Publications /
Opinion

Back
Revolution Leading to Victory
Authors
July 3, 2020

The unshaven man, who did not let go of his Kalashnikoff while we talked, had been wounded in battles with Israeli troops, and was now hiding in the land that those troops had occupied—the Jordan Valley. Yasser Arafat, whom I met for the first time in the spring of 1968 at his secret base, was then still known as Abu Ammar, willing to sacrifice his life for the liberation of his people dispersed by around the world, particularly in neighboring Arab nations. The 1968 interview, Arafat’s first extensive one-to-one with a foreign publication, documented an optimistic leader of El-Fatah, 38 years old and certain of triumph. “I believe in our revolution and victory, and I am certain that we will recover our stolen land”, said Arafat, later honored with a Nobel Peace Prize for his struggles to achieve peace with Israel. “History is on our side”.

The unshaven man, who did not let go of his Kalashnikoff while we talked, had been wounded in battles with Israeli troops, and was now hiding in the land that those troops had occupied—the Jordan Valley. Yasser Arafat, whom I met for the first time in the spring of 1968 at his secret base, was then still known as Abu Ammar, willing to sacrifice his life for the liberation of his people dispersed by around the world, particularly in neighboring Arab nations. The 1968 interview, Arafat’s first extensive one-to-one with a foreign publication, documented an optimistic leader of El-Fatah, 38 years old and certain of triumph. “I believe in our revolution and victory, and I am certain that we will recover our stolen land”, said Arafat, later honored with a Nobel Peace Prize for his struggles to achieve peace with Israel. “History is on our side”.

More than half a century later history is betraying the Palestinians. The dream of a sovereign state of Palestine is fading away, challenged by Washington and the powers in Jerusalem, which have conspired for years to reduce Palestine to an autonomous entity, unarmed, controlled by Israeli military power and, if needed, through economic strangulation. Israel’s prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu, supported by Donald Trump, is set to annex up to 30% of Palestinian territory, unlawfully occupied by more than 500 000, mostly orthodox, Jewish settlers. But time could be running out to implement the “opportunity of the century”, as the Israeli leader declared in January at the White House, referring to the integration of Palestinian territory forever into Eretz Yisrael Hashlema or Greater Israel, stretching “from the wadi of Egypt to the Euphrates”. If Donald Trump, the struggling U.S. President, is voted out of office, Joe Biden, the democratic challenger, will reject any annexation of Palestinian territory.

‘Largely Fictitious’

If the plan supported by Trump does proceed “the State of Palestine that would be created would be largely fictitious, with no control over its borders, its security and its population with a completely fragmented and shrinking territory”, according to law professor Francois Dubuisson. He continued: “Losing East Jerusalem and the Jordan Valley, taking the 1967 lines as a reference[.] the West Bank would become landlocked with Israeli territory, losing its border with Jordan, making it particularly dependent on the good will of the State of Israel, both for the movement of people and goods. The logic of the ‘Plan’ is reminiscent of the Bantustan policy implemented by the South African apartheid regime from the end of the 1970s”. What Mr Netanyahu sees as an historic opportunity the United Nations Middle East envoy, Nickolay Mladenov called a “most serious violation of international law”. The amputation of Palestine would be a travesty of justice, as was the unilateral decision by the United States to declare unified Jerusalem as the capital of Israel, the handing of the occupied (Syrian) Golan Heights to Jerusalem, and the 180-page, so-called Peace to Prosperity plan, “a vision to improve the lives of the Palestinian and Israeli People”, without including the Palestinian authorities in any discussion. In this project Palestine, entrusted by Trump to his son-in-law Jared Kushner, it was decided to ignore the about 800 UN-supported resolutions, supporting the demands of Palestine, and the fact that 138 nations (which have recognized the State of Palestine) support the two-nation solution, a peaceful coexistence of Israel and Palestine, which is now endangered. The imminent annexation, declared Christiane Amanpour, the legendary CNN anchor, is “the final nail in the coffin”, in which the Palestinian dream will be buried. Israel’s former foreign secretary, Tzipi Livni agreed, stating that if Israel annexed Palestinian territory, it would be making “a huge historical mistake”. The Palestinians will not accept the destruction of their dreams, refusing any compromise on their statehood. Ultimately, Israel may decide to opt for one nation with two people: a Palestinian minority, without rights to participate in national elections, reduced to powerless second-class citizens, challenging in a quasi-permanent intifada the oppressive Israeli authorities.

Amputated Palestine

Should the Palestinians ever accept the American/Israeli offer, it is stated in the plan that the State of Israel will maintain overriding security responsibility for the State of Palestine, with the aspiration that the Palestinians will be responsible for as much of their internal security as possible. To implement this prerogative Israel will have the right to use “blimps, drones and similar aerial equipment for security purposes”, according to Kushner’s plan. The use of such equipment is intended to “reduce the Israeli security footprint within the state of Palestine”, which “implies that ground military intervention will also be possible”, according to Dubuisson. The question is what would remain of Palestine, once 30% of its territory has been integrated into Greater Israel? The capital of the diminished Palestine would be moved beyond the walls of Jerusalem into areas now covered by a refugee camp known as Shuafat, and neighborhoods such as Kafr Aqab or Abu Dis. Palestinian settlements, as Professor Dubuisson wrote, would be “linked together by a very complex road system, totally subjected to Israel’s security responsibility. The West Bank itself would also be enclaved in Israeli territory, with no contiguity with the Jordan border and no access to the waters of the Jordan River or the Dead Sea. The Plan thus has the effect of validating all the Israeli settlements, ignoring their illegal character under international law, and would attribute the Jordan Valley to Israel on the grounds that this region is ‘essential or Israel’s security’ without taking into account the status as ‘occupied Palestinian territory’ or the principle of non-acquisition of territory by force. It is therefore in complete disregard of international law that the borders have been drawn in the plan devised by the U.S. administration”.

How many Arab nations recalled their ambassadors from Israel, and canceled discreet business deals established between Israel, Gulf rulers or Saudi Arabia, when the U.S. handed Jerusalem as a gift to Israel? Will Egypt call off diplomatic relations with the Jewish state once the annexation of Palestinian land turns from plans into reality? Will Jordan, a nation with hundreds of thousands of Palestinian refugees, dare to rupture its diplomatic relations with Israel, fearing that Trump will cancel billions in funds? Or will Iran, supporter of the violent Hamas movement in Gaza, ultimately be the only loyal supporter of Palestine, launching another intifada? No, the European Union is preparing sanctions against the Jewish state, if its government advances its annexation of occupied land.

The opinions expressed in this article belong to the author.

RELATED CONTENT

  • Authors
    May 26, 2022
    L’engagement des acteurs extérieurs au niveau du continent africain ainsi que sa nature n’ont cessé d’évoluer. Si au début des années 90 l’intérêt pour le continent ainsi que l’attractivité dont celui-ci jouissait semblaient s’être quelque peu dissipés, le début du 21ème siècle a marqué un regain d’intérêt et une nouvelle perception de l’Afrique. L’évolution des dynamiques géopolitiques à l’échelle mondiale a réorienté la vision des acteurs extérieurs concerna ...
  • Authors
    April 20, 2022
    President Tshisekedi embarked on a significant overhaul of the Democratic Republic of Congo's (DRC) foreign policy and objectives in 2019. This policy shift stands out for the notable international and continental activism, enabling the DRC to put an end to the diplomatic isolation it faced since 2016, restart cooperation with a number of key partners, and revitalize the country’s role in international organizations and regional economic communities. This Policy Brief attempts to ex ...
  • Authors
    March 22, 2022
    African states are in a vulnerable position. The invasion of Ukraine could affect food security and trigger a spike in oil prices, inflicting economic duress on African households. The Black Sea region is home to vast fertile farmlands, and war in the “breadbasket of the world” could threaten wheat and fertilizer supplies. Increased economic hardship and social discontent do not bode well for democratic governance in Africa, especially in light of the recent spate of military coups. ...
  • Authors
    March 17, 2022
    “Turkey’s turn to Africa is the result of several factors: the economic liberalization process undertaken in the 1990s, Ankara’s aim for greater voice in international institutions, and Turkey's rivalry with Egypt and the Gulf states. Scholars have observed that Turkey's public diplomacy, which some have dubbed the “Ankara consensus” is consciously designed as an alternative to the Washington consensus of neoliberal economic growth and the Beijing consensus of state-led growth, that ...
  • Authors
    March 16, 2022
    The 2021 German federal election brought about a historic reshuffle of the political parties’ hierarchy in Europe’s biggest economy. The Social Democratic Party are back in control of the Chancellery for the first time since 2005, as part of a three-party coalition at the federal level with the Greens and the Liberals, a first in Germany’s post-war history. Now, the federal government has turned its gaze towards its founding mission: more progress. The first 100 days of the three-pa ...
  • Authors
    Dominique Lecompte
    Thierry Vircoulon
    March 14, 2022
    Although it has largely gone unnoticed in France, the agreement signed on December 3, 2020 between the European Union (EU) and the Organisation of African, Caribbean and Pacific States (ACP) is a major shift in the long-standing relations between the EU and countries in the Global South. The EU established a development assistance policy as early as the Treaty of Rome in 1957, signed the first cooperation agreement in 1963, and nowadays is often the largest donor to these countries, ...
  • March 10, 2022
    Africafé est une émission du Policy Center for the New South qui décrypte l’actualité des organisations africaines et de l’Afrique. A travers de courtes interviews, l’émission tente de proposer d’aborder de manière pédagogique les enjeux des organisations africaines et l’actualité du co...
  • Authors
    Isabelle Saint-Mézard
    Françoise Nicolas
    March 7, 2022
    Due to historical as well as geographical reasons, India and East Africa have long been close partners. In the recent period however, and even more so since the early 2000s, these ties have tightened as a result of combined efforts by the government of India and its business community. The presence of communities of Indian origin in several East African countries has also acted as a catalyst. East Africa is perceived as a valuable partner both by Indian authorities and by Indian pr ...
  • March 1, 2022
    يخصص مركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد حلقة برنامجه الأسبوعي "حديث الثلاثاء" لتقييم مخرجات القمة الاوروبية الافريقية ونموذج الشراكة الجديدة بين الطرفين، مع محمد لوليشكي، باحث بارز لدى مركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد. خلال القمة السادسة التي جمعت الاتحاديين في بروكسل وضع الاتحاد الأ...
  • Authors
    Patricia Ahanda
    February 23, 2022
    Le Sommet Union européenne (UE) - Union africaine (UA), qui s’est tenu à Bruxelles les 17 et 18 février 2022, entend marquer un tournant dans les relations entre les deux continents. L’agenda européen pour l’année 2022 met au centre de ses priorités les relations Europe - Afrique. Celles-ci sont aussi l'un des principaux axes défendus par la Présidence française du Conseil de l’Union européenne (PFUE) et le Président français Emmanuel Macron dans de son discours inaugur ...