Publications /
Book / Report

Back
Download PDF
International Jobs Report: Edition 2016
Authors
Prakash Loungani
Russel Dinh
January 27, 2016
Related topics: 

The IMF recently revised down its growth forecasts, making large changes in the forecasts for some emerging markets, in particular Brazil and oil-producing countries (such as Nigeria and Saudi Arabia). This report presents a snapshot of the global unemployment outlook and discusses what the recent revisions could mean for the unemployment outlook for these countries based on past relationships between growth and unemployment. We conclude with a look at the growth-unemployment link for 101 countries around the globe.

RELATED CONTENT

  • Reconfiguration of the Global South: Africa and Latin America and the 'Asian Century'
    Authors
    Eckart Woertz
    November 24, 2016
    Face aux bouleversements à ses frontières orientales et méridionales, l'Union européenne a cherché à trouver des réponses en révisant sa Politique européenne de voisinage et en publiant une nouvelle stratégie globale de politique étrangère et de sécurité. Au-delà des documents, quelles réalités de l'impact européen dans son voisinage ? La Politique européenne de voisinage (PEV) a été initiée en 2003 avec des déclinaisons régionales au Sud avec l’Union pour la Méditerranée depuis 20 ...
  • The Brexit and EU's Disintegration Dynamics
    Pol Morillas 
    November 22, 2016
    This podcast is performed by Pol Morillas. The European Council of 18-19 February 2016 will be marked by the presentation of the final deal between David Cameron and the rest of EU leader ...
  • Download PDF
    The rebound in oil prices: OPEC “fine tuning” in question
    Authors
    Yves Jégourel
    November 21, 2016
    In late September 2016, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries’ (OPEC) agreement to reduce crude supply was particularly telling. Combined with the improvement of some fundamentals, the agreement in principle created the conditions for a rebound in oil prices. Speculative dynamics to benefit from this upturn are however at work in a market context where production overcapacity remains present. The price recovery remains fragile and a paradigm shift will occur only if OPEC ...
  • La valse des prix des bruts
    Authors
    Yves Jégourel
    November 21, 2016
    Sans surprise, le West Texas Intermediate et le Brent, les deux grandes références de prix du brut, ont entamé depuis fin septembre une valse dont les mondes économiques et politiques observent avec attention les différents mouvements. Leurs prix ont bondi d’environ 15% entre le 27 septembre et le 10 octobre, atteignant alors plus de 50 USD/bbl, avant de replonger ensuite sur le mois suivant pour toucher leur plus bas niveau depuis deux mois. Dernier développement en date : un nouve ...
  • Mr. Trump: Can You Deliver it?
    Authors
    Otaviano Canuto
    Matheus Cavallari
    November 15, 2016
    U.S. assets reacted in a see-saw fashion to Donald Trump’s victory. Stock futures first dove deeply before climbing up to strong gains as investors developed a view on what kind of economic policy president-elect Trump is likely to pursue. They seem to be pricing in an expectation of higher growth and inflation, as well as an earlier Federal Reserve exit from ultra-low interest rates and from holding U$ 4.45 trillion of Treasury bonds. Shock waves hit international financial market ...
  • Local Content in the Extractives Sector: Exploring Policy Issues in New Producing Countries
    Authors
    Youssef El Hayani
    November 11, 2016
    Africa is endowed with an abundance of renewable (forestry, water, wind, solar) and non-renewable (extractives, oil, gas, minerals) natural resources. It is estimated that the continent accounts for about 7% of global oil reserves, 7% of natural gas, 20% of land area, 9% of renewable water resources and 17% of forests. The continent is also home to the largest or second largest world reserves of bauxite, cobalt, industrial diamonds, manganese, phosphate rock and platinum group metal ...
  • Spécial élections présidentielles aux Etats Unis
    Pascal Chaigneau
    November 11, 2016
    Ce podcast est délivré par Pascal Chaigneau. M. Pascal Chaigneau est Professeur des Universités, professeur à HEC et président de la section de science politique de l’Université Paris V S ...
  • Download PDF
    The Global Outlook, Secular Stagnation, and the MENA region
    Authors
    Uri Dadush
    November 7, 2016
    Despite the gloomy tone of much discussion at the just-concluded IMF and World Bank annual meetings, the global economy is not in as bad shape as many think. The concerns about “secular stagnation” in advanced countries are also overplayed, and nor are developing countries directly exposed to such risks. By contrast, the pessimism about the prospects for MENA are unfortunately largely justified. Most importantly, at the global and at the MENA level the biggest concerns are not econo ...
  • The Global Economy Remains Unbalanced
    Authors
    Otaviano Canuto
    November 4, 2016
    Discussions around large current account imbalances among systemically relevant economies as a threat to the stability of the global economy faded out in the aftermath of the global financial crisis. More recently, some signs of a possible resurgence of rising imbalances have brought back attention to the issue. We argue here that, while not a threat to global financial stability, the resurgence of these imbalances reveals a sub-par performance of the global economy in terms of fore ...