AES 2023 - Opening Remarks / Session 1: Challenges of Monetary Policy

September 22, 2023

 Opening Remarks Karim El Aynaoui, Executive President, Policy Center for the New South

Session 1: Challenges of Monetary Policy: Navigating Inflation Dynamics in the Face of Supply Shocks

The confluence of COVID-19 pandemic and the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict has resulted in a surge of inflation not seen for decades. Developing countries, especially in Africa, are bearing the brunt of this complex economic landscape, characterized by a sluggish recovery, rising unemployment and poverty rates, tight international financing conditions, soaring public debt, and persistent inflationary pressures. Central banks in Africa are facing the challenge of balancing the need to support economic growth with the need to prevent inflation from spiraling out of control. This session will explore the complex and interrelated issues surrounding monetary policy in Africa and the strategies that central banks can employ to navigate inflation dynamics in the face of supply shocks. As such, this session will address the following questions: - How can African central banks adapt their monetary policy frameworks and tools to effectively address supply shocks? - How can African central banks effectively manage the tradeoff between inflation and growth in the current environment? - What are the potential long-term effects of the current wave of monetary policy tightening in Africa? - What policy mix frameworks could be used to address macroeconomic imbalances in African economies, and how can they be tailored to the unique characteristics of these countries?

Chair: Mehdi Bartal, Professor, Mohammed VI Polytechnic University (Morocco)

Speakers: - Abla Abdel Latif, Executive Director & Director of Research, The Egyptian Center for Economic Studies (Egypt) - Ibrahim Elbadawi, Managing Director, Economic Research Forum (Sudan) - Abebe Aemro Selassie, Director of the African Department, International Monetary Fund (Ethiopia). Online

RELATED CONTENT

  • January 29, 2026
    Le Mali, le Burkina Faso et le Niger, réunis au sein de l’Alliance des États du Sahel (AES), affirment l’ambition de bâtir une souveraineté nationale qui leur permettrait de s’émanciper de la domination et des influences extérieures et de se doter d’une liberté d’action dans les choix de développement politique et économique. Cependant, cette ambition se heurte à de nombreuses contraintes économiques et sécuritaires.La souveraineté ne peut se construire sans une base économique soli ...
  • Authors
    January 27, 2026
    This paper revisits Big Push industrialization theory in the context of open economies deeply integrated into global value chains (GVCs). While classical Big Push models emphasize demand complementarities and coordination failures in largely closed economies, many middle-income countries now industrialize through foreign-owned, import-intensive production networks. We develop an extended Big Push framework that incorporates GVC integration and import leakage, and show how these feat ...
  • January 13, 2026
    Central banks are facing a new era where crypto and AI are reshaping how money is managed. Traditional monetary policies are evolving to meet these technological and financial challenges. This episode explores the risks, opportunities, and innovations redefining the future of finance. D...
  • Authors
    Ahmed Ouhnini
    December 5, 2025
    L’« uberisation », terme né du nom de l’entreprise américaine Uber au début des années 2010, désigne initialement un modèle économique fondé sur la mise en relation directe entre offre et demande via des plateformes numériques. Rapidement popularisé, le concept s’est élargi, avec Airbnb dans l’hébergement, puis à une multitude d’autres secteurs : livraison de repas, services à domicile, commerce en ligne, voire des métiers traditionnellement régulés ou corporatistes. Ce néologisme t ...
  • Authors
    December 3, 2025
     Global GDP growth has proven resilient in 2025, despite the shocks caused by the trade policies implemented by United States President Donald Trump in the first year after his return to office. The gloomy projections offered by multilateral and private institutions in the first quarter of 2025 have given way to revised levels mostly in the 2.5% to 3% range for the year. ...
  • December 2, 2025
    في هذه الحلقة، نحاول اكتشاف ما الذي يجعل المغرب يعيش اليوم تحولاً لافتاً في عالم المدفوعات الرقمية. كيف أصبحت التكنولوجيا المالية أحد مفاتيح الشمول المالي ومحركاً لنمو جديد؟ وكيف يغيّر الاعتماد المتزايد لوسائل الدفع الحديثة حياة التجار الصغار والمقاولات الصغيرة والمتوسطة ويخلق لهم فرصاً...
  • Authors
    December 2, 2025
    This paper assesses the economic and environmental implications of Morocco’s strategic transition from internal combustion engine vehicle (ICEV) manufacturing to electric vehicle (EV) production, with a particular focus on the regional impacts of localizing high-value battery manufacturing. Using an interregional input-output model, extended with environmental satellite accounts, the study simulates a structural shock related to the wholesale substitution of ICEV-specific inputs wit ...
  • November 25, 2025
    This Policy Paper analyses the Fourth Industrial Revolution (4IR) through the critical lens of technological colonialism. It argues that the fusion of physical, digital, and biological technologies is not merely a technical phenomenon but a civilizational shift reshaping the foundations of global power. The article traces a historical continuum from previous industrial revolutions, demonstrating how patterns of inequality and extraction persist, now transposed into the digital realm ...
  • Authors
    November 21, 2025
    This report addresses the business environment in Brazil as one of the determinants responsible for the weak evolution of productivity in recent decades. After addressing this productivity performance, we define what constitutes the business environment, using as a reference the three ways in which the World Bank has been addressing the subject.Next, we highlight how the business environment affects productivity in a country. Finally, we review some recent reforms in the country's b ...