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Emerging Countries and the « Return of Geopolitics » - Economic and Geopolitical Cross-Sectional Perspectives : Tanzania, Colombia, Kazakhstan

From

07
9:00 am March 2017

To

07
6:00 pm March 2017

Paris, France

Context

In 2014, the deceleration of global growth trends revealed wide disparities between emerging countries. While the big emerging countries face a decline in their growth potential, smaller ones continue to show resilience and drive in what seems to be a difficult international grid.

The year 2014 also brought along some international tensions, leading to a discursive shift entailing a "return of geopolitics" perspective, which in other words explains a return to classical power politics. This consequently questions, both directly and indirectly, the established order, and explains the scope and context of the respective crises, though these vary by region. 

Description

Against this backdrop, the French Institute of International Relations (IFRI) and OCP Policy Center launched in 2014 the “IFRI-OCP Policy Center Roundtables” to analyze the nature of the link between development challenges and the emergence of the "return of geopolitics" approach. These series of roundtables, which take place biannually, bring together researchers, and public and private sector experts interested in the challenges and opportunities of economic development in the face of an ever-changing geopolitical order.

The objective of this conference is to examine the link between economic development on the one hand, and challenges of the "return of geopolitics" on the other, as both of these respective stances hold important ground while explaining the existence of developing countries in a complicated world order. This will enable a juxtaposition of these two perspectives, while addressing both large emerging countries and smaller, less obvious ones that, by definition, may not have the same objectives.

Speakers will be consequently working on both levels, contributing to a better understanding of development and its implications. The methodological interest lies in the intersection of economic and geopolitical approaches to better discern the nature of the trends and try to identify points of logical dissonance.

The first edition of this event, which took place in December 2014 in Rabat, Morocco, discussed China, Russia, Turkey and Morocco. The second edition was held in May 2015 in Paris, France and addressed the cases of Côte d’Ivoire, Nigeria, Brazil, and Indonesia. The third edition, which took place in Rabat, Morocco, tackled the cases of Ethiopia, South Africa, DRC, Mexico, India, and Vietnam. For our fourth edition in Dakar the following countries have be addressed: Senegal, Malaysia, Kenya, Argentina, Egypt and Angola. Our fifth and final edition will be introduced by a methodology panel on the return of geopolitics and address the cases of Tanzania, Thailand, Colombia and Kazakhstan.

Agenda

 

Thursday, March 07

09:00 – 09:15

Welcome Note

Speakers
- Karim EL AYNAOUI, Managing Director, OCP Policy Center 
- Thomas GOMART, Director, Ifri    

09:15 – 10:45

COUNTRY RISK ASSESSMENT IN A CHANGING GEOPOLITICAL ENVIRONMENT

Speakers
- Jonathan STORY, Emeritus Professor of International Political Economy, INSEAD 
- Tania SOLLOGOUB, Economist - Political Risks Project Officer, Crédit Agricole
- Philippe SILBERZAHN, Associate professor at EMLYON Business School and Research Fellow at Ecole Polytechnique
- Abdelhak BASSOU, Senior Fellow, OCP Policy Center

10:45 – 11:00

Coffee Break

11:00 – 12:30

SESSION 1: TANZANIA

Chair                                     
Clélie NALLET, Research Fellow, Sub-Saharan Africa Program, Ifri

Speakers                              
- Tausi KIDA, Executive Director, Economic and Social Research Foundation (ESRF)
- Cyrielle MAINGRAUD-MARTINAUD, PhD Candidate, Sciences Po Bordeaux

12:30 – 14:15

Lunch Break

14:15 – 15:45

SESSION 2: KAZAKHSTAN

Chair                                     
Tatiana KASTOUEVA-JEAN, Director, Russia/NIS Center, Ifri 

Speakers                              
- Francis PERRIN, Senior Fellow, OCP Policy Center 
- Mehmet OGUTCU, Chairman, Global Resources Partnership 

15:45 – 16:00

Coffee Break

16:00 – 17:30

SESSION 4: COLOMBIA

Chair
Yves JEGOUREL, Senior Fellow, OCP Policy Center            

Speakers
- Otaviano CANUTO, Executive Director, The World Bank Group 
- Carlos MALAMUD, Senior Analyst for Latin America, Elcano Royal Institute 

 

Speakers
Karim El Aynaoui
Executive President
Karim El Aynaoui is Executive President of the Policy Center for the New South. He is also Executive Vice-President of Mohammed VI Polytechnic University and Dean of its Humanities, Economics and Social Sciences Cluster. Karim El Aynaoui is an economist. From 2005 to 2012, he worked at the Central Bank of Morocco where he held the position of Director of Economics, Statistics, and International Relations. At the Central Bank of Morocco, he was in charge of the Research Department and equally a member of the Governor’s Cabinet. Previously, he worked for eight years at the World Bank as an Economist for its regional units of the Middle East and North Africa and Africa. Karim El Aynaoui has published books and journal articles on macroeconomic issues in developing countries. Hi ...
Thomas Gomart
Directeur de l’Institut Français des Relations Internationales
Directeur de l’Institut Français des Relations Internationales, Thomas Gomart était aussi Marie Curie Fellow au Department of War Studies du King’s College (2003-2004), Visiting Fellow à l’Institut d’études de sécurité de l’Union européenne (2003), chercheur associé à l’Ifri (2002-2003), Lavoisier Fellow à l’Institut d’Etat des relations internationales de Moscou (2001). Thomas Gomart est docteur en histoire des relations internationales (Paris I Panthéon-Sorbonne) et diplômé EMBA (HEC Paris). Il a été directeur du développement stratégique de l'Ifri de septembre 2010 à mars 2015 et a créé le Centre Russie/NEI dont il a été le directeur de 2004 à 2013. ...
Yves Jégourel
Senior Fellow
Yves Jégourel is Senior Fellow at Policy Center for the New South as well as Full Professor and head of the Chair in “Economics of Raw Materials and Sustainable Transitions”, at the Conservatoire national des arts et métiers. He was previously a professor at the University of Bordeaux, where he directed the Master program in Banking, Finance and Commodity Trading (BFCT) and was vice-dean in charge of relations with companies in the Faculty of Economics, Management and ESA (EGAES). He devotes his teaching and research activities to the economics of commodities, with a particular focus on the common dynamics that characterize the agricultural, energy, and mineral and metal sectors: the internationalization of physical markets, the macroeconomic dependence of exporting countries ...
Clélie Nallet
Research Fellow, Center for Africa Studies, Ifri
Clélie Nallet is a Research Fellow with the Center for Africa Studies at Ifri. Her research focuses on African socio-economic transformations and urban dynamics. She holds a PhD in political science from Sciences Po Bordeaux, where she devoted her thesis to the study of Ethiopian “middle classes”.  She has conducted numerous surveys on living standards and lifestyles, mainly in Addis Ababa, Niamey, Kinshasa and Abidjan.  Clélie is also an Expert on issues related to the private sector in developing economies and was Deputy Editor in chief of Private Sector & Development magazine. ...
Francis Perrin
Senior Fellow
Francis Perrin is a Senior Fellow at the Policy Center for the New South who focuses on energy.  Following studies in economics and political science at the University Pierre Mendès France (UPMF – today University Grenoble Alpes) at Grenoble (France), Francis Perrin worked for several years as a journalist and freelance consultant on energy and mining resources before joining in 1991 the Paris-based Arab Petroleum Research Center (APRC). He was editor in chief of Arab Oil & Gas (AOG) and Pétrole et Gaz Arabes (PGA) between 1991 and 2000 and editorial manager of the publications of the APRC from 2001 to the end of 2011. Francis Perrin set up at the beginning of 2012 Stratégies et Politiques Energétiques (SPE) and later Energy Industries Strategies Information (EISI).   Pr ...
Tatiana Kastouéva-Jean
Director, Russia/NIS Center, Ifri
Tatiana Kastouéva-Jean holds a degree from the State University of Ekaterinbourg, a Franco-Russian Master in International Relations from the University of Sciences Po/MGIMO in Moscow, and a DEA (Diplôme d'études approfondies) in International Relations. Among her research areas: evolution of Russian domestic and foreign policies, soft power, Ukraine, education and human capital. She directs the Russie.Nei.Visions. Recent publications include:  « Pourquoi la société russe soutient-elle la politique actuelle du Kremlin ? », Les Études du CERI, Sciences Po, n° 228-229, Regards sur l'Eurasie, février 2017 ; « La Russie après les crises ukrainienne et syrienne », RAMSES 2017, Ifri/Dunod, 2016 ; « Le système Poutine : bâti pour durer ? », Politique étrangère, n°2, 2015 and « Russia ...
Abdelhak Bassou
Senior Fellow
Abdelhak Bassou is a Senior Fellow at the Policy Center for the New South and a non-resident senior fellow at the Atlantic Council’s Africa Center. He is also an Affiliate Professor at Mohammed VI Polytechnic University. Bassou has had an extensive career in Moroccan National Security, where he served in various capacities including as head of the border division from 1978 to 1993. He was the former director of the Royal Institute of Police in 1998 and served as Head of Regional Security (Errachidia 1999-2003, Sidi Kacem 2003-2005) and as Central Director of General Intelligence from 2006 to 2009.   He holds a master's degree in political science and international studies from the Faculty of Law, Economics, and Social Sciences in Rabat. His academic research delves into inte ...
Otaviano Canuto
Senior Fellow
Senior Fellow at the Policy Center for the New South, principal at Center for Macroeconomics and Development and non-resident fellow at Brookings Institute. Former Vice President and Executive Director at the World Bank, Executive Director at the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Vice President at the Inter-American Development Bank. He was also Deputy Minister for international affairs at Brazil’s Ministry of Finance, as well as professor of economics at University of São Paulo (USP) and University of Campinas (UNICAMP). ...
Nik Gowing
Visiting Professor in the School of Social Science and Public Policy at Kings College, London
Nik Gowing was a main news presenter for the BBC’s international 24-hour news channel BBC World News 1996-2014. He presented The Hub with Nik Gowing, BBC World Debates, Dateline London, plus location coverage of major global stories. For 18 years he worked at ITN where he was bureau chief in Rome and Warsaw, and Diplomatic Editor for Channel Four News (1988-1996). He has been a member of the councils of Chatham House (1998–2004), the Royal United Services Institute (2005–present), and the Overseas Development Institute (2007-2014), the board of the Westminster Foundation for Democracy including vice chair (1996-2005), and the advisory council at Wilton Park (1998-2012). In 1994 he was a fellow at the Joan Shorenstein Barone Center in the J. F. Kennedy School of Government, Har ...
Alfredo Da Gama e Abreu Valladão
Senior Fellow
Alfredo G. A. Valladão is Senior Fellow at Policy Center for the New South and Professor at the Paris School of International Affairs (PSIA) of Sciences Po Paris, who focuses on international affairs, geopolitics, global economics, Brazil and Latin America. Alongside these positions, he is President of the Advisory Board at EU-Brazil association in Brussels, Member International Advisory Board of CEBRI (Brazilian Center for International Relations – Rio de Janeiro), Member of the Comité des Rencontres Internationales de Genève (RIG), Director of the Latin America Research Chair at CESEM-HEM in Morocco and a columnist for Radio France Internationale (RFI). Former member of the Board of Trustees of UNITAR (2009-1015), and former Director of the Mercosur Chair of Sciences Po (199 ...
Tausi Kida
Executive Director, Economic and Social Research Foundation (ESRF)
Dr. Tausi Mbaga Kida is the Executive Director of the Economic and Social Research Foundation (ESRF), a Policy Think Tank based in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania. Prior to her appointment to the post of Executive Director, Dr. Kida was the Director of Programmes at ESRF since February 2011. She has authored a number of publications including chapters in books and articles in international journals. During her progressive career as social economic researcher, Dr. Kida has undertaken a profound role in policy development processes in Tanzania and in East Africa. She is currently a member of Steering Committee for developing Tanzania’s second Five Years Development Plan 2016/17 – 2021/22. In addition, Dr. Kida is at the forefront in coordinating the process of mainstreaming of Sustaina ...
Cyrielle Maingraud-Martinaud
PhD Candidate, Les Afriques dans le Monde, Sciences Po Bordeaux
Cyrielle Maingraud-Martinaud is a PhD candidate from Sciences Po Bordeaux / Les Afriques dans le Monde. Her research focuses on the contemporary dynamics of electoral authoritarian regimes and dominant-party systems. She is currently writing her dissertation on the 2015 Tanzanian elections, focusing on the interaction between religious, traditional and political actors. She conducted an extensive 2 years fieldwork in various regions in Tanzania and was a teaching fellow at the University of Dar es Salaam in 2014/2015. She recently published "Une hégémonie compétitive contre vents et marées : les élections générales de 2015 en Tanzanie et à Zanzibar", (with Marie-Aude Fouéré), Politique Africaine, 2015/4 (n°140). ...
Carlos Malamud
Senior Analyst for Latin America, Elcano Royal Institute
Carlos Malamud (Buenos Aires, 1951) is Professor of Latin American History at the Universidad Nacional de Educación a Distancia (UNED), Madrid, Spain and Senior Analyst for Latin America at the Elcano Royal Institute. In 2015 he was selected by Esglobal among the "50 most influential Iberoamerican intellectuals”. He has been a Senior Associate Member (SAM) at St. Antony's College, University of Oxford, and visiting research at the Universidad de los Andes, Colombia (Chair Corona), and Di Tella University in Buenos Aires. Between 1986 and 2002 he directed the Latin American program of the Instituto Universitario Institute Ortega y Gasset, which has also been his deputy director. He lectured at the Complutense University of Madrid and San Pablo CEU. Member of the Advisory Coun ...
Mehmet Öğütçü
Founder & CEO, Global Resources Partnership, Turkey
A leading international authority on the energy-water-food equation, investment, infrastructure, geopolitics, climate change, and future projections, Mehmet Öğütçü currently chairs the Global Resources Partnership, a strategic investment advisory group engaged in worldwide natural resources and energy assets. He is also the founding president of The Bosphorus Energy Club and The London Energy Club, which brings together the world’s major players in energy, investment and geopolitics. He serves as chairman of the advisory board of Middle East Institute in Washington DC and BGN International. In former positions, he, among many others, served as advisor to the Turkish prime minister Turgut Ozal, as principal administrator of the Asia-Pacific and Latin America division at the Int ...
Philippe Silberzahn
Associate professor, EMLYON Business School and Research Fellow, Ecole Polytechnique
Philippe Silberzahn is Associate Professor at EMLYON Business School. He is also a Research Fellow at Ecole Polytechnique in Paris, France and a visiting lecturer at HEC Paris, CEDEP, EPFL/HEC Lausanne, and Solvay Brussels School of Business and Economics. His research interests lie at the intersection of strategy, innovation, and entrepreneurship. He studies how businesses deal with radical uncertainty. He explores the role and actions of entrepreneurs and innovators in this process of markets and organization creation, and how large organizations manage strategic surprises and disruptions. He has authored and co-authored five books in French and English on entrepreneurship, innovation, and strategy as well as many academic articles on these topics. As a consultant and mana ...
Jonathan Story
Emeritus Professor of International Political Economy, INSEAD
Jonathan Story is Emeritus Professor of International Political Economy at INSEAD. Prior to joining INSEAD in 1974, he worked in Brussels and Washington, where he obtained his PhD from Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies. At the INSEAD campus, in Fontainebleau and Singapore, he has taught European and world politics, markets, and business in the MBA, and PhD programs. He taught on INSEAD’s flagship Advanced Management Programme for three decades, as well as on other Executive Development and Company Specific courses. Jonathan Story works with governments, international organisations and multinational corporations. His latest contributions include chapters on global energy, the global dynamics, and “The Business School: Serving Mammon or the University”, in ...