Publications /
Policy Paper

Back
Zeitenwende: Germany’s Strategic Shift in Foreign and Security Policy
Authors
September 13, 2024

German Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s ‘Zeitenwende’ in February 2022 marked a significant shift in German foreign and security policy in response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. This paper analyzes Germany’s new strategic direction, including increased defense spending, reduced energy dependence on Russia, and strengthened NATO and EU alliances.

It examines the domestic political debates surrounding these changes and their implications for European security dynamics. The study also explores the impact on Germany’s relationships with key partners including France, the United States, and countries of the Global South.

Finally, it offers recommendations for a more coherent, decisive, and strategic German foreign policy.

RELATED CONTENT

  • Authors
    July 15, 2026
    We Are Watching You In April 2026, the UK Ministry of Defence revealed that it had tracked a covert Russian submarine operation apparently intended to map critical undersea cables and pipelines in the North Atlantic and the North Sea. A Russian attack submarine and two specialised intelligence vessels operated by the Main Directorate of Deep-Sea Research, commonly known as GUGI, were reportedly monitored for four weeks by the Royal Navy, including HMS St Albans and P-8 Poseidon ...
  • Authors
    July 13, 2026
    On “marinetraffic.com”, thousands of triangles fill a map of the world’s ports and oceans, each representing the active location and destination of a ship, reported the “McGill International Review” (April 16, 2026) adding,” suspicious tankers are plentiful among them.” One of these vessels, marked by a red triangle, appears, zoomed, as “Monique”, a twenty-year-old vessel, aka Tokyo, Phuket and Elysia. Its old age and the frequent name change, suspects reporter Julnar Alzuki, “indic ...
  • Authors
    Niagalé Bagayoko
    Christophe Chabert
    Sara Hasnaa Mokaddem
    Alain Oudot de Dainville
    Anne-Sophie Raujol
    Hassane Saoud
    Olivier Tramond
    Emmanuel Véron
    May 6, 2026
    Cette publication est le résultat de la 19° édition des Dialogues Stratégiques, organisée le 24 octobre 2025, où ont été présentés et débattus 15 chapitres autour de deux thématiques majeures: « Recompositions et dynamiques croisées en Asie du Sud-Ouest : Focus sur PIran, l'Afghanistan, le Pakistan et l'Inde » et « Nouvelles perceptions de l'Afrique dans les stratégies internationales».Au croisement de ces discussions, émerge une interrogation centrale: comment les États et les régi ...
  • February 13, 2026
    Le général Olivier Tramond analyse la réduction de la présence militaire française en Afrique comme un changement stratégique profond plutôt qu’un renoncement. Au-delà des coups d’État et ...
  • Authors
    February 12, 2026
    Divergent regulatory regimes for data, driven by different motivations, ranging from privacy protection in the European Union to information control in China, could eventually produce distinctively different, and possibly contradictory, bodies of data. Artificial-intelligence models trained on those datasets could produce differing and possibly even conflicting outputs. To the extent that AI outputs start to shape human perception and to influence decisions, in governments and ...
  • January 30, 2026
    En 2019, Donald Trump a proposé d’acheter le Groenland, déclenchant un refus catégorique du Danemark et une tension diplomatique transatlantique. Cette initiative reflétait l’intérêt stratégique et économique des États-Unis pour l’Arctique et ses ressources. L’épisode a mis en lumière l...
  • Authors
    December 18, 2025
    The return of President Donald Trump to the White House at the start of 2025 was expected to signal an American retreat from international engagement, especially in regions of traditional security interest, such as southern Europe, North Africa, and the Middle East. To the surprise of many observers around the Mediterranean, and perhaps to the dismay of some in the Trump administration’s ideological orbit, this has not happened. If anything, the second half of 2025 has seen a high d ...
  • Authors
    December 16, 2025
    An unusual gesture indeed—the dictator, more often than not a recluse, withdrawn behind his fortress and protected by 1.2 million armed soldiers, finally admitted what had long been seen on the battlefield in Ukraine and by spy satellites far above. North Korean soldiers—possibly 12,000 of them—are fighting on front lines alongside Russian troops, and they are falling or being wounded; some 4,000 men so far, by current estimates.  ...