In this episode, Mehran Haghirian explores the global economic consequences of disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, beyond oil and gas. He examines their impact on trade, fertilizer suppl ...
Strategic hedging is rational when it preserves a worthwhile choice at a tolerable cost while respecting existing commitments. Drawing on the literature on hedging and Latin American autonomy, this Policy Brief examines contrasting illustrations of that proposition. It distinguishes ambiguity about future alignment from uncertainty about existing obligations and explains how clearly bounded commitments can reconcile autonomy with credibility. The cases reveal different vulnerabiliti ...
In October 2026, Brazil will elect its president. It will also renew the entire lower legislative chamber and two-thirds of the upper chamber, elect governors in all states, and renew state legislatures. What will be the impact of these elections nationally, regionally, and internationally? Who are the main presidential candidates, and what are their agendas? What are the main challenges facing Brazil over the coming years? These are the questions that this Policy Brief seeks to ans ...
Par Henri-Louis Védie & Oumaïma El Azami El Hassani
October 16, 2026
Pourquoi l’or continue-t-il d’inspirer confiance, même lorsque son cours vacille ? Dans cet épisode, Henri-Louis Védie, Senior Fellow au Policy Center for the New South, décrypte les ress ...
The Policy Center for the New South, in partnership with The Asian Network, is organizing a webinar titled “Emerging Powers and the Remaking of Global Order” to examine the growing role of emerging powers and the Global South at a time of profound transformation in the international sys...
في ظل التوترات الجيوسياسية المتصاعدة، تتغير طرق التجارة العالمية وتتبدل معها موازين الممرات الاستراتيجية. تفتح هذه الحلقة من «حديث الثلاثاء» النقاش حول التقاء المسارات البحرية والبرية داخل هذه الممرات، والعوامل التي تتحكم في طبيعة السلع التي تعبرها. وتبحث كذلك في ما يمكن للمغرب أن يجنيه...
“Every gun that is made, every warship launched, every rocket fired signifies in the final sense, a theft from those who hunger and are not fed, those who are cold and are not clothed.”President Dwight Eisenhower, April 16, 1953 This paper examines the economic and human impacts of the first six months of the Iran war—from February to the end of August 2026—on Iran’s Arab neighbors and compares these impacts with those on the three countries directly involved—Iran, Israel and t ...
Cet article soutient que le Chief Geopolitical Officer (CGO) doit être repensé à partir de l’expérience des entreprises africaines. Dans un environnement multipolaire et fragmenté, leur principal défi n’est pas seulement la gestion des risques, mais la préservation de plusieurs options stratégiques simultanément selon une logique de hedging. Trois modèles de CGO sont à distinguer : l’intermédiation (Office chérifien des Phosphates (OCP), Tanger Med), l’intégration régionale (Ethiopi ...
In the first seven Policy Briefs of this ongoing series of analysis on Pan-Atlanticism: The Atlantic Basin in a Multipolar-Transnational World, we developed the argument that the strategic significance of the Atlantic Basin is on the rise for a range of international actors (states, regions and non-state agents) and from distinct political or ideological perspectives. In addition, in the most recently published Policy Brief -- “The U.S. and the Current International Reconfiguration: ...
Can Nigeria’s Dangote refinery help strengthen Africa’s energy security amid disruptions to global supply routes? This discussion considers how expanding local refining capacity can reduc ...