APSACO 9th Edition : Sahel, Libya, Great Lakes: Conflict Trajectories in a Year of Uncertainty

June 19, 2025

In 2024, Africa’s most protracted and destabilizing conflicts, Sudan, Libya, and the Great Lakes, continue to evolve in ways that challenge regional stability and expose the limits of existing peace frameworks. Despite diplomatic efforts and shifting international attention, these crises persist as complex systems of violence marked by fragmentation of authority, militarization of politics, and transnational entanglements. What defines the current trajectory of each conflict? Are there meaningful inflection points, or is the continent facing a new phase of entrenched instability?

This panel will examine the strategic and political dynamics shaping the evolution of these three conflict zones in 2024. It will explore the role of regional actors and external powers in either reinforcing or undermining peacebuilding efforts, while assessing how these crises affect broader continental security architecture. Can renewed diplomatic engagement reverse these trajectories, or are current patterns reinforcing long-term fragmentation and instability? Through a comparative lens, the panel aims to identify what these cases reveal about the changing nature of conflict on the continent and the capacity of African and multilateral mechanisms to respond.

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    5:30 pm February 2022
    Rida Lyammouri, Senior Fellow at Policy Center for the New South, will be speaking at the webinar “security and governence in africa: sahel and libya” organized by frica Study Group in partnership with The Middle East Institute. The security dynamics of the Maghreb and the Sahel are intertwined and the consequences of the Libyan conflict on the Sahel have been serious. Since its beginning in 2011, this conflict has triggered global concern about the economic, security, and geostrategic impacts on the Sahel. Current threats are posed by the illicit transfer, destabilizing accumulation, and misuse of arms, as well as the flow of armed groups and mercenaries. Despite considerable international efforts, especially by African countries, the Sahel is still experiencing one of the ...