Publications /
Opinion

Back
Energy Security Value Chain: A New Challenge for China?
Authors
Bouchra Rahmouni
October 19, 2018

There are various definitions of Energy Security (ES) and numerous ways of understanding the concept. For this blog’s purpose, we will choose the familiar understanding of the latter as put forward by the George W. Bush Administration, i.e. it represents a situation where four characteristics are met, an energy supply that is:
(1) Reliable (2) affordable (3) environmentally sound and (4) accessible. 

Thus, ES represents the situation where there’s availability of energy at all times, in various forms, in sufficient quantities, and at affordable prices. In addition, it must also be a situation without the presence of unacceptable and/or irreversible impact on the economy and the environment. In sum, the main characteristics of energy security are reliable supply, appropriate price levels, and the absence of negative impacts on both society and the environment. Moreover, energy security must include the guarantee of energy flows, from production, sale, distribution, and down to the end, the users.

The concept of ES is tightly linked to a concept known as Security Anxiety (SA), which is caused by two main factors that are:  

1-    The non-sustainable nature of traditional fossil fuel energy; and
2-    The imbalance of its distribution on earth. 

As a result, the situation of SA can be taken as the main challenge of ES because serious global economic crises are connected with this kind of anxiety. For example, as oil has dominated the modern energy industry, many conflicts happened around the Middle East, which possess most of the world’s oil reserves after WWII. In fact, the four Middle Eastern wars, namely the Iran-Iraq war, were all related to the control of oil. Overcoming such a situation would mean avoiding unilateral actions. The excessive pursuit of one’s own safety did not bring security; on the contrary, it brought disaster.

When reflecting on the past, we noticed that countries today have started to base their strategy on geo-economic factors and use soft power instruments more often, while decreasing the use of hard power. In this respect, China set up a strategy trying to satisfy the four Energy Security conditions (see definition above) by developing interconnections on a global scale.

China has become a net importer of oil after 1993 and of coal since 2008. It surpassed the US as it became the largest crude oil importer in 2017. With over  3 million barrels per day of new refining capacity  coming on line in 2016-2020, the refining capacity boom will continue to drive China’s crude oil demand through the 2020’s. The crude oil suppliers expanded from regional countries (1990s), to Middle East (2000s) and Africa and North Sea (2010s) (China International United Petroleum and Chemicals Co. LTd (UNIPEC), September 2017).

Therefore, Energy Security has started to be seen by China as an ability to rapidly adjust to their new dependence on the global market. To do so, China has shifted from its former commitment on self-reliance and self-sufficiency to a new approach of basing energy security on buying stakes in foreign energy fields.

Similarly, in the area of electricity production, China has entered the European market. Since the mid- 2000's, using its world class state-owned organizations, China has initiated an important policy of purchasing energy assets all over Europe. 

State Grid Corp of China (SGCC) bought, in 2014, 35% of the CDP Reti fund from the Italian Cassa depositi e prestiti. In Greece, SGCC acquired, in 2017, 24% of Public Power Corp from the Greek state and 75% of the private group Copelouzos. Furthermore, in Portugal, buyout of REN, the national electricity transmission company, equally occurred by the SGCC. Similarly, SGCC obtained a blocking minority in Terna (electricity transmission network operator) present also in other countries such as Montenegro. In addition, Three Gorges Corp (TGC), one of the major actors  in this Chinese dynamic,  bought, in 2017, an important part of the Portuguese energy company EDP the national electricity producer also present in Belgium, France, Romania, Spain, Brazil and Mexico. 

Another key Chinese player involved in Energy Security worldwide is the State Administration of Foreign Exchange Investment Fund (SAFE), a Chinese Sovereign Wealth Fund, which purchased 3% of the Italian National Electricity Company (ENEL) in 2014. Nevertheless, the most important investment of SAFE was the purchase in 2016 of 11% of UK's electricity transmission network. We can additionally add to this list of lucrative buyouts, a 24.9% purchase of Enveco in Lithuania made by China Southern Grid in 2016 and the buyout of 33% of ENE Malta by China Power Investment (An Outlook for Energy Infrastructure Investments : Europe and China, International Energy Knowledge Center, Security Energy Seminar, October 2018).

Buying a large share in the national transmission and distribution of electricity in Europe enabled China to become one of the most active actors in the European energy security value chain.

In addition, taking the opportunity of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), China continues to strengthen its cooperation with energy exporting and importing with transit countries. BRI, which proposes “the development of economic corridors connecting China with the rest of Asia and beyond,” is set to play a great role in bolstering regional energy security via fostering transboundary power connectivity such as the CASA 1000 high voltage grid connection and the TAPI gas Pipeline.

Beyond the Eurasian area, the initiative of an international association, the Global Energy Interconnection Development Organization (GEIDCO) - which has already established partnerships with The Arab League, the African Union and the United Nations – gives an idea on one of the new Chinese challenges in terms of energy security that is the implementation of a global energy interconnection. At this stage, a legitimate question could be asked, does China appreciate that Energy Security is a common issue facing the world, and that no country can protect itself, disregarding other countries ?

As providing sustainable clean and modern energy is an important axis in Energy Security, China shows a deep interest towards the field of renewable energies as highlighted by the Executive Director of The International Energy Agency at The Global Forum on Energy Security held in 2017:

“Last year, investment on new renewable electricity capacity in this country (China) was the same as in the European Union and The United State combined. China has the world’s largest wind power market and is the world’s largest producer of hydroelectricity. China is also adding more solar PV capacity each year than any other country. By the end of this year, it is expected that China will overtake Germany as the country with the most installed solar PV panels in the world.”

It should be noted that China became the leader in world overseas clean energy investment with 44.3 US$ billion of total of investment in Pakistan, Nigeria, Germany, UAE, Greece, Nepal, Brazil, Pakistan, Peru, Australia, Philippines, Egypt and Pakistan in Hydro, solar and wind power (Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis Report 2018 – World’s second biggest economy continues to drive global trend in energy investment). 

Does it mean that China accepts the idea that the solutions to global ES lie in developing low carbon energies?

RELATED CONTENT

  • Authors
    December 7, 2020
    The pandemic is accelerating history, in the sense that it is leading to the speeding up of some recent trends. In the case of globalization, the pandemic will not reverse it, but it will reshape it. Here we take a bird’s eye view of global trade during the pandemic, relate it to previous trends, and guess how global value chain managers and government trade policymakers are likely to react. A Bird’s Eye View of Global Trade during the Pandemic World trade took a deep dive during ...
  • Authors
    September 28, 2020
    CGTN, 25 September 2020 China’s economy keeps recovering from the coronavirus pandemic-led crisis through the third quarter of 2020, as revealed by the numbers of August activity. Its GDP grew by 3.2% in the second quarter, after falling by 6.8% in the first quarter, in both cases as compared from a year before. It is now the only major economy expected to exhibit growth this year. Successful containment of the pandemics has allowed it to be first-in-first-out relative to others. ...
  • Authors
    September 3, 2020
    The “middle income trap” may well characterize the experience of Brazil and most of Latin America since the 1980s. Conversely, South Korea maintained its pace of evolution, reaching a high-income status. Such divergence of economic growth can be related to their distinctive performances of domestic accumulation of technological and organizational capabilities. Their different approaches to global value chains and trade globalization reinforced such discrepancy in domestic accumulati ...
  • Authors
    August 6, 2020
    La COVID-19 a asséné un puissant coup de massue à l’économie mondiale, en combinant une terrible pandémie à un effondrement de la production dû au confinement de la moitié de la population active mondiale. L’incertitude générée par le choc médical et économique paralyse les consommateurs et les investisseurs, et la dispersion des prévisions économiques à court terme est plus grande qu’elle ne l’a jamais été dans l’histoire moderne, environ six fois plus que lors de la grande crise f ...
  • June 24, 2020
    La réputation, concept majeur s’il en est, est un indicateur de l’estime accordée à une personne physique mais aussi à une entreprise ou encore à une entité étatique. Constituée d’une somme de perceptions, elle est la résultante globale de l’ensemble d’images, d’appréciations des actions et comportements de celles-ci. Ainsi, la bonne réputation d’un gouvernement est déterminée et mesurée par son aptitude à faire face aux épreuves que traverse le pays, à affronter les bouleversements ...
  • Authors
    Francisco Cordoba Otalora
    April 21, 2020
    We are entering an economic cycle with a changing nature of consumption focusing on necessities. It seems like the times of luxury, entertainment and vacations are over, at least until the discovery of a vaccine for COVID-19. The unfolding of the health crisis that we have been witnessing in Italy, Spain and other advanced economies will not be as severe as the economic crisis that the Coronavirus will unleash. The International Monetary Fund has been warning us that the financial ...
  • Authors
    Seleman Kitenge
    March 30, 2020
    Illicit financial flows (IFFs) have become a serious threat to the attainment of global development goals. On February 28th, 2020, the President of the United Nations General Assembly, Tijjani Muhammad-Bande, and the President of ECOSOC, Mona Juul, have announced a high-level panel on international financial accountability, transparency, and integrity (FACTI) as a means to address this challenge, which inhibits financing for the Sustainable Development Goals. This paper provides an ...
  • Authors
    Mehmet Sait Akman
    Shiro Armstrong
    Anabel Gonzalez
    Fukunari Kimura
    Junji Nakagawa
    Peter Rashish
    Akihiko Tamura
    Carlos A. Primo Braga
    February 9, 2020
    In the context of his role as chair of the T20 task force « Trade, Investment and Globalization », our senior fellow, Uri Dadush has led the T20 brief under the theme "World Trading System Under Stress: Scenarios for the Future", which has been published in Global Policy. The world trading system has been remarkably successful in many respects but is now under great strain. The causes are deep‐seated and require a strategic response. The future of the system depends critically on r ...
  • December 19, 2019
    Emerging market and developing economies: Engine of the global economic growth despite some vulnerabilities1 After a long spell of slow growth post-crisis, the global economy’s recovery was mainly supported by the improvement of emerging markets and developing economies growth. However, this recovery is subject to wide-ranging uncertainties and is now in some danger. According to the IMF, the global economic growth is expected to fall to 3 % in 2019, the lowest level since 2008. Th ...
  • December 17, 2019
    L’Inde est confrontée, aujourd’hui, à plusieurs défis énergétiques : - Assurer la sécurité énergétique du pays, en généralisant l’accès pour tous à l’électricité. Ce qui n’est pas le cas en 2019. - Le faire en réduisant sa dépendance aux énergies fossiles, afin de mieux répondre aux orientations des Conférences des parties, COP 21 et COP 22. Pour cela, les autorités gouvernementales vont mener, dès 1981, une réflexion sur les énergies renouvelables, les conduisant à privilégier l ...