Publications /
Policy Brief

Back
Gold: a safe haven in difficult times
September 30, 2020

In recent months, the price of gold has rebounded, taking it to new heights. The analysis of the prices of this precious metal over the last two centuries has shown great stability until 1971, when the United States abandoned gold/dollar convertibility, but also its erratic movement since then. Subject to the laws of the market, the price of this raw material depends essentially on demand. This trend confirms that this asset is a safe haven in difficult times, without however contemplating its re-monetization. This rebound, which is cyclical in nature and occurs in the short and medium term, is a godsend for gold-producing countries, at the forefront of which are China, Russia and Australia, but also some African producers, such as Ghana.

Gold is shining bright, while its prices are at their highest level in history, with an ounce exceeding $2,000. The purpose of this Policy Brief is to examine and look into the reasons behind this recent price surge, which will enable us to know whether this surge is cyclical or structural, and who are the beneficiaries and victims.

RELATED CONTENT

  • November 7, 2023
    يخصص مركز السياسات من أجل الجنوب الجديد حلقة برنامجه الأسبوعي "حديث الثلاثاء" لمناقشة مستقبل توسّع مجموعة البريكس بعد قمّة 2023 بين الحوافز وحدود الفاعلية: أي آفاق للجنوب؟ بعد انعقاد القمة الخامسة عشرة للاقتصادات الناشئة الخمس (البرازيل وروسيا والهند والصين وجنوب أفريقيا)، قامت المجموعة...
  • Authors
    November 2, 2023
    The global economic environment has changed as the U.S.—and to a less confrontational degree, the European Union—have clearly established a context of technological rivalry with China. Hindering China’s progress in the sophistication of semiconductor production has become a centerpiece of current U.S. foreign policy. While the U.S. is clearly winning the semiconductor war, the picture is different when it comes to clean-energy technology. Both technology wars overlap with access to ...
  • November 2, 2023
    Réflexions sur le leadership, la paix et la sécurité en Afrique Dans cette interview exclusive, nous avons eu l'honneur de discuter avec Son Excellence Madame Catherine Samba-Panza, l'ancienne présidente de la République centrafricaine et une figure emblématique de la politique africai...
  • Authors
    November 2, 2023
    Le 1er octobre 2023 a marqué le début de la phase transitoire du Mécanisme d'Ajustement Carbone aux Frontières (CBAM en anglais) de l'Union européenne (UE). L'objectif de cette initiative est d'instaurer une tarification du carbone sur les biens importés qui soit équivalente à celle appliquée aux biens produits au sein de l'UE, visant ainsi à réguler les émissions de carbone. Cette démarche implique la mise en place d'un ensemble d'obligations de déclaration et de conformité pour le ...
  • November 2, 2023
    Dans cet entretien, Hamdi Hached, expert en politique liée au changement climatique au sein de la Fondation Friedrich Naumann pour la Liberté en Tunisie et en Libye, aborde l'importance de l'hydrogène vert et des énergies renouvelables dans la lutte contre le changement climatique. Il e...
  • Authors
    Ali Elguellab
    Elhadj Ezzahid
    November 1, 2023
    The role of the production network in shock propagation has been an issue of considerable interest since the Great Recession. However, the empirical literature has only focused on advanced and emerging countries. This paper aims to contribute to filling this gap by examining the case of Morocco, a developing country belonging to the lower-middle-income group. The question is whether its production network is a factor in amplifying idiosyncratic industry-level shocks or, conversely, ...
  • Authors
    October 31, 2023
    An unprecedented year Each figure hides a life, a dream destroyed, a future to live. Shadowed by each number are families in agony, flows of tears and unanswered questions. On September 8 the clock had shown 23:11 Marrakesh time, and then Morocco cried, united in mourning, remembering 3,000 noble brothers and sisters, who turned into dark figures, victims of a horrendous earthquake which affected 6.6 million people. A national heartbeat later, war-torn Libya joined the pain, more ...