, an ally of Moscow, which convinced Fidel Castro to participate in a secret conspiracy: the stationing of strategic nuclear missiles on the island, located just 90 miles off the continental United States. Once discovered, US President John F. Kennedy ordered a naval quarantine on Moscow's ships. History would be repeated another time on a differ ...
  • Africafé : The situation in the Sahel and the ongoing conflicts
    June 30, 2022
    In this episode of Africafé, Rida Lyammouri will talk about the ongoing conflicts in the Sahel, evoking the instability in Mali and Burkina Faso and suggests ways forward for greater engagement from the international community in helping fragile states in the region. ...
  • Morocco: A Regional Player
    Authors
    Jamal Machrouh
    June 27, 2022
    Three questions to Jamal Machrouh   This article was initially published on https://www.institutmontaigne.org/   Morocco was among the countries not taking part in the March 2 UN General Assembly vote following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. This position raised questions in Europe as Morocco is Europe's largest partner in the Maghreb. Jamal Machrouh, Senior Fellow at the Policy Center for the New South, sheds light on Morocco's perceived neutrality in the Ukrainia ...
  • Ukrainian Art: Another Damage of the War, Part II
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    June 27, 2022
    Hardly any declaration of war against Russian culture Dostojevsky, Tolstoy, Pasternak, Pushkin, Nabokov, Turgenev, icons of Russian literature, breathing the soul of mother Russia, the depth of heavy historical burdens and despair, touched by nostalgia for Holy, Imperial Russia and cruelty of dictators like Stalin, the national conscience and pride wounded by invasions of Nazi Germany and Napoleon. Rachmaninov, Prokofiev, Shostakovich, Tchaikovsky, Mussorgsky, Rachmaninoff, revelat ...
  • Dialogues Stratégiques Volume XI: L’impuissance de la puissance - L’Indo-Pacifique : contours et enjeux
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    Pascal Chaigneau
    Khalid Chegraoui
    Alain Oudot de Dainville
    Larabi Jaïdi
    Mohammed Loulichki
    Rodolphe Monnet
    Florent Parmentier
    Olivier Tramond
    June 16, 2022
    Les Dialogues stratégiques, une collaboration entre le HEC Center for Geopolitics et le Policy Center for the New South représentent une plateforme d’analyse et d’échange biannuelle réunissant des experts, des praticiens, des décideurs politiques ainsi que le monde universitaire et les médias au service d’une réflexion critique et approfondie sur les tendances politiques mondiales et les grandes questions d’importance commune pour l’Europe et l’Afrique. Cette publication est ...
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    Mozambique: A New Civil War?
    Authors
    Hisham Aidi
    May 27, 2022
    How did an insurrection in Northern Mozambique escalate into a crisis that is drawing myriad external actors, and risks destabilizing the region? What are the colonial and Cold War origins of this conflict in Cabo Delgado? Why is Rwanda such a prominent intervener? How are tensions between Kigali, Maputo and Pretoria playing out in the peacekeeping operation now underway? ...
  • Impact of the Ukraine crisis on Food Security
    Nihal El Mquirmi, Isabelle Tsakok, & Rabi Mohtar
    May 20, 2022
    Traders have worried that the war involving Russia and Ukraine could stoke inflation, further disrupt supply chains and derail the global economic recovery. Scarcity of food has led ...
  • Ukrainian Art: Another Damage of the War, Part 1
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    May 19, 2022
    Any enforcement of peace through violence is absurd Fear is not an adequate description of the feeling when bombs explode in your vicinity and you feel an invisible, destructive wave envelop your body, soul, and mind.  Tears may flow, screams are to be absorbed by those whose legs or arms are ripped out of their bodies by the blast-they may be blind forever, never hear a sound again, but in your subconscious, the blasts will never desert you ever., Thunderstorms remind-soaked ...
  • Le nouveau profil stratégique de la mer Rouge
    Authors
    Sabine Cessou
    May 17, 2022
    Ce thème, abordé au Centre HEC de Géopolitique à Jouy-en-Josas, lors de la 12e édition des Dialogues stratégiques avec le Policy Center for the New South, une rencontre semestrielle, a permis de revenir dans le détail sur cette zone qui relie la Méditerranée à l’océan Indien, à la jointure de trois continents : l’Asie, l’Afrique et l’Europe. Cette route maritime qui s’étend sur plus de 2 200 km, pour une largeur qui varie de 300 km à moins de 30 km entre Djibouti et le Yémen, r ...
  • 12ème édition des Dialogues Stratégiques
    May 13, 2022
    Depuis 2016, le Policy Center for the New South et le Centre HEC de Géopolitique organisent chaque année deux éditions des « Dialogues Stratégiques ». Cette plateforme d’analyse et d’échange réunit des experts, des chercheurs provenant de différents think-tanks et du monde académique, d...
  • To Protect Coastal West Africa, Protect the Peuhl
    Authors
    Laura Sanders
    Rida Lyammouri
    May 12, 2022
    An HRW report details the massacre of at least 300 civilians in the central Malian town of Moura — the deadliest single atrocity in the country’s decade-long armed conflict. Most of the victims were from the Peuhl ethnic group. The widespread political and social exclusion of the Peuhl puts them at further risk of this type of violence and drives a cycle of grievances and fear that empowers violent extremist organizations (VEOs) and impedes peacebuilding. National governments and in ...
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    Les conséquences géopolitiques et géoéconomiques de la guerre en Ukraine sur l’Afrique
    Authors
    Jamal Machrouh
    May 10, 2022
    Les crises internationales de type de la guerre en Ukraine constituent des ruptures historiques qui induisent des changements profonds de paradigmes, mais aussi de systèmes d’alliances et de marges d’influence. Elles produisent, à terme, une nouvelle configuration des rapports de force, ce qui exige des acteurs des capacités d’anticipation et d’adaptation. Le continent Africain se trouve géopolitiquement, et en quelque sorte géographiquement, à la première loge de la guerre d ...
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    Morality and Politics post Ukraine
    Authors
    Dominique Bocquet
    May 6, 2022
    The war in Ukraine ignited fierce opposition on grounds of principles of sovereignty and territorial integrity. Populations weighed in the balance of power. Yet, for principles invoked against Russia to find universal resonance, the West should ensure it acts in accordance with these principles. Global solidarity implies treating all peoples equally. ...
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    Morale et politique après l’Ukraine
    Authors
    Dominique Bocquet
    May 6, 2022
    La guerre d’Ukraine a suscité une vive réprobation au nom des principes de souveraineté et d’intégrité territoriale. Les populations ont pesé dans le rapport de force. Néanmoins, pour que les principes invoqués contre la Russie puissent nourrir un consensus universel, l’Occident devra lui-même agir en conformité avec eux. Une solidarité planétaire suppose de traiter tous les peuples de la même manière. ...
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    The Russia-Ukraine War and Food Security in Morocco
    Authors
    Abdelaaziz Ait Ali
    Uri Dadush
    Isabelle Tsakok
    April 29, 2022
    Following on the heels of the COVID-19 pandemic and severe drought in North Africa, the Russian invasion of Ukraine – large exporters of food and, in the case of Russia, energy— may inflict increased hunger on the food insecure in Morocco – despite mitigating measures by the government. Morocco is so far successfully shielding its large poor and vulnerable population by subsidizing essential commodities. With memories of the violent protests during the 2007/08 food and fuel crisis ...
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    L’Occident peut-il faire fléchir le gouvernement taliban ou l’inverse?
    Authors
    Mohammed Loulichki
    April 27, 2022
    Le retrait des troupes américaines d’Afghanistan et la reconquête, rapide et sans résistance notable, du pouvoir par les Talibans, a ouvert un nouveau chapitre dans l’histoire particulièrement tumultueuse de ce pays. La mise en oeuvre de la décision américaine a suscité des remous sur le plan interne et des critiques sur le plan extérieur, particulièrement de la part des alliés et des partenaires de Washington. Les engagements pris par les Talibans en vertu de l’Accord signé le 29 f ...
  • حديث الثلاثاء : التحديات الأمنية بمنطقة وسط إفريقيا
    April 26, 2022
    يخصص مركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد حلقة برنامجه الأسبوعي "حديث الثلاثاء" لمناقشة التحديات الأمنية بمنطقة وسط إفريقيا مع عبد الحق باسو، باحث بارز بمركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد. تواجه منطقة وسط إفريقيا العديد من التحديات ذات الطابع الأمني. في مقابل ذلك، تكتسي المنطقة باعتبار ...
  • Russian-Ukrainian war: Regional & Global consequences
    April 21, 2022
    On February 24, 2022, Russia launched a military action in Ukraine. This operation and subsequent events is having a global impact, with far-reaching political and economic implications. In the short term, the conflict will affect the global economy through three main channels: financia...
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    Navigating in a Grey Zone: Regulating PMSCs
    Authors
    Nihal El Mquirmi
    April 15, 2022
    Although there have been efforts to regulate the privatization of security, the problem is not the lack of international regulation, but the lack of convergence between international and national law on one hand, and government regulation and industry self-regulation, on the other. The growing number of actors in the contemporary security environment has added a layer of complexity, as it made accountability more diffuse and difficult to track, since the responsibility lies with mul ...
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    Stratégies de communication et effets de médiatisation dans le conflit russo-ukrainien
    Authors
    Mohamed Benabid
    April 13, 2022
    La guerre russo-ukrainienne est engagée sur de nombreux théâtres, y compris celui de l'information et de la communication. A travers des dynamiques hybrides, anciens et nouveaux médias, sont mobilisés à la fois à des fins d'information, de persuasion et de propagande, avec en toile de fond une crise sous-jacente, celle des fake news. Chaque camp est soucieux de contrôler ses messages et de relayer son propre cadrage. D'un côté, la communication russe cherche à légitimer ...
  • حديث الثلاثاء : آثار الحرب في اوكرانيا على الاقتصاد العالمي
    April 13, 2022
    يخصص مركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد حلقة برنامجه الأسبوعي "حديث الثلاثاء" لمناقشة آثار الحرب في اوكرانيا على الاقتصاد العالمي مع فتح الله ولعلو، باحث بارز بمركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد بعد اندلاع الحرب الأوكرانية الروسية في أواخر شهر فبراير من هذا العام، كان ال...
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    Communication Strategies and Media Influence in the Russia-Ukraine Conflict
    Authors
    Mohamed Benabid
    April 13, 2022
    The war between Russia and Ukraine unfolds on many theaters, including information and communication. Hybrid strategies and media old and new are utilized for information, persuasion and propaganda, with one underlying predicament, fake news, constantly lurking. Each side is keen on controlling its messages and relaying its narrative. On one hand, Russian communication seeks to legitimize its action and turn the opponent's camp from oppressed to provocateur. On the other, Ukrainian ...
  • Dollar dominance will remain
    Authors
    Otaviano Canuto
    March 29, 2022
    The heavy financial sanctions on Russia after the invasion of Ukraine sparked speculations that the weaponization of access to reserves in dollars, euros, pounds, and yen would spark a division in the international monetary order. China would tend to strengthen its own international payments system and accelerate the establishment of its currency – the Renminbi – as a rival reserve currency to reduce its vulnerability to moves of a similar nature against it. Countries facing geopoli ...
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    Implications of Russia's invasion of Ukraine on wheat supplies to Africa
    Authors
    Henri-Louis Védie
    March 29, 2022
    Russia's invasion of Ukraine, the Black Sea granary, severely impacts global wheat markets, and especially hits the two warring parties' primary importing countries/clients. This study examines impacts of this war on Africa, where bread is a basic staple. This brings us to start with a review of broad market data, with Russia and Ukraine respectively ranking first and fifth among global wheat exporters, and the European Union (EU) gaining an edge as an alternative to the U.S./Canada ...
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    Les conséquences de l’invasion de l’Ukraine, par la Russie, pour l’approvisionnement de l’Afrique en blé
    Authors
    Henri-Louis Védie
    March 29, 2022
    L'invasion, par la Russie, de l'Ukraine, grenier à blé de la mer Noire, impacte lourdement le marché mondial de cette denrée, en premier lieu les principaux pays/clients importateurs des deux belligérants. L'objet de cette étude est d'analyser les conséquences de cette guerre pour l’Afrique, continent où le pain est un aliment de base. Ce qui nous conduit, tout d'abord, à rappeler les données générales de ce marché, avec une Russie et une Ukraine respectivement au premier et cinquiè ...
  • Private Military and Security Companies
    Nihal El Mquirmi & Helmut Sorge
    March 25, 2022
    The debate around the use of private military and security companies is deeply polarized, with some authors portraying such military contractors as ‘messiahs’, praising their efficiency i ...
  • AFRICAFE : La CENSAD comme cadre de coopération au Sahel
    March 25, 2022
    Africafé est une émission du Policy Center for the New South qui décrypte l’actualité des organisations africaines et de l’Afrique. A travers de courtes interviews, l’émission tente de proposer d’aborder de manière pédagogique les enjeux des organisations africaines et l’actualité du co...
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    The Russia-Ukraine War: Implications for Africa
    Authors
    Hisham Aidi
    March 22, 2022
    African states are in a vulnerable position. The invasion of Ukraine could affect food security and trigger a spike in oil prices, inflicting economic duress on African households. The Black Sea region is home to vast fertile farmlands, and war in the “breadbasket of the world” could threaten wheat and fertilizer supplies. Increased economic hardship and social discontent do not bode well for democratic governance in Africa, especially in light of the recent spate of military coups. ...
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    Africa and the “Ankara Consensus”
    Authors
    Hisham Aidi
    March 17, 2022
    “Turkey’s turn to Africa is the result of several factors: the economic liberalization process undertaken in the 1990s, Ankara’s aim for greater voice in international institutions, and Turkey's rivalry with Egypt and the Gulf states. Scholars have observed that Turkey's public diplomacy, which some have dubbed the “Ankara consensus” is consciously designed as an alternative to the Washington consensus of neoliberal economic growth and the Beijing consensus of state-led growth, that ...
  • Customary Characters in Uncustomary Circumstances: The Case of Niger’s Tillabéri Region
    Authors
    Rida Lyammouri
    March 16, 2022
    Of all the regions included in this report series, Tillabéri is the region that scores best when it comes to both general community resilience, as well as traditional and religious authorities’ functioning. The region is not as exposed to shocks as Est (Burkina Faso) and Ménaka (Mali), and its ability to recover from shocks is high compared to the other regions. Trust in traditional and religious authorities is comparatively high as is their equal treatment of different subgroups in ...

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    15
    5:30 pm March 2022

    حديث الثلاثاء : الأزمة الروسية الأوكرانية : من وإلى أين؟

    تشكّل الأزمة الروسية الاوكرانية تحديا جيوسياياً غير مسبوق في القارّة الأوروبيّة منذ الحرب العالمية الثانية. فقد تسبّبت في أكبر نزوح في أوروبا منذ 1945، حيث بلغ عدد النازحين الأوكرانيين الذين هربوا من بلادهم مليوني ونصف نسمة. موازاتاً مع ذلك، عادت الى الواجهة مواضيع كثيرة، نذكر منها امكانية الاصطدام المسلّح بين روسيا وحلف شمال الاطلسي، والحرب النووية. الّا أن انعكاسات الحرب لا تقتصر على اوروبا والغرب، بل تأثّر سلباً على الاقتصاد الدولي ودول الجنوب، وتهدّد الامن الغذائي في دول كثيرة، خاصة في المنطقة العربية وفي افريقيا ولفهم هذه الازمة بمختلف أبعادها ووضعها في سياقاتها النظرية والتاريخية والأمنية ومناقشة تأثيراتها الحاليّة أو المتوقَّعة في المدى القريب، ينظّم مركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد حلقة خاصّة من برنامج حديث الثلاثاء ستركّز على الأحداث الجارية في اوكرانيا وستطرح ...
  • حديث الثلاثاء : الأزمة الروسية الأوكرانية : من وإلى أين؟
    March 15, 2022
    تشكّل الأزمة الروسية الاوكرانية تحديا جيوسياياً غير مسبوق في القارّة الأوروبيّة منذ الحرب العالمية الثانية. فقد تسبّبت في أكبر نزوح في أوروبا منذ 1945، حيث بلغ عدد النازحين الأوكرانيين الذين هربوا من بلادهم مليوني ونصف نسمة. موازاتاً مع ذلك، عادت الى الواجهة مواضيع كثيرة، نذكر منها امكا...
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    War in Ukraine and Risks of Stagflation
    Authors
    Otaviano Canuto
    March 15, 2022
    The war in Ukraine is bringing substantial financial, commodity price, and supply chain shocks to the global economy. Sanctions on Russia are already having a significant impact on its financial system and its economy. Price shocks will have a global impact. Energy and commodity prices—including wheat and other grains—have risen, intensifying inflationary pressures from supply chain disruptions and the recovery from the pandemic. The push toward relative deglobalization received fro ...
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    La guerre entre la Russie et l’Ukraine : un tournant et un coup fatal pour le multilatéralisme
    Authors
    Mohammed Loulichki
    March 11, 2022
    L'opération militaire lancée le 24 février 2022 par les forces armées russes à l'intérieur du territoire de l’Ukraine a pour objectif déclaré d'empêcher l’Organisation du Traité de l’Atlantique Nord (OTAN) de se rapprocher de l”étranger proche” russe et de changer le régime à Kiev. Cette guerre, déclenchée par un membre permanent du Conseil de sécurité, a été menée en violation des principes cardinaux de la Charte des Nations unies. Elle a mis le monde au bord d’ ...
  • The War in Ukraine: A Migration Crisis Like No Other
    Authors
    Iván Martín
    March 11, 2022
    As of March 3, 2022, one week into the Russian invasion, over 1 million refugees (2.3% of the Ukrainian population) have fled Ukraine to neighboring European countries, notably Poland, as well as Hungary, Moldova, and Slovakia[1].  While the sheer flow of refugees is poised to generate the largest migration crisis in Europe since World War II, the response of European countries is substantially different from the one caused by the Syrian refugee crisis of 2015 - 1 million refug ...
  • Presentation: The Global Terrorism Index (GTI)
    March 9, 2022
    The Global Terrorism Index (GTI) is an annual report produced by the Institute for Economics & Peace (IEP). Now on its 9th edition, the GTI provides a comprehensive summary of the key global trends and patterns in terrorism. It analyses a number of vital aspects of terrorism such as...
  • Violence Spillover into the Coastal States
    Authors
    Rida Lyammouri
    March 7, 2022
    More than two years ago I wrote in a report: “The current downward security trends in Mali, Niger, and Burkina Faso should serve as a wake-up call for the states in the Gulf of Guinea, mainly Ivory Coast, Ghana, Togo, and Benin.” Recent attacks in the northern Ivory Coast and Benin show that signs of earlier years now have taken on unique characteristics. Signs of the expansion of violent extremist organizations (VEOs) to coastal states have been there since at least since 2015. The ...
  • Sanctions against Russia resemble boxing matches
    Authors
    Otaviano Canuto
    March 4, 2022
    The economic sanctions against Russia announced last week by the United States and Europe following the military invasion of Ukraine are having a profound impact on the Russian economy while also having repercussions at home. As in a boxing match, the expectation is that blows to the opponent can knock them out, despite the exposure on the punching side. The United States has applied some sectoral and limited economic sanctions against Russia since the annexation of Crimea in 2014 ...
  • Guerre en Ukraine : une crise migratoire pas comme les autres
    Authors
    Iván Martín
    March 3, 2022
    A l’issue de la première semaine de l’invasion russe, soit au 03 mars 2022, plus de 1 million de réfugiés (2,3% de la population ukrainienne) ont quitté l’Ukraine à destination de pays européens limitrophes, notamment la Pologne, mais aussi des autres pays comme la Hongrie, la Moldavie ou la Slovaquie[1]. Alors que le flux des réfugiés est sur le point de devenir la plus grande crise migratoire en Europe depuis la Seconde Guerre mondiale, la réaction des pays européens est très diff ...
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    Les pays côtiers d’Afrique de l’Ouest : Nouvelle terre d’expansion des groupes djihadistes sahéliens ?
    Authors
    Mathieu Pellerin
    March 2, 2022
    La situation sécuritaire dans le Sahel central est à ce point dégradée que la menace djihadiste déborde désormais sur la partie nord des pays côtiers d’Afrique de l’Ouest. Les régions de l’Est et des Cascades au Burkina Faso ou celles de Sikasso et de Kayes au Mali constituent des bases arrière permettant aux groupes djihadistes – et principalement à la Jama’at Nasr al-Islam wal Muslimin (JNIM) pour l’instant – de s’étendre au Bénin, en Côte d’Ivoire, et dans une moindre mesure au T ...
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    Presence of Foreign Fighters: Concessions for Security?
    Authors
    Nihal El Mquirmi
    March 2, 2022
    The purpose of this second paper is to highlight the involvement of mercenaries in decolonization processes in Africa on one hand, and the emergence of Private Military and Security Companies since the 1990s on another hand. The main argument is that despite the change in the structure of private contractors operating in Africa, their essence remains the same: security in exchange of mining concessions. Hence, the paper analyses to what extent mining companies have contributed to th ...
  • Russie/Ukraine entre Dialogue mélien et impuissance onusienne
    Authors
    Jamal Machrouh
    March 1, 2022
    Dag Hammarskjöld, ancien secrétaire général de l’Organisation des Nations unies (ONU) avait, mieux que quiconque, résumé le rôle et les limites de l’organisation onusienne en proclamant que « L'ONU n'a pas été créée pour emmener l'humanité au paradis, mais pour la sauver de l'enfer ». Cette vision minimaliste et, au demeurant, réaliste, de la capacité de l’ONU à réguler les rapports internationaux, cadre parfaitement avec la maturation inachevée du processus d’évolution du droi ...
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    Conflits intercommunautaires, groupes armés et un processus multi-acteurs de consolidation de la paix : cas du Cercle de Niono au Mali
    Authors
    Rida Lyammouri
    March 1, 2022
    Dans un contexte de gouvernance complexe, où autorités traditionnelles et modernes se côtoient même si leur pouvoir décroît, le Mali connait depuis de nombreuses années une situation sécuritaire alarmante, notamment dans le centre du pays. La montée des tensions entre communautés agricoles et pastorales est aggravée par la présence de groupes extrémistes. La population du Cercle de Niono, dans la région de Ségou, a été victime de violences inouïes pendant plusieurs mois avant que de ...
  • Community-Based Armed Groups: A Problem or Solution?
    Authors
    Rida Lyammouri
    Jakana Thomas
    Lauren Van Metre
    February 28, 2022
    This article was initially published on usip.org   The presence of CBAGs raises issues that force a rethink of local implementation of peacebuilding processes. The RESOLVE Network’s multiyear research on Community-Based Armed Groups (CBAGs) has established critical findings for the international community on how to engage, manage and transform violent actors in conflict-affected states. While mitigation efforts tend to target anti-state extremist org ...
  • Lebanon Crisis: Fragility, Conflict and Violence
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    February 22, 2022
    “Once upon a time a classic first line in fairy tales, used by Charles Dickens, for example in his “A Christmas card” in 1843, or Charles Perrault, the French poet, writer of “Cinderella” and “Sleeping Beauty”, both published in 1697 in “histoires ou contes du temp passé” Once upon a time suggests a nostalgic touch, the good old, romantic days glamourized because negative memories are annihilated and deposed in the dustbin of the human mind. Once upon a time, Beirut, the capital ci ...
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    Le Sommet UE-UA 2022 : pour une interdépendance équilibrée
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    Rim Berahab
    Nouzha Chekrouni
    Hinh T. Dinh
    Karim El Aynaoui
    Aomar Ibourk
    Len Ishmael
    Larabi Jaïdi
    Mohammed Loulichki
    Rida Lyammouri
    Henri-Louis Védie
    Afaf Zarkik
    February 22, 2022
    Le sommet afro-européen des 17 et 18 février 2022 à Bruxelles marque la sixième édition de la rencontre de haut niveau entre les deux continents. Ce sommet, organisé traditionnellement en alternance entre l’Afrique et l’Europe, intervient dans un contexte régional et international marqué par la perspective de sortie de la pandémie de la Covid-19, l’épreuve de force entre l’Occident et la Russie et les turbulences que connaissent certaines régions africaines. Face à une E ...
  • France in command of a Europe in Crisis
    Helmut Sorge & Hamza Mjahed
    February 18, 2022
    Presiding over the Council of the European Union, France has big ambitions but enormous challenges ahead. Migration remains a deeply divisive topic, and European sovereignty in the techno ...
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    Private Military and Security Companies: A New Form of Mercenarism?
    Authors
    Nihal El Mquirmi
    February 14, 2022
    “Hiring outsiders to fight your battles is as old as war itself”. Peter W. Singer (2011) Mercenaries, private contractors, soldiers of fortune, dogs of war, guns for hire, war lords ... These are some of the names given to individuals working for private companies that provide military and security services. The debate around the use of these companies is deeply polarized, with some authors portraying such military contractors as ‘messiahs’, praising their efficiency in modern conf ...
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    SAHEL: Moving Beyond Military Containment Policy Report
    Authors
    Pierre Englebert
    Rida Lyammouri
    February 11, 2022
    Almost ten years after the beginning of the security crisis in the Sahel, Burkina Faso, Mali, and Niger face a graver predicament than ever before. In the throes of multiple insurgencies, they and their foreign patrons, including France, have shown the limits of military containment. While these three countries are the victims of terrorist aggression, their crises also have deep domestic roots, including long-standing patterns of state abuses of their populations, even in the more d ...
  • A plethora of strategies and plans
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    January 31, 2022
    It has been more than 100 years since Germany manifested colonial power, a dark period of history indeed. Political and military leaders, supported by its ruler, Wilhelm II, Emperor of Germany and King of Prussia, committed crimes against humanity on African land.  The first genocide of the 20th Century, mass killings of 65 000 Herero in Africa, today known as Namibia. Between 1904 and 1908, Germany suffocated humanity in concentration camps like Shark Island, forcing them ...
  • Best of Podcasts 2021
    Rim Riouch and Nihal El Mquirmi
    December 31, 2021
    In 2021 we’ve had the opportunity to host more than 50 experts in 60 episodes. We discussed economic, international relations, commodities, energy, gender, and security issues affecting t ...
  • A Relapse into conflict?
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    December 15, 2021
    How do you treat a brutal dictator who had lost power after 42 years, hiding in a drainpipe, after his convoy was attacked by fighter jets from the air? It was a bloody mess and not a pretty scene. The dictator had a few seconds to beg for his life, “what did I do to you», he gasped reported the London Guardian on October 22, 2011, and then his turbulent life came to an end, shot with a pistol. Triumphantly his assassin raised Gaddafi’s golden revolver -- a few minutes of global fam ...
  • ADEL Portrait : Jessica Berlin, a free agent filling the gaps
    Authors
    Sabine Cessou
    December 13, 2021
    This political analyst, expert in security issues and international development, describes her personality as « down to earth, curious », and not taking herself « very seriously ». Born in Seattle, half German and half Korean-American, she was raised « between three cultures ». After a decade living and working abroad in Rwanda, China, Afghanistan, the UK, and Myanmar, she is now based in Berlin. She’s fond of cooking and is a « beer nerd » – ...
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    Le régime juridique de l’industrie de défense au Maroc
    Authors
    Rachid El Houdaigui
    Abdelhamid Bakkali
    December 13, 2021
    La loi n° 10-20, relative à l'industrie de la défense, et son décret d’application, marquent un tournant dans le processus de modernisation de la politique de défense nationale. À considérer dans le prolongement de ses efforts d’émergence industrielle, le nouveau dispositif juridique vise la mise en place des fondements solides pour une industrie de défense marocaine pérenne. En plus de sa cohérence et exhaustivité normatives, le nouveau dispositif juridique est conforme aux exigenc ...
  • Cabo Delgado insurgency and spillover effects on Tanzania
    Amal El Ouassif, Seleman Kitenge and Oussama Tayebi
    December 10, 2021
    The Cabo insurgency constitutes one of the most significant threats to peace and security in Southern Africa subregion. This podcast explores the various challenges the insurgency in this ...
  • Sahel development summit
    December 9, 2021
    A summit on the African vision of Sahel’s future with a focus on development around the 5 Sahelian Ministers of Economy and the report “Sahel: Moving Beyond Military Containment” ...
  • No Intention of Backing Down
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    December 8, 2021
    The Polish memory of oppression, occupation, the holocaust, Nazi occupation, and communist dictators is burned into the national soul and conscience. A Polish born Pope, Jean Paul II, supported the long national struggle for freedom, giving faith to Poland’s 38 million citizens, mainly Catholic. Freedom turned into a national treasure. Membership of the European Union, achieved in May 2004, promised a path towards social justice, wealth, and global acceptance of their abused homela ...
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    USA/Europe: Seven Digital Challenges
    Authors
    Laurence Nardon
    Siméon Rust
    December 6, 2021
    Thanks to the positive momentum in transatlantic relations brought about by the arrival of the Biden administration, significant progress is expected on a range of key digital issues. New rules are emerging that are designed to level the playing field for economic actors and ensure the respect of civil liberties, while significant new investments in technological innovation are taking place amid considerable industrial reorganizations. This paper proposes to shed light on seven part ...
  • Between a tolerable status quo and a disastrous conflict
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    December 3, 2021
    Not all is quiet on the Chinese/Chinese front. Warships are sailing through the Taiwan Strait. One day, an American missile guided US destroyer, the next a Canadian Frigate, some Chinese submarines, or one of Beijing’s new aircraft carriers. Shadows of a new cold war, possibly turning into an unpredictable escalation. America’s National Public Radio (NPR) reporter Scott Neuman stated (October 6, 2021), “Taiwan says tensions with China are at their worst in 4 decades.” With the situ ...
  • ADEL Portrait : Joana Ama Osei-Tutu, Gender Without Borders
    Authors
    Sabine Cessou
    December 1, 2021
    This young and outspoken Ghanaian citizen, a peace and security expert with a focus on gender, describes herself as “engaging, accomodating and seeking”. Born and raised in Ghana, Joana has a deep knowledge of her country, as her father was transferred a lot throughout his career. Her family has also spent some time in Louisville, Kentucky. As a teenager, her dreams were definitely altruist, as she wanted to become a photojournalist or a human rights lawyer. Since 2017, she is the ...
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    Terrorist Insurgency in Northern Mozambique: Context, Analysis, and Spillover Effects on Tanzania
    Authors
    Amal El Ouassif
    Seleman Yusuph Kitenge
    December 1, 2021
    Tanzania has been closely following the evolution of the security situation in the region of Cabo Delgado in Mozambique. Worsening living conditions and safety in this bordering region suggest the eruption of a multifaceted security and human threat of transnational magnitude. This paper looks at the different cultural, linguistic, and socio-economic ties that link Tanzania and Mozambique, while exploring how the security situation in Cabo Delgado might impact national security in T ...
  • Central Mali: Armed Community Mobilization in Crisis
    Authors
    Rida Lyammouri
    November 29, 2021
    The proliferation of community-based armed groups (CBAGs) in Mali’s Mopti and Ségou Regions has contributed to transforming Central Mali into a regional epicenter of conflict since 2016. Due to the lack of adequate presence of the state, certain vulnerable, conflict-affected communities resorted to embracing non-state armed groups as security umbrellas in the context of inter-communal violence. These local conflicts are the result of long-standing issues over increasing pressure on ...
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    Enjeux et perspectives géo-maritimes du Maroc
    Authors
    Jamal Machrouh
    November 25, 2021
    Le présent Policy Brief suggère l’émergence d’une conscience géo-maritime au Maroc. Surtout, il expose un certain nombre de leviers qui pourraient être mobilisés par le pays (II) pour faire face aux enjeux que recèlent ses espaces maritimes et conforter son positionnement géopolitique global (I). ...
  • Le Soudan à la croisée des chemins
    Authors
    Nihal El Mquirmi
    November 12, 2021
    Près de trois ans après l’éviction d’el-Béchir du pouvoir et la formation d’un gouvernement de transition, composé de civils et de militaires, la situation politique et économique du Soudan est loin d’être stable. Bien que des progrès aient été enregistrés depuis décembre 2018, la transition démocratique a été interrompue brutalement suite à la prise du pouvoir par le général al-Burhan et sa décision de dissoudre le gouvernement civil. Malgré le climat d’instabilité et d’incertitude ...
  • For Mali and the Sahel, New Tensions and an Old — and Worsening — Security Problem
    Authors
    Rida Lyammouri
    November 9, 2021
    Events in the Sahel, and Mali especially, are taking an uncertain and worrying turn. Mali witnessed two coups d’état in less than a year, while the West African Sahel went through its most violent year yet and there are no signs that the violence is slowing down. In the midst of this unprecedented instability, recent developments involving Mali’s transitional government and the international community, France in particular, provide no assurances that things are likely to improve any ...
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    Literature Paper: Jihadist Armed Governance in Mali
    Authors
    Rida Lyammouri
    November 2, 2021
    In the Sahel, and Central Mali in particular, the proliferation of armed groups over the past decade has resulted in formal and informal non-state governance structures. This paper assesses the various definitions and typologies associated with rebel and jihadist governance in order to better understand the mechanisms of governance provision used by key non-state governance providers in Central Mali.   ...
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    Dialogues Stratégiques Volume X: Les rivalités de puissance en Afrique - L’Afrique face au terrorisme
    Authors
    Pascal Chaigneau
    Khalid Chegraoui
    Eugène Berg
    Rodolphe Monnet
    Mohammed Loulichki
    Jacques Gravereau
    Larabi Jaïdi
    Jérémy Ghez
    Olivier Tramond
    Abdelhak Bassou
    Niagalé Bagayoko
    Alain Oudot de Dainville
    Jérôme Evrard
    Coordination de l’ouvrage: Imane Lahrich
    Fatine Cherkaoui
    October 28, 2021
    Depuis l’accession au trône du Roi Mohammed VI, l’Afrique s’est transformée en priorité de la diplomatie marocaine. Sur le plan économique, l’Afrique est devenue le prolongement naturel du Maroc en termes d’investissements et d’implantations. Pascal Chaigneau s’attarde sur les relations affaiblies Europe-Afrique, l’ambitieuse relation Chine-Afrique ainsi que les relations entre la Russie, les Etats-Unis, la Turquie ou encore les pays du Golf et l’Afrique. Ce chapitre traite égalemen ...
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    Le Tchad face au FACT : une offensive de rebelles et une résistance d’Etat
    Authors
    Redouan Najah
    Rida Lyammouri
    October 21, 2021
    Le décès du président tchadien Idriss Deby, lors d’affrontements entre l’armée et les rebelles du FACT, a donné lieu à une prise de pouvoir par la junte militaire dirigée par Mahamat Deby, fils de l’ancien président. Le FACT, créé en 2016 dans le but de renverser le régime de Deby-père, à la tête du pays pendant près de trente ans, se trouve confronté au fils du président défunt. Ce Papier revient sur les origines du groupe rebelle, les affrontements fatals pour Idriss Deby, et sur ...
  • A Tragedy Unfolds in Front of our Eyes
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    October 18, 2021
    If any proof was needed that change was in the air and repression on the horizon, it was in the center of Kabul: a simple sign was changed, the Ministry of Women’s Affairs was turned into the Ministry for the Promotion of Virtues and Prevention of Vice. This was nothing less than the return of the Taliban’s moral police, well remembered by the older population, ready to enforce a harsh interpretation of the religious law, the Sharia, including stoning, amputation, lashing, and publi ...
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    Expanding NATO’s Partnerships in the Southern Region. Why and How?
    Authors
    Kidane Kiros
    Rachid El Houdaigui
    October 18, 2021
    In the last few months, the global order has been going through some fundamental changes which are affecting the competition between the great powers and have a direct impact on their relations with regional partners. Emerging challenges such as the climate change, cyberwarfare and artificial intelligence, hybrid warfare and non-state actors are shaping a new world that is profoundly different compared to the post-9/11 era, where the war on terrorism opened the gates to what have be ...
  • Le terrorisme au Sahel et ses possibles extensions
    Nihal El Mquirmi & Alain Antil (IFRI)
    October 15, 2021
    La bande sahélo-saharienne connaît, depuis quelques années, une instabilité liée à plusieurs facteurs: le terrorisme, les effets du changement climatique, les tensions ethniques et commun ...
  • Éthiopie : l’inquiétant impact économique et social du conflit au Tigré
    Authors
    October 5, 2021
    Seconde nation la plus peuplée d’Afrique après le Nigeria, l’Éthiopie se distingue par un essor économique continu depuis trente ans. Des progrès notables sévèrement remis en question par le conflit avec la province du Tigré, qui dure depuis près d’un an. Pays phare de la Corne de l’Afrique, l’Éthiopie s’est distinguée par une croissance moyenne à deux chiffres (10 %) sur la période 2010-2019. Tombée à 6 % en 2020, celle-ci ne devrait pas dépasser 2 % en 2021 selon l ...
  • Servitude and Protest Movements in the Sahel
    Authors
    Hisham Aidi
    Hisham Aidi
    September 24, 2021
    In July 2021, the United Nations issued a condemnation against the “dramatic rise” in attacks against “descent-based slaves” in Mali, calling the violence “unacceptable”[i]. The statement was in response to a tragic episode in the eastern region of Kayes, where landowners using machetes and rifles assaulted a group of indentured laborers to prevent them working on the landowners’ fields. Tomoya Okobata, the UN's Special Rapporteur on Contemporary Forms ...
  • Thriving on uncertainty: COVID-19 related opportunities for terrorist groups
    September 23, 2021
    The Policy Center for the New South (PCNS) is organizing a public debate titled "Thriving on uncertainty: COVID-19 related opportunities for terrorist groups” on Thursday, September 23rd, 2021 at 3pm GMT+1. This webinar is the result of a Joint Policy Study, coordinated by our Senior Fe...
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    Thriving on Uncertainty: COVID-19-Related Opportunities for Terrorist Groups
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    Youssef Tobi
    Johannes Claes
    Kars de Bruijne
    Sophie Mertens
    Eman Ragab
    Clara-Auguste Süß
    September 20, 2021
    The COVID-19 pandemic has had a cataclysmic impact on all aspects of the functioning of our world. The relevance of the possibility of the spread of a global virus with the spread of terrorism is not immediately obvious as it is difficult for a direct causal link to be scientifically established. However, taking into consideration how state responses and pre-existing socioeconomic grievances can be impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic can lead to innovative findings on how terrorist gr ...
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    African Peace and Security Annual Conference – APSACO : Women, Peace and Security in Africa
    Authors
    Rachid El Houdaigui
    September 13, 2021
    The fifth African Peace and Security Annual Conference (APSACO) was held from June 21-23, 2021, under the theme ‘Women, Peace, and Security in Africa’. The three- day event, hosted and organized by the Policy Center for the New South (PCNS), was composed of four panels and three workshops: • Panel 1: Bolstering Women’s Role in Conflict Prevention and Resolution • Panel 2: Integrating & Reinforcing The Gender Dimension in Security and Defense • Panel 3: Understanding to Act Bett ...
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    The Fall of Kabul and the Taliban 2.0
    Authors
    El Mostafa Rezrazi
    August 24, 2021
    The Taliban movement took control of Afghanistan’s capital, Kabul, without confrontation or resistance, as soon as the president, Ashraf Ghani, fled the country. Afghan forces were not able to face the Taliban, despite of the fact that Taliban was technically outnumbered and outgunned by Afghan government forces. The New American administration first priority is to make US military mission in Afghanistan conclude by August 31st. Biden believes that the mission US army in Afghanistan ...
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    The Tigray War and the African Union
    Authors
    Hisham Aidi
    August 11, 2021
    The ongoing war in the Tigray region of Ethiopia has resulted in the world’s worst humanitarian crisis in a decade. The escalating conflict has led to the death and displacement of thousands of civilians, raised ethnic tensions in Ethiopia, and caused a food crisis that could lead to widespread famine. Much can be said about this conflict—how it revolves around models of governance and conflicting visions of self-determination, and how its impact will be felt across the region. Here ...
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    L’insurrection de Cabo Delgado au Mozambique: un conflit interne à dimension transfrontalière
    Authors
    Nezha Alaoui M’hammdi
    July 26, 2021
    La région nord-est du Mozambique, Cabo Delgado, est, depuis 2017, le théâtre d’une insurrection meurtrière, menée par un groupe, connu sous le nom de Ahlu Sunna Wal Jamaa et que la population locale dénomme « Al Shabab ». Considérée comme la plus pauvre du pays, cette région abrite une population à majorité musulmane et qui reste marginalisée dans les politiques publiques de développement du Gouvernement, malgré l’exploitation intensive des importantes ressources naturelles de son s ...
  • Global governance challenges of the 21st century
    Salma Daoudi & Marcus de Freitas
    July 02, 2021
    With the intensification of globalization dynamics, risks to the stability of the international system have grown to the extent that formerly localized threats are no longer locally conta ...
  • A Gruesome Picture
    Authors
    Helmut Sorge
    Helmut Sorge
    June 25, 2021
    The German town of Dinslaken, roughly 70,000 residents, has not really made a mark on history, but the former coal mining community still managed to get onto the front pages of national newspapers. Dinslaken became a hotspot for German jihadis, ready to join the radical Islamic State. Between 2011 and 2013 an Islamic group, 25 members, rented space just next to the office of the local commissioner of integration. About half of the group followed the call to arms, to fight the infide ...
  • APSACO 2021 - Atelier : Présentation du rapport : Dossiers sur l'EI
    June 23, 2021
    Les événements survenus ces sept dernières années en Irak et en Syrie constituent l'une des pages les plus sombres de l'histoire récente. Ce que l'on appelle l'État islamique (ÉI) a réussi à contrôler une zone de la taille de la Grande-Bretagne et à soumettre ses habitants d'une main de...
  • APSACO 2021 - WORKSHOP : Report Presentation: ISIS Files
    June 23, 2021
    The events in Iraq and Syria over the last seven years constitute one of the darkest pages in recent history. The so-called Islamic State (IS) managed to control an area the size of Britain and dominated its residents with an iron fist. It subjugated, terrorized and confiscated property...
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    Rapport annuel sur la géopolitique de l’Afrique 2021
    Authors
    Sous la direction de
    Abdelhak Bassou
    June 23, 2021
    Cette édition du Rapport géopolitique de l’Afrique, la quatrième, s’inscrit dans la droite ligne de la philosophie et de l’esprit du Policy Center for the New South, qui milite pour une Afrique partie intégrante du Sud global et acteur, en devenir, dans les affaires mondiales. L’Afrique comme continent et comme espace est le théâtre où se déploient les actions des Africains pour réagir et interagir avec les conjonctures internationales, et l’Afrique comme populations et institutions ...
  • APSACO 2021 - WORKSHOP : Index Presentation: Global Peace Index
    June 22, 2021
    The Global Peace Index is the flagship publication of the Institute for Economics & Peace (IEP) and is now on its fourteenth edition. The Global Peace Index (GPI) presents one of the most comprehensive data-driven analysis on trends in peace worldwide, the economic value of peace an...
  • APSACO 2021 - OPENING REMARKS / INTRODUCTORY CONVERSATION
    June 21, 2021
    OPENING REMARKS - Karim El Aynaoui, Executive President, Policy Center for the New South - Rachid El Houdaigui, Senior Fellow, Policy Center for the New South INTRODUCTORY CONVERSATION Chair: Mabingue Ngom, Regional Director, West & Central Africa, UNFPA Speakers: - Bineta Diop, Spe...
  • APSACO 2021 - ALLOCUTIONS D'OUVERTURE / DISCUSSION INTRODUCTIVE
    June 21, 2021
    ALLOCUTIONS D'OUVERTURE - Karim El Aynaoui, président exécutif, Policy Center for the New South - Rachid El Houdaigui, Senior Fellow, Policy Center for the New South DISCUSSION INTRODUCTIVE Président : Mabingue Ngom, directeur régional du Fonds des Nations unies pour la population pour ...
  • AFRICAFÉ : Abdelhak Bassou décrypte l'actualité du G5 Sahel
    June 4, 2021
    Pour ce troisième épisode, Abdelhak Bassou évoque la menace terroriste au Sahel et les moyens de la combattre dans la région. En présentant le G5 Sahel et son rôle, notre spécialiste nous apporte une vision panoramique des enjeux sécuritaire dans la région. ...
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    African Peace and Security Annual Conference – APSACO : COVID-19 AND SECURITY IN AFRICA
    Authors
    Rachid El Houdaigui
    May 20, 2021
    The fourth edition of the African Peace & Security Annual Conference (APSACO) was held on September 23-25, 2020 under the theme ‘COVID-19 & Security in Africa.’ The three-day event, organized by the Policy Center for the New South (PCNS), was composed of two panels and two workshops: - Panel 1: The Security Sector in Africa During and After the COVID-19 Health Crisis - Panel 2: The Privatization of Violence in Africa: Non-State Armed Groups and Private Security - Workshop ...
  • The Digital Transformations of Al-Qaeda and Islamic State in the Battle Against Online Propaganda
    Authors
    Héni Nsaibia
    Rida Lyammouri
    May 20, 2021
    In the face of repeated Europol-led crackdowns, and frequent flagging of content by the EU Internet Referral Unit (EU IRU), government agencies, anonymous users, and outfits specialising in countering terrorist propaganda—on the Telegram messaging application, as well as the frequent use of artificial intelligence to detect and remove terrorist propaganda on mainstream social media sites—terrorist organisations have adapted their propaganda output. Crackdowns and susp ...
  • The Engagement of the United States in the Sahel
    Authors
    Rida Lyammouri
    Rida Lyammouri
    May 4, 2021
    The Sahelian states of Niger, Mali, and Burkina Faso continue to face unprecedented violence arising from multidimensional conflicts. According to the Africa Center for Strategic Studies (2019), “the Sahel has experienced the most rapid increase in activity by militant groups of any region in Africa in recent years. Violent events involving extremist groups in the region have doubled every year since 2015”. In addition to the presence of multiple violent extremist organizations (VEO ...
  • Le Tchad: une transition militaire tolérée, mais confrontée à des embûches internes
    Authors
    Abdelhak Bassou
    Abdelhak Bassou
    April 29, 2021
    Le Général Azem Bermandoa, porte-parole de l’armée tchadienne, a annoncé, le 20 avril 2021, à 11h00, sur les ondes de la télévision, le décès du président Idriss Déby. Le défunt, touché lors de combats dans le nord du pays, entre l’armée tchadienne et la rébellion du Front pour l’alternance et la concorde au Tchad (FACT), est décédé des suites de ses blessures. Selon certains observateurs, une réunion de négociations avec des membres du FACT se serait terminée par une fusillade qui ...
  • Les Mardis du PCNS 20/04/2021: تمدد التنظيمات الإرهابية بإفريقيا وتداعياتها على الأمن القاري
    April 20, 2021
    سيخصص برنامج حديث الثلاثاء حلقته لهذا الأسبوع إلى تحليل ومناقشة تمدد التنظيمات الإرهابية بإفريقيا وتداعياتها على الأمن القاري باستضافة عبد الحق باسو، باحث بارز بمركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد. إن توالي الأزمات تؤثر على الأمن بالقارة الإفريقية بالإضافة إلى تنامي نشاط الجماعات الإرهاب...
  • The EU's challenges post-COVID-19
    Len Ishmael & Abdessalam Jaldi
    April 02, 2021
    In a world where conventional threats to public safety and international security are increasingly a back seat, the Covid-19 pandemic has opened a new chapter in the discussion on how to ...
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    Tillabéri Region, Niger: Concerning Cycle of Atrocities
    Authors
    Rida Lyammouri
    March 24, 2021
    Tillabéri region of Niger is witnessing unprecedented level of ethnic-based violence. The January 2 massacre caught the national and international actors’ attention, however; the event was preventable. Accessing communities through ethnically charged and other exploitative language has proved to be a game changer for the expansion of violent extremist organizations (VEOs) expansion since 2012. The failure of national and international actors to recognize the seriousness of the situa ...
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    Les armes non-létales : vers la guerre propre ?
    Authors
    Rachid El Houdaigui
    Abdelhamid El Ouazzan
    March 18, 2021
    Depuis les années 1960s, la doctrine stratégique assiste à la montée en puissance progressive des armes dites « non-létales », d’abord comme concept, puis comme l’un des domaines des plus prometteurs de la prospective des technologies avancées. Dans cet article, les auteurs font une synthèse des armes « non- létales », accompagnée d’une réflexion pertinente sur l’hypothèse de la guerre propre. L’article apporte des éléments d’éclairage sur les caractéristiques techniques et juridiqu ...