Publications /
Policy Brief

Back
Download PDF
French Version
Covid-19: Faced with a Violent and Long-Lasting Shock, African Oil Countries are Improvising the Rescue of their Economy
Authors
Benjamin Augé
Related topics: 
Economy
Africa

While the Brent oil prices in London have been fluctuating between 20 and 35 dollars per barrel for several weeks, and while American oil prices in New York even reached negative values on 20 April, most African oil-producing countries have, at the end of 2019, passed their 2020 budgets on the basis of rather optimistic forecasts, sometimes betting on an increase in expenditure financed by borrowing (Nigeria). Some of these countries were expecting Brent prices to be rather high in 2020, following the curve observed in 2019 where the annual average was around $64 per barrel.

RELATED CONTENT

  • La baisse du prix du pétrole est-elle une bonne nouvelle pour le compte courant? Une analyse des termes de l’échange
    Authors
    Rim Berahab
    April 30, 2015
    Pour une économie ouverte, l’analyse des échanges internationaux recèle une importance capitale pour analyser ses perspectives de croissance. Bien des décisions individuelles portant sur la consommation, l’épargne et l’investissement sont, en effet, liées aux termes de l’échange. L’évolution de ces derniers, définis comme le rapport entre les prix à l’exportation et ceux à l’importation, est considérée comme un indicateur du pouvoir d’achat d’un pays et constitue une variable fort ...
  • Successfully Transforming African Agribusiness through Private Equity Capital - Part II - What are the Key Success Factors in Private Equity Investing and how does that Apply to the African Context
    Authors
    Ezana Bocresion
    April 23, 2015
    We finished Part I - Solving the Capital Formation Issue with a question? How should institutional investors go about looking for the best partners to help them make successful investments in Africa; and fundamentally, the real question to ask is, what are the variables required for building successful investment platforms in Africa? Whenever one meets with an allocator from an institutional investor to discuss an allocation to an Africa strategy, the first question on their checkl ...
  • Download PDF
    The Securitization Technique: a Relevant Tool for Financing the Mining Sector?
    Authors
    Yves Jégourel
    March 25, 2015
    The strategy to vertically integrate mining producers requires the identification of the right conditions for its financing. Many approaches are possible and the technique of securitization, although widely stigmatized since the financial crisis of 2008, must be considered. Several conditions are however necessary. It is unlikely that the off-balance sheet securitization is currently positioned as an important means to finance this sector’s production capacity. Whatever the scope of ...
  • Successfully Transforming African Agribusiness through Private Equity Capital - Part I - Solving the Capital Formation Issue
    Authors
    Ezana Bocresion
    March 16, 2015
    Over the next couple of months, we want to explore the investing climate in Sub Saharan Africa (“SSA”) and try to understand where it is and what elements/variables are required to increase the continent’s attractiveness to institutional investors and thereby speed up the continent’s development. We will discuss the Private Equity industry in Africa and delve into the challenges faces. We will then work through how best to address them, and in particular, in the Agribusiness sector. ...
  • Download PDF
    L’intégration financière internationale : Théories, évidences, et leçons des expériences récentes
    Authors
    Pierre-Richard Agénor
    February 18, 2015
    Cet article propose, dans un premier temps, une revue de la littérature analytique et empirique récente sur les gains et coûts potentiels associés à l’intégration financière internationale, ainsi que les enjeux de politique économique créés ou exacerbés par cette intégration. En particulier, l’analyse fait ressortir le fait que, pour un pays en développement, les gains associés à cette intégration se matérialisent surtout sur le long terme, tandis que les coûts (liés notamment aux r ...
  • Download PDF
    Is Manufacturing Still a Key to Growth ?
    Authors
    Uri Dadush
    February 10, 2015
    Manufacturing is declining as a share of GDP not only in advanced countries, but in developing countries as well. This new trend, a result of complex forces, should be seen on balance as a reason for development-optimism, not pessimism. In the 21st century economy, manufacturing remains important, but poor countries can attract investment, grow rapidly and diversify away from agriculture on the basis of many possible sources of comparative advantage, without artificially promoting m ...
  • La chute des prix de l’énergie: Causes, conséquences et implications pour le Maroc
    Authors
    Abdelaaziz Ait Ali
    January 26, 2015
    OCP Policy Center vient de rendre public le 10 janvier son premier Policy Brief de l’année 2015, qui traite de la question de la baisse significative des prix des produits pétroliers, ses causes, et ses conséquences macroéconomiques pour les producteurs et les consommateurs de ce produit.  Yves Jégourel, Senior Fellow à OCP Policy Center et auteur du Policy Brief en question, a accumulé une expertise dans le domaine de l’analyse des marchés des matières premières. Il apporte égalem ...
  • Download PDF
    Morocco: Growth strategy for 2025 in an evolving international environment
    Authors
    Karim El Aynaoui
    Pierre-Richard Agénor
    January 24, 2015
    The Moroccan economy is currently facing the risk of becoming caught between the rapid-growing low-income countries with abundant and cheap labor, and middle-income countries that are able to innovate quickly. In addition, China’s massive investments in Sub-Saharan Africa have accelerated the participation of some countries in the region in a new international division of labor, especially in low-skill-intensive light manufacturing. In parallel, through the structure of its trade a ...