Podcasts

Back

Les répercussions de la guerre commerciale entre les Etats-Unis et la Chine

17
May 2019
Uri Dadush 
Related topics: 
Economy
Trade

Dans le présent Podcast, notre Senior Fellow Uri Dadush apporte des éclairages nécessaires pour la compréhension des impacts que pourrait générer la guerre commerciale entre les Etats-Unis et la Chine.
Dans son analyse, l’économiste Dadush décline les trois dimensions que pourraient revêtir les effets de ce conflit commercial, en considérant que l’une d’elles aura un impact très négatif, en ce sens que c’est l’économie mondiale qui sera affectée.
Uri Dadush fait remarquer que ce conflit commercial, de même que les négociations bilatérales qui le ponctuent, se déroulent en dehors du cadre de l’Organisation Mondiale du Commerce (OMC). De ce fait, souligne-t-il, les Américains, tout autant que les Chinois, agissent dans l’illégalité, donnant un mauvais exemple pour le reste du monde.

RELATED CONTENT

  • Transmission Channels of the War on Iran to the Brazilian Economy
    Authors
    Otaviano Canuto
    April 1, 2026
    We are now in the fifth week since the U.S. airstrike that killed top leaders of the Iranian regime, initiating a war involving the United States and Israel against the country. More than a month of mutual bombardments between Iran and Israel has ensued, extending to other Persian Gulf nations, U.S. military installations—and even Cyprus. From a global perspective, the impact has stemmed primarily from disruptions to regional production of goods and the blockade of the Strait of Hor ...
  • Global Implications of the Tariff War: A Focus on the New South
    March 27, 2026
    This interview analyzes how tariff wars are transforming global power dynamics, disrupting trade systems, and redefining trade policy as a geopolitical tool, while examining the risks and opportunities for emerging economies and the Global South, the repositioning of regions like Latin ...
  • Strategic Interdependence: Trade, Security, and Atlantic Leadership in a Fragmenting Global Economy
    Authors
    Jonathan Berkshire Miller
    March 10, 2026
    At the Atlantic Dialogues in December 2025, I argued that a period was underway in which trade and security could no longer be analytically or practically separated. Assessments have solidified in recent months regarding the emergence of a geoeconomic world order. Geoeconomics was a gradual transition from a purely geopolitical focus on military force, to an emphasis on economics to gain competitive advantage. It is no longer a transitional phase, but an emerging structural componen ...
  • President Trump’s Post-Emergency Tariff Wall
    Authors
    Otaviano Canuto
    March 3, 2026
    The February 20 United States Supreme Court decision against President Donald Trump’s use of the U.S. International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) to establish tariffs has led him to resort to other legal instruments. So-called U.S. reciprocal tariffs on countries set out in April 2025 were based on IEEPA, as were tariffs that allegedly punished countries for allowing fentanyl into the U.S. Trump tried to evade the constraints presented by other legal instruments that could f ...
  • Taking Down the Sign: Carney’s Wake-Up Call to Middle Powers
    Authors
    Sofia Formigli
    February 13, 2026
    There is a story told by Václav Havel, the Czech dissident writer who later became president after the fall of communism. In his essay The Power of the Powerless, Havel describes a shopkeeper who, every morning, places a sign in his window reading: “Workers of the world, unite!” He does not believe in it. Nor do the people around him. Yet the sign remains. ...
  • Download PDF
    Internationally Fragmented Data Could Lead to Geopolitically Antagonistic AI
    Authors
    Hung Q. Tran
    February 12, 2026
    Divergent regulatory regimes for data, driven by different motivations, ranging from privacy protection in the European Union to information control in China, could eventually produce distinctively different, and possibly contradictory, bodies of data. Artificial-intelligence models trained on those datasets could produce differing and possibly even conflicting outputs. To the extent that AI outputs start to shape human perception and to influence decisions, in governments and ...
  • Download PDF
    The New South as a Frontline of the U.S.-China Technological Rivalry
    Authors
    Otaviano Canuto
    February 11, 2026
    The U.S.–China technological rivalry has become a central axis of global economic and geopolitical competition. While the United States continues to lead in frontier innovation—most notably in advanced semiconductors and artificial intelligence (AI)—China has consolidated strengths in large-scale implementation, manufacturing capacity, and control over critical segments of global supply chains. These advantages are especially visible in clean energy technologies and in the processin ...
  • Download PDF
    The Silent Majority of the New South: Small States, Davos 2026, and the Last Line of International Law
    Authors
    Ferid Belhaj
    Otaviano Canuto
    February 4, 2026
    This article examines the quiet but profound implications of the erosion of U.S.-led hegemony for small and vulnerable states of the New South. While the post-1945 international order was never egalitarian, it offered predictability: power was organized through law, and sovereignty for weaker states rested less on justice than on procedural stability. Davos 2026 marked a turning point in the public acknowledgment of that system’s unraveling. Statements by leading Western figures rev ...
  • Download PDF
    The Renaissance of Economic Warfare
    Authors
    Ian O. Lesser
    February 3, 2026
    From the use of tariffs as a foreign policy instrument, to the weaponization of critical resources, and from targeted sanctions to attacks on critical infrastructure, economic security is at the forefront of international debates. The aggressive use of economic instruments for strategic purposes has become an explicit feature of international affairs, in a way not seen since the interwar period[1]. Beyond the weaponization of resources of all kinds, an increasing ‘monetization’ is u ...