Publications /
Policy Brief

Back
Un regard prudent sur les perspectives économiques au-delà catastrophe provoquée par la Covid-19
Authors
August 6, 2020

La COVID-19 a asséné un puissant coup de massue à l’économie mondiale, en combinant une terrible pandémie à un effondrement de la production dû au confinement de la moitié de la population active mondiale. L’incertitude générée par le choc médical et économique paralyse les consommateurs et les investisseurs, et la dispersion des prévisions économiques à court terme est plus grande qu’elle ne l’a jamais été dans l’histoire moderne, environ six fois plus que lors de la grande crise financière. Cette note de synthèse passe en revue les données récentes sur l’épidémie et sur l’économie et évalue les perspectives en 2021 et au-delà. Le pessimisme est-il exagéré ?

RELATED CONTENT

  • Authors
    July 10, 2015
    Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras has already completed two notable labors. First, he led his radical left-wing Syriza party to an improbable election victory in January 2015. Then, also improbably, he won a resounding no vote in a referendum on July 5 on accepting the terms of Greece’s international creditors for a new bailout package. According to Greek mythology, there are ten more labors to go, and indeed, it will probably take that many to redeem the Greek eco ...
  • Authors
    June 8, 2015
    European stock markets are booming, and the European Commission has just upgraded its GDP growth forecasts for this year and next. In 2016, the eurozone could grow faster than the United States. And this is all happening even as the Greek drama approaches its cathartic moment, leading some to speculate that the euro crisis is nearing its end, with or without Greece. Is it? To answer this vital question, ignore the politics for a moment and focus on economic fundamentals. A look at ...